Warwick Farm Racing Tips – Wed May 15
We will be at Warwick Farm this Wednesday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 2 – BERGEN
Race 1: 2YO OSC Handicap 1400m
It is nice to get a 2YO race that doesn’t involve first-starters but it doesn’t look easy to start the day. MOCAMBO (2) was a very impressive maiden winner at Kembla last time coming from well back and wide to storm over the top. She is drawn out but will get back anyway, look for her late
ANTONIO PADRE (3) was ok in a harder race last time, he was held-up slightly but was entitled to find the line a little better than what he did. OLYMPIC (4) is still a maiden, there intention was to ride him closer last time but he was well back again, look for him to be more prominent early today. RARI (5) ran on well on debut in a race that has already had a subsequent winner come from it. He maps to be closer today and the step up to the 7 furlongs suits. Tough race.
Race 2: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1300m
BERGEN (2) is undefeated after two career starts, he ran on well at Kembla on debut after not having much luck then was up on the speed throughout at Newcastle last time. He only rises slightly in grade and is against his own age group, a good claim and perfect draw should see him staying undefeated. Expect him to be up on the pace with a sit throughout.
PLENTY (3) showed plenty of speed resuming. He over-raced and went clear mid-race, he tired late understandably fresh after doing too much work. Hopefully they ride him positively again and with the added fitness and settling better, I am sure he will run out the 1300m better. BENTLEY MAGIC (5) ran on well at double-figure odds to score at Gosford last time and this looks no harder, QUICK NICK (4) showed good speed leading throughout at Wyong last time. He may have to take the sit here.
Race 3: 3YO BM68 Handicap 1600m
TIME RAID (4) was held-up at a vital stage at Gosford last time, he was forced to angle around runners and lost momentum before hitting the line well. That has proved a good form reference that race with the third horse coming out and bolting in at Newcastle last week.
REXX (5) final got his maiden win when leading throughout at Gosford. He was very short in the betting that day and was very convincing, he will win more races with his on-pace style. PERFECT PITCH (2) takes the blinkers off for the first time, she has had plenty of chances to get her first win out of maiden grade but is very consistent. FUN FACT (1) has to carry the big weight but drops a stack in class compared to what he has been racing.
Race 4: BM70 Handicap 2200m
SOLDIER OF LOVE (3) is only lightly raced but looks to be a real winner. He has been well placed this campaign going through the grades nicely from the country to the provincials, he has good speed and will try to lead throughout at his city debut.
BAJAN GOLD (1) is the class runner of the field, he has to lump the 60kg and will be giving them a start, especially our top pick. He will need everything to go right and the speed to be genuine.
ZOFFANY’S LAD (2) has the wide draw to contend with, he has shown versatility and would prefer they ride him positively from the gate. Connections of CLEVERLEY (10) advised to ride the mare further forward last time, it did the trick leading throughout to get her maiden victory. She may have turned the corner now.
Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m
APERITIF (1) won’t know herself back in this grade, she is carrying the 60.5kg’s but gets a much easier assignment than what she has been tackling. She was racing well earlier in the prep before heading south at the back-end of the Autumn, she looked a little flat last time, JMac goes back on which is never a negative.
ECHO GEM (4) also drops in class and has speed, but so do a few in this. NANGAMI (3) is undefeated after two starts but this is a lot harder, she will go forward and try to lead all the way as she has done at her first two starts, see how the track is playing early in the card. If the fence is off or the back-markers are not disadvantaged, she looks a great lay. SECOND ISLAND (8) is one that will be letting it all unfold in front of her, if she gets the right cart into it and the speed is on as expected, she will be coming with the top-weight late.
Race 6: 4YO and Up BM70 Handicap 1600m
I am not very confident in this race. I want to back PRIMITIVO (10) with the blinkers back on and hopefully he can settle closer. He did a good job to run into 3rd at Wagga last time, he was a mile back straightening and was never a factor. All of his form has been early in his preps, this looks his chance to win again.
PELORUS JACK (1) looks better suited back at the mid-weeks, he was forced to work too hard at the Kenso track last time following a nice win there when leading throughout the start prior. VEGA (6) has been up for an eternity it seems but continues to race so well, he has won or placed at his last six. He maps beautifully again and must be included in everything. LATIN LIGHT (7) has placed two of three fresh and can run a race first-up. He will want further but will roll forward early. He won’t want it turned into a sit and sprint, if he can get them rolling from the 800 that would be perfect.
Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1400m
This looks the toughest race on the card and play very wide with your Quaddies. CHARRETERA (5) has had the soft run at his last couple in behind the leaders and maps to get the similar pattern here. He has hit the line well at both of them and should get the run of the race where a lot of others may need luck in the big field.
SNIPES (2) is an interesting runner drawn wide, he won two in a row in Vic before working too hard at the Valley last time and dropping out. He will get back but the big field should ensure a good tempo. EL MO (7) had been racing well in the country before failing in a harder race at Hawkesbury last time, the tongue-tie comes off and will roll forward early form the wide gate.
KING HEWITT (9) was unlucky last time when not getting the split when needed, he probably comes wider here and like most of these, will be a good each-way chance in an open race.