Flemington (Sat)

Flemington Racing Tips

Track: Good 3. Rail: True

Best Bet: Race 5 – RICH CHARM

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Race 1: Handicap 2500m

JAAMEH (2) deserves another chance here after what appeared a very flat run last time. He was very easy in the market but gets a stack of gear changes here. He had looked very good here the start previous when winning, back onto the big track she is certainly better than last start suggests.

Dangers:

HIGH CHURCH (1) was the winner of that race at Caulfield, he had a wide run and although he doesn’t have a lot of brilliance, he will keep grinding away. HUSH WRITER (4) is an interesting import that did too much wrong at his Australian debut, no doubt he will roll forward and try to take up the running. If he can settle better, he will no doubt be the big improver. TIFFANY’S LASS (7) is the other that will be vying for the lead early, her only chance is if she doesn’t get in a speed war early with the Waterhouse/Bott runner.

Race 2: Cap D’Antonio Stakes 3YO Fillies 1100m

MULTAJA (4) was a convincing winner at her first two runs, them went to the Valley last time and was brave in defeat after a tough run to get up on the speed early. She hasn’t had that soft run yet where she can show us what she can do, up the straight for the first time expect her to be cuddled in behind them before exploding late. She looks one of the best on the card.

Dangers:

SMART MELODY (7) looks the obvious danger, the Smart Missile filly is undefeated din three starts in NSW and really never looked in danger of losing. She has to step up in class here and looks a huge risk up the straight the first time, widest gate, rail true, not sure if that will be a good thing. Willing to risk her if she starts at the top of the market. MUSIC BAY (10) is resuming and drawn out there with her, she is unlucky not to still be undefeated and has trialed well enough. SWEET ROCKETTE (6) beat many of these last time at the Valley, she was big odds, but she had to do it tough. No reason she can’t go on with it and run a placing here.

Race 3: The Sofitel 1400m

THEANSWERMYFRIEND (1) is going for four wins on the bounce, he looks the leader again and has shown he can do it in all conditions at varying track sizes. Three back here, two back at the tight Valley circuit and then across the border at Morphetville, you now that he will be making his own luck and there have been some big winners come out subsequently that have been beaten by him over that period. Hard to run down.

Dangers:

DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR (2) will probably try to match the topweight early, but jockey Luke Currie looks best advised to take the sit and get the soft run behind the leader. He was good in the Memsie and draws perfectly. FLOW (3) has been going well in NSW, hard to line-up that form here but he should have the cold sit on them if those top two selections go at each other early. CLIFF’S EDGE (5) found bother early and was outpaced in the Heath resuming, he has a terrific second-up record and draws to get a soft run.

Race 4: Exford Plate 3YO SW+P 1400m

FIGHTING HARADA (8) has been very consistent to start his career, he had no luck resuming before running on and being held-up late again, last time he was a very short-priced favourite when going for an impossible inside run, only for it to close and he never got clear. Walker stays on, he has a load of talent and he looks suited here. Likely to push on early and will be huge odds.

Dangers:

THE AUGUST (6) was undefeated as a 2YO and both his 3YO runs have been very good. He is likely to get back and run on hard, he was a winner here at his only other attempt. UNFAIR DISMISSAL (4) has been up a while this prep but continues to run well, he was good up on the speed winning in SA last time. He will roll forward and be one of the pace-makers. BRUTAL (3) will start at the top of the market, gets a soft run from the draw and has been good at his first two starts. Just happy to oppose him at the likely short odds at his first go here at Flemington.

Race 5: Bobbie Lewis Quality 1200m

RICH CHARM (4) races well here at Flemington, who could forget the amazing scenes of his trainer when interviewed after winning up the straight last Spring. He had obviously had a setback before his resuming run but was an eye-catcher from the back a fortnight ago at Caulfield in a race where they scooted along in front.

Dangers:

KEMONO (7) was super first-up in Australia after coming from japan, with the Weir stable he may just be a little flat second-up and will improve on what he does here. FIRST AMONG EQUALS (6) comes through that same race as the top selection and also made ground late. They were entitled to with the speed they went up front though. HEY DOC (1) also races well here, has a great second-up record but a little concerned about the form of the race he came out of fresh, where he had a perfect run and looked a little flat. Very happy to risk him today.

Race 6: Let’s Elope Stakes Mares 1400m

The draw has made it an interesting affair, expect better than each-way odds the field in what looks a very difficult start to the Quaddie. As usual with the 1400m here at Flemington, wide draws can be deadly as you basically get straight onto the long sweeping turn. LA BELLA DIOSA (9) has been good at both starts since coming over from NZ and draws well. MERRIEST (8) should be up on the speed after her good last start win leading all the way at the Valley, a different story trying to go wire to wire here though. MISS GUNPOWDER (5) and BELLA MARTINI (2) are both drawn out, if they can get cover they will be able to sit three-wide the trip and feature. Play very wide, tough race.

Race 7: Makybe Diva Stakes WFA 1600m

KEMENTARI (11) was enormous in defeat last start at Caulfield. He was no closer than three-wide the trip, the majority of it without cover and still had the audacity to still be coming on the line going down by the narrowest of margins. Remember, this guy was $6 against Winx two starts back, love the jockey change, he looks the best of the day.

Dangers:

KINGS WILL DREAM (10) has been super since coming to Australia, his main goal is later in the Spring but he continues to run huge races. He will be running on late and has won both starts here at Flemington. HUMIDOR (3) was super in the Memsie, the ride was a pearler and he loves it here on the bigger track. COMIN’ THROUGH (6) has a great record, his win in Sydney last week was super despite the rough ride when shoving clear at the top of the straight.

Race 8: Danehill Stakes 3YO 1200m

NATIVE SOLDIER (3) draws out, will be interesting to see where they come in the first two straight races of the day with the rail in the true position. He went quick early to lead at Caulfield and gave nothing else a chance, the only concern is it is his first time up the straight six here. He looks a star sprinter of the future.

Dangers:

MARCEL FROM MADRID (2) tasted defeat for the first-time last start, he was 3 and 4 deep throughout and wasn’t beaten far after a torrid run. First go up the straight and is also drawn wider on the track. If the inside is the place to be, ENCRYPRION (1) comes into calculations. Although well beaten by the top selection last time, he just never got into the race and should be suited better up the straight here where he placed at his only attempt. OCEAN KNIGHT (11) will probably last early but will be hitting the line hard.

Race 9: Handicap 1700m

ORDEROFTHEGARTER (2) is an interesting runner having his first run in Australia for Lloyd Williams. He hasn’t raced in more than year, when last seen he was placed at Ascot at Group Three level then wasn’t far away in France in a Group One. He has the poor draw and will improve off the run, but he has a great record fresh and betting late should tell us if he is fit.

Dangers:

FURRION (15) has a fantastic record and looks to have plenty of upside, this is clearly his toughest test but the way he has been running through the line suggests he will handle this class. MR GARCIA (10) should be fully fit here third-up, the import has been inconsistent since coming to Australia but at his best he looks the one to beat. Maps well and should be third pair back. ANAHEIM (14) was poor resuming but that was too short for him, he has a better record second-up and should improve back to Flemington. Look for him late.

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