April 26, 2019
Tips

Randwick (Sat)

Hawkesbury

Randwick Racing Tips – Sat Apr 13

We will be at Randwick this Saturday.

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 9 – ALIZEE

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Race 1: Fernhill Handicap 2YO Quality 1600m

AMERCEMENT (1) was super at her last run, she was a mile back and ran on hard in a race that was won by the leader (has since won the Slipper) and looks beautifully suited by the mile and should settle closer. She has been given a very quiet trial in preparation for this to keep the fitness levels up.

Dangers:

The danger is that there doesn’t appear to be a lot of speed in the race, EXTRAORDINARY (6) was only fair on debut at Newcastle but may get the soft lead here? VINCO (2) has been very consistent but is deep into his first prep, not sure how that Mornington Sires form will hold up that he won last time. POWER SCHEME (4) was narrowly beaten in that same race and should also hit the line hard.

Race 2: South Pacific Stakes 3YO Quality 1400m

GREEN AEON (11) has to travel over from Warwick Farm after winning both of his starts at his home track, he has good speed and should be able to lead for a long way.

Dangers:

MILLARD REACTION (12) is also undefeated after two starts, not sure how the Queensland form will stack up but he obvious is above average. FASIKA (10) is the third of the runners that is undefeated after two starts, she is drawn poorly and both her wins have been close to the speed. She has shown that she can sit wide but this looks tougher. WILD PLANET (4) is a winner second-up as he is today, just not sure where he will get to in the run. Happy to risk him here.

Race 3: Provincial Championship Set Weights 1400m

EVALINA (14) will need some Avdulla magic from the horrendous draw, but he will probably get back anyway so just needs some cover and for the track to be playing fairly. He was super in the Newcastle qualifier, running on hard from the back, the jock losing a rein close to home. He was heavily backed that day, he will get out to very big odds here into double figures.

Dangers:

SPRING CHARLIE (3) hit the front before being run down late in his qualifier, he was first-up that day and may have just run out of condition. ARCHADEMUS (2) won that Newcastle qualifier up on the speed at a short quote, he will rocket to top pick if there is any rain around. TURNBERRY (1) will go forward form the wide gate but would need to get across cheaply.

Race 4: Percy Sykes Stakes 2YO Fillies Set Weights and Penalties 1200m

Godolphin and James Cummings hold the key here with 5 of the 11 runners, and I am sticking solid with one of them. KIAMICHI (1) wo the Slipper in convincing fashion three weeks ago, she led again and was narrowly beaten in the Sires last week and looks beautifully suited back to the 1200m here where she can jump and run again. I expect plenty of people to be taking her on and her price to drift as she is having her fourth run in 28 days, but you have to respect the trainer and this yard. There is no way that they would be sending her around again if she wasn’t up for it, she leads and wins again.

Dangers:

ANAHEED (2) looks an improver back on what is more than likely to be a better surface, PIN SEC (3) was well supported at big odds in the Slipper and was only fair but will also appreciate the better going. CHEER LEADER (5) could not have been more impressive last start leading all the way, she may get the spot behind the leader here and will be interesting to see how the form out of that race stacks up.

Race 5: Arrowfield 3YO Sprint Set Weights 1200m

CLASSIUE LEGEND (7) won his first two starts convincingly, he came out in the lead-up to this on the heavy track and was enormous in defeat after witting 3 and 4-wide throughout up on the speed. He was only run-down very late, should be up in the bunny again and will be very hard to run down.

Dangers:

AVANTAGE (11) came from NZ with a big reputation and didn’t let her fans down at Rosehill three weeks ago winning at her fist Oz start. She led all the way but the win may have been a little flattering the way the race was run. SPANISH WHISPER (12) was flying in Melbourne and gets to the quick back-up here and ENCRYPTION (2) has to be included, he chased hard behind Nature Strip last time and will find this much easier than what he has been racing.

Race 6: Australian Oaks 3YO Fillies Set Weights 2400m

It is hard to see VERRY ELLEEGANT(1) getting rolled here after dominating in the lead-up, the Vinery Stakes, at Rosehill a fortnight ago. There were plenty that wanted to pot her but she revelled in the heavy conditions again as she did winning a couple of weeks prior to that, the distance should be right up her ally and staying at the set weights, there is no reason the result will be any different.

Dangers:

FRANKELY AWESOME (3) was good behind her in the Vinery, she chased hard after being held-up and looks as though the trip will suit. Happy to play them two-out here. ARISTIA (2) was the other place-getter in that race but had her chance, ALIFEROUS (6) maybe the knock-out after doing that in the Adrian Knox last week, winning at cricket score odds.

Race 7: Queen Elizabeth Stakes WFA 2000m

The biggest talking point during the week was what race they were going to be putting WINX’s (7)  farewell WIN on the card? Would they have it as a Quaddie leg? Would they leave it until the end for the ultimate crescendo? Well here she is to start the Quaddie, she will win, who will fill the placing’s? HAPPY CLAPPER (1) has to go in for second and HE’S EMINENT (4) for third? HARTNELL (2) was super in the Donny but on the back-up and back to WFA, happy to risk the old marvel. Don’t think he can run a place here. Sit back and cheer the mighty mare for the last time.

Race 8: Sydney Cup Handicap 3200m

MIDTERM (11) beat many of these in the lead-up at Rosehill last time, it was notified that they would ride him closer and that they did. He sat up on the speed outside the leader, took over before the turn and a lovely Jamie Kah ride got him home. He never really looked in doubt in the straight, he was brilliant when asked but really stoked up nicely and was strong enough through the line to suggest the two miles in no worries.

Dangers:

One horse that he didn’t beat that day is DUBHE (10) he won over two miles in Dubai last start, has only had the 9 weeks off in travelling here to Oz and should still have the fitness levels peaking. He looks to have a stack of upside and may be too brilliant for these tried stayers. GLORY DAYS (12) is another that comes through different form-liners, last start Auckland Cup winner, she will also have no problem with the trip. GALLIC CHIEFTAIN (14) is backing up off an impressive win here last week where everything went right.

Race 9: Coolmore Legacy Fillies and Mares WFA 1600m

If ALIZEE (1) has got through her brutal (yes BRUTAL) Doncaster run last week, I am willing to say she is near on a good thing here. She was never a chance last Saturday, she was dead last and 8 or 10 wide at the 400 and approaching the rise up the straight, she wasn’t able to use her main weapon to sprint hard off a good speed and was eased down over the last furlong when no hope. She comes back to WFA against the girls here, hopefully it is a truer run race and she can get a cart into it on the turn. She loves it here normally, expect that she will show that devastating turn of foot again, and show the doubters that she can run out the mile.

Dangers:

OREGON’S DAY (6) will definitely not be going around a loser for me off the soft draw and back on a better surface. AMPHITRITE (16) made ok ground in the All Star Mile, just not sure where she gets to here. DIXIE BLOSSOMS (4) is flying, she won the Coolmore two back due to a brilliant ride in favourable conditions.

Race 10: Sapphire Stakes Fillies and Mares Set Weights and Penalties 1200m

Normally Quaddie punters would be complaining about the difficulty these fillies and mares races pose as the final leg, don’t get me wrong this is very difficult, but we do have Winx in the first leg! Those with a chance include WHITE MOSS (2) dropping back from the Coolmore and on a better surface, I AM EXCITED (3) who was ok in the Galaxy last time when never in the race, SPRIGHT (5) who arguably should have almost won the William Reid last time and last start Group Three winner WINTER BRIDE (6).

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