Morphettville (Sat)

Morphettville Racing Tips - Sat Feb 16


Race 1 no 6 LI’L KONTRA

Ryan Balfour trained two year old filly that produced a most promising debut back in December, when made up a stack of late ground, after getting well back early behind all the way winner. In fact considering they went a massive 10.6L slower than benchmark up front, for this filly to get within 0.2L of the winner was quite simply an outstanding performance, whilst at the same time produced clearly fastest final sectionals of the day. Remembering there was a Listed sprint race on the program, this certainly brings things into perspective as to how good this run actually was. Being out of the same mare as the well performed Cashed and Embecee Lil, expect this filly to have a bright future ahead of her. Expect her to have only benefitted for having had the experience and suggest the opening $4.50 looks most appealing.

ODDS $4.50 @ Ladbrokes, Neds, BetStar


Race 3 No 2 LYNCH MOB

Tony McEvoy trained five year old that has admittedly been a relatively frustrating galloper to follow having displayed more ability than what his just even race record suggests. Suggest however Stable may just have found the key to him, as he comes into this just moderate event having produced two career peak ratings when winning strongly on each occasion. Suggest he may even find this slightly easier than his last start win in particular whilst also eagerly awaiting to see him over this slightly longer trip. Considering we have this bloke rated a conservative $1.40 red hot favourite, we simply must recommend him, with the current $1.95 reading as big overs….betting up!

ODDS $1.95 @ Unibet


Race 4 No 7 EL SICARIO

Victorian visitor that caught the eye with a game first-up effort, when finishing right on placegetters heels despite covering ground throughout. Also this would have been a welcome relief to Stable after not coming up last preparation. Forgetting his last campaign, this is a bloke that races well second-up having finished in the money in all of his previous attempts. Plummets in the weights, dropping from a hefty 59.5kg, getting in here most attractively down on the minimum with just 54kg. Drawn ideally to do little work from ideal rails alley reckon this bloke is an each way special at the current $6. Word of warning, has also accepted in a much tougher race in Melbourne, as has the logical big danger Streets of Avalon. If neither runner ventures over then suggest One More Daisy ($8.50) is very close to a win.

ODDS $6.0 @ Sportsbet, BetEasy, Ladbrokes, Neds, Palmerbet, UniBet, TopBetta, BetStar


Race 6 No 10 FLOP

Backmarker capable of producing some strong final sectionals. Admittedly not one to win out of turn however both runs since resuming have been terrific efforts, finishing close-up on each occasion. Suggest last start effort when beaten less than a length behind Everyday Lady when competing on level weights reads as a strong form reference for this. Suggest this appears to be a much easier assignment yet drops in the weights getting in with just 54.5kg. Presents as a race with a more than genuine tempo up front which will suit….given he finds clear running expect him to be very hard to hold out late!!

ODDS $5.50 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, PalmerBet, UniBet, TopBetta, Bet365, BetStar



Was made to do all the work behind tearaway leader before dissapointing when we fancied him last start. Two previous runner-up efforts read more than competitive for this, yet gets in here with absolutely no weight plummeting to just 51kg after claim. On face value is awkwardly drawn however expect him to have no issues in crossing over and again settling handy. Obviously no good thing at the opening $15 however is certainly well worth another chance, especially as market has seemingly totally overreacted to a run which did have excuses.

ODDS $15.0 @ Sportsbet


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