Morphettville Tips, Saturday Feb 9
Best bet Race 1 no 1 Olympic Academy
Race 1 no 1 OLYMPIC ACADEMY
Class wise this race is as close to one of the lowest races one will find on a Metro track however with that comes a bet that looks close to a good thing if recent ratings are any indication. Now eight year old suggest this bloke has never raced in better form than he has this campaign having been most competitive behind some more than handy types in his latest outings. Gets in with 58kg after the claim, a weight that seriously appears a luxury against most of these very moderate gallopers. Quite simply if he runs up to his latest ratings he wins this easily. Rates a conservative $1.30 in our books hence the current $2.20 looks to represent a terrific investment…..betting up!!
ODDS $2.20 @ UniBet
Race 4 No 4 MORVADA
Peter Jolly trained five year old galloper that admittedly hasn’t really delivered since promising plenty in his early two year old days. Put the writing on the wall that another win shouldn’t be far away coming into this off the back of two nice runner-up efforts. Expected to now be at peak fitness here fourth-up whilst the step up to the mile looks ideal. The clincher is the fact this bloke appears thrown in at the weights getting in just 0.5kg above the minimum. Royal Rumble ($2.50) and Balf’s Choice ($4.20) the two obvious dangers however they are being asked to concede this bloke, in our opinion too much weight. So much so suggest there is definite value at the opening $2.70!
ODDS $2.70 @ Neds
Race 6 No 1 DANGER DEAL
Admittedly doesn't win out of turn however is also a model of consistency that is rarely too far away in his races. Has again returned in fine style finishing amongst the placings in all four runs this time in. Remembering this is a galloper that has competed against Group company, suggest this bloke simply won't know himself against his Class 2 rivals. Given just even luck expect him to be simply too good for these and suggest the current $3 reads as good value. Suggest Behave ($3.90) is the only genuine danger whilst Shall We Hope ($18) is capable of running a race at odds.
ODDS $3.0 @ UniBet
Race 7 No 7 MUSICAL QUERY
Started hard in the betting when we were on this mare just last week in a much tougher BM 86 when gave a big sight before being gathered in late. Again ideally drawn to fully utilise her inside gate whilst only gets in carrying an extra 0.5kg after claim in this much inferior BM 70 affair. Suggestion to those that did their dough last week….double your bet this week! Notable mention to Domination ($7.50) whilst Bris Vegas ($13) is far from hopeless at good odds.
ODDS $3.30 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, PalmerBet, UniBet, BetStar
Race 8 No 4 PICTURE ME ROLLING
Racing well without winning including last start when backed for plenty against tougher company when still placing. That came off the back of a close-up, strong effort against stronger company again, which has since had four subsequent winners come out of that race. First time stepping up to this longer 1800m trip however being by Rebel Raider suggest that shouldn't be an issue. Maps to enjoy ideal on-pace trail….reckon she represents terrific value and a great way to finish off the day at the opening $5.50! Also notable mention to the maiden galloper Grabbing Glory ($6) that is screaming out for this longer trip whilst Set To Cruise ($5.50) and Cosmic Charm ($14) rate next best.
ODDS $5.50 @ Bet365