August 13, 2020
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Big 6 – Sat Aug 15

Big 6 – August 15

Last week’s Big 6 was a loss of just under 2 units after we found Coming Around (3.00) and May Be Fate (2nd each-way).

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #1 SOVEREIGN AWARD
:two: Caulfield R6 #3 PARLOPHONE
:three:Caulfield R7 #8 BUMPER BLAST
:four: Randwick R7 #2 NORTH PACIFIC
:five:Randwick R9 #9 CHARRETERA
:six: Morphettville R4 #3 HASTA LA FIORENTE

CAULFIELD

R1 #1 SOVEREIGN AWARD

Won both runs this prep. Strong through the line last start when running quick time. Looks to be able to dictate race here from on the pace.

(Champion Bets)

R6 #3 PARLOPHONE

Bucked early fresh yet still ran over subsequent winner then sat back in Lightning Stks and stormed to lead running very good splits/ time on dry. 1100m ideal. Top pick!

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #8 BUMPER BLAST

Has to step up in class, I love the way he came back at Flemington up the straight. He was slowly away, settled back in the field before balancing up and storming home out wide to win. Willow sticks, he won his only other second-up start and with the right horse to follow ono the turn, should finish as good as any.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK

R7 #2 NORTH PACIFIC

Placed behind Farnan in the Silver Slipper before going to the paddock. He resumed five weeks ago on the heavy track and couldn’t have been more impressive from the back with the best last 600m of the day to win. He has trialed well in between runs, with even luck off te inside draw, he will be winning.

Our man in Sydney

R9 #9 CHARRETERA

Has been very good without winning this campaign, he comes through form-lines we can line up over the last few runs. He settled closer last time and was just outgunned late, maps beautifully again and expect him to be up on the speed. He races very well here at his home track, only missing a place twice in 10 starts here.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETVILLE
R4 #3 HASTA LA FIORENTE

Hasn’t had too much go her way in two runs since scoring (also overcame problems on that occasion). The latest was more her doing when refused to settle when stepping up to this trip for the first time last start when still nearly won. Expect to have derived plenty for having had that initial run over the 2500m whilst Barend Vorster again sticks. In a race where there looks to be only one danger in Exalted Ruth ($3.50) and where there must be a query about that mare getting 2500m more than happy to declare our selection as the days best bet and certainly happy with the opening $2.80.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 8

Last week’s Big 6 became a Big 4 after a couple of scratchings. We got the chocolates with 2 winners (Sovereign Award @ 4.00 and Al Gayel @ 3.60) and a 2nd where we made about 3.5 units.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R3 #4 ROYAL FILLY
:two: Flemington R5 #9 COMING AROUND
:three: Flemington R9 #9 LORD MARKEL
:four: Rosehill R2 #4 ROYAL BANQUET
:five: Rosehill R3 #13 TOTAL RECALL
:six: Murray Bridge R4 #1 MAY BE FATE (each-way)

FLEMINGTON

R3 #4 ROYAL FILLY

Debuted on the synthetic track two and a half weeks ago, she was very well backed and after a gun ride, angled into the clear in the straight and was strong through the line to win. She steps up from the 1400m to the 1800m at start two, a tough ask but the way she finished off at her first start, it looks to suit.

Our man in Melbourne

R5 #9 COMING AROUND

Heavily backed fresh but could not reel in leader on good day to lead at Swan Hill. Won well 1400m 2nd-up last prep. All his 2nd-up form is strong. Proven to Soft ground. Maps well.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #9 LORD MARKEL

Resumed as a winner at Sandown, he was poorly away and settled back in the field before getting to the middle of the track and being too strong late. He is a better horse fresh, a winner second-up he looks to have come back well.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL
R2 #4 ROYAL BANQUET

Has shown that he is a real winner. After placing on debut, he has won four straight, three of them this time in. Last start at Warwick Farm on a very heavy track, he sat up on the speed and showed a great turn-of-foot when asked, running away to win by more than 5 lengths. Harder again here but he just keeps stepping up!

Our man in Sydney

R3 #13 TOTAL RECALL

Was brilliant winning his maiden at his home track of Scone last start, after settling on the leaders heels he accelerated brilliantly soon after straightening and ran away for a soft win. This is harder but he deserves his shot at a Highway off that win, maps to get the right run also.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE
R4 #1 MAY BE FATE (each-way)

Both runs/placings since resuming have been terrific efforts having covered plenty of extra ground on each occasion. Surely only strips fitter here peaking third-up whilst step up to 1400m appears ideal. Maps perfectly sitting handy just off pace enjoying a much more favourable run whilst has incredibly opened a staggering $8.50. At that quote we have no hesitation in declaring this bloke comfortably the best investment of the meeting considering we have him rated $3.75!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – August 1

Last Saturday we were on a few “shorties”. Mahamedeis, Mystery Shot and Varda all won and Miss Jane ran 2nd which we advised to go each way giving us a profit of a couple of units.

Onto this week:

:one: Moonee Valley R1 #2 AL GAYEL
:two: Moonee Valley R5 #3 SOVEREIGN AWARD
:three: Moonee Valley R8 #2 WINNING PARTNER
:four: Randwick R7 #4 BLACK MAGNUM
:five: Randwick R8 #10 MONTEFILIA
:six: Morphettville R1 #5 THE MULTIPLIER

MOONEE VALLEY

R1 #2 AL GAYEL

Fourth-up now, should be ready to step. Ran well last start when had to go back from a wide draw. Can settle handier here in the run from a good draw. Has run well here in the past.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #3 SOVEREIGN AWARD

Looked good winning jumpout before top return win with her big weight. When 2nd-up last prep she had far from ideal run yet crossed the line with West Wind (is here) then beat Brimm (also is here).

(Oz Racing Form)

R8 #2 WINNING PARTNER

Is an interesting runner from the McEvoy yard that has been racing across the border in SA. He won a Murray Bridge BM82 a couple of starts back, last time he was finishing best but unable to reel in the smart winner, a gap back to third. They wouldn’t be bringing him here if they didn’t think he had the class.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R7 #4 BLACK MAGNUM

Returned on the heavy track on the inside Kenso circuit two weeks ago, he was officially beaten just over a length but I have no doubt he should have won. He settled behind the leader and was twice blocked for a run over the last furlong. He has won 2 of 4 when second-up and maps well again.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #10 MONTEFILIA

Was a real eye-catcher when she returned on the Kenso track, probably because of how green she was. She was last early and racing ungenerously, came widest into the straight and reeled off the best overall sectional of the day at the trip to get within a length at the finish. She looks to be well above average.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R1 #5 THE MULTIPLIER

Will Clarken trained debutant that looked every bit the part when getting up to score narrowly defeated the promising Theresabearinthere (has won 2/3 & starting favourite in much tougher race over at Moonee Valley). What’s more did it under his own steam scoring in good time, one comparative to the open class gallopers. Meets what one could really best describe as some pretty mediocre types and with Todd Pannell aboard expect this bloke to be simply winning. Actually pleasantly surprised by the opening $2.35 and wouldn’t at at all surprise to see him start in the red….betting early!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 25

Last Saturday was yet another “1 out of 6” day. Spaceboy ($3.20) the collect.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #4 TAVIDANCE
:two: Caulfield R8 #2 MAHAMEDEIS
:three: Caulfield R9 #1 MYSTERY SHOT
:four: Rosehill R1 #7 HOT ‘N’ HAZY
:five: Rosehill R9 #5 VARDA
:six: Morphettville R4 #3 MISS JANE (each-way)

CAULFIELD

R1 #4 TAVIDANCE

Resumed off a long break at Sandown, was an easing favourite and after being slowly away, ran on hard to miss by a length. He then came here and was perfectly ridden behind the speed, pulled out in the straight and took over, showing strength through the line. Stepping up to the mile should suit.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #2 MAHAMEDEIS

First go 2500m range at Flemington and didnt quicken (fair enough with 62kg!) but kept closing. Back in trip latest and back/wide Vs bias/ tempo and crossed line with Double You Tee with Creedence (won well last week) up ahead. Best weighted runner all day.

(Oz Racing Form)

R9 #1 MYSTERY SHOT

Undefeated. Walked in last start over this trip, easily defeating Wicklow Town who he only meets 1kg worse. Surprised it isn’t odds on.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL
R1 #7 HOT ‘N’ HAZY

Was all the talk on social media following a brilliant trial during the week at Goulburn, he looks to have come back well. He won his maiden at Wagga back in February and returns here, he may be overbet off the trial after all the talk? It was brilliant and he should lead for a long way.

Our man in Sydney

R9 #5 VARDA

Had not won since her debut before resuming at Canterbury she may have been flattered the way the track was playing after leading all the way but did bolt in by 5 lengths. She then came here last meeting and sat outside the leader, found the front at the furlong and ran away to win by almost 2 lengths. She will be on the speed again, hard to see what can beat her.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R4 #3 MISS JANE (each-way)

Well above average and somewhat underrated Paul Seater trained mare resuming. Flies fresh having just missed the placings once which came last campaign when still far from disgraced after having no luck whatsoever. Drawn ideally to do no work and still lead or at very worst leaders back on just an even tempo, and given that scenario give an almighty kick. Drops back to a BM72 affair…..the first time in nearly three years!!

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 18

Last Saturday was another “1 out of 6” day. Varda ($2.90) the collect, leaving us 3.1u short of break even.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R4 #4 ZABELARINA
:two: Flemington Race 5 #4 ALFARRIS
:three: Flemington R9 #17 PINYIN
:four: Randwick R7 #4 SPACEBOY
:five: Randwick R8 #7 STRAWB
:six: Morphettville R9 #10 CARLALUISA

FLEMINGTON

R4 #4 ZABELARINA

First-up specialist that is having her third run from a spell, she won again fresh before running on well at Caulfield. She was against the pattern that day and did well to make ground, drawn beautifully I expect her to be on the speed and hard to run down.

Our man in Melbourne

Race 5 #4 ALFARRIS

Good performance last start when narrowly beaten by promising stayer. No tougher here. Can hold form.

(Champion Bets)

R9 #17 PINYIN

Excellent fresh just missing smart Alfa Oro then back to 1000m had me worries Hillside and well, she was tailed off and couldnt keep up… That speed she produced at teh end of that race was phenomenal. Now back to 1200m with Oliver replacing apprentice.

(Oz Racing Form)

RANDWICK
R7 #4 SPACEBOY

Is an out and out leader, although there is some speed here, I think he still leads, and still wins. He won at Wyong by panels on a soft track then was here two weeks ago on the bigger track and gave nothing else a chance. Sometimes these races with speed on paper can turn into the opposite, Kathy O’Hara is riding well and may be able to pinch it.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #7 STRAWB

Looks one of the best of the day, she is stepping up in class, something she looks to have plenty of. She sat off the track at Newcastle tow in resuming then was again at her home track last time destroying her rivals at a very short quote. Can she handle this grade, no doubt, I would have preferred a jockey change but good on the camp for sticking with him.

Our man in Sydney

MORPHETTVILLE

R9 #10 CARLALUISA

Reckon both runs from this mare since resuming have been terrific including latest when given no chance after inexplicably asked to concede her rivals an impossible start. Expect now peaks for this third-up where she has placed previously in all three attempts whilst now also gives every indication she should relish the extra trip. Drops back to a just moderate BM58 affair whilst drawn to do no work hopefully this time settling a lot closer to the action. Pretty confident this mare can run us a terrific race and is a must each-way investment at the opening $6.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 11

Last Saturday was a tough watch with a winner (Lord Belvedere $3) and 3x 2nd’s. What it could have been. Frustrating.

Onto this week:

:one: Caulfield R1 #1 THE FELON
:two: Caulfield R4 #5 MORRISSY
:three: Caulfield R8 #1 SIZZLEFLY
:four: Rosehill R5 #5 VARDA
:five: Rosehill R8 #7 PRIME CANDIDATE
:six: Gawler R5 #2 STAR STATUS (each-way)

CAULFIELD

R1 #1 THE FELON

Was on debut on the synthetic track at Pakenham three weeks ago, he was solid in the betting and started favourite and didn’t let his backers down. After settling behind the speed, he angled three-wide and ran on hard for a soft win. Hard to know if that synthetic form will stand up in this grade but it was hard not to be impressed.

Our man in Melbourne

R4 #5 MORRISSY

Won well at Caulfield two weeks back over similar distance, and gets similar barrier here. Has won twice on soft ground and gets those conditions again

(Champion Bets)

R8 #1 SIZZLEFLY

Resumes. 3 for 3 fresh. Jumpout win looked excellent. Handles any track. As 80-rater she is in well here 60kg. Has touch of class.

(Oz Racing Form)

ROSEHILL
R5 #5 VARDA

Looks to have come back from the paddock well. She resumed at Canterbury at the mid-weeks back late last month, she led on the heavy going and never looked like getting run down, winning by more than 5 lengths. Can always be a bit wary about big margins there with the leaders hard against the fence, but the sectionals suggest it was impressive.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #7 PRIME CANDIDATE

Won five of his first six races, he was off the track for 40 weeks before resuming here a fortnight ago. He sat up outside the leader and faded late, purely looked a fitness factor off the long break. He has won both of his previous second-up runs and expect him to stick on better today.

Our man in Sydney

GAWLER

R5 #2 STAR STATUS (each-way)

Thought this MacDonald/Gluyas trained four year old gelding was outstanding first-up when grabbing third in a much, much tougher/unsuitable race. Expect he will have derived plenty for having had the run whilst step up to the 1500m here is an obvious massive positive. Drops back from a BM82 to this much easier BM72 affair whilst returns to a track that he just loves (3:2-0-1). Has only missed the money once previously in four second-up runs. Map the only query with no pace engaged so obviously hoping Caitlin Jones shows enough initiative to have this bloke not too far off them….if that is the case reckon he rates a terrific each-way gamble at the opening $10.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – July 4

We finished up a unit short in last week’s Big 6, getting Fulmina home at the great price of $5.

Onto this week:

:one: Flemington R2 #4 LORD BELVEDERE
:two: Flemington R5 #3 RICH CHARM
:three: Flemington R6 #5 LA TIGERESA
:four: Randwick R3 #2 SWITCHED
:five: Randwick R4 #4 MATOWI
:six: Murray Bridge R5 #3 KABINI (each-way)

FLEMINGTON

R2 #4 LORD BELVEDERE

Won well last start off 49 days, beating several runners who he meets again here. Should be fitter here so should be able to step again.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #3 RICH CHARM

Excellent return just missing Great Again here then back to 1100m, drew in, and found all sorts of trouble here 2nd-up. On/ Over the line he was running all over them! Peaks now and back to 1200m drawn better. TAB went up $8 first markets, think that is wrong!

(Oz Racing Form)

R6 #5 LA TIGERESA

Has two eights’ next to her name since resuming from the paddock, forget that, she has been good and should have finished much closer at both of them. Resuming here at the track, she was running on hard but was held-up for a furlong, then went to the Valley and again hit a road block from before the straight until the 100m mark.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R3 #2 SWITCHED

Has only missed a placing once in her 10 career starts, she has good tactical speed and will make her own luck going forward. She comes back in trip from the 6 furlongs to the 1100m, drawn beautifully on the inside, Tim Clark should have all the options as she usually jumps away with them.

Our man in Sydney

R4 #4 MATOWI

Will probably benefit if the track starts to dry up with the godo weather in and around Sydney. He had no luck two starts back and then was a mile back and wide before hitting the line well at the latest. He races well here at the track and is a two-time winner third-up.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE

R5 #3 KABINI (each-way)

Seriously underrated mare that prior to he last start failure when taken over to Melbourne, had been produced three consecutive placings, all against Black Type company! Obviously suggesting those formlines read huge for a race of this nature, yet looks likely to again go around at simply ridiculous overs having opened at an incredibly generous $8.50.In a race with very little obvious pressure engaged up front expect Tourneur to have this mare box-seating, enjoying the ideal trail. Simply impossible to ignore at the price and although concede does meet a very promising galloper in Howlowcanyougo ($3.80), expect the fav to be out to back conceding our selection a decent start. So keen we will be making her our days best at the price whilst recommending a 1 x 3 win/place ratio bet.

Our man in Adelaide

Big 6 – June 27

Last week’s Big 6 was a strip-out with 2x 2nd’s the best results. Frustrating month of June so far, down approximately 11 units.

:one: Caulfield R6 #9 PROPER ROGUE
:two: Caulfield R7 #3 SANSOM
:three: Caulfield R8 #4 HARBOUR VIEWS
:four: Rosehill R4 #14 FULMINA
:five: Rosehill R8 #2 NIGHT OF POWER
:six: Morphettville R6 #4 BERTWHISTLE

Onto this week:

CAULFIELD

R6 #9 PROPER ROGUE

Has not finished further back than second at four career starts, he won both times last prep and again will be up on the speed. His two placings were on the soft track so that should be no concern, he maps beautifully from the close-in draw.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #3 SANSOM

Is already a six-time winner, he has tactical speed but doesn’t have to lead to win. He won across the border in SA before going to the paddock, resuming at the Valley he was only narrowly beaten after a perfect ride but did have every chance. The draw looks sticky but the 1100m start is not the worst, horses can sit wide and win.

Our man in Melbourne

R8 #4 HARBOUR VIEWS

Having second run at this distance range for the prep, should be able to elevate to new peak. Looked to have more to give last start.

(Champion Bets)

ROSEHILL
R4 #14 FULMINA

Won at Newcastle fresh off a 19-week break. He was ridden just behind the speed and produced the best last sectionals of the day at the trip. He then went to Warwick Farm on the heavy track and had to work wide without cover, five-wide on eth speed approaching the straight and was only just beaten. It was a huge run, she loves the sting out of the ground.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #2 NIGHT OF POWER

Lovely trial before being forced to inside rail her fresh and made very good ground in that clearly inferior part of the track. He is a better horse when 2nd-up in any case, and better at 1500m. Jumping on!

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETTVILLE

R6 #4 BERTWHISTLE

Simply must follow up on this mare after cashing in for a terrific result after she got out to a seriously insane price last start. That came off the back of a couple of terrific efforts against Black-type company including a 1.4L fourth behind Oasis Girl in the Listed AAMI Centaurea Stakes. Obviously those formlines read huge for this whilst also must stress this mare goes much better than initial wet track form initially reads on paper having been more than competitive behind better horses than these previously on affected going. Rise to 2250m we in fact suggest is the icing on the cake….reckon he will relish the longer trip. Actually opened $4.60, still reckon she rates as the days best at current $3.50!

Our man in Adelaide

Last week’s Big 6 found just the 1 winner, Crosshaven (2.70), leaving us 3.3 units short of breakeven.

:one: Flemington R6 #8 ARTY LUCAS
:two: Flemington R7 #1 KING OF HASTINGS
:three: Flemington  R9 #2 PREZADO
:four: Randwick R6 #9 THREEOOD
:five: Randwick R8 #4 MR DEPENDABLE
:six: Morphettville R3 #13 SHE’S KRUPT

Onto this week:

FLEMINGTON

R6 #8 ARTY LUCAS

On the quick back up from last Sunday when trotted in at Ballarat. Needs the expected rain, but if gets soft track will prove very hard to beat.

(Champion Bets)

R7 #1 KING OF HASTINGS

Goes on top in the race that I am most looking forward to watching (and betting into) today. He was beaten narrowly when resuming by the straight track specialist Prezado and then bolted in at Swan Hill over the carnival after a peach of a ride. Willow on. The 2/1 looks a good price.

Our man in Melbourne

R9 #2 PREZADO

How can we not be with PREZADO (2), again. He loves it here up the straight, as I have eluded to before he once ran Nature Strip to a half-length here. He has won three in a row at the track, getting out to the 1100m certainly is a little query but if saved for one run, can really hit the line hard over that last furlong.

Our man in Melbourne

RANDWICK
R6 #9 THREEOOD

Goes well on the heavy tracks, she was beautifully ridden at Warwick Farm last time to win easily producing the best last 200m of the day. She has very good acceleration and maps to be able to use it again. She should be camped on the leaders and as long as she doesn’t hit the lead to early, should be winning this.

Our man in Sydney

R8 #4 MR DEPENDABLE

Thought he was very good fresh given early work, wide on strong speed, he still loomed to win but couldn’t sustain it. Winner True Detective won again. This guy won easily 2nd-up last prep beating Rocha Clock giving her 7kg!

(Oz Racing Form)

MORPHETTVILLE

R3 #13 SHE’S KRUPT

If ever there was a horse that is knocking on the door for a win it’s this Ryan Balfour trained three year old filly. Caught the eye hitting the line strongly when placing in her first two starts before settling a lot closer last start before just unable to hold out the promising Freedman trained Godolphin filly, Flirting. On top of that conceded Flirting 2kg who had also been most competitive behind some promising types over in Victoria previously. Certain finds this easier yet gets in on the minimum whilst just love the fact Stable have elected to step her up to the 1200m. Reckon the opening $5 is luxurious odds…..betting up!!

Our man in Adelaide

Last week’s Big 6 was reduced to a Big 5 and finished 1.6 units down with the one winner, Classique Legend at 3.40.

:one: Moonee Valley R1 #3 CROSSHAVEN
:two: Moonee Valley R5 #2 MS CATHERINE
:three: Moonee Valley R7 #1 REYKJAVIK
:four: Rosehill R5 #13 SWITCHED
:five: Rosehill R7 #10 LASHES
:six: Murray Bridge R4 #2 APPALACHIAN

Onto this week:

MOONEE VALLEY

R1 #3 CROSSHAVEN

Impressive winner in high rating race at Geelong. Ran quickest last 800m, 600m, 400m of the day before easing last bit running 2nd quickest last 200m. Looks progressive 2yo.

(Champion Bets)

R5 #2 MS CATHERINE

Is undefeated after three starts and resumes today. She has won two of those here at the Valley, she was having her first go out of maiden grade when bolting in leading all the way and then won the Typhoon Tracy at Listed level doing the same. Is the jock a worry? She gets the claim but I think most are glad to see her stay on.

Our man in Melbourne

R7 #1 REYKJAVIK

Handles all conditions, he was last seen three weeks ago at Flemington and beat home a similar field by a big margin. He does have the extra weight here but has versatility and hard to ignore the big gap he put on them last time.

Our man in Melbourne

ROSEHILL
R5 #13 SWITCHED

Ran well fresh in race Witherspoon led and dominated. On-pace/ Close up Kembla in strong BM78 2nd-up last prep won in fast time by Kylease then chased Aquitaine. Track Soft-7 or just into 8 range suits her better I fancy. Very backable $5.

(Oz Racing Form)

R7 #10 LASHES

Comes through the same race as a few of these, she was resuming and after settling worse than mid-field on the fence, was held-up slightly when the runs came. She got a split just before the furlong pole and ran on well into second. She has a terrific second-up record and should have finished closer.

Our man in Sydney

MURRAY BRIDGE

R4 #2 APPALACHIAN

Despite now just having the two wins from his only eight starts still have no hesitation in suggesting this David Jolly trained gelding is loaded with ability. Does however still have plenty to learn with his best still clearly ahead of him which is why we just love the addition of the tongue tie here for the first time. Despite thinking this bloke maybe ready for the longer 1200m reckon that will be negated by the fact he returns to the much more spacious Murray Bridge track. Also gets 3kg off his main rival here in Almadrava who beat him less than a length last start having had absolutely nothing go his way. If he is to win another race then surely this is it and further emphasising our confidence rates as the days best at the opening $3.10.

Our man in Adelaide

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