Track: Good 4. Rail: True.
Best Bet: Race 3 – LEGLESS VEUVE. Desperately unlucky last time, any cart into it and look for her flying late.
Where to look here. The babies are going around in what looks a near impossible betting proposition. Happy to sit on the fence here, probably best to stick with the big stables and the market firmers. There are better betting propositions on this great day of racing. Throw in SACRED SWORD (9), CORONEL (3), QAFILA (12) and ENCRYPTION (5).
SPLIT LIP (2) looks better suited here, she has run on well at her last couple and maps to get a soft run. If she can get a soft cart into it she should finish hard enough.
COUNTERPLAY (10) was brave in defeat last start when forced to sit wide. JORDA (3) was only fair resuming as favourite, but happy to forgive her at her first go up the straight. TRUE EXCELSIOR (9) chased hard behind a star last time and wasn’t beaten far. Looks another open race on paper, wouldn’t be taking anything under each-way odds here.
You would have felt sick if you were on LEGLESS VEUVE (1) here last start, seeing how close she got after having no luck in the straight. She maps ok and with any cover expect her to finishing as good as any.
MISS GUNPOWDER (2) is resuming, she was well travelled last campaign, has a super record fresh but just may get a little too far back from the wide draw. DESERT LASHES (3) suffered her first career defeat last start, has continued to step up in grade and not let her fans down. She will go forward early and try to lead. OVERSTEP (7) is resuming, maps well and should get a soft run. Has won fresh previously.
BOOM TIME (2) is a little inconsistent but he maps to be a few pairs back and should get a solid tempo. He doesn’t have a lot of brilliance but will keep coming late.
FOUNDRY (3) and ALOFT (5) look the dangers and will be interesting to see the tactics adopted by the Williams team. They have three runners in the race, Foundry and Gallante likely to go forward. KIDMENEVER (7) is the interesting runner here from the UK, may need the run but obviously has a stack of ability. Watch the betting with him.
OREGON’S DAY (10) once again draws poorly, forget she went around at Flemington after a torrid run wide and appearing in the stewards report post-race with problems. She will get back again but with the big field the tempo should be solid. Looks a great each-way bet with any type of cover and cart into it.
ATTENTION (8) has been well beaten at his last couple but this looks a little easier. If he can get a soft couple of sectionals up in the speed he will be hard to run down. DUKE OF BRUNSWICK (5) races well here at Caulfield and will run on from mid-field. RELIGIFY (2) is the one we should be monitoring the money trail with, he is resuming with a great record fresh. Won’t want any rain around.
PURE SCOT (4) may be the outsider of the big Group One for the girls, she is on the quick back-up and was finishing better than any last time after having no luck. Happy to have something small on her each-way with the three placings being paid.
BOOKER (3) was up on the speed winning the prelude here a fortnight ago, should roll forward again but may get some pressure from the inside. SHOALS (1) suffered her first career defeat last time in that same race, lost no admirers chasing hard and getting closest at the finish. Happy to risk ALIZEE (2) if she starts anywhere near red figures, she has been brilliant in Sydney at her last couple but just may be vulnerable at her first go here at Caulfield, at her 6th start this time in.
BONNEVAL (11) is a superstar mare from across the ditch that has won both starts here in Oz this time in including a dominant win here in the Underwood last time. Hard to see them turning the tables.
The only way that HARTNELL (1) can reverse the result from last start is if he is ridden more positively. If there is a change in tactics to roll forward he has some class but is always vulnerable in these big Group Ones. SINGLE GAZE (8) comes through the same form line, she will roll forward and may be able to lead for a long way, depending on what the top weight does. JON SNOW (6) was super last time but doubt he will settle as close today.
CATCHY (16) takes on the boys here in the big one, she has been great since resuming from a stellar juvenile year. History is against her but she has a stack of speed and the good gate, with the pre-post fave having burst his bubble last time she may be able to beat the fellas in what looks a cracking race.
ROYAL SYMPHONY (6) raced flat last time in his first career defeat but not completely prepared to sack him off that. He produced a couple of unbelievable wins previously, he has class. KEMENTARI (11) just hit a flat spot here last time in the lead-up, balanced up and ran through the line well. PERAST (8) was the winner of that race, he has done nothing wrong and will roll forward early.
Capacity field for the Toorak, what a sight with the big field over the mile it should be. MR SNEAKY (10) was good after chasing hard here last time, OMEI SWORD (11) comes through decent Sydney formlines, maps well. EGG TART (9) will have supporters, was good after chasing hard last time in Sydney and must be thrown in everything. COMIN’ THROUGH (8) was ok in the Epsom last start, this looks easier. Play wide!
ROCK MAGIC (2) was good coming over from WA at the Valley in the Moir. Had to sit wide throughout and didn’t shirk the task late.
What to say with LANKAN RUPEE (1). He was a star and had his form been at his best he would be starting a short-priced fave in this. Prepared to give him one more chance. A big watch on FIRST AMONG EQUALS (4) having his first start for Weir, he has a super record fresh. Betting will be the key there. SHEIDEL (9) has a stack of speed and will be carving over early, just won’t want to do too much work.