January 25, 2021
Featured Tips

Big 6 – Sat Jan 23

Big 6 – January 23

We made a loss last week, finding 1 out of 6 with Over Exposure at 2.60 our winner.

Onto this week:

:one: Sandown R5 #2 QUANTUM MECHANIC
:two: Sandown R6 #1 MILTON PARK
:three: Sandown R7 #8 CAFFREY
:four: Randwick R6 #3 NEW ARRANGEMENT
:five: Randwick R10 #5 ALL TIME LEGEND
:six: Gawler R5 #7 VALENTINA STAR

SANDOWN

R5 #2 QUANTUM MECHANIC

Is three-weeks between runs, she was at Flemington against the boys last time and after getting back, was held-up until just before the clock tower, storming home when clear to narrowly miss. She comes back against the girls and sticks at the mile, she looks the best of the day.

Our man in Melbourne

R6 #1 MILTON PARK

Impressive winner first-up who looked to have more to give. Should roll forward from the barrier. Good chance on a competitive day.

(Champion Bets)

R7 #8 CAFFREY

Is yet to win this prep, he was very heavily backed three starts ago here at the track and was brave in defeat. Last time at Flemington he got a mile back and charged again, he should be settling a lot closer off the inside draw.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R6 #3 NEW ARRANGEMENT

Was a winner here at the track two starts back, although he was beaten in a similar field here last time, his run was full of merit. He was wide and without cover for the second half of the race, loomed up to the leaders in the straight and stuck on well to miss by a pimple. Jmac takes over, he will get it right.

Our man in Sydney

R10 #5 ALL TIME LEGEND

Exploded by them fresh-up running big closing figures led and kept running last time. He ran time again. Has won 1600m. Top pick again.

(Oz Racing Form)

GAWLER
R5 #7 VALENTINA STAR

Think this mare has come back terrific, firstly placing at huge odds first-up before rattling home in much tougher BM82 company when beaten just 1.1L second-up. Rise to 1100m here appears ideal whilst again gets in down in the weights despite dropping back in grade. Considering her previous third-up form reads 3:2-1-0 one would only expect she is seriously ready to peak. Simply impossible not to touch the current $11 on offer….clear best each-way value bet of the day!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – January 16

We made a profit with last week’s Big 6 as Tycoon Bec got up at the great price of $7.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R5 #3 OVER EXPOSURE
:two: Flemington R8 #5 RE EDIT
:three: Flemington R9 #4 TERBIUM
:four: Rosehill R2 #7 THE BOPPER
:five: Rosehill R7 #5 TERRACE HOUSE
:six: Gold Coast R6 #12 SWIFT WITNESS

FLEMINGTON

R5 #3 OVER EXPOSURE

Good return in inferior ground then should have beaten Vassilator for mine here, said winner then should have won Chester Manifold last week. Ideal draw. 1600m perfect now.

(Oz Racing Form)

R8 #5 RE EDIT

Has gone to a new level this prep, I really had her as a non-winner last time around when up north, she is flying since coming to Vic. She stormed home from a minute back at the Valley to win two starts back then was really good late against the girls here last time over the mile. Freshened up after a month off and out to the 2000m, looks a great each-way bet!

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #4 TERBIUM

Won brilliantly in Adelaide first-up, returning to best form. No luck at Caulfield when unsuited by inside barrier and never in clear air til too late. Should be suited down the straight with clear running throughout. Well graded with claim.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL

R2 #7 THE BOPPER

Resumes, he had plenty that wanted to pot him before going to the paddock but he showed he is the real deal. He won his first couple before leading and being run down fresh last campaign, he bounced back at Randwick at the latest. Love the booking of Rachel King, she should be positive early.

Our man in Sydney

R7 #5 TERRACE HOUSE

Sat up on the speed last start on the heavy at the Kenso track, he kept coming in the straight and just couldn’t reel in the winner producing the best last 200m of the race. Love the draw, Clark goes on as do the blinkers. He looks very hard to beat if he can land on the bunny.

Our man in Sydney

GOLD COAST
R6 #12 SWIFT WITNESS

Beaten five lengths by She’s All Class at Wyong, then came up to Queensland and won last weekend by three lengths with a bit in hand, returning a very strong rating. Drawn slightly awkwardly in 11 but have mapped to take up a nice spot. Gets Avdulla on board and on the quick back-up. In this up to her eyeballs.

(Champion Bets)



Big 6 – January 9

Last week’s Big 5 was a strip-out, terrible start to the new year.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R3 #4 WHITE HIBISCUS
:two: Flemington R7 #7 RIDING THE WAVE
:three: Flemington R8 #13 TYCOON BEC
:four: Randwick R6 #2 BIG PARADE
:five: Randwick R9 #8 STRAWB
:six: Murray Bridge R5 #4 SIZZLEFLY

FLEMINGTON

R3 #4 WHITE HIBISCUS

Good return at 1300m (race rated well) then quickly to 1600m Lakeside and just exploded with rider soft on her late. 3rd-horse there looks very promising also and she sailed by. Fast pace set-up fast time.

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #7 RIDING THE WAVE

Is flying winning two of the last three. Last start here up the straight, he led and was challenged close to the line but got the bob in when it mattered. It was a good margin to third, he steps up to the 7 furlongs here and should be leading for a long way. This is one of the distances here at Flemington where I do like to be on the leaders.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #13 TYCOON BEC

Is undefeated after two starts, she debuted at Kyneton and bolted in by almost 5 lengths after leading all the way. She stepped out of that grade for the first time at the Valley, sat parked and took over early I the straight for a tough victory. She jumps form 1500m – 1800m, I like the apprentice on taking the claim, he should be stamped urgent to find the top.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R6 #2 BIG PARADE

Looks the best of the day. He led and was run down in a hot form race at Kembla when resuming, three horses have come out of it and won since. He then came here second-up, sat outside the speed and after hitting the lead early in the straight, ran away to win by more than three lengths. Inside draw, positive rider, how do they run him down?

Our man in Sydney

R9 #8 STRAWB

Has placed at her last couple, she has been slowly away at both of them and made up very god ground late. (Editor’s note: Who doesn’t love a money-munching backmarker? go each-way and hope to finish the day with a whooshka!)

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE
R5 #4 SIZZLEFLY

More than handy Phillip Stokes mare that bumped into the smart Terbium when resuming. Despite being comfortably held thought her run was still more than satisfactory after covering ground throughout. Expect will have taken plenty of benefit for having had that run whilst the addition of Kayla Crowther will also be another big plus. Trial prior was also an indication she had returned as well as ever. Looks to be the days best bet at $2.30….clearly, whilst taking the quinella with Li’l Kontra ($5.50) appeals nearly as much given we see this as just a race in two.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – January 2

Last week’s Big 6 found 1 winner, Symphonette at 3.40, leaving us 2.6 units short of breakeven.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R4 #9 HOUSAY
:two: Caulfield R6 #1 ESTA LA ROCA
:three: Caulfield R8 #1 TERBIUM
:four: Caulfield R9 #14 AUSSIE NUGGET
:five: Gawler R8 #4 CASHIN’ CHEX

CAULFIELD

R4 #9 HOUSAY

Has had a 5-week break, deep into his first prep he has shown a stack of ability. He won his first two including a 7-length route of inferior opposition at maiden level. He had no luck at the Valley at his latest when held-up at crucial stage before driving hard late to narrowly miss. Willow stays on, he maps well wide with cover and should be finishing as good as any.

Our man in Melbourne

R6 #1 ESTA LA ROCA

2/2 since resuming, both at the Valley. She sat outside the speed when resuming, took over at the top of the straight and was strong through the line. Last time she led and never looked like getting run down after railing hard, the margins told the story, 2.25 x 2.75. Harder to lead all the way here though.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #1 TERBIUM

Won trial by 7L before brilliant return win thrashing smart Sizzlefly, the strong speed up front was not enough to stop him running days fastest last 600m. Might be back to best!

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #14 AUSSIE NUGGET

Was second-up last time here at HQ, he got back in the run and made steady ground back towards the inside in the run home. He looked a little flat and does have a much better record when third-up, last prep this pattern he stormed home to win a 78 comfortably.

Our man in Melbourne

GAWLER

R8 #4 CASHIN’ CHEX

Reckon this bloke is now screaming out for this longer trip. Also every confidence his form is much better than reads on paper including last start against much tougher company when worked home well late to be beaten less than 2L. Must be said bumps into a pretty substandard BM64 here with Monteferrante ($4.20) presenting as the only real genuine danger. With our belief being the favourite will be only further improved with this run under her belt that adds further confidence that our selection should be horribly hard to hold out not to mention the ridiculous $8.50 on offer early. Impossible not to declare this bloke as our best bet of the day considering we have him rated closer to $3!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – December 26

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 5 and Written Miss won at $2.60 leaving us 2.4 units short of breakeven.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R6 #14 THAT GIRL
:two: Caulfield R8 #7 TAVIDANCE
:three: Caulfield R9 #5 ZACHAZ
:four: Randwick R3 #5 ZING
:five: Randwick R6 #5 LAURE ME IN
:six: Morphettville R6 #7 SYMPHONETTE

CAULFIELD

R6 #14 THAT GIRL

Way back fresh at 100m then flew home behind Defiant Dancer in fast time. Winner won again but she had days fastest last 600m. Does not have to go way back at 1100m from inside draw today. Top pick.

(Oz Racing Form)

R8 #7 TAVIDANCE

Progressive type who went out for a spell last prep untapped. Had no luck in first two runs back from a spell, then walked in last start 3rd up. Looks still on the up.

(Champion Bets)

R9 #5 ZACHAZ

Going for three straight wins, he stepped up from the mile to this trip last start at Pakenham and ran on hard after being well backed. He got very wide and ran away from them late, he can take the next step into this from the good draw.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R3 #5 ZING

Second-up for Waller, followers of this site know that I am a big fan of that pattern. She resumed at Warwick Farm 17 days ago, was mid-field in the run and hit the line well back nearer the rail. She stormed home to win her maiden when second-up last campaign and should be suited here on the bigger track.

Our man in Sydney

R6 #5 LAURE ME IN

He won two of his first three this campaign, he then went to the Listed ATC Cup last time a month ago and was super in defeat. He met a similar field, got a mile out of his ground whilst the winner got away with a favourable tempo out in front. He ran on hard into second, the speed looks to be more suitable here.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R6 #7 SYMPHONETTE

Phillip Stokes trained a five-year-old mare that has always indicated above-average ability. Despite still being eligible for much easier races it wasn’t entirely a surprise to still see Stable having a throw at the stumps against what was a pretty decent Listed line-up when resuming first-up. Finished fifth beaten just 2.8L however what made the effort even more meritorious was the fact she raced no closer than three wide without cover throughout, yet still kept kicking gamely to the line. Has won twice previously second-up and now plummets back to this just moderate BM72 affair as well as receiving weight from most of her main rivals. Tongue-tie also now on for the first time whilst the icing on the cake is the opening $4.20…..best bet and totally loading up at that price!!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – December 19

After a couple of strong weeks, we copped a reality check last Saturday with 3x 2nd’s the best we could muster.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R2 #3 WRITTEN MISS
:two: Flemington R7 #1 EXCESS FUNDS
:three: Flemington R8 #10 TITAN BLINDERS
:four: Randwick R4 #8 ACCOUNTABILITY
:five: Randwick R8 #10 HILO
:six: Gawler R5 #1 PICARGO

FLEMINGTON

R2 #3 WRITTEN MISS

Neat maiden win in time +8L Vs maiden average then led/ won Pakenham on tough day for leaders and again race rated well (last 600m/ overall) Vs class average. Now for 1200m, and first go straight but hard to tip against.

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #1 EXCESS FUNDS

Has the inside gate so you will need to see how the inner part of the track is playing, especially from the earlier straight race. He has won here previously, that last start win at Ballarat was very impressive. The margin was only small but it was a tough win up on the speed, he probably takes a sit here.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #10 TITAN BLINDERS

Never runs a bad race, he does everything right from when the gates open and makes his own luck up on the speed. Last start at Ballarat, he showed great speed to lead, kicked clear early in the straight and although he was tiring late, he never looked like getting run down. Drawn well, he should be winning.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R4 #8 ACCOUNTABILITY

Won back-to-back races earlier this prep, last time across town at Rosehill he stormed home from a mid-field position to just miss. He meets a similar field and draws well, I think the tempo won’t be as strong and he will be able to use his turn-of-foot to his advantage.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #10 HILO

Has had five weeks between runs, he was last seen at Newcastle on their big day where he did look a little plain. He was a good heavy track winner here at the track prior to that, he was given a very quiet trial recently. The blinkers come off and the map looks beautiful, he should have the cold sit.

Our man in Sydney

GAWLER

R5 #1 PICARGO

Consistent Ryan Balfour trained gelding that has returned as well as ever, featuring in the quinella in all three runs this campaign. First-up win when gave promising galloper, Lorne, a clear start and a beating was most impressive before far from disgraced in subsequent runner-up defeats. Actually returns to a track one could say he has produced some of his best efforts which includes a most unlucky runner-up behind the once highly touted Just Zerene. Maps to do no work sitting just off pace from the good draw and given just even luck expect this bloke to be simply too classy for his just moderate BM58 opponents. Has opened $3.50 which in our opinion reads as big overs considering we have him priced around $2.25…..best bet! Only query is Grafted ($4.60) having first start for Clarken Stable-monitor betting!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – December 12

Last week we made it 2 winning week’s in a row, with 3 winners – Edison ($2.90), The Astrologist ($2.50) and Written Miss ($2.30).

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R4 #5 TRALEE ROSE
:two: Flemington R5 #1 PREZADO
:three: Flemington R7 #1 BANDERSNATCH
:four: Randwick R6 #1 TAILLEUR
:five: Randwick R9 #16 NEW ARRANGEMENT
:six: Morphettville R5 #3 SAORSA (each-way)

FLEMINGTON

R4 #5 TRALEE ROSE

Unbeaten this prep. Comes through fast run race last run which should bring her on nicely for this trip.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #1 PREZADO

Grows a leg when he goes up the straight, he is a 5-time winner here at HQ and almost beat Nature Strip at his peak here a couple of seasons ago. I was surprised there was money for him last start at the Valley, back here at his favourite track I expect him to be stalking and exploding late.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #1 BANDERSNATCH

Looks one of the better bets on the card. He resumed at the Valley off a 20-week break, after over-racing early he settled well back in the run. He improved wide on the turn and really let own well once he balanced up to get up in the last stride. Up in trip looks perfect and I accept him to be in front early. Which horse is going to run him down?

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R6 #1 TAILLEUR

Resumes. Quiet ride in trial and she hit line ok. Looked smart in four wins from five and probably best run in the race in her miss! She kept striking slowly run races and producing big last 600m figures. The exception was her only go dry (maiden on debut) and she walked in, in fast time.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #16 NEW ARRANGEMENT

Gets in well at the weights, he ran on well fresh in Qld, he then came back to Sydney in an easier race across town. He was wide without cover and was checked off heels mid-race, came wide and was as good as any through the line to just miss a place. Up to the mile and fully fit, should be hard to beat.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R5 #3 SAORSA (each-way)

Comes off a desperately unlucky 1L fifth in much tougher BM82 company behind both Li’l Kontra and Port Vale (both subsequently run very well!). Previous to that also ran well, again placing against BM82 company behind Star Hills and Port Vale. With the likes of Exalted Maxine, Ruby’s Reward and Damascus Moment all likely to be putting plenty of pressure into the race up front expect that to set it up perfectly for our bloke to charge home over the top of these in this easier BM72 affair. Each way special at the most attractive $7.50 on offer.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – December 5

Last week was our best for a while making over 10 units profit by finding 2 good winners – Ocean Beyond ($13) and Ocean’s Thirteen ($3.70).

Onto this week:

:one: Pakenham R1 #6 WRITTEN MISS
:two: Pakenham R2 #8 METEORITE
:three: Pakenham R8 #5 THE ASTROLOGIST
:four: Rosehill R5 #5 EDISON
:five: Rosehill R6 #6 GONE BYE
:six: Morphettville R1 #6 VIDUKA

PAKENHAM

R1 #6 WRITTEN MISS

Ran quick overall time on debut, running around 8 lengths quicker than the class par.

(Champion Bets)

R2 #8 METEORITE

Led all the way and bolted in when resuming on the heavy track, he was good up the straight over the carnival then led and was run down late at the Valley last time. Hard to beat if he lands on the bunny again.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #5 THE ASTROLOGIST

Never runs a bad race, he won a much easier race at Geelong resuming and has placed at two since. Last time at Ballarat in the rich Magic Millions Classic, he got a mile out of his ground before flashing home late to just miss. He gets a couple of gear changes and Willow back on, expect him to settle closer.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL

R5 #5 EDISON

Crossed/ Led but given little peace on strong speed 2nd-up Newcastle yet still kicked and held off all-bar Through The Cracks (since run very well in LR). 6th was Two Big Fari and 8th Royal Celebration (both great last week too). Takes catching here I fancy!

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #6 GONE BYE

May have been favours the way the track was playing when leading throughout at Canterbury last start, but you know he will be making his own luck again up on the speed. If he crosses to the rail and leads, bet again in the run.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R1 #6 VIDUKA

Ryan Balfour galloper is admittedly becoming extremely costly however must be said surely looks to have finally found his ideal race. Just hasn’t been finding the line like he is capable of, having clearly been burdened under his big weights when asked to concede all of his rivals weight of late. Drops down to 57kg here getting weight off all bar one of his opponents here whilst maps to get every chance mapping to get in just off leaders. This is obviously ‘D’ Day however pretty confident he will get the job done and the opening $3.20 presents as terrific overs…..rates $2.50 in our book!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – November 28

Last week was another disappointing one for the Big 6 going 0/6, making it 1 from-18 this month, very poor by any standards unless you are laying them 🙂 Lift!

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R3 #1 OCEAN’S THIRTEEN
:two: Moonee Valley R5 #8 OCEAN BEYOND
:three: Moonee Valley R8 #11 SEEMINGLY DISCREET
:four: Rosehill R2 #2 ALMANIA
:five: Rosehill R8 #4 SNITZ
:six: Morphettville R2 #5 HASTA LA FIORENTE

MOONEE VALLEY

R3 #1 OCEAN’S THIRTEEN

Going well, maps to get good run, big drop in class here.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #8 OCEAN BEYOND

Looks well above average, he was well backed at his debut run at Geelong three weeks ago. He settled up outside the speed, took over at the top of the straight, and was strong through the line. The form looks good out of that race with the third horse coming out and bolting in at Sandown on Wednesday.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #11 SEEMINGLY DISCREET

Was beaten a long way at Morphettville two starts back, she then came out at Cranbourne last time and was very heavily backed. She sat outside the speed and did it the hard way, took over at the furlong and ran away. Love the draw, Nolen sticks.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL

R2 #2 ALMANIA

Looks to have come back well, the former import has only had one start in Australia, which was south of the border at Flemington during Cup week. He was solid in the market off a 9-week break, after getting back in the run, he stormed home between runners to miss by the barest possible. He looks to have plenty of upside.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #4 SNITZ

Resumes. Chased Single Bullet in trial and strong to wire under no riding, gaps behind. Good work. Gave handy mare Jen Rules 6.5kg and thrashed her fresh last prep, third was Outrageous. Ran Classique Legend to .7L in June Stks too.

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETTVILLE

R2 #5 HASTA LA FIORENTE

Impossible not to follow up and back this bloke again after he was so good to us when saluting at double-figure odds last start. However in saying that and forgetting that slight bias we may have formlines again indicate he has undeniable claims at a price we deem as clear value ($6.50). With most of his rivals having big queries over this longer trip this Fiorente gelding has yet to miss the money in his previous four starts over the 2500m trip. Add to that we expect this bloke to be out in front as they go for home we again think most of those chasing will be already out on their feet. Only problem is he can over-race, if he is on his best manners actually don’t mind declaring him the day’s best bet at the current $6.50.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – November 21

Last week’s Big 6 was a poor effort, just 2x 2nd’s and a stripout of 6 units.

Onto this week:

:one: Ballarat R3 #1 SHELBY COBRA
:two: Ballarat R8 #4 JUNIPAL
:three: Ballarat R9 #3 THE ASTROLOGIST
:four: Kembla Grange R4 #7 DESTINATION
:five: Kembla Grange R7 #4 ROCK
:six: Kembla Grange R8 #1 BERDIBEK

BALLARAT

R3 #1 SHELBY COBRA

Beat good field at Flemington and ran time/ sectionals (+10L +5.7L) to back up what you saw. He had subsequent G2 Sandown Guineas winner 5L behind him that day. It was just start three. Can win again.

(Oz Racing Form)

R8 #4 JUNIPAL

On top in the Cup, he has won 3 of his last 4, the only defeat was in the G1 Toorak when he was beaten as favourite. His last start was at Sandown in G3 Sandown Stakes, he was heavily backed and got the gun ride, was strong through the line to score easily.

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #3 THE ASTROLOGIST

In terrific form this prep since changing hands. Looks well suited here.

(Champion Bets)

KEMBLA GRANGE

R4 #7 DESTINATION

Is a perfect 2/2 here at the track, his runs have been spaced at the back-end of this campaign with a month between runs. Last start at Randwick, he was favourite at Listed level and after getting a gun trail behind the speed, was held up but entitled to get closer when out. This looks no harder, Hughie goes on.

Our man in Sydney

R7 #4 ROCK

Went South for the Cantala last start, he ran on hard back near the inside and was only beaten under a length. He was brilliant from the back in the Epsom prior to that, the big field should ensure a genuine tempo here. Berry just needs to get cover early.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #1 BERDIBEK

Looks one of the best of the day, he had been on the sidelines for the best part of the year and was probably targeting the greys race on return. He was well backed, stormed home late to get up on the line narrowly. He gets the soft run and will finish as good as any.

Our man in Sydney



Big 6 – November 14

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 5 and found 1 winner – Arcadia Queen (2.60) which left us 2.4 units short of breakeven. Frustrating set of tips with 3 2nd’s and a 3rd rounding out the results.

Onto this week:

:one: Sandown R2 #1 LA MEXICANA
:two: Sandown R5 #6 KENYA
:three: Sandown R9 #10 WEST WIND
:four: Newcastle R3 #7 VADIYANN
:five: Newcastle R6 #9 PERFECT RADIANCE
:six: Morphettville R8 #1 SERIOUS SPENDER

SANDOWN

R2 #1 LA MEXICANA

Worked early on strong (+4L Vs class) tempo and took over turning then loved the fight late. She had key rival Highly Discreet safely held back in third there, that girl went to FLEM and ran smart Written Beauty to 1L.

(Oz Racing Form)

R5 #6 KENYA

Set solid pace 1st up from spell at MORN before being throttled right down late. Overall time was good and looks to be able to handle a solid pace.

(Champion Bets)

R9 #10 WEST WIND

Is absolutely flying at the moment and just can’t run a bad race, while progressing through the grades. He just keeps stringing wins together and down in the weights today, this horse could give you a huge sight out in front.

Our man in Melbourne

NEWCASTLE

R3 #7 VADIYANN

Easily the most interesting runner of the day. The Waterhouse/Bott gelding is a former import that had one start after a year off, was an impressive winner and sent straight to the paddock. He resumes here after the bets part of a year of again, has obviously had issues but may just be classes above this lot?

Our man in Sydney

R6 #9 PERFECT RADIANCE

Has won two races, both here at her home track. She won a Class 1 resuming, then went to town and produced some good sectionals late when narrowly beaten as favourite. Love the draw, Avdulla sticks and we know Lees would love to win this one!

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R8 #1 SERIOUS SPENDER

MacDonald/Gluyas trained five year old mare that appears to have finally find her ideal race. Ready to peak now 5th-up stepping up to her ideal trip whilst simply won’t know herself in this ‘egg and spoon’ BM58 affair, plummeting from recent Listed runs. Also noting only two previous runs this track/distance has finished in the quinella on each occasion including a devasting 4.5L win in harder BM68 company before then runner-up in BM78 grade. Absolutely love the fact Stable have elected to claim with Jess Eaton now jumping aboard. Simply looks to have a bit on these yet we are getting $2.80…..betting up!!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – November 7

Last week’s Big 6 found 1 winner – Gytrash (3.70) which left us 2.3 units short of breakeven.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R5 #2 PONDUS
:two: Flemington R6 #2 NATURE STRIP
:three: Flemington R8 #9 ARCADIA QUEEN
:four: Rosehill R8 #11 PROMOTIONS
:five: Rosehill R9 #3 INTREPEDACIOUS
:six: Morphettville R5 #1 VIDUKA

FLEMINGTON

R5 #2 PONDUS

Was having his first Australian start in the Bendigo Cup, he was very heavily backed late to start favourite. He was checked mid-race and settled further back than they would have wanted, he improved and got very wide on the turn before running on hard to miss by a whisker. Huge run, Olly on today, looks a good thing.

Our man in Melbourne

R6 #2 NATURE STRIP

Enigmatic horse, won this race last year but has not come up in three runs this prep. That being said, he has been torched in front all three runs in lightning fast paces. He’s 4 from 5 down the straight and there is very real prospect of a more fair pace here, like Slim Shady will the real Nature Strip please stand up? – Cameron O”Brien.

(Champion Bets)

R8 #9 ARCADIA QUEEN

Looks a great bet and I expect that the big players will find her late. She was so impressive beating Russian Camelot in the Caulfield Classic, she then went to the Cox Plate and was near the top of the market. She was floored mid-race and almost fell, worked to the line well enough but no doubt the interference cost her a chance of winning. She is a star!

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL

R8 #11 PROMOTIONS

Had task fresh. Month off into latest but positive ride and solid second splitting Enchanted Heart (won well last week) and 3rd was 1.3L away, he then won well Randwick Tuesday beating the handy Gone By.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #3 INTREPEDACIOUS

Looks one of the better bets on the programme. She resumed at Warwick Farm a month ago, she showed speed but was attacked from the outside, eventually kicking through to lead. She kicked clear early in the straight and ran away to bolt in, the fifth horse across the line came out and Won the Jungle Juice Cup since.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R5 #1 VIDUKA

Beaten favourite last start (against tougher company) however punters should be totally putting a line through his last start run given he was never on the track. Previous efforts this campaign outstanding including giving the highly promising Instant Celebrity a huge shock before being grabbed right on the line. Appears absolutely thrown in here racing against just Class 2 company. Actually think the opening $2.30 is big overs as we believe he should be well into the red….best bet!!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – October 31

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 4 and we came up just over a unit short with 1 winner – La Mexicana (2.60).

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R4 #10 SCHABAU
:two: Flemington R5 #12 ODEUM
:three: Flemington R7 #5 YOUNG WERTHER
:four: Flemington R9 #3 DIAMOND EFFORT
:five: Rosehill R7 #1 GYTRASH
:six: Morphettville R6 #2 WHYKAYOH

FLEMINGTON

R4 #10 SCHABAU

Obviously had some issues, he won his first three races in Australia, all here at Flemington, before going to the paddock for more than a year. He has not won since resuming but clearly loves it here, last start in the Bart Cummings he was working to the line well. That form has been franked with Steel Prince (3rd) coming out and winning the Geelong Cup during the week.

Our man in Melbourne

R5 #12 ODEUM

3YO filly that comes off a win in the Thousand Guineas – always a great formline for this.

(Champion Bets)

R7 #5 YOUNG WERTHER

Was scratched at his latest start, he debuted at Geelong and was too classy over the 1500m. He then came here for the Super Impose a month ago, was held-up at the top of the straight, hung in on the run home and flashed to just miss. There have been two winners come through that race and O’Brien has spoken openly about the confidence in him running the trip.

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #3 DIAMOND EFFORT

No luck key stage in Moir (Trekking 2nd) then piped by Dirty Work in Schillaci at WFA. He then ran super in a Manikato. Back to her own sex here and she won easily her one straight run.

(Oz Racing Form)

ROSEHILL

R7 #1 GYTRASH

Seems an awfully good price here, he belted them when winning the Concorde then hit the line hard in the Everest from am mile back coming off the cracking tempo. He carries the same weight as WFA in this, will take a gem of a ride, but all things being equal, the $3 looks a treat.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R6 #2 WHYKAYOH

Super honest McEvoy trained four year old gelding that comes off a terrific 1.7L fourth behind the promising Scottish Dancer. That was despite just finding the mile a fraction long in what was obviously a much stronger race than what he meets here. Had also had excuses prior to that in all previous runs this campaign, firstly not being suited in two Heavy start runs whilst run three starts back covered ground throughout. Drop back to 1200m the only query however more than happy to find out given he has opened what appears to be a most generous $6 with Vorster jumping aboard….actually loading up each-way!!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – October 24

Last week’s Big 6 was a profitable one with 2 winners – It’s Me ($2.15) and Verry Elleegant ($5.40) in the Caulfield Cup. Let’s get ’em on Cox Plate Day…

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R4 #2 ECUMENICAL
:two: Moonee Valley R6 #6 YOUNG WERTHER
:three: Moonee Valley R9 #11 RUSSIAN CAMELOT
:four: Moonee Valley R10 #8 LA MEXICANA
:five: Randwick R8 #6 PANDEMIC
:six: Morphettville R9 #3 VIDUKA

MOONEE VALLEY

R4 #2 ECUMENICAL

Just fair fresh but jumped to 1400m 2nd-up, was 4-5 wide and stuck on very well then was posted 4-deep in G1 Guineas and again, she was still there swinging at the 200m. Easily beat Ranting on Soft one day. Draw awkward again but top pick!

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #6 YOUNG WERTHER

Was brilliant winning at double figure odds on debut, he jumped straight out to the 1800m at Listed level in the Super Impose last time. He was mid-field in the run before being held-up, he balanced up just before the clocktower and stormed home to just miss. The race has proven a good form guide, is he a star in the making?

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #11 RUSSIAN CAMELOT

The outside barrier just means we are going to be getting a better price about the best of the day, RUSSIAN CAMELOT (11). The Danny O’Brien trained son of Camelot was put n the map with his SA Derby win last prep, he has since run a belter fresh, brained them in the Underwood at WFA then made a long run to go down bravely in the Caulfield Stakes. I expect him to bounce back here.

Our man in Melbourne

R10 #8 LA MEXICANA

Has won two of three in her career, last time at Cranbourne she sat up outside the speed and brained them by more than 4 lengths. That style of racing looks suited to the Valley, drawn out with the in-form Jamie Kah riding, hopefully she is positive and forces the tempo sitting parked.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R8 #6 PANDEMIC

Has the wide draw to deal with but there is a good run to the first turn here from the 6 furlong start. He resumed at Warwick Farm and got a mile back, he ran on hard when it was favourable to be on the speed and ran the best overall sectionals of the race. He is a winner second-up previously and expect him to be hitting the line best.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R9 #3 VIDUKA

Lightly raced David Balfour trained five year old gelding that is capable of producing big figures. Comes into this off a six week freshen-up when gave the highly promising Instant Celebrity a huge scare when grabbed right on the line. That followed a terrific first-up effort when made up a ton of ground late when returning from lengthy 68 week lay-off. Prefer this bloke ridden more quiet early which appears the likely scenario here with a stack of pace engaged up front. Given even luck think this bloke is simply good for these and we are getting $2.80 for our money….betting up!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – October 17

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 4 after scratchings. We had a winning day with Swats That (2.80) and Windstorm (1.80) putting us half a unit in front.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R6 #3 FITUESE
:two: Caulfield R8 #9 WINDSTORM
:three: Caulfield R9 #7 VERRY ELLEEGANT
:four: Randwick R5 #14 IT’S ME
:five: Randwick R6 #1 DEPRIVE
:six: Morphettville R6 #8 COLLECTABLE

CAULFIELD

R6 #3 FITUESE

Terrific win first-up, handles all conditions and Williams goes on.

(Champion Bets)

R8 #9 WINDSTORM

Looks a put-in take-out job here. The WA Star has won back-to-back races here at the track, he gave them a big start on both occasions and ran over the top. Last time at Listed level, he was backed as if there was no settling, running up to hit the lead inside the furlong and was strong through the line.

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #7 VERRY ELLEEGANT

She won the Winx Stakes resuming then looked a little disappointing in the George Main second-up but the times told a different story. She was slowly away in the Turnbull, got very wide and kept coming through the line to win narrowly. She just kept finding, the last time she was at a mile-and-a-half she bolted in.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R5 #14 IT’S ME

Is the best of the day. Load up. I expect her to be very well backed also. She is undefeated after three starts, she brained them here at her first Highway run, then backed it up last time showing she is a star of the future. She has a huge motor, will get back and run on hard again. She will still be undefeated after four runs!

Our man in Sydney

R6 #1 DEPRIVE

Below best last prep but had excuses. Very good return running 33.84 last 600m in super-fast race trifectad by first three faves in an Everest. Won this last year and it was a better field than this!

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETVILLE

R6 #8 COLLECTABLE

Think we have found a cracking investment here with this Robbie Griffiths trained visitor profiling enormously against these. If one puts a line through only two disappointing efforts which both came when stepped up in trip which clearly she didn’t get, her form around that reads super honest against much tougher company than what she meets here. Only previously run here at the track was against Group One company hence obviously totally overlooking that effort and considering she has been previously tried three times against Black-type company it must be said this mare appears absolutely thrown in against this very moderate BM58 affair. Drawn ideally to do no work whilst gains the services of Todd Pannell. Most interestingly is the fact this is Stables only representative here at Morphettville. Absolutely astounded she has opened $5.50 here hence recommend opening up the purse strings and betting up!!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – October 10

Last week’s Big 6 found a rather nasty 4 2nd’s and a 3rd. Let’s bounce back today.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R2 #3 SWATS THAT
:two: Caulfield R3 #6 WINDSTORM
:three: Caulfield R7 #3 INSTANT CELEBRITY
:four: Randwick R6 #8 HOW WOMANTIC (each-way)
:five: Randwick R7 #3 LOVE TAP
:six: Morphettville R2 #4 LAKHANI ROSE

CAULFIELD

R2 #3 SWATS THAT

Looked a little flat first-up before hitting the line well, she then went to the Valley last time and brained her opposition in a race no easier than this. She sat off the track without cover, took over before straightening and was strong through the line off a tough run. How do they beat her off that?

Our man in Melbourne

R3 #6 WINDSTORM

Big finish fresh then jumped to 1400m 2nd-up but swamped late. Peaked latest and win was better than it looked given modest tempo (50.19 1st-800m). He produced +10.6L last 600m then ran fastest last 200m of the day.

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #3 INSTANT CELEBRITY

Undefeated after four starts, she was solid at the top of betting in the Prelude to this a fortnight ago and won with a leg in the air. She got back in the run, improved very wide on the turn and was strong through the line, Willow sticks with the ride. We are getting a better price today for some reason?

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R6 #8 HOW WOMANTIC (each-way)

Looks an enormous price in this, he has the good draw and the other speed horses in the race are drawn wider. She was brilliant winning fresh, she then sat up on the speed and hit the front before getting nabbed late last time at Caulfield after working. I really hope they lead and take them on here, I think she will be very hard to get past.

Our man in Sydney

R7 #3 LOVE TAP

Is undefeated after four starts, the connections have turned down an offer to sell so let’s hope for them (and for us) that was the right decision and he still has the picket fence after this. The big grey has gone through the grades nicely, he led all the way in the Gloaming after being left alone, never looked like getting run down. Bet again in the run if he does land on the bunny cheaply.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R2 #4 LAKHANI ROSE

Have a huge opinion of this David Jolly trained mare, so much so that it certainly wouldn’t surprise to see her venturing across the border, and being extremely competitive in much stronger Black-type races later in the Spring. Returned with a bang, scoring a huge win fresh, when displayed her usual big sprint, producing final splits that only quality gallopers are capable of. Gets her preferred rider back aboard with Kayla Crowther returning to the saddle whilst step up to 1200m is also a further big positive. Not only that gets in now with no weight dropping a massive 5kg whilst the icing on the cake is the opening $3.50 which makes her the days best bet! Ef Troop ($6.50) the expected big improver.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 – October 3

Last week’s Big 6 found 2 winners with Instant Celebrity ($3) and Love Tap ($1.75) leaving us just over a unit short of breakeven for the week.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R4 #4 TOFANE
:two: Flemington R9 #14 YOUNG WERTHER
:three: Randwick R4 #1 FIERCE IMPACT
:four: Randwick R5 #2 HUNGRY HEART
:five: Randwick R8 #2 MUGATOO
:six: Morphettville R1 #5 WINGS OF PASTRAMI

FLEMINGTON

R4 #4 TOFANE

Neat jumpout before good return with her 58kg Vs boys but fancy she peaked late (race-fastest 400-to-200m then 5th-fastest home). She flies 2nd-up and now has nice relative weights swing on all those around her from that Bobbie Lewis.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #14 YOUNG WERTHER

Looks one of the bets of the day. He was on debut at Gelelong three weeks ago at maiden level, after only being fairly away he was mid-field in the run before running on hard to score. He layed in up the straight and looks to still have plenty to learn, but winning at start one over 1500m like he did, shows the talent. He only needs even luck and I would expect he will be winning this, and a lot more over the next 18 months.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R4 #1 FIERCE IMPACT

Is a star that doesn’t get the accolades he deserves. He had three weeks off going to Flemington for the Makybe Diva, he settled just off the speed and ran on well back closer to the inside to score. He has trialed well between runs, just love the map and the small field suits.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #2 HUNGRY HEART

The step up to the mile looks the key factor for HUNGRY HEART to turn the tables here. She has been runner-up to Dame Giselle at both runs this time in, last start she was held in the pocket before running on hard late. She did have her chance to run down the star mare, the extra furlong looks ideal. With Dame Giselle every chance to be hemmed up on the rail, JMac can dictate when he takes off on her.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #2 MUGATOO

Is undefeated this prep, a Listed win at Rosehill, the Premiers Cup at G3 level and then the hometown win in the Newcastle Cup last start. He settles beautifully in the run, I love the way he finds a length when asked. Expect him to settle mid-field and be too quick.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R1 #5 WINGS OF PASTRAMI

Well above average mare that wasn’t disgraced when beaten 2L over unsuitable 1100m trip when resuming. Beaten a pimple second-up last campaign despite never being on the track against Listed company! Subsequently was also extremely competitive against Black-type company last campaign. Rises to much preferred 1400m whilst expect settles a lot closer from ideal rails draw, especially with the blinkers going on for the first time. Admittedly bumps into a real in-form type in the way of Aqueduct ($1.80) however this is by far the toughest race the favourite has contested whilst our selection is more than proven against tougher company. Think she rates an outstanding investment at opening $4.80.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 –  September 26

Last week’s Big 5 found 1 winner with Behemoth ($4.20) leaving us just short of breakeven for the week.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R6 #10 CAMBOURNE
:two: Caulfield R7 #4 INSTANT CELEBRITY
:three: Caulfield R9 #8 NONCONFORMIST
:four: Rosehill R4 #3 LOVE TAP
:five: Rosehill R7 #1 ROTHFIRE
:six: Morphettville R5 #7 STREETCAR STRANGER

CAULFIELD

R6 #10 CAMBOURNE

Goes on top with his undefeated record, he won on debut at Donald after sitting back in the run and surging late. He then went to Bendigo and really accelerated hard to win easily. He has stepped up to the plate on both occasions, this is harder again but I love the way he found another level when he hit the go button.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #4 INSTANT CELEBRITY

Loved debut win (wet) then went to 1400m start two and flew home to score. Two months off into latest, took on older horses, sat back off modest tempo then produced 33.6 last 600m (days fastest/ +9l Vs class ave) and 11.26 last 200m (both splits days fastest – the latter some 2L quicker than anything else all day). Measures up!

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #8 NONCONFORMIST

Super effort first-up when back from the barrier. Up in trip here and should roll forward. In right distance range.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL

R4 #3 LOVE TAP

Undefeated after three starts, he resumed at Goulburn and bolted in by more than 4 lengths, he then had a month between runs, again at Goulburn. He was slowly away but pushed up behind the leaders, was bolting coming to the turn before putting them away in a couple of strides. He has untapped potential, expect he could be a star of the Spring.

Our man in Sydney

R7 #1 ROTHFIRE

Hard to tip against ROTHFIRE (1) from what we saw him do here a fortnight ago in the lead-up. He was the Qld superstar that was all the talk north of the border, he was each-way odds in the Run To The Rose and after a gun ride behind the hot speed, ran on hard and never looked like being anything other than the winner. He doesn’t get the same set-up here but his turn-of-foot should put him in the winning position late.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R5 #7 STREETCAR STRANGER

Must admit attempted to look from all angles to find an excuse to oppose this bloke however at the end of the day keep coming back to him….with even further confidence. Comes off a super impressive 2.5L win over Viduka with those formlines obviously since stacking up huge for this with Viduka subsequently beaten a pimple by South Australia’s next big thing in Instant Celebrity. Also not forgetting previously this bloke finished runner-up in the Listed Lightning, behind the also highly promising Parlophone. Certain to find this easier yet still plummets in the weights surely makes him close to a good thing with the opening $3.10 the absolute icing on the cake.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 –  September 19

Last week’s Big 5 was a strip out reversing our 5-unit gain the week before. In 2 weeks, the punt giveth and the punt taketh.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R4 #7 FRONT PAGE
:two: Caulfield R6 #4 MOZZIE MONSTER
:three: Caulfield R8 #1 BEHEMOTH
:four: Randwick R6 #6 VERRY ELLEEGANT
:five: Randwick R7 #5 EDUARDO
:six: Morphettville R9 #9 VIDUKA

CAULFIELD

R4 #7 FRONT PAGE

Promising type that looks untapped. Gets in under the minimum with the claim.

(Champion Bets)

R6 #4 MOZZIE MONSTER

Looks the real deal! She was beautifully behind the speed to win on debut, she then stepped up to a 64 against the girls at Bendigo. She got further back in the run before taking over at the furlong and running away to win by almost 4 lengths. This is harder again, she looks up to it.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #1 BEHEMOTH

Resumed at home across the border in the Listed Spring Stakes, he was slowly away but way too good for that lot. He then came here to Caulfield and after a gun run, was strong through the line to win easily again. The map looks favourable, Willow sticks on, anything better than each-way odds just looks a great bet.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R6 #6 VERRY ELLEEGANT

Fabulous return win from back off hot speed and making long, wide run. That was her first ever 1st-up win. She is always better 2nd-up and better at 1600m. Just couldn’t hold off beast Te Akau Shark 2nd-up last prep but beat rest clearly. Keeps getting better!

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #5 EDUARDO

Is a really smart sprinter, he was undefeated through two starts in Sydney in the Winter. He sat parked in the July Stakes then led all the way and stuck on well to win comfortably in the Missile Stakes. Six weeks between runs should not be an issue, he was good winning a recent trial here, just needs to bring the Rosehill form across town.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE

R9 #9 VIDUKA

Went within a ‘bees you know what’ of landing readers a big win at odds just last week before being grabbed right on the line by the highly, highly impressive winner, Instant Celebrity. Obviously expecting those formlines to stand up huge for this whilst now expect will be close to peak fitness third-up from a lengthy spell. Unfortunately no double figures on offer but expect this will still be a somewhat consolation prize from that sickening beat. As mentioned last week think this bloke has an abundance of ability and happy to cash in at the opening $4.

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 –  September 12

Last week’s Big 5 was a good one with 3 winners and just over 5 units profit – How Womantic ($2.70), Night Raid ($3.80) and Dreamforce ($3.60). Relief.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R1 #4 SCHABAU
:two: Flemington R3 #2 SAVATIANO
:three: Flemington R7 #14 PERFECT JEWEL
:four: Rosehill R6 #1 FARNAN
:five: Rosehill R8 #8 FASIKA
:six: Morphettville R7 #5 HINCHPIN

FLEMINGTON

R1 #4 SCHABAU

Back from injury now and looking to recapture previous form. Returned at Caulfield, leading early, but kept fighting once headed.

(Champion Bets)

R3 #2 SAVATIANO

Resumed in the PB Lawrence a month ago, she was beautifully ridden behind the speed before hitting the line hard and getting up late. She has a terrific record early in her preps, happy to drop off her after this start. She maps beautifully and always puts in.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #14 PERFECT JEWEL

Can make it a winning double to start the Quaddie for Pike and WIlliams, she was unwanted when coming east resuming in the G3 Cockram. She got back and got a good cart home before charging over the top. She should get the same run, look for her late.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL

R6 #1 FARNAN

A star, I am convinced of that from what I saw of him as a 2YO. He won both lead-up s to the Slipper and then was absolutely dominant winning the big one, leading throughout. Hughie back riding, he will roll forward and lead all the way. Forget the others, he is the real deal and will be the star of the turf over the next 12 months.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #8 FASIKA

Resumes. Trialling very well. Sole fresh defeat was narrow 2nd this race last year to Mizzy when 3-wide no cover (best run in race). Beat Galaxy winner I Am Excited and All Aged winner Tofane fresh last prep. Perfect draw.

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETVILLE
R7 #5 HINCHPIN

Relatively lightly raced trained McEvoy gelding that resumed from having nearly a year on the sidelines on a very Heavy track and despite blowing sharply in the betting was far from disgraced when still a well beaten 2nd. Expect this bloke to have taken huge improvement from that run whilst also remembering he was most competitive in only two Black-type starts last campaign. Previously G3 runner-up in SA Sires Produce he really does appear extremely well in, in this just moderate BM68 affair. Barend Vorster jumps back aboard and although still wouldn’t be fully wound up seriously wouldn’t need to be to still give this a big shake yet has opened up an extremely generous $5.50….best bet!

Our man in Adelaide



Big 6 –  September 5

Last week’s Big 5 found a couple of shorties with So You Can ($2.20) and Mugatoo ($2.00) leaving us just under a unit short of breakeven.

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R1 #3 HOW WOMANTIC
:two: Moonee Valley R6 #7 BROOKLYN HUSTLE
:three: Moonee Valley R7 #9 NIGHT RAID
:four: Randwick R8 #1 DREAMFORCE
:five:Randwick R9 #2 MASKED CRUSADER
:six: Morphettville R3 #5 PIMM’S PARTY

MOONEE VALLEY

R1 #3 HOW WOMANTIC

Resumes. Jumped out well. Unbeaten on dry tracks and she runs times/ sectionals of a Group-class mare. She is in a (handy) Bm84 today and maps for perfect trail.

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #7 BROOKLYN HUSTLE

Could not have been more impressive winning here at the track when resuming. It is certainly a step up in class, but she looks to have improved a lot whilst in the paddock. She sat bac, scouted wide and exploded to the front to win by almost 4 lengths as she was eased down late. Both her wins have been here, look for that brilliant turn-of-foot again.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #9 NIGHT RAID

Resumed in a Saturday maiden at Tatura where she ran over a second quicker than the older horses. Ran the last 400m and last 200m four lengths quicker than the second-quickest of the day. M Zahra goes on.

(Champion Bets)

RANDWICK

R8 #1 DREAMFORCE

Won the George Ryder here back in April, he was sent straight to the paddock and resumed at the track a fortnight ago. He was drawn in the carpark and never closer than three-wide, most of it without cover. He weakened badly but love the jockey change and the good draw. A great record second-up, he looks a super bet.

Our man in Sydney

R9 #2 MASKED CRUSADER

He won both starts with ease last prep, resumed here a fortnight ago on the heavy track and did a sterling job running on but was beaten by a better horse on the day. Or was he? He had blood in one nostril, a good enough excuse and he is a winner at both previous second-up runs. He just wins!

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE
R3 #5 PIMM’S PARTY

MacDonald/Gluyas filly that couldn’t have been anymore impressive when blowing her rivals away to score a comfortable all the way 3L win, landing some good wages in the process. Has race fitness on all of her rivals except the $101 rank outsider, with every other starter resuming. Drops back from 1200m to the 1000m here however given the good natural speed that she displayed on debut can’t see that being an issue here. Seriously thought they would open this filly $1.80 hence more than happy with the current $2.60.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 29

Last week’s Big 4 was a strip out. We need to lift.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #4 TAVIRUN
:two: Caulfield R8 #8 SIRCCONI
:three: Caulfield R9 #13 SAVATIANO
:four: Rosehill R3 #3 NOT FEINT HEARTED
:five: Rosehill R8 #3 MUGATOO
:six: Morphettville R1 #4 SO YOU CAN

CAULFIELD

R1 #4 TAVIRUN

Just loves it here at Caulfield winning three of five here at the track. He was last seen at the Valley where he sat up on the speed, got the better of the leader before being nabbed late in what was a brave effort after doing a stack of work. If they give him the front easily here, they won’t run him down, bet again in the run if he does land on the bunny.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #8 SIRCCONI

Bolted in WC Final. Wide with 62kg after that. Month off into G2/WFA Lawrence and very nearly pinched it. Back to Listed grade to 1700m and most key rivals are first/ second-up.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #13 SAVATIANO

Loves it early in her preps, she showed that again when resuming with a good win here a fortnight ago. She was put straight in the box seat and kept coming in the straight to get up late, she doesn’t map as well here but with the likely pace early, she only needs cover to reproduce what she showed late here last start. She has never finished worse than runner-up in 7 previous second-up runs, that’s hard to go past.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL

R3 #3 NOT FEINT HEARTED

Is going for three wins in a row, two back at Randwick he brained them by almost 6 lengths after a gun ride. Both recent wins have been on the heavy which is a little concerning as he is yet to win away from a big track.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #3 MUGATOO

Returned from the paddock in style winning the Winter Challenge Final here 5 weeks ago, he sat back, waited to come with one run and stormed home with the best sectionals of the day late to win in style. He has won 4 of 6 since arriving in Australia, if the race is run at a genuine tempo early, ebt again in the run. He will be too good.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE
R1 #4 SO YOU CAN

Admittedly on face value was a fraction disappointing when going down as a beaten favourite first-up however came away convinced this So You Think gelding is now screaming out for longer than 1100m. Displayed significant improvement between his first and second runs when also in work when producing a most impressive 2.9L win when also stepping up to 1250m at only run this track. Maps to settle a lot closer and be simply too strong…..think the opening $3.80 is simply stealing money-best bet!!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 22

Last week’s Big 6 was a loss of around 4 units with North Pacific (1.90) our sole winner.

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R5 #11 SAVVY LAD
:two: Moonee Valley R8 #1 JUNGLE EDGE
:three: Randwick R3 #2 NEW KING
:four: Randwick R5 #3 FUNSTAR
:five: Randwick R6 #6 ADELONG
:six: Morphettville R5 #2 PELOTON

MOONEE VALLEY

R5 #11 SAVVY LAD

Comes through the same race as a few of these at Flemington, I loved the way he hit the line their last time back along the inside. He was good after being checked when fresh, expect him to be getting to the outside here and finishing best.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #1 JUNGLE EDGE

The wetter the better, was good two runs ago then track wasn’t soft enough last start. If the rain comes he will be hard to hold out.

(Champion Bets)

RANDWICK

R3 #2 NEW KING

Is an import that has had two runs in Australia, he found the 1300m too short at start one and then produced the best 600m-200m sectional of the race to win at Rosehill last time. Stepping up to the mile looks ideal and is proven in the wet.

Our man in Sydney

R5 #3 FUNSTAR

Resumes. Been hitting line in her trials. Nutted by Probabeel here fresh last prep at 1400m in fast time then won Phar Lap. Very good Vs older mares at end of the campaign. Top-rater.

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #6 ADELONG

Looks a put-in take-out job, she won three in a row at the back end of the Autumn and into the early Winter. She makes her own luck up on the speed, she should get a little bit of resistance to her inside but I just see Tim Clark pushing on and who is going to run her down?

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE
R5 #2 PELOTON

Ex-Kiwi galloper now in the Michael Hickmott Stable. Tackled some pretty handy company over in NZ having already competed in four Black-type races. Despite having shown best form to date over at least a mile this bloke was sent out favourite when resuming against mainly Open class gallopers over 1400m. What’s more he lead on what was a strong tempo and gave a huge sight before his fitness ran out final 100m, beaten 3.1L. Expect he will have derived plenty for having had his first Australian run dropping back to a lowly BM68 affair stepping up to more ideal trip, especially when he gets up in trip. All three career wins have come on rain affected going-tipping this bloke a good thing yet has opened an incredible $5….betting up!!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 15

Last week’s Big 6 was a loss of just under 2 units after we found Coming Around (3.00) and May Be Fate (2nd each-way).

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #1 SOVEREIGN AWARD
:two: Caulfield R6 #3 PARLOPHONE
:three:Caulfield R7 #8 BUMPER BLAST
:four: Randwick R7 #2 NORTH PACIFIC
:five:Randwick R9 #9 CHARRETERA
:six: Morphettville R4 #3 HASTA LA FIORENTE

CAULFIELD

R1 #1 SOVEREIGN AWARD

Won both runs this prep. Strong through the line last start when running quick time. Looks to be able to dictate race here from on the pace.

(Champion Bets)

R6 #3 PARLOPHONE

Bucked early fresh yet still ran over subsequent winner then sat back in Lightning Stks and stormed to lead running very good splits/ time on dry. 1100m ideal. Top pick!

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #8 BUMPER BLAST

Has to step up in class, I love the way he came back at Flemington up the straight. He was slowly away, settled back in the field before balancing up and storming home out wide to win. Willow sticks, he won his only other second-up start and with the right horse to follow ono the turn, should finish as good as any.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R7 #2 NORTH PACIFIC

Placed behind Farnan in the Silver Slipper before going to the paddock. He resumed five weeks ago on the heavy track and couldn’t have been more impressive from the back with the best last 600m of the day to win. He has trialed well in between runs, with even luck off te inside draw, he will be winning.

Our man in Sydney

R9 #9 CHARRETERA

Has been very good without winning this campaign, he comes through form-lines we can line up over the last few runs. He settled closer last time and was just outgunned late, maps beautifully again and expect him to be up on the speed. He races very well here at his home track, only missing a place twice in 10 starts here.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE
R4 #3 HASTA LA FIORENTE

Hasn’t had too much go her way in two runs since scoring (also overcame problems on that occasion). The latest was more her doing when refused to settle when stepping up to this trip for the first time last start when still nearly won. Expect to have derived plenty for having had that initial run over the 2500m whilst Barend Vorster again sticks. In a race where there looks to be only one danger in Exalted Ruth ($3.50) and where there must be a query about that mare getting 2500m more than happy to declare our selection as the days best bet and certainly happy with the opening $2.80.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 8

Last week’s Big 6 became a Big 4 after a couple of scratchings. We got the chocolates with 2 winners (Sovereign Award @ 4.00 and Al Gayel @ 3.60) and a 2nd where we made about 3.5 units.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R3 #4 ROYAL FILLY
:two: Flemington R5 #9 COMING AROUND
:three: Flemington R9 #9 LORD MARKEL
:four: Rosehill R2 #4 ROYAL BANQUET
:five: Rosehill R3 #13 TOTAL RECALL
:six: Murray Bridge R4 #1 MAY BE FATE (each-way)

FLEMINGTON

R3 #4 ROYAL FILLY

Debuted on the synthetic track two and a half weeks ago, she was very well backed and after a gun ride, angled into the clear in the straight and was strong through the line to win. She steps up from the 1400m to the 1800m at start two, a tough ask but the way she finished off at her first start, it looks to suit.

Our man in Melbourne

R5 #9 COMING AROUND

Heavily backed fresh but could not reel in leader on good day to lead at Swan Hill. Won well 1400m 2nd-up last prep. All his 2nd-up form is strong. Proven to Soft ground. Maps well.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #9 LORD MARKEL

Resumed as a winner at Sandown, he was poorly away and settled back in the field before getting to the middle of the track and being too strong late. He is a better horse fresh, a winner second-up he looks to have come back well.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL
R2 #4 ROYAL BANQUET

Has shown that he is a real winner. After placing on debut, he has won four straight, three of them this time in. Last start at Warwick Farm on a very heavy track, he sat up on the speed and showed a great turn-of-foot when asked, running away to win by more than 5 lengths. Harder again here but he just keeps stepping up!

Our man in Sydney

R3 #13 TOTAL RECALL

Was brilliant winning his maiden at his home track of Scone last start, after settling on the leaders heels he accelerated brilliantly soon after straightening and ran away for a soft win. This is harder but he deserves his shot at a Highway off that win, maps to get the right run also.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE
R4 #1 MAY BE FATE (each-way)

Both runs/placings since resuming have been terrific efforts having covered plenty of extra ground on each occasion. Surely only strips fitter here peaking third-up whilst step up to 1400m appears ideal. Maps perfectly sitting handy just off pace enjoying a much more favourable run whilst has incredibly opened a staggering $8.50. At that quote we have no hesitation in declaring this bloke comfortably the best investment of the meeting considering we have him rated $3.75!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 1

Last Saturday we were on a few “shorties”. Mahamedeis, Mystery Shot and Varda all won and Miss Jane ran 2nd which we advised to go each way giving us a profit of a couple of units.

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R1 #2 AL GAYEL
:two: Moonee Valley R5 #3 SOVEREIGN AWARD
:three: Moonee Valley R8 #2 WINNING PARTNER
:four: Randwick R7 #4 BLACK MAGNUM
:five: Randwick R8 #10 MONTEFILIA
:six: Morphettville R1 #5 THE MULTIPLIER

MOONEE VALLEY

R1 #2 AL GAYEL

Fourth-up now, should be ready to step. Ran well last start when had to go back from a wide draw. Can settle handier here in the run from a good draw. Has run well here in the past.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #3 SOVEREIGN AWARD

Looked good winning jumpout before top return win with her big weight. When 2nd-up last prep she had far from ideal run yet crossed the line with West Wind (is here) then beat Brimm (also is here).

(Oz Racing Form)

R8 #2 WINNING PARTNER

Is an interesting runner from the McEvoy yard that has been racing across the border in SA. He won a Murray Bridge BM82 a couple of starts back, last time he was finishing best but unable to reel in the smart winner, a gap back to third. They wouldn’t be bringing him here if they didn’t think he had the class.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R7 #4 BLACK MAGNUM

Returned on the heavy track on the inside Kenso circuit two weeks ago, he was officially beaten just over a length but I have no doubt he should have won. He settled behind the leader and was twice blocked for a run over the last furlong. He has won 2 of 4 when second-up and maps well again.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #10 MONTEFILIA

Was a real eye-catcher when she returned on the Kenso track, probably because of how green she was. She was last early and racing ungenerously, came widest into the straight and reeled off the best overall sectional of the day at the trip to get within a length at the finish. She looks to be well above average.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R1 #5 THE MULTIPLIER

Will Clarken trained debutant that looked every bit the part when getting up to score narrowly defeated the promising Theresabearinthere (has won 2/3 & starting favourite in much tougher race over at Moonee Valley). What’s more did it under his own steam scoring in good time, one comparative to the open class gallopers. Meets what one could really best describe as some pretty mediocre types and with Todd Pannell aboard expect this bloke to be simply winning. Actually pleasantly surprised by the opening $2.35 and wouldn’t at at all surprise to see him start in the red….betting early!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 25

Last Saturday was yet another “1 out of 6” day. Spaceboy ($3.20) the collect.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #4 TAVIDANCE
:two: Caulfield R8 #2 MAHAMEDEIS
:three: Caulfield R9 #1 MYSTERY SHOT
:four: Rosehill R1 #7 HOT ‘N’ HAZY
:five: Rosehill R9 #5 VARDA
:six: Morphettville R4 #3 MISS JANE (each-way)

CAULFIELD

R1 #4 TAVIDANCE

Resumed off a long break at Sandown, was an easing favourite and after being slowly away, ran on hard to miss by a length. He then came here and was perfectly ridden behind the speed, pulled out in the straight and took over, showing strength through the line. Stepping up to the mile should suit.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #2 MAHAMEDEIS

First go 2500m range at Flemington and didnt quicken (fair enough with 62kg!) but kept closing. Back in trip latest and back/wide Vs bias/ tempo and crossed line with Double You Tee with Creedence (won well last week) up ahead. Best weighted runner all day.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #1 MYSTERY SHOT

Undefeated. Walked in last start over this trip, easily defeating Wicklow Town who he only meets 1kg worse. Surprised it isn’t odds on.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL
R1 #7 HOT ‘N’ HAZY

Was all the talk on social media following a brilliant trial during the week at Goulburn, he looks to have come back well. He won his maiden at Wagga back in February and returns here, he may be overbet off the trial after all the talk? It was brilliant and he should lead for a long way.

Our man in Sydney

R9 #5 VARDA

Had not won since her debut before resuming at Canterbury she may have been flattered the way the track was playing after leading all the way but did bolt in by 5 lengths. She then came here last meeting and sat outside the leader, found the front at the furlong and ran away to win by almost 2 lengths. She will be on the speed again, hard to see what can beat her.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R4 #3 MISS JANE (each-way)

Well above average and somewhat underrated Paul Seater trained mare resuming. Flies fresh having just missed the placings once which came last campaign when still far from disgraced after having no luck whatsoever. Drawn ideally to do no work and still lead or at very worst leaders back on just an even tempo, and given that scenario give an almighty kick. Drops back to a BM72 affair…..the first time in nearly three years!!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 18

Last Saturday was another “1 out of 6” day. Varda ($2.90) the collect, leaving us 3.1u short of break even.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R4 #4 ZABELARINA
:two: Flemington Race 5 #4 ALFARRIS
:three: Flemington R9 #17 PINYIN
:four: Randwick R7 #4 SPACEBOY
:five: Randwick R8 #7 STRAWB
:six: Morphettville R9 #10 CARLALUISA

FLEMINGTON

R4 #4 ZABELARINA

First-up specialist that is having her third run from a spell, she won again fresh before running on well at Caulfield. She was against the pattern that day and did well to make ground, drawn beautifully I expect her to be on the speed and hard to run down.

Our man in Melbourne

Race 5 #4 ALFARRIS

Good performance last start when narrowly beaten by promising stayer. No tougher here. Can hold form.

(Champion Bets)

R9 #17 PINYIN

Excellent fresh just missing smart Alfa Oro then back to 1000m had me worries Hillside and well, she was tailed off and couldnt keep up… That speed she produced at teh end of that race was phenomenal. Now back to 1200m with Oliver replacing apprentice.

(Oz Racing Form)

RANDWICK
R7 #4 SPACEBOY

Is an out and out leader, although there is some speed here, I think he still leads, and still wins. He won at Wyong by panels on a soft track then was here two weeks ago on the bigger track and gave nothing else a chance. Sometimes these races with speed on paper can turn into the opposite, Kathy O’Hara is riding well and may be able to pinch it.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #7 STRAWB

Looks one of the best of the day, she is stepping up in class, something she looks to have plenty of. She sat off the track at Newcastle tow in resuming then was again at her home track last time destroying her rivals at a very short quote. Can she handle this grade, no doubt, I would have preferred a jockey change but good on the camp for sticking with him.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R9 #10 CARLALUISA

Reckon both runs from this mare since resuming have been terrific including latest when given no chance after inexplicably asked to concede her rivals an impossible start. Expect now peaks for this third-up where she has placed previously in all three attempts whilst now also gives every indication she should relish the extra trip. Drops back to a just moderate BM58 affair whilst drawn to do no work hopefully this time settling a lot closer to the action. Pretty confident this mare can run us a terrific race and is a must each-way investment at the opening $6.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 11

Last Saturday was a tough watch with a winner (Lord Belvedere $3) and 3x 2nd’s. What it could have been. Frustrating.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #1 THE FELON
:two: Caulfield R4 #5 MORRISSY
:three: Caulfield R8 #1 SIZZLEFLY
:four: Rosehill R5 #5 VARDA
:five: Rosehill R8 #7 PRIME CANDIDATE
:six: Gawler R5 #2 STAR STATUS (each-way)

CAULFIELD

R1 #1 THE FELON

Was on debut on the synthetic track at Pakenham three weeks ago, he was solid in the betting and started favourite and didn’t let his backers down. After settling behind the speed, he angled three-wide and ran on hard for a soft win. Hard to know if that synthetic form will stand up in this grade but it was hard not to be impressed.

Our man in Melbourne

R4 #5 MORRISSY

Won well at Caulfield two weeks back over similar distance, and gets similar barrier here. Has won twice on soft ground and gets those conditions again

(Champion Bets)

R8 #1 SIZZLEFLY

Resumes. 3 for 3 fresh. Jumpout win looked excellent. Handles any track. As 80-rater she is in well here 60kg. Has touch of class.

(Oz Racing Form)

ROSEHILL
R5 #5 VARDA

Looks to have come back from the paddock well. She resumed at Canterbury at the mid-weeks back late last month, she led on the heavy going and never looked like getting run down, winning by more than 5 lengths. Can always be a bit wary about big margins there with the leaders hard against the fence, but the sectionals suggest it was impressive.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #7 PRIME CANDIDATE

Won five of his first six races, he was off the track for 40 weeks before resuming here a fortnight ago. He sat up outside the leader and faded late, purely looked a fitness factor off the long break. He has won both of his previous second-up runs and expect him to stick on better today.

Our man in Sydney

GAWLER

R5 #2 STAR STATUS (each-way)

Thought this MacDonald/Gluyas trained four year old gelding was outstanding first-up when grabbing third in a much, much tougher/unsuitable race. Expect he will have derived plenty for having had the run whilst step up to the 1500m here is an obvious massive positive. Drops back from a BM82 to this much easier BM72 affair whilst returns to a track that he just loves (3:2-0-1). Has only missed the money once previously in four second-up runs. Map the only query with no pace engaged so obviously hoping Caitlin Jones shows enough initiative to have this bloke not too far off them….if that is the case reckon he rates a terrific each-way gamble at the opening $10.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 4

We finished up a unit short in last week’s Big 6, getting Fulmina home at the great price of $5.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R2 #4 LORD BELVEDERE
:two: Flemington R5 #3 RICH CHARM
:three: Flemington R6 #5 LA TIGERESA
:four: Randwick R3 #2 SWITCHED
:five: Randwick R4 #4 MATOWI
:six: Murray Bridge R5 #3 KABINI (each-way)

FLEMINGTON

R2 #4 LORD BELVEDERE

Won well last start off 49 days, beating several runners who he meets again here. Should be fitter here so should be able to step again.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #3 RICH CHARM

Excellent return just missing Great Again here then back to 1100m, drew in, and found all sorts of trouble here 2nd-up. On/ Over the line he was running all over them! Peaks now and back to 1200m drawn better. TAB went up $8 first markets, think that is wrong!

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #5 LA TIGERESA

Has two eights’ next to her name since resuming from the paddock, forget that, she has been good and should have finished much closer at both of them. Resuming here at the track, she was running on hard but was held-up for a furlong, then went to the Valley and again hit a road block from before the straight until the 100m mark.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R3 #2 SWITCHED

Has only missed a placing once in her 10 career starts, she has good tactical speed and will make her own luck going forward. She comes back in trip from the 6 furlongs to the 1100m, drawn beautifully on the inside, Tim Clark should have all the options as she usually jumps away with them.

Our man in Sydney

R4 #4 MATOWI

Will probably benefit if the track starts to dry up with the godo weather in and around Sydney. He had no luck two starts back and then was a mile back and wide before hitting the line well at the latest. He races well here at the track and is a two-time winner third-up.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE

R5 #3 KABINI (each-way)

Seriously underrated mare that prior to he last start failure when taken over to Melbourne, had been produced three consecutive placings, all against Black Type company! Obviously suggesting those formlines read huge for a race of this nature, yet looks likely to again go around at simply ridiculous overs having opened at an incredibly generous $8.50.In a race with very little obvious pressure engaged up front expect Tourneur to have this mare box-seating, enjoying the ideal trail. Simply impossible to ignore at the price and although concede does meet a very promising galloper in Howlowcanyougo ($3.80), expect the fav to be out to back conceding our selection a decent start. So keen we will be making her our days best at the price whilst recommending a 1 x 3 win/place ratio bet.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – June 27

Last week’s Big 6 was a strip-out with 2x 2nd’s the best results. Frustrating month of June so far, down approximately 11 units.

:one: Caulfield R6 #9 PROPER ROGUE
:two: Caulfield R7 #3 SANSOM
:three: Caulfield R8 #4 HARBOUR VIEWS
:four: Rosehill R4 #14 FULMINA
:five: Rosehill R8 #2 NIGHT OF POWER
:six: Morphettville R6 #4 BERTWHISTLE

Onto this week:

CAULFIELD

R6 #9 PROPER ROGUE

Has not finished further back than second at four career starts, he won both times last prep and again will be up on the speed. His two placings were on the soft track so that should be no concern, he maps beautifully from the close-in draw.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #3 SANSOM

Is already a six-time winner, he has tactical speed but doesn’t have to lead to win. He won across the border in SA before going to the paddock, resuming at the Valley he was only narrowly beaten after a perfect ride but did have every chance. The draw looks sticky but the 1100m start is not the worst, horses can sit wide and win.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #4 HARBOUR VIEWS

Having second run at this distance range for the prep, should be able to elevate to new peak. Looked to have more to give last start.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL
R4 #14 FULMINA

Won at Newcastle fresh off a 19-week break. He was ridden just behind the speed and produced the best last sectionals of the day at the trip. He then went to Warwick Farm on the heavy track and had to work wide without cover, five-wide on eth speed approaching the straight and was only just beaten. It was a huge run, she loves the sting out of the ground.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #2 NIGHT OF POWER

Lovely trial before being forced to inside rail her fresh and made very good ground in that clearly inferior part of the track. He is a better horse when 2nd-up in any case, and better at 1500m. Jumping on!

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETTVILLE

R6 #4 BERTWHISTLE

Simply must follow up on this mare after cashing in for a terrific result after she got out to a seriously insane price last start. That came off the back of a couple of terrific efforts against Black-type company including a 1.4L fourth behind Oasis Girl in the Listed AAMI Centaurea Stakes. Obviously those formlines read huge for this whilst also must stress this mare goes much better than initial wet track form initially reads on paper having been more than competitive behind better horses than these previously on affected going. Rise to 2250m we in fact suggest is the icing on the cake….reckon he will relish the longer trip. Actually opened $4.60, still reckon she rates as the days best at current $3.50!

Our man in Adelaide

Last week’s Big 6 found just the 1 winner, Crosshaven (2.70), leaving us 3.3 units short of breakeven.

:one: Flemington R6 #8 ARTY LUCAS
:two: Flemington R7 #1 KING OF HASTINGS
:three: Flemington  R9 #2 PREZADO
:four: Randwick R6 #9 THREEOOD
:five: Randwick R8 #4 MR DEPENDABLE
:six: Morphettville R3 #13 SHE’S KRUPT

Onto this week:

FLEMINGTON

R6 #8 ARTY LUCAS

On the quick back up from last Sunday when trotted in at Ballarat. Needs the expected rain, but if gets soft track will prove very hard to beat.

(Champion Bets)

R7 #1 KING OF HASTINGS

Goes on top in the race that I am most looking forward to watching (and betting into) today. He was beaten narrowly when resuming by the straight track specialist Prezado and then bolted in at Swan Hill over the carnival after a peach of a ride. Willow on. The 2/1 looks a good price.

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #2 PREZADO

How can we not be with PREZADO (2), again. He loves it here up the straight, as I have eluded to before he once ran Nature Strip to a half-length here. He has won three in a row at the track, getting out to the 1100m certainly is a little query but if saved for one run, can really hit the line hard over that last furlong.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R6 #9 THREEOOD

Goes well on the heavy tracks, she was beautifully ridden at Warwick Farm last time to win easily producing the best last 200m of the day. She has very good acceleration and maps to be able to use it again. She should be camped on the leaders and as long as she doesn’t hit the lead to early, should be winning this.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #4 MR DEPENDABLE

Thought he was very good fresh given early work, wide on strong speed, he still loomed to win but couldn’t sustain it. Winner True Detective won again. This guy won easily 2nd-up last prep beating Rocha Clock giving her 7kg!

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETTVILLE

R3 #13 SHE’S KRUPT

If ever there was a horse that is knocking on the door for a win it’s this Ryan Balfour trained three year old filly. Caught the eye hitting the line strongly when placing in her first two starts before settling a lot closer last start before just unable to hold out the promising Freedman trained Godolphin filly, Flirting. On top of that conceded Flirting 2kg who had also been most competitive behind some promising types over in Victoria previously. Certain finds this easier yet gets in on the minimum whilst just love the fact Stable have elected to step her up to the 1200m. Reckon the opening $5 is luxurious odds…..betting up!!

Our man in Adelaide

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 5 and finished 1.6 units down with the one winner, Classique Legend at 3.40.

:one: Moonee Valley R1 #3 CROSSHAVEN
:two: Moonee Valley R5 #2 MS CATHERINE
:three: Moonee Valley R7 #1 REYKJAVIK
:four: Rosehill R5 #13 SWITCHED
:five: Rosehill R7 #10 LASHES
:six: Murray Bridge R4 #2 APPALACHIAN

Onto this week:

MOONEE VALLEY

R1 #3 CROSSHAVEN

Impressive winner in high rating race at Geelong. Ran quickest last 800m, 600m, 400m of the day before easing last bit running 2nd quickest last 200m. Looks progressive 2yo.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #2 MS CATHERINE

Is undefeated after three starts and resumes today. She has won two of those here at the Valley, she was having her first go out of maiden grade when bolting in leading all the way and then won the Typhoon Tracy at Listed level doing the same. Is the jock a worry? She gets the claim but I think most are glad to see her stay on.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #1 REYKJAVIK

Handles all conditions, he was last seen three weeks ago at Flemington and beat home a similar field by a big margin. He does have the extra weight here but has versatility and hard to ignore the big gap he put on them last time.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL
R5 #13 SWITCHED

Ran well fresh in race Witherspoon led and dominated. On-pace/ Close up Kembla in strong BM78 2nd-up last prep won in fast time by Kylease then chased Aquitaine. Track Soft-7 or just into 8 range suits her better I fancy. Very backable $5.

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #10 LASHES

Comes through the same race as a few of these, she was resuming and after settling worse than mid-field on the fence, was held-up slightly when the runs came. She got a split just before the furlong pole and ran on well into second. She has a terrific second-up record and should have finished closer.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE

R4 #2 APPALACHIAN

Despite now just having the two wins from his only eight starts still have no hesitation in suggesting this David Jolly trained gelding is loaded with ability. Does however still have plenty to learn with his best still clearly ahead of him which is why we just love the addition of the tongue tie here for the first time. Despite thinking this bloke maybe ready for the longer 1200m reckon that will be negated by the fact he returns to the much more spacious Murray Bridge track. Also gets 3kg off his main rival here in Almadrava who beat him less than a length last start having had absolutely nothing go his way. If he is to win another race then surely this is it and further emphasising our confidence rates as the days best at the opening $3.10.

Our man in Adelaide

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