Flemington (Sat)

Flemington Racing Tips

Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit

Best Bet: Race 6 – RICH CHARM

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Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Plate 1400m

There only looks to be three or four real chances in the first, VASSILATOR (1) was a winner at Listed level last start, he was at cricket score odds and clearly still has a bit to learn but he looks to have a stack of ability.

Dangers:

DALSWINTON (2) was well beaten last time but had to make a long sustained wide run, he still has a bit to learn but won’t be a maiden much longer. BRONSKI BEAT (3) got his maiden win last start on a heavy track, the sting out of the ground won’t affect his chances. WINNING PARTNER (4) is also still a maiden but looks the only other winning chance.

Race 2: 3YO Fillies BM78 Handicap 1200m

It was hard not to be impressed with LAYEL (12) at Wangaratta last start when posting her maiden win. She showed speed and strength late, something you need up the straight here. This is obviously harder, but she appears to have plenty of upside.

Dangers:

REMEMBER THE NAME (13) is resuming off a long break, she was good here over the mile when not having much luck prior to the break. MISS VIXEN (6) found the line well at Caulfield last time, she gets the rails draw which may not be advantageous. GREY SHADOW (4) has speed and will be one of the front-runners early, she looks a good risk though having her first go up the straight.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1600m

ÉCLAIR CALLING (14) wasn’t beaten far in a harder race last time, he was good previous to that across the border when resuming also. He should be rock hard fit now, gets the good gate and maps beautifully.

Dangers:

ANOTHER BULLSEYE (8) would have been the top selection had he drawn a better gate, he has been so consistent this time in but it’s just too hard to see him getting an economical trip from the wide draw. I BOOGI (10) will get back but has worked to the line well at both runs this campaign, he looks suited getting out to the mile. NOTIO (7) had every chance last time, that was a harder race than this and he maps to get a similar run here.

Race 4: BM84 Handicap 1800m

QUICK DEFENCE (2) ran on well here at his latest effort, he got to the outside and made ground on a day where the inside seemed to be the fast lane.

Dangers:

PRIMA (6) has an ok turn of foot if saved for one run, JAKE’S HILL (7) is an interesting runner having his second Australian start, he will strip fitter for the run and may still want further. BALCAZAR (10) was also ok here last time running on in the worst part of the track.

Race 5: Handicap 2000m

BOOM TIME (1) was superb resuming after a trip to Tokyo for the Japan Cup. He was three wide the trip without any cover and still had the audacity to be only narrowly beaten. He looks hard to beat.

Dangers:

TARQUIN (6) is a last start winner here, he came through the same race as the favourite but had a much better run in transit. SECOND BULLET (8) also comes through that same race, he seemed to have every chance but does get the right run here and meets the winner better in the weights. HURSLEY (9) is consistent but will find this harder.

Race 6: The Straight Six 1200m

RICH CHARM (1) was enormous winning at Caulfield, he was a mile back and under pressure early in the straight before charging late. He loves it up the straight here and who wouldn’t like to see his trainer celebrate again!

Dangers:

MALIBU STYLE (4) was a winner up the straight last time, he had to do it in the breeze also. He will find this harder but is going well. KEEN ARRAY (2) has plenty of class, was poor in Adelaide last time, he looks a big improver back on the bigger track. FIRST AMONG EQUALS (5) also went to SA last start, although he wasn’t beaten far he did have every chance. He can place if he brings his A game.

Race 7: Andrew Ramsden Stakes 3200m

Where to look here. SELF SENSE (1) was good in the Wagga Cup but just found the winner a little too nippy. He steps right up the two miles which looks ideal, he has won over the trip before. A little concerning that he has not won at the track, he can change that today.

Dangers:

CHEQUERED FLAG (3) has also won at the trip, his last two wins in SA have been good after being beautifully ridden. Expect him to be just off the leaders settling. SHERLOCK HOLMES (4) has been good this prep, he won here last time out but did have the benefit of the fast lane. SIN TO WIN (5) lost the jock early on last start, he was running on hard at the back end of his previous run here.

Race 8: Handicap 1400m

KEN’S DREAM (6) was good across the border last time, he was forced to sustain a wide run not far off the speed and kept coming in the straight. He will get back but if he gets cover and a three-wide cart into it, he should be finishing best.

Dangers:

LAND OF PLENTY (8) looks the obvious danger and is a last start winner at this track and trip. He was heavily backed, the punters looked in trouble when he was held-up in the straight before muscling clear and running on hard. A repeat performance will see him go close. SO SI BON (7) comes through that same race and was also luckless, was held-up at various stages in the run home. MOSS ‘N’ DALE (5) was ok at the Bool resuming, second-up is his go, he is a perfect 3/3 this pattern and maps well.

Race 9: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1600m

ICONOCLASM (1) has been super in what is still his first preparation, winning four of six and close up in one of the failures. He has shown that he can do work and still have a kick left at the back-end, he may need that quality here from the wide draw.

Dangers:

LORD SUNDOWNER (2) was beaten by him last time after sitting outside the leader, he looked all out at the back end of the 1400m, so he will need a soft run to get the mile. PALAZZO VECCHIO (5) is dropping back in trip, forget she even went around last time after losing all momentum at a vital stage. GROUNDBREAK (4) was super at huge odds behind the top pick last time, he was never on the track and only beaten 0.4 of a length. It won’t take much improvement to go one better.

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