Rosehill Racing Tips – Sat May 18
We will be at Rosehill this Saturday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: True
Best Bet: Race 8 – DEPRIVE
Race 1: 2YO Handicap 1200m
DIAMOND THUNDER (1) has won both runs this campaign, he has good tactical speed and was on the pace at both of those runs. The latest he led all the way and although he took a side-step late, the win was very comfortable. I am not positive that he will lead here, but even if he has to sit outside the leader, if he can control the tempo he will be very hard to run down.
HULK (3) once again looks his main danger, the two of them clashed last time and the top pick did get the better clearly late, but Hulk was well backed. Not sure he can turn the tables but it wouldn’t shock. KUBRICK (4) is an interesting runner that travels north after a maiden debut win at Cranbourne, he was strong through the line over 1000m so the step up to the 6 furlongs looks to suit. ESPINOLA (2) was a big winner at Wagga over the carnival, this looks harder but he sprinted away with that and was dominant.
Race 2: Highway Class 2 Handicap 1200m
Tough race as the Highway’s can be with so many different form lines coming together. MICK THE HAT (1) was ok at Hawkesbury last time in a similar race, he was wide throughout without cover and stuck on well.
ZARDORO (3) comes through that same race, he was mid-field and looking for runs in the straight and chased hard when clear. He only needs a little luck when the runs come to run into a place. GREEN REIGN (6) is an interesting runner, he won on debut 5 months ago and has since been gelded and trialed well a couple of times. The Dunn stable doesn’t usually bring slow ones down to these Highway’s. PLONKA (10) was heavily backed to win a Tamworth maiden last time and bolted in, he controlled the tempo outside the speed and was brilliant when he let down.
Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1800m
ALIFEROUS (9) has been up for a while this prep but is racing so consistently, so why throw her out to the paddock! She has had 5-weeks between runs for a brief break, she was last seen in the Australian Oaks and has been freshened up for this. She was a Group Three winner prior to that Oaks run, in the big Group One she was held-up at a vital stage but was entitled to hit the line better when out. This is much easier.
MADDISON AVENUE (5) has won three of her last four but rises in grade here, she has good tactical speed and will try and lead all the way. She jumps from a 72 against the girls up to a 78 against the boys so she will need it soft in front.
LETTER TO JULIETTE (4) is very consistent, she will go forward and look for cover on the speed. MUSHAIREB (2) also will be on the sped, he likely takes a sit and should have plenty to offer in the straight. He may just need some luck getting a run when the top pick is sweeping wide.
Race 4: BM88 Handicap 1500m
HARMATTAN (12) doesn’t win out of turn but she is very consistent. She has enough tactical speed to get a good run behind the leaders here, she protested against the winner unsuccessfully two back and ran on well last time. She looks a great each-way bet.
STAR OF THE SEAS (4) was good behind an impressive winner on the Kenso track last time, he will need cover early but the step up to the 1500m looks to suit. TURNBERRY (5) is also drawn out, he has only missed a place three of his last nine, all this prep and will go forward early. INSENSATA (9) was a comfortable winner when travelling north last time, she will be giving them a start, look for her late.
Race 5: 3YO BM74 Handicap 1100m
BURNING CROWN (14) travels down from Tamworth and will find this harder, but if the on-pacers are dominant he will be hard to run down. His last two he has been run down, he has only missed a place once in his 7-start career. Drawn wide looks ideal, look for him carving across from a wide draw and sitting on the speed in an open race.
HOSTWIN SUPREME (13) led all the way to win his maiden comfortably last start, stepping up to this trip he may be better suited to taking a sit. He looks to have come back well and can step up to this grade. CALL ME ROYAL (6) is first-up and has a good record fresh. She also has speed so it does look a race set-up for the back-markers, but I can just see the track being so on-pace favoured. If they do cut at each other up front, DYNAMITED (1) should be back in the field and getting the right cart into it.
Race 6: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1400m
REELEM IN RUBY (9) was heavily backed in a 66-grade against the boys last time, she sat back last and ran on hard inside the last furlong for a comfortable win. The corps went up a big price that day and she eventually SP’d at $1.45, they have an opinion of her. This is harder, look for her late.
ALNAAS (11) won on that same day against the girls at Warwick Farm, there should be some interesting tactics between these two back in the field, it may just come down to who gives the cart up to who. SHOKORA (1) has won second-up previously and will also benefit if the speed is on, TORY JOY (6) looks the best of the on-pacers but may get pestered by some roughies up front early.
Race 7: Lord Mayors Cup 2000m
TAIKOMICHI (6) was poor on paper in the Wagga Cup, but he really did work hard up no the speed. HE is drawn wide here and will go forward, hopefully he can get a cheap lead and he will look the winner somewhere in the straight.
ABDON (3) was the winner and well backed favourite of that Wagga Cup, he ran on hard from the back and will get back again. If they go hard early, he may be worth a small bet mid-race as you know he will fly late.
SIXTIES GROOVE (2) had every chance in the Hawkesbury Cup last time, this is no harder and he will also get back and run on hard. The big field looks very open, GREY LION (5) is a last start Group Three winner, Kathy O’Hara retains the ride and she is in good form. Tough race.
Race 8: BM88 Handicap 1200m
DEPRIVE (6) is first-up, he has a terrific record fresh (3:2-0-1) and has trialed well. He showed an amazing turn-of-foot in his last start win, he was well back before getting wide and still giving them 5 lengths at the top of the straight. Hugh Bowman hit the go button and he went from 5 back to hit the front in a few strides it seemed, eventually bolting in by 3.3 lengths.
PIRACY (7) is the stablemate to the top pick, he will be closer to the speed and may have to give him the run approaching the straight. NEWSFAN (5) is drawn wide, she is first-up and has not finished further back than 2nd at her 8 career starts. She has trialed well and there may be some cat and mouse tactics between her and the top pick. DESERT LORD (13) is also first-up and drawn well, he was going well at the back-end of his last campaign but needs to improve on his fresh record.
Race 9: Colts Geldings and Entires BM78 Handicap 1400m
MAPMAKER (2) is first-up and has trialed well, he was in work for a long time last prep and look to need the break. He returns here fresh off a 12-week break, will go forward and try to get cover on the speed.
Very tough race and no confidence at all.
NICCO LAD (14) didn’t have much luck at Scone last week and hit the line well when he finally got clear. He is very consistent and is sure to break through again soon. RONSTAR (4) is a last start winner at 70 grade-against the boys, he will likely go forward early and may be the horse to give cover to our top pick. CHALMERS (6) only battle when racing inside horses at Hawkesbury last time when beaten as favourite. He draws poorly but deserves another chance off that support last time.