Caulfield (Sat)

Caulfield Racing Tips

Track: Good 3. Rail: Out 12m entire circuit

Best Bet: Race 8 - FURRION

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Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Plate 1100m

Of the raced runners, ROCK HARD (1) looks the obvious choice. He has won both of his starts when being up on the speed but may have to work a little from out there.

Dangers:

Plenty of unknowns and play carefully early. Watch for any money for those on debut including SO MAGNIFIQUE (5), THAT SONG (6) and CELESTIAL KING (4). No confidence in the race.

Race 2: Mares Handicap 1100m

WORLD OF HOPE (7) had been racing over the shorter trips when last in work, she has a good record fresh and should be running on hard. She had been getting back in those 955m races but should be up a lot closer here.

Dangers:

RUN GYPSY RUN (6) has the ability but she has also had her issues, she won fresh two campaigns ago but has not had a lot of racing in the last year. Watch the betting late to see what it is telling us about her fitness levels. ANOTHER DIAMOND (5) has plenty of tactical speed and will be trying to cross to the rails first. She can lead for a long way. MONKEY MAGIC (11) has been super at all three runs this prep, this is obviously harder, but she has been showing a dazzling turn-of-foot.

Race 3: Handicap 1600m

MY PAISANN (9) has been brave in defeat at her last couple, she has had to do all the chasing and been beaten under a length on both occasions. He should get a softer run here in behind the leaders and have plenty to offer late.

Dangers:

KENJORWOOD (5) has not been in the winner’s stall for a while but should appreciate being in this grade. He showed a good turn of foot at the Bool before being swallowed up late. SNOANO (4) was having his first Oz run last time at Listed level since coming across from the UK. He stuck on ok when up near the speed and will be fitter for that run. JACQUINOT BAY (3) will use the inside gate to his advantage and you know what you will get with him. He will be out and running giving them something to catch.

Race 4: 3YO Fillies BM78 1440m

The three main chances all are drawn poorly and with the rail out so far, I am not sure that will be beneficial, so we have gone looking for some value here. TUSKAR BROOK (7) has the inside alley, is going for three straight wins and has the speed to lead or be right on the back of the front runner’s. She will be getting a much more economical run than her more fancied rivals.

Dangers:

SMOOTH LANDING (9), PLATINUM ANGEL (5) and HONEY ESPRIT (6) all have winning chances but are drawn poorly, a lot will depend on the jock and who takes the right options. If any of these are short in the market it may be best to lay one or all three!

Race 5: BM78 Handicap 1440m

MAXIMUS (8) was a dominant winner at Cranbourne two starts back when just off the leader’s early then led them up in a harder race up the straight last time and weakened late. If he can roll forward with cover he should be able to accelerate well late.

Dangers:

OVERSTEP (12) has not won in a while, she comes through that same race at Flemington and was finishing as good as any. Look for her late. SILVERA (3) is resuming and has a terrific record fresh, he has trialed well for this but may need a little luck getting off the inside late. JAW’S OF STEEL (13) comes into calculations if the weir runner gets a start, currently the 1st emergency.

Race 6: Super Vobis 3YO Handicap 1200m

VAINSTREAM (2) was brave in defeat here last start after sitting just off the leaders then being forced to make the run three-wide around the bend. He has good speed, so they may try to lead here stepping up to the 1200m, see how the track is playing by this time of the day.

Dangers:

SUN QUAN (3) also has speed, he was good resuming when he charged clear in the straight but may have just run out of condition. He is a winner second-up previously. WRITTEN CHOICE (4) has not missed a place in his brief four start career, he has shown good tactical speed but may be posted wide here. He would need to get over to the fence first, I doubt he can sit without cover and win. RASPBERRY ROSE (6) next best.

Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1100m

URBAN RULER (6) looks a good each-way bet in what will be one of the more open races of the day. He comes into this off a 21-week break, has had a quiet trial and excels when racing fresh. He may be giving them a start but expect that he will be finishing as good as any.

Dangers:

If playing the exotics and Quaddie here, don’t be afraid to pencil the field in as it wouldn’t surprise to see any of the field salute. INN KEEPER (8) has won two on the bounce, both up on the speed and with the sting out of the ground, if there is any rain around he must be thrown in. MURPHY’S REWARD (2) has been up for a while but still racing well, he was close up in the feature sprint at the Bool. WISE HERO (3) is resuming and has a terrific record fresh, he was the winner of a recent trial also. He looks ready to go.

Race 8: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2000m

FURRION (2) looks the best of good things here, his win was full of authority at the Bool and he looks to have many strings to his bow. He may just need an ounce of luck if the inside is a no-go zone, but he looks to be a star in the making.

Dangers:

LUCKY FOR ALL (3) was also a winner at the Book but in an easier race after a perfect ride. He has won both his races since being on Australian soil and could make it a Weir Quinella. MAHAMEDEIS (1) should be fully fit here third-up, he ran through the line well winning over the shorter trip last time. He has only missed a place once in 7 career starts. INSPIRANTE (4) never got into the race when racing across the border at Group level last time, this looks no easier, but she had shown plenty previous to that.

Race 9: BM84 Handicap 2000m

This could be the trickiest race of the day, good luck if you are still alive in the Quads. HURSLEY (1) should be at peak fitness getting out to the 2000m here third-up, he showed good dash before running out of condition last time late.

Dangers:

OUR PEAKY BLINDERS (5) will have support and has been racing consistently, he looks a good risk though after not mapping as well as in previous runs. SUNDAY PRAY (8) looks the leader, the 2000m will see him out but he will look the winner at some stage. NOUMEA (11) has the bad gate, he will get back and was working to the line well in the sae race that the top selection came through. Tough race to finish.

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