July 16, 2020
Tips

Warwick Farm (Wed)

Canterbury

Warwick Farm Racing Tips – Wed May 13th

We will be at Warwick Farm this Wednesday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 4 – LOVES TO ROCK

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Race 1: 2YO Handicap 1400m

An open race for the babies to start the day and I wouldn’t be shocked if any of the 8 return to the winner’s stall. HINCHBEAST (1) will find this easier than what he has been facing. At his first prep he placed in some much tougher juvenile races, he was only fair when resuming but did have some excuses. Nash replaces Hughie.

Dangers:

All of them. MACLEAY (2) was a winner on debut at Kembla, he was slowly away and settled mid-field on the fence before getting wide and producing the best last 600m of the race to score. He also gets a significant jockey change with Berry taking over. ACHIEVER (3) is better than what he showed last start when beaten out of sight, he gets the reverse jockey change of the top pick with Hugh replacing Nash. He will need some luck off the inside gate. ACROPHOBIC (4) is a first starter for the John O’Shea yard who has been runner-up at three trials. Watch the betting with him for any confidence, JMac takes the ride.

Race 2: 4YO and Up BM70 Handicap 1600m

BIG BAD BRUCE (5) maps beautifully, hard to fault his form this time in as well as his consistency throughout his career. He was mid-field in the run at Canterbury last time before angling wide and producing the best last 600m of the race to narrowly miss. Look for him late.

Dangers:

REGAL STAGE (2) looked to have every chance in eth Bathurst feature last start (Fast Talking also comes through that race). He has been very consistent this time and has versatility, no doubt with Tim Clark legging up he will be positive early. FAST TALKING (3) was only beaten under half a length in the Country Champs final at Randwick two starts back, he was very plain last start but wasn’t suited the way the race was run. McEvoy goes on replacing Greg Ryan. KING TOMLOLA (1) resumes with a couple of gear changes, he has not won in well over a year but has trialed well.

Race 3: BM70 Handicap 1000m

HIBISCUS LADY (6) is an interesting runner for the Ron Quinton yard, she resumed here back in January and was unwanted in the betting, after settling back in the run was held-up and never really got a crack at them. She was sent straight to the paddock again and has trialed well, she should get a soft run off the inside back in the field. I would love to see some money for her.

Dangers:

AUSSIE (3) gets the blinkers going back on again, he was beautifully ridden to win at Gosford when resuming. He then went to Warwick Farma and was very plain after leading, expect him to improve up on the speed again. SAN MARCO (4) was very impressive on eth eye when resuming at Newcastle in an easier race, he was last before getting to the outside and storming over the top to win easily. He will be giving them a start again. INVINCIBLE LAD (5) gets the winkers back on, he has speed and should be fitter after two runs back following a long break of over a year.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 2110m

LOVES TO ROCK (4) won two in a row at Newcastle and Wyong, she then went to a harder race at Rosehill last time and was beaten a long way. She came wide on the track that day when it was like quicksand off the rails, she looks a big improver. She can settle closer also.

Dangers:

TAMPERING (6) is flying this time in, he has won three in a row dating back to his maiden in late March. He will go forward and his chances will rely on if he can get across to the rails first. POULTON DE SANDS (3) comes through the same race as the top pick, he was held-up but didn’t do a lot when finally clear. HE RUNS AWAY (5) would have traded short in the run last start after hitting the front and getting run down late.

Race 5: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1300m

FARETTI (4) is resuming off a 27-week break. He is only lightly raced and was a winner last prep when resuming. He has been gelded since we last saw him in work, has won a trial recently at home at Randwick and will race handy. I would like to see some money for him, when these resuming Gai/Bott runners get a little stinky in the betting, I don’t want to be on.

Dangers:

MADAM LEGEND (8) has won back-to-back races wince resuming, she is back in trip off a 7 furlong run last time and has trialed in between runs also. She should settle handy in the run. BATLEGROUND (2) was a heavy track winner two starts back at Kembla, he then went to the Hawkesbury Guineas and forget he went around that day. He copped severe interference early and was never a factor. ULYSSES (1) resumed with a good win at Newcastle almost three weeks ago, he was very solid in the betting and did it the tradie’s way sitting outside the leader.

Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1400m

PETRONIUS (8) is only lightly raced, the son of Redoute’s Choice has only missed a place once in 6 career starts. His only other second-up run was a maiden win, his run resuming was good here after sitting outside the leader. He stuck on well, just beaten in a three-way go. I think he will be good enough to sit parked and win.

Dangers:

JETSKI (6) will find this easier than two runs since resuming from a spell, she got home in some good sectionals from a mile back last time but never looked the winner. BIGBOYROY (3) is resuming off the inside gate, he has placed at all three of his previous fresh runs. He has enough tactical speed to kick through and lead but may be found wanting late. ZOUOLOGIST (7) is racing well this time in, he also has tactical speed but may be better suited taking a sit.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m

LILLEMOR (10) won her first two before leading all the way and fading before being sent to the paddock. She had trialed well prior to resuming here at Warwick Farm two weeks ago, she stuck on well after sitting three-wide no cover for most of the race. Boss takes over from Hugh Bowman.

Dangers:

SPECIAL SNAP (9) resumed in the same race as the top pick, she led and seemed to have every chance after running them along at even speed. JOY AND MIRTH (11) ran on hard to get closest late resuming on a heavy track, she then was again a mile back at Newcastle last time and stormed home to miss narrowly. FEATHER (4) has the wide draw to overcome, she will get back as she did when resuming. She produced the best overall sectional of the day at the trip that day and was a real eye-catcher. She doesn’t have a great second-up record though.

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