Kensington (Wed)

Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 6 – STAR OF THE SEAS

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Race 1: 2YO Maiden Plate 1000m

Impossible to bet with any confidence here, if the emergencies don’t get a start then only three of the twelve starters have been to the races before. JUST ZERENE (9) looks the pick of them, she showed a lot more speed last time when beaten as an odds-on favourite. She has been costly to punters so far in her short career, but she has the speed to get outside the lead here and make her own luck. CARDIFF (2) was beaten as favourite at his only start and gets a few gear changes off a 10-week break, he wasn’t put under pressure in his trial and looks set to go. Of the un-raced brigade, obviously watch for any serious money presenting late, focus on the big stables with the Waterhouse/Bott trained ESCAPED (3) and the poorly drawn BADIA (6).

Race 2: 3YO Maiden Plate 1100m

KING’S ORDER (3) has plenty of speed, he has placed at his first two career starts when up on the speed. He is well drawn again, drops in weight from his last start placing and looks well placed. He will be hard to run down.

Dangers:

TROPE (5) is on debut for the Hawkes stable, he has had four official trials in preparation for this. Three of them in this calendar year. The latest may have been the best of them when cruising to an easy win, he looks ready to go. PHOENIX RIVER (4) is also on debut, he has trialed well enough form a stable where that is not always the best indication. Watch for any money for him. FLYING LEGEND (1) is resuming, he had two starts at his first prep where he placed on debut then was all over the shop at start number two. He has had a trial after a 15-week break, watch the money trail with him also.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM76 Handicap 1550m

BRING THE MAGIC (5) resumed here on New Years Day and was advised that she would be ridden closer, but she missed the start and, settled back and stormed home to score in a race where there have been 3 subsequent winners. She then missed the kick again at Canterbury when runner-up last time, this looks no harder and she should finish hard again.

Dangers:

TORYJOY (2) rarely runs a bad race and will be making her own luck out in front. She will roll forward, if she can get a few cheap sectionals through the middle and settles well, she will be hard to run down. WITCHES (3) is racing well, she won up on the speed last time but may be better suited taking the sit here from the good draw. BELLA SUCCESS (4) has been ridden quieter of late, she will be giving them a start but has run on well at her last couple. She will need everything to go right.

Race 4: 3YO Maiden Handicap 1400m

OXIDIZATION (6) has placed at her first two career starts, she was unlucky on debut then over-raced last time before chasing solidly when runner-up. The blinkers go off and the winkers go on for the first time, she does have to take on the boys here but maps to get a soft run.

Dangers:

SIZZLING ACE (5) has been on the heavy tracks at both runs this prep, she has good tactical speed and should be up on the pace and looking to lead all the way. MR DEPENDABLE (4) is on debut for the Waterhouse/Bott stable, he has led and won two trials leading into this and no doubt, like the majority of horses out of this stable, looks ready to fire on debut. FINAL AWARD (3) was double figures on debut, he got back but hit the line ok and looks suited getting out to the 7 furlongs.

Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1800m

SALSA MAN (4) has had two runs back, both at Wyong, resuming he ran on hard to narrowly miss in what has become a good form race, then was beautifully ridden to score there in a race that has had a subsequent winner come out of it.

Dangers:

RAPIDO CHAPARRO (1) bolted in at Class 2 level two starts back, had excuses last time when appearing in the steward’s report and was forced to trial. He bolted in at that trial and looks the obvious danger. SEE THE MASTER (5) will need a little luck from the inside draw and looks a good risk, he will get back and although he has been running on well, he has not won in a while. AHMAD (7) will find this harder and has the wide draw, but he has won two in a row and has found plenty at the back-end of those races.

Race 6: BM76 Handicap 1000m

STAR OF THE SEAS (6) is drawn out here resuming, but that may just mean that we get a better price about the son of Ocean Park. He bolted in last prep first-up to win his maiden then was well ridden to score in his first go out of maiden grade. He has had 6-months off and given two typically quiet trials, expect the money to come for him.

Dangers:

LIGHTZ (5) is also resuming, he bolted in fresh last campaign and won later in the prep by a big margin, also when up on the speed. If he can find the front, he will be hard to run down. AND SO IT GOES (1) will be giving them a start also over the sprint trip, she maps well but just may need a little luck when the runs come. She has shown that she can carry weight to victory, Brown goes back on. TCHAIKOVSKY (8) is an interesting runner resuming with the blinkers on, he has always taken on the best of his age group and has trialed well enough. Against the older horses here, he may have more upside.

Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1400m

Another capacity field and it looks the most open race of the card. DESERT LORD (9) ran on well resuming when the tempo didn’t really suit, the blinkers come off and he is a winner at his only other second-up run. That was his maiden win and he has not won since but he looks to have come back well.

Dangers:

Most of the field and there wouldn’t be any surprises here whichever number gets semaphored. SEAHAMPTON (12) is a little enigmatic, at her best she will get cover not far off the speed and be competitive. JUVENTUS (8) is consistent and a winner at his only other third-up run, but he is horribly drawn and it will need to be a Dolan special from out there, but he is riding well at the moment. FOREIGN TERRITORY (7) has had three trials leading into this resuming run, he has been off the scene 6 months and may need the run. He is a winner here at the track up on the speed at maiden level.

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