May 24, 2019
Tips

Morphettville (Sat)

Morphettville Racing Tips – Sat May 18

We will be at Morphettville this Saturday.

Best Race 1 no 3 Absolute Flirt

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Race 1 no 3 ABSOLUTE FLIRT

Promising Danny O’Brien visitor that has returned in fine style producing strong two wins on end. These come after indicating ability in first campaign which included a 1.5L runner-up effort behind the smart Yes Yes Yes. Won her only start here a fortnight back despite having nothing go her way, when forced to race three wide without cover throughout. Met her two main rivals Balaabel ($2.80) and Li’l Kontra ($7.50) in that same race last start yet the market assessors have taken a liking for Balaabel here. Admittedly did produce a nice debut effort taking late ground off Absolute Flirt however must be noted did enjoy the ‘suck’ run throughout whilst our selection was working wide throughout. Absolute Flirt today draws ideally in barrier two whilst Balaabel we suggest will need luck having drawn out in eight. Must say pretty keen to have a good investment to start the day with the opening $3 really presenting as clear value!

BET: WIN 
ODDS $3.0 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, BetStar

Race 2 no 2 REMEMBER THE NAME 

Found this to be a most interesting little affair with initially four real live chances appearing to present themselves. Obviously Remember The Name, Clearly (import that has most unlucky in two Oz runs), Snogging (was simply huge last start) and Lady Young (another that was enormous just last week). It was however when one did the speed map that Remember The Name was the one that appears clearly best suited here, mapping to enjoy ideal on-pace run on just a modest tempo whilst all three of her main rivals will get back conceding this in-form mare, in our opinion too much start. Form this time in reads super honest which culminated in a much deserved/overdue impressive 2.25L last start win over Think Bleue. Before that ran a close-up third behind the flying Mr Quickie hence suggesting no other galloper comes into this with stronger formlines. Despite that market assessors have gone up $4.60! Expect this mare to give us a huge sight at odds we suggest are clear overs.

BET: WIN
ODDS $4.60 @ Bet365

Race 3 no 4 SOPRESSA

Victorian visitor whose two of three career wins have come at this track including when tasted Group One glory in last years Schweppes Oaks. Admittedly hasn’t won since however must be said has also been competitive in some very strong form races since. Suggest this mare isn’t far off another win having been close-up in some recent good form races. Despite finishing 8th still thought there was a lot to like with her last start run when beaten just 2.35L in the Warrnambool Cup over 2350m. Suggest this is a much more suitable race whilst also have no concerns about the 2500m trip here. Interestingly blinkers go on for the first time whilst the addition of Luke Currie also is another positive. Simply staggered she has gone up $11 against these and although far from a good thing still think she warrants a real good each way play considering we have her rated closer to $5!

BET: WIN or EACH-WAY
ODDS $11.0 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, UniBet, BetStar

Race 4 no 2 NORDIC SYMPHONY

Outstanding effort when arguably should have been right in the finish, having had little luck when still finishing 1.5L fifth in high rating Oaks. Qafila (ran fourth in Oaks) has since more than proven that form by going on to score easily in last weeks Derby. Gives every indication this extra trip will only further suit having also found the line strongly in all of her previous efforts. If there is a concern, as slight as that maybe, she is still only in her first campaign however at this stage suggest the stars align and looks set to add some Black type. In a race with very little obvious depth suggest she more than justifies her somewhat short quote of $2.30. Clear/obvious danger is Rock Dove ($4.20) whilst suggest Etheridge ($16) presents as a likely improver and clear best early value runner.

BET: WIN 
ODDS $2.30 @ Neds

Race 5 No 4 CALL ME HANDSOME

Admittedly finding it hard to break through again however also must be said never runs a bad race. Simply love the fact that he drops back to the mile here considering he just peaked on his run when still close-up over the 1800m last start. Maps to enjoy the ideal on-pace trail whilst most of his main rivals look certain to be conceding this bloke a start. Craig Williams jumping back aboard another definite positive. Should give big sight, so much so declaring him an each-way special….does look a good bet at the $6. Big danger is Fastnet Tempest ($4.20) however will get back whilst also respecting Waging War ($10) and Magic Consol ($8.50). A roughie worth including is Mica Lil ($51). The rise to the mile may just prove to be a masterstroke?

BET: WIN or EACH-WAY
ODDS $6.0 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, UniBet, Bet365, BetStar

Race 6 No 3 FLYING KRUPT

Bursting to break through having been terrific in all three starts this preperation. Returns to her favourite track where she has won two from only three attempts whilst also love the fact she comes back to the 1200m. Senior rider jumping back aboard is also a big positive. Seriously don’t think she needs to improve much to give this a big shake despite this being a most open affair. Simply doesn’t make sense seeing her $12 hence will personally have this mare going for a good each way result.

BET: WIN or EACH-WAY
ODDS $12.0 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, UniBet, Bet365, BetStar

Race 7 No 8 COOL PASSION

Super honest mare bursting to break through having been most competitive behind some of the best sprinters in the land this campaign. Looked home before being mowed down late by Spright a fortnight back when still so game in defeat. Again drawn to give a big sight whilst meets Spright a further 2kg better at the weights. So deserves to win a race of this stature-rates $4.50. Obviously scared stiff of the classy Spright ($3.90) however must also mention one that wouldn’t shock at huge odds is Zalmona ($61-is flying without luck!).

BET: WIN or EACH-WAY
ODDS $6.50 @ Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, Bet365, BetStar

Race 8 No 12 PRIVATE LOUNGE

Really hasn’t been suited yet still run terrific in recent outings. Will find this infinitely easier dropping back to this Bench Mark 75 affair, yet still gets down in the weights, appearing well in with just 55.5kg. Admittedly will need her share of luck as she can concede a start in her races however should at least be suited by more than likely solid tempo up front. More than happy to have a decent go here at the opening $8 considering we have her rated closer to $4! Having said that reckon we have found some others at potentially big odds that must also be included. Pale Ale ($41), Bellomo ($26) and Harbour Grey ($12)  all look to be way overs and simply must be included in all investments.

BET: WIN or EACH-WAY
ODDS $8.0 @ Bet365