Flemington

Flemington Racing Tips

Track: Good 3. Rail: Out 6m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 7 – DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR.

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Race 1: Meadow Mist Plate 2YO 1000m.

Obviously, a stack of unknows here with some of the nations leading trainers having unraced ones where we haven’t seen enough. Of the raced brigade, FAKE (1) looks hard to beat. He goes up the straight for the first time, was unlucky at Sandown after having no luck at vital stages of the race.

Dangers:

TEMPLAR (4) was a blackbooker on debut for Michelle Payne. She was held-up for most of the straight before diving back between runners and running through the line hard. AL DORAMA (2) comes through that same form line, he settled on the speed and appeared to have every chance. He may get little lost up the straight the first time if one of the leaders, but no doubt that he would have come on off that debut run. Obviously watch for money for any of those on debut, especially those from the bigger stables, most notably NASAAYIM (9).

Race 2: Piping Lane Handicap 2000m.

SECOND BULLET (3) was closing hard in a race most of the contenders in this ran in last time. He was well favoured and meets the winner better in the weights, he is ultra-consistent here at HQ.

Dangers:

GOLDEN MANE (4) was the winner of that race and gets in very light. He will be giving them a start, but every horse should get their chance with the big straight and small field. ARTICUS (2) was also in that race, he just seemed to hit the lead too early and may want a little sting out of the ground. BONDEIGER (6) was big odds at Caulfield and is on the quick back-up, she was charging home out wide after being last early.

Race 3: Seascay Handicap 1700m.

SAYED (2) is a Waller running coming south fresh from a break, he has a great record when returning from the paddock and has trialed well enough. He was close-up in the Newcastle and Wyong Cups before going for a break. Expect him to show up fresh.

Dangers:

JACQUINOT BAY (3) has been up for a long time, he has placed at his last four runs and should run on hard again. He isn’t getting any younger but still racing well. MASTER OF ARTS (1) comes through the same race at Caulfield, he will be improved off that fresh run and should improve second-up. BURRUM’S BUZZ (7) has been racing well, likely to be up on the speed but he will find this harder. If he takes a sit and gets a soft run he is a chance.

Race 4: Craftsman Handicap 3YO Fillies BM70 1400m.

This looks a good form reference going forward for the girls. TWITCHY FRANK (1) had a good run in transit last time, she looked to have every chance when narrowly going down for her first career loss. Off the inside here she will have all the options, she can lead or take the sit for the soft run.

Dangers:

TAGREEDA (4) is dropping back to the seven furlongs after running on hard to win at Sandown. She should be suited by the small field, look for her late! SHOKORA (3) will get back from the wide gate, she has been impressive winning her last two when charging home from well back. BADUZZI (2) is drawn off the track but will go forward, doubt she can win if she has to sit parked but if she finds the rails first she can certainly feature.

Race 5: Rain Lover Handicap 3YO BM70 1400m.

INDIAN THUNDER (1) drops back in grade here, he never looked the winner here last time but after hitting a flat spot at the top of the straight, he ran through the line hard. Look for him late.

Dangers:

SALSAMOR (2) has a good record fresh, he may need further but he had been racing against the best of his age group before heading to the paddock. He has been placed at Group 2 level on multiple occasions, sure to have a big campaign but may just find this a touch short fresh. Look for him flying late. MURAAHIB (3) was ok fresh, he was a big drifter in the betting but did make some ground late. He has won second-up previously, at his first campaign. MR MONEY BAGS (7) was ok last week at Caufield, he will either lead or sit behind the leader. Likely to be backed at a price on the quick back-up.

Race 6: Arbroath Handicap BM70 1100m.

PRAVRO (4) is having his first go up the straight, he settled well back at Caulfield last start before running on hard between runners late. Drawn out may be an issue, where they come down the straight with the rail out is questionable.

Dangers:

SQUEAKY SQUIRREL (2) comes through that same race. He wasn’t favoured by the way the race was run, he was up on the speed with those back in the field clearly advantaged. Expect him to be up on the speed. BELIEVING (11) ran on well from the back last start and should be fully fit now third-up. He wasn’t suited by the tempo last time. In that same race, SANG CHOI BAO (6) was well backed in from double figure odds, he was well beaten but ran on ok in a race where he also wasn’t suited by the speed up front, or lack thereof.

Race 7: Chester Manifold Stakes 1400m.

DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR (3) has had four runs on the trot, McEvoy has given the High Chaparral colt a couple off months off but don’t be deterred and he has a super fresh record. He has good natural speed and the ability to chase hard, expect him to be in the first couple of pairs settling and from the draw, looks to map well from what can be a tricky 1400m starting point.

Dangers:

CHAMOIS ROAD (6) maps well and should be a price. He has been very consistent this time in. KINGSGUARD (10) is an interesting runner for the Hawkes team. Well beaten in the Cameron at Newcastle last time but has been to the paddock and goes well this distance range. Would love to see some money for him. LITE’N MY VEINS (7) was huge in defeat last start, may have to sit wide again and may need some Williams magic.

Race 8: Better Beyond Plate 1100m.

BENZ (4) is resuming here, he only had the one run last prep aafter appearing in the steward’s report with problems. He had won 2 of his previous 3 fresh run, and they wouldn’t be making the trip here if he wasn’t ready. Any money and the confidence would grow on an each-way basis.

Dangers:

KEN’S DREAM (7) was good at the Valley after having to sit wide and coming with a long sustained run. HE really hit the line hard after balancing up there and should appreciate getting back up the straight. THERMAL CURRENT (1) is racing well but his record here up the straight is concerning. He is likely to get back, look for him late! PRINCEFAMOUS (2) broke a long run of outs last start north of the border on boxing day, there has been a winner come out that race since. Watch the betting with him.

Race 9: Tauto Handicap Fillies and Mares BM84 1400m.

MOONLOVER (5) couldn’t be more consistent, she has a stack of speed, will no doubt lead into the straight and it’s just a matter of running out the trip. If she can kick into the straight and steal a length or two she will be hard to run down.

Dangers:

PEARL DE VERE (15) will find this harder than more recent runs and should be double figures, she gets a soft run back in the field and should be charging home late. Hopefully they ride her for luck, the gaps usually appear somewhere along this long straight. JESTER HALO (8) carried the grandstand last start, loomed up to win but the weight may have just got the better of her. She is yet to miss a place this time in. SOHO RUBY (6) was the winner of that race, meets her worse at the weights but does map nicely.

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