Morphettville (Sat)

Morphettville Tips, Saturday June 16

Morphettville tips for Saturday racing

BEST Race 4 no 1 Red Alto
Race 5 no 11 Kabini

Morphettville - Saturday, 16 June 2018
Track: Soft. Weather: Showers (). Rail: Out 8m 1200 to WP, 6m Remainder. Sectional 610m
Assessed for: - Soft

Race 1 - Fleurieu Milk Company Handicap - Open - 1050 - 11:56

Top Pick: Thorondor (2)
Danger: Assertive Play (6)
Trifecta: Crockett (1)
Multi: Tongsai Boss (4), Super (3), Sizzling Affair (7), Counter Drive (5)

Race Comment: Tricky little race and one we aernt keen getting involved in with a number of unknowns. Tipping Thorondor ($2.30) to be very hard to beat. Was very good on debut and surely only strips even fitter again. In saying that both Assertive Play ($3.25) and Crocket ($3) look to also have undeniable claims with nothing appealing at the current opening odds.

Betting Confidence: 60%

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Race 2 - Hughes Limousines Handicap - BenchMark 70 - 1600 - 12:31

Top Pick: Canford (4)
Danger: Danger Deal (1)
Trifecta: Helcrimson (3)
Multi: Turnpike (6), Lostarc (8), Feringo (2), Ashady Hussy (7)

Race Comment: Genuinely just the three chances in our book with Canford ($3.75) and Danger Deal ($2.10) appearing the two expected to fight this out in front of Helcrimson ($4.60). We however think Canford is the one that makes much more appeal at the current prices and the one we will be investing on at the current prices.

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 3 - Darley Handicap - BenchMark 70 - 2032 - 01:06

Top Pick: Kirona (3)
Danger: Casino Club (11)
Each-way: Annaman (4)
Multi: More Than Fabulous (6), Danouli (9), Tiger Tim (2), Beau's My Boy (5)

Race Comment: Actually reckon this presents as a nice race for Kirona with the opening $15 appealing enormously. Absolutely impossible to ignore and simply must have going for a big e/way return. Casino Club ($4.50), Annaman ($5.50) & More Than Fabulous ($6.50) also others with claims.

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 4 - Quayclean Handicap - BenchMark 82 - 2500 - 01:46

Top Pick: Red Alto (1)
Danger: Big Hammer (6)
Trifecta: Survived (2)
Multi: Hardington (8), Super Haze (5), Instrumentalist (3), Dance of Heroes (4)

Race Comment: Simply impossible to go past Red Alto at the terrific $7 on offer. Presents as the clear best bet in the race….a race we suggest is only light on with chances. Obviously respecting Big Hammer however couldn’t possibly go near the $2.40 on offer. Hardington ($4.20) and Super Haze ($5) also chances however both look well found.

Betting Confidence: 85%

Race 5 - Holdfast Insurance Handicap - BenchMark 70 - 1100 - 02:26

Top Pick: Kabini (11)
Danger: Thompson's Reward (3)
Trifecta: Alberts Lad (6)
Multi: Streets of Avalon (2), Atlantica (12), Eclair Lightning (8), Wallace Street (4)

Tip Comment: Kabini racing much better than form originally reads having had absolutely no luck in 4/5 most recent efforts. Meets a very similar line-up to the one she met last start, a race given any clear running suggest would have been right in the finish....value!! Thompson's Reward came with a big sprint to score brilliant 1st-up win. Goes very close again if able to reproduce that effort again here? Alberts Lad always respect this astute Country Stable when they cross the border-wet track no worries!
Race Comment: Siding with the most underrated Kabini ($11) that so deserves a change of fortune. Although far from surprised at the good odds suggest this filly presents as big overs and one that we simply must have going for a good result. Having said that we must say we are surprised Thompson’s Reward has opened $5.50….did expect much less and one we will also have going for a profit. Alberts Lad ($5.50) the big watch runner!

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 6 - UBET Handicap - BenchMark 64 - 1050 - 03:06

Top Pick: Evil Dreams (1)
Danger: He is Golden (8)
Each-way: Military Forces (6)
Multi: Alaskan Jade (3), Boldacious Girl (13), Mysticano (2), Masipag (10)

Tip Comment: proven weight carrier that beat a slightly stronger field than this when resuming last prep. Loves it here over his favourite track/dist, handles the sting out of the ground & will go forward. Expect him to give another big sight against these! He is Golden another resuming that has plenty of natural speed early. Comes into this off a solid recent trial suggesting he is ready to run very well here fresh! Military Forces hasn't been far away of late against tougher company-will be charging!
Race Comment: Expecting Evil Dreams ($10) to give another big on pace sight and must say am stunned has gone up double figures….simply must step in at the nice overs! He is Golden ($11) is another we expect to see run very well fresh & pretty much goes into the same category as Evil Dreams as one we perceive as good value and one we will also be investing on. Respecting Military Forces ($5) however rates slightly longer whilst Alaskan Jade ($13), Boldacious Girl ($26) are others at nice odds worth throwing in all exotics.

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 7 - See the Magic of Matt Tarrant at Morphettville Handicap - BenchMark 70 - 1600 - 03:46

Top Pick: Cosmic Lights (4)
Danger: Beau Rivage (13)
Each-way: Arcturos (9)
Multi: Spiritof Endeavour (7), Star Patriot (12), Minoan Spirit (5), Lynch Mob (11)

Tip Comment: Cosmic Lights admittedly comes into this off the back of two below par efforts however suggest if this bloke can recapture anything like what he is capable of he has the ratings to put these away...comfortably! Certainly deserving of another chance & shapes as the likely big improver! Beau Rivage comes into this off a total luckless run after being seen climbing all over his rivals backs. Absolutely no tougher here & now rock hard fit! Arcturos overcame difficulties to win last start-respecting!
Race Comment: Expecting Cosmic Lights ($6) to turn things around here in this extremely winnable affair. As stated above hasn’t been at his best of late however certainly deserves another chance against these, especially when his best ratings read so superior to all of these….definitely having a solid bet at the price on offer. In saying that we will also be having something on Beau Rivage ($15) for a good result…..seriously silly odds!! Real wary of Arcturos ($6) whilst Spiritof Endeavour ($23) is a good roughie that is far from hopeless.

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 8 - Irish Race Day - 1st September at Morphettville Handicap - BenchMark 70 - 1200 - 04:25

Top Pick: Mystified (6)
Each-way: Last Witness (3)
Each-way: My Unicorn (17)
Multi: Hard Empire (5), Good Luck Chuck (14), Bryan (7), American Star (12)

Tip Comment: Mystified bursting to break through again coming into this off some recent strong form against much tougher company including being competitive behind Shoals (Group 1 race!). Those formlines obviously read huge for this much easier BM 70 affair & on the quick back-up expect her to secure a much deserved win here! Last Witness ex-Syd galloper resuming for new Stable. Thought his recent trial was a cracker-huge watch! My Unicorn gets in down on the min & drawn to give a big sight from rails draw.
Race Comment: Real keen on Mystified ($3.50) to finally crack it for a much deserved win. Seriously, given just even luck presents as one of the the safest bets on the program. In saying that reckon we have found one at huge odds capable of running a big race in Last Witness ($41)….just must have something on also at those odds. My Unicorn ($4.80), Hard Empire ($14), Good Luck Chuck ($14) & Bryan ($15) also all expected to run well at good odds.

Betting Confidence: 90%

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