August 18, 2022
Featured Tips

Warrnambool (Wed)

Caulfield, Bendigo Cup, Cranbourne Cup 2021

Warrnambool Racing Tips – Wed May 1

We will be at Warrnambool this Wednesday.

Track: Soft 7. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 5 – THE CLOSER

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Race 1: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1700m

SCARFACE ROMEO (3) has been gelded since we last saw him at the racetrack, an ex-Weir runner that showed potential at his first three runs. This is his first go for the Maher/Eustace stable and has trialed ok. Tough ask to go straight to the 1700m fresh but if any stable can get one set for this carnival, this is it.

Dangers:

BOOGIE WOOGIE (1) has placed at five of his eleven starts, he has good tactical speed, expect him to be the one leading them into the straight. He should be hard to run down if the track is playing fair inside to out. LADY BETHANY (8) is an Ex-Kiwi, she has had one run here in Oz and was beaten a long way as favourite. She is obviously better than that as she was well supported. TONTEIN (4) is having his eighth run at just his second prep which is a little concerning but he will also go forward and be on the speed for a long way. Not sure if he comes here if he got the maiden win last time.



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Race 2: 3YO Maiden Plate Set Weights 1700m

HIGH DONE (3) has been to the races six times and placed at four of them, the latest was as good a n effort as any of them. He was second-up at Geelong, forced to sit very wide and after hitting the lead briefly, was run down late in a race that suited the swoopers. Drawn in the middle of the line here, he should be ridden positively and this looks easier.

Dangers:

IOWA HAWKEYE (4) didn’t quicken as well as others but hit the line well last time, he looks suited getting out to the 1700m. EL VINCITORE (2) is drawn awkwardly in one, that may be a no go zone the way we have seen this track play out over the years. He should appreciate the extra trip, he beat home Boogie Woogie last time who goes around in the first, that may tell you something. BUSTA MOVE (1) is consistent and should roll forward.



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Race 3: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1400m

HARBOUR VIEWS (7) is a 4YO gelding on debut for Beetroot Williams, when the locally trained horses are well backed like this one, especially one on debut, take notice. There was $11 bet early in the week!

Dangers:

BOWING (1) ran on hard at his debut and looks suited getting out in trip. THe draw is a concern but he is likely to get back anyway. BRILLIANT CONCEPT (2) has been gelded since last in work, he was runner-up at his two runs prior to going to the paddock. He is the stablemate to the well backed debutant so they may not want him in the way! CHAPARRAL BELLE (11) over-raced here at his debut a month ago, he had every chance but the form has stacked up well from that maiden with two horses winning since. Tough race. Do we trust the money?



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Race 4: BM120 Steeplechase 3450m

SOLAR COASTER (1) is a last start winner at Pakenham, the runner-up has since come out and won on the flat and this field looks no harder. He was given a look around here in a trial last week, expect him to be well backed.

Dangers:

JOHN MONASH (3) was very one-paced over the steeples last time, he is a winner here at the track previously. ASCOT RED (5) was good enough at Pakenham last time, gets over the high sticks here for the first time. What to make of MANNERTONE (2). He is an old marvel but he just simply doesn’t race well here. Including him in the minor place chances only.



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Race 5: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1400m

THE CLOSER (1) gets into this race well with the 59kg. She has been tackling much harder opposition than this, fresh off a 5-weelk break she should be mid-field and ready to pounce. Group racing back to a BM70 is a big class drop, she looks the best of the day.

Dangers:

TEE TRAIN (6) has the inside draw, we have already stated that may not be the best spot on a track that has known to deteriorate over the three days. He charged through the line resuming, gets out to the 7 furlongs with the blinkers on, he looks the only danger. THUNDERDOME (2) was good second-up last prep, that was only at maiden level though. He resumed at Ballarat three weeks ago and hit the line ok out wide and did appear in the steward’s report. FLORIDA DREAM (9) has only been fair at two runs out of maiden grade. This is easier than what he tackled before going to the paddock, he may want further though.



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Race 6: Galleywood Hurdle Set Weights and Penalties 3200m

Three chances and I give none of the others a hope of winning. GOODWOOD ZODIAC (6) could not have been more impressive at his jumps debut at Pakenham, he led by a huge margin soon after the start and that margin only increased the further he went. It looks a great race and if he takes up this bold front-running style again, he will be very hard to catch.

Dangers:

SELF SENSE (2) won the Mornington and Yarra Valley Cups earlier in the season on the flat, he was poor last time but this is what he is all about. He was even money favourite for the Grand National last year, the tactics will be interesting. BIG BLUE (7) looks the other winning chance, throw in OUR YANGTZE (5) for the first-four in what will be an intriguing contest.



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Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1000m

PARSIFAL (4) is from the Will Clarken stable, he ran on hard to win resuming in a BM70 across the border. The Clarken stable must be respected when coming here, he draws perfectly and should have the cold sit on the leaders.

Dangers:

EXPLICITLY (12) has been up a while but is still racing well. He is drawn wide but has good tactical speed, Pikey will be charging over early and being drawn wide will probably not be a disadvantage by this time in the carnival. RASPBERRY ROSE (9) is resuming, she has won 2/4 when fresh and draws well. Her preps have only been short throughout her career so she has obviously had issues, but she also has the ability. ALUF (3) is speedy and very consistent, he won two in a row earlier in the prep and has showed that he can sit wide on the speed.



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Race 8: Wangoom Handicap 1200m

What a race. It is as open as any race you will find all week in my opinion, JUNGLE EDGE (1) has been taking on the best of the best over the sprint journeys of late, we know he is a wet track champion and if there is any give in the ground, he has to run a place surely? He is drawn wide but will go forward anyway, see how the track is playing, if there is rain around Day 1 or early Day 2, expect him to be well backed.

Dangers:

INN KEEPER (7) will start at the top of the betting, he also has a great record in the wet. HE was here winning a BM78 last year in dominant fashion, he was super when resuming at Caulfield and has won 2/2 second-up. He is the clear danger. STEEL FROST (6) has the Clarken/Kah combo we tipped hard in the previous race, he was ok at Oakbank when not quite getting wide enough on the track. MR MARATHON  MAN (3) is an interesting runner having his Australian debut. HE was a winner at Listed level in France over further, obviously has ability and will improve on what he does here.



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Race 9: BM64 Handicap 1700m

SAINT PETER (9) has to step out of maiden grade for the first time, but his win at Ararat was one of a horse going places. He was held-up badly in behind the leaders before storming home when finally out, and went clear for a soft win. He showed a great turn-of-foot, saved for one run, he could be too quick.

Dangers:

ARTY LUCAS (8) is still yet to win out of maiden grade, he was ok through the line when resuming in a race that has produced two subsequent winners since. His only win was second-up as he is today but happy to risk him. OBSCURA (2) ran on hard at Bendigo, hit the front before being run down late. HE needs to be saved for one short sharp burst late. HOSTAR (5) has been close-up at both runs this prep, he worked home well last time in a race that has already produced four winners in the three weeks since.



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Race 10: BM70 Handicap 1400m

SUNDAY NIGHT TEA (2) has had six-weeks between runs, he has the wide draw but has good tactical speed and should be able to carve across early. They will probably scouting wide by this time, John Allen may just keep him in the middle of the track and hard to run down.

Dangers:

Most of them in what looks a really tough day leading into Day Three. CONNERY (9) is also drawn wide, he may have just run out of condition late last time after hitting the front. He is a winner third-up previously and will be hitting the line hard. CZECHOSLOVAKIA (10) looked to have every chance when close-up resuming last time, he hasn’t been a great fresh horse in his short career so that is a positive. CANNY MOVE (4) is drawn on the other side of the track down low, he has versatility and just needs the track to be playing fair.



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