Morphettville (Sat)

Morphettville Racing Tips - Sat Mar 16

BEST Race 8 no 4 MASTER CHUM

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Race 5 no 1 PASEETO

Ex-SA galloper fitter for having had the two runs back from a lengthy break. Sure to find this much easier than latest close-up fourth whilst also expected to strip much more improved. Steps up to his more preferred trip whilst returns to a track where his only two wins have both resulted. Reckon he crosses and settles handy on just a slow tempo and simply sprints clear. Rates a conservative $2 chance and clear anchor bet in all exotics. As market suggests Silent Ice ($4) and Diapason ($3.30) the only two dangers however both well unders in our book.

BET: WIN 
ODDS $2.10 @ UniBet

Race 6 No 2  NODOUBTABOUTIT 

Well above average mare that hasn't been far away, against much stronger company of late over in Melbourne. Ventures back across the border, back to her favoured track where she has won 3/7 starts. The query however is she is first time stepping up to 1300m?? Do however have great respect for Phillip Stokes hence basically prepared to trust his opinion as most confident this mare has a clear class edge on her rivals here. Have still factored this query into her price and she still came out as a clear $3 favourite in our books hence must be supported! Also respecting the resurgent Lucky Flipper ($5.50 ….simply maps ideally whilst also suggest Miss Iano ($3.80) presents as the likely big improver however is definitely unders at this stage.

BET: WIN
ODDS $3.60 @ Neds

Race 7 No 4  SAVAHEAT 

Mick Price trained visitor that ventures across the border off the back of admittedly a couple of just moderate efforts. No coincidence this blokes best form presents as much better viewing when he is restricted to no longer than 2000m hence why we expect him to be a sharp improver stepping back from the 2400m. Wasn’t far off some more than handy gallopers in previous efforts hence does appear to be very well placed against these predominantly just moderate types. Have priced him $3.50 which obviously makes the opening $4.60 read quite attractive. Also suggest punters include the old stager Saturday Sorcerer ($13). Should lead and give a big sight. Obviously also wary of the early favourite Light The Waves ($2.90). Would simply win on her rating two starts back, however that was also a clear career peak hence why she needs to repeat that before convincing us she is the real deal-in other words not value!

BET: WIN
ODDS $4.60 @ Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, PalmerBet, UniBet, TopBetta, BetStar

Race 8 No 4 MASTER CHUM 

Lightly raced, Country trained galloper that has displayed plenty of promise in brief career to date. Was a tragedy beaten after blowing the start last time out after being well supported. Again hit line strongly when resuming. Ready to peak now third-up and given even luck reckon he is simply too good for these. Rates a clear top pick at $3 hence presents as a terrific investment at the current $5.50. Respecting the two on-pace types, With a Bit of Dash ($8) and Autumn Street ($9).

BET: WIN
ODDS $5.50 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, PalmerBet,
UniBet, TopBetta, BetStar.

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