Morphettville

Morphettville Tips, Saturday 9th December

Morphettville tips for Saturday racing

BEST BET Race 4 no 4 TIGER TIM
VALUE Race 8 no 12 DEVILISHLY

Morphettville – Saturday, 9 December 2017
Track: Good. Weather: Fine (). Rail: True
Assessed for: – Good

Race 1 – Mt Lofty Ranges Vineyard Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1500 – 01:11
Top Pick: Plover Lover (5)
Danger: Elraazy (1)
Trifecta: Deplorable (4)
Multi: Angel’s Wish (3), Ghodeleine (2)

Race Comment: Just a small field to start the program off with very little standing out as value at the opening prices. Maybe Plover Lover($4.20) appeals as the best wager early on however this is definitely a race where market movements are expected to be crucial.

Betting Confidence: 70%

——

Race 2 – Barrister Block Premium Wines Two-Year-Old Plate – Open – 1050 – 01:46
Top Pick: Mutadaawel (2)
Danger: Tadween (3)
Each-way: Winning Partner (5)
Multi: Texas Jack (4), Facts or Fiction (1), Burn Off (7), Bedloe’s Island (6)

Race Comment: Total no bet race with only the one runner to have greeted the starter thus far. A race where we will be just watching and learning.

Betting Confidence: 0%

——

Race 3 – O’Leary Walker Wines Handicap – BenchMark 90 – 1600 – 02:21
Top Pick: Hussybay (2)
Danger: Miles of Krishan (4)
Trifecta: Kirona (3)
Multi: Ustinov’s Fury (1), Tenere (6), Majestic Moment (5)

Race Comment: Seemingly obvious race with Hussybay($2.30) & Miles of Krishnan($3.40) expected to fight this out. In saying that one we wont be overly excited to invest in with there appearing very little early value at the opening prices.

Betting Confidence: 85%

——

Race 4 – The Lane Vineyard Handicap – BenchMark 82 – 2500 – 03:01
Top Pick: Tiger Tim (4)
Danger: Tunes (1)
Trifecta: Ropeadope (8)
Multi: Duquessa (3), Robocop (6), Wicked Rhythm (9), Flying Casino (5)

Race Comment: Lets cut to the chase….suggest Tiger Tim($2.20) is close to a good thing here and certainly more than happy to be on, despite the initially short quote…..betting up!! Tunes($3.60) rates the clear danger whilst will be also including Ropeadope($16) in exotics.

Betting Confidence: 95%

——

Race 5 – Sidewood Estate Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1050 – 03:41
Top Pick: Wallace Street (3)
Danger: Fancy Rumble (1)
Trifecta: Kabini (10)
Multi: White Kaps (4), Purrfect Kisses (9), Extreme Witness (5), Golden Lustre (8)

Tip Comment: Wallace Street speedy type that landed some good bets when never looked like losing when leading t’out to score on debut before being immrdiately spelled. Again created quite an impression when blitzing rivals in a recent trial…expected to be horribly hard to run down!! Fancy Rumble returned in terrific fashion when came with a big run to score 1st-up. Again looks to get race run to suit-genuine danger! Kabini is bursting to break through coming into this off a luckless near miss-value!
Race Comment: Must say we are quite surprised with how generous bookmakers have been by putting up $5 about Wallace Street. Really does initially appear as a terrific bet at the opening odds. Obviously respecting Fancy Rumble($2.60) however also appears to have been well and truly found early. Kabini($12) is far from hopeless.

Betting Confidence: 85%

——

Race 6 – Top Note Vineyard Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1600 – 04:21
Top Pick: Cosmic Charm (8)
Danger: All Bar Two (7)
Trifecta: Picture Me Rolling (9)
Multi: Jet Express (4), Spy Decoder (3), Cobber (6), Soaring High (2)

Tip Comment: Cosmic Charm super honest type that has returned in terrific fashion coming into this off the back of three straight runner-up efforts, especially including last start eyecatching finish. No tougher here & again expect her to be terribly hard to hold out late. All Bar Two is another that is flying having placed in each of his past six starts. Rise to the mile ideal-big danger! Picture Me Rolling lightly raced on-pace mare shooting for winning hatrick. Expected to give another big sight.
Race Comment: Although there is a slight query with our two top selections not being overly favoured by a suspected just modest on-pace tempo suggest both Cosmic Charm($10) & All Bar Two($10) represent terrific value plays. Also happy to include Picture Me Rolling($6.50) that should give supporters a good sight.

Betting Confidence: 80%

——

Race 7 – City Of Marion Stakes – Open – 1200 – 05:01
Top Pick: Steel Frost (7)
Danger: So You Too (6)
Each-way: Desert Lashes (5)
Multi: Royal Fashion (14), Casino Wizard (1), Fox Hall (8), This Kid Rocks (11)

Tip Comment: Steel Frost absolutely flying since joining new Stable winning first four starts before having no luck whatsoever when totally forgiving last start. Again gets race run to suit with likely strong tempo up front-so deserves to win a black type race! So You Too had excuses when disappointing against tougher company last start. Placing two starts back reads strong for this & goes terrific here! Desert Lashes super consistent track specialist expected to go forward & give another big on-pace sight.
Race Comment: Nice race with many having at least some claims. In saying that still more than happy to side with the fav Steel Frost($4.20-very close to its right price). Respecting both So You Too($8) & Deset Lashes($9) enormously whilst Royal Fashion($14) is another that can run a race at odds.

Betting Confidence: 80%

——

Race 8 – Adelaide Hills Wine Region Handicap (Heat of Star of Christmas Series) – BenchMark 70 – 1200 – 05:38
Top Pick: Devilishly (12)
Danger: Autumn Street (11)
Each-way: Gogo Grace (7)
Multi: Segregation (3), Vivaldi’s Quest (9), Infinity Queen (2), Trupt (4)

Tip Comment: Devilishly resuming. Super honest type that is rarely too far away in her races however admittedly does find it tough to win. Impossible to ignore to fact this mare looks to get in enormous 2kg below the min after claim from good draw. Autumn Street underated former Country galloper having first run for new Stable. Also resuming & another that maps to get the run of the race with no weight on her back. Expecting both Gogo Grace & Segregation to get the last crack charging late at leaders.
Race Comment: Open race to round out the program however also one that has some early potential big value runners with Devilishly($10), Autumn Street($17) both tipped to run cheeky races, whilst Segregation($26) also appears way overs.

Betting Confidence: 80%

You might also like More from author

Comments

Loading...