April 26, 2019
Tips

Randwick (Sat)

Hawkesbury

Randwick Racing Tips – Sat Apr 6

We will be at Randwick this Saturday.

Track: Soft 7. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 8 – OSBORNE BULLS

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Race 1: Kindergarten Stakes 2YO Set Weights 1100m

BIVOUAC (1) has been very consistent at this second prep, his run in the Todman was huge after being wide throughout. The winner of that race ran a bolter in the Slipper, he is drawn much better here and should be up on the speed for a long way. He has trialed well between runs.

Dangers:

ATHIRI (8) was beaten as favourite in the Magic Night, the winner of that race has since come out and brained them in the Slipper and he did have excuses having pulled up with the Thumps. Drawn well and back off the heavy track (presuming it is improving during the week), he must be given another chance. EVENING SLIPPERS (9) showed good speed and led all the way winning her maiden last time, she may be able to lead them for a long way. Watch for any money for the first-starter LIBERTINI (10), she has trialed ok.

Race 2: Carbine Club Stakes 3YO Set Weights and Penalties 1600m

RINGERDINGDING (1) is a favourite of mine but he really needs to start winning to stay in the good books. Sure, he has been beaten by stars at his last three starts (Alizee, Mystic Journey and Winx), he looks much better suited back in this grade. He always needs everything to go right with his pattern of getting back and running on, the inside gate may not be suitable. He has untapped talent, time to start showing it.

Dangers:

DEALMAKER (3) gets the blinkers back on, he wasn’t sighted behind The Autumn Sun last time and clearly wasn’t as good a run as the top selection prior to that. RANIER (2) comes through similar formlines but needs to improve, THE AUGUST (5) will find this harder but I expect him to go forward with the blinkers on and stepping up to the mile.

Race 3: Adrian Knox Stakes 3YO Fillies 2000m

AMANGIRI (6) looks to have a bright future, her debut run has been a super form reference where she was narrowly beaten, she has since come out and won two in a row, the latest she brained them at Hawkesbury by more than 5 after leading all the way as a short-priced favourite. Form from that day may be a little hard to follow as the track was very tricky, but the dominance was hard to ignore. The wide gate will mean a better price, she will roll forward and control the tempo and be too good.

Dangers:

MARACAIBO (5) is an interesting runner travelling up the Hume, she is well travelled and maps well, consistency is one of her traits and she just needs to handle the wet track. CLEMENTINA (4) is a Kiwi that has shown potential, she is still a maiden but hasn’t been beaten far at her last couple at Group One and Three levels respectively. PRINCESS JENNI (1) was wide throughout at the Valley but did have cover, she was string through the line and just needs to handle stepping up to the 2000m.

Race 4: Country Championship Set Weights 1400m

NOBLE BOY (1) has been dominant in his short career, a scare during the week with the trainer saying that he did not gallop as usual at trackwork but he has been cleared by both the steward’s vet and the bloodwork. Without that scare, the confidence would have been through the roof. His only loss in six starts was in a qualifier of these when he flashed home late. He killed them at Muswellbrook on the heavy and draws perfectly.

Dangers:

SAFE LANDING (8) will go forward early and looks the leader, he led the top pick and kicked clear before being overhauled late in the qualifier in the hunter. If the track is favouring those on the speed, she looks great value. BOCELLI (7) was a real eye-catcher in his qualifier at Goulburn after running on between runners, AL MAH HAHA (3) was the winner of that racing and lost no admirers after sitting wide without cover throughout and still being too strong.

Race 5: Chairmans Quality Handicap 2600m

SUPERNOVA (19) was a dual acceptor a few weeks ago and elected to come to the heavy track at Rosehill instead of down south, the decision was the right one and he couldn’t have been any more impressive. It was only a BM78 though, this is a lot harder but he drops a stack in weight and loved the way he let down when asked. Both Australian runs have been super, he is a star in the making, especially if there is any give in the ground!

Dangers:

SEMARI (15) has won three in a row and handles all conditions, she maps beautifully and will have the option to be on the speed or just off those making the pace. MUNTAHAA (1) is an interesting runner only having his second Australian start, the first was in the Melbourne Cup last year then wasn’t suited at WFA last time in the Australian Cup. Improvement likely. SHRAAOH (14) was very well backed last start but appeared to have every chance and looks a great lay.

Race 6: ATC Sires Produce 2YO Set Weights 1400m

PROBABEEL (11) is a Kiwi who has been set for this race since day dot, she bolted in in the karaka Million over the ditch before having her first Australian start. She chased home Kiamichi that day who has since come out and won the Slipper, she got a mile back on a day where that was not ideal, steps up to the 1400m and if the track is playing fairly across the width and you can make ground, she will be finishing better than any.

Dangers:

Hard to knock KIAMICHI (10)? She won the Magic Night when leading throughout and then never looked like losing the Slipper after finding the front. Hard to get her ready for three on the trot but she is racing so well and will be hard to catch, especially if the track is favouring the leaders. CASTELVECCHIO (1), like our top selection, missed the Slipper and had this as his Grand Final, he was super through the line late behind Microphone last start, that was the form line everyone wanted to know about a couple of weeks out from the Slipper. MICROPHONE (2) was super in the Slipper also, just feel that he may want a break now and although he is a star, he looks a good risk.

Race 7: Australian Derby 3YO Set Weights 2400m

MADISON COUNTY (2) was super last week coming from a mile back, a pattern that early in the day certainly didn’t seem favourable. He is already a Group One winner back in NZ, his first up-run here in Oz was almost as good as the Autumn Sun’s, the 2400m looks right up his alley and he handles all conditions.

Dangers:

STARS OF CARRUM (9) is a runner that really interests me, he comes into this off a Mornington Cup run where he hit the line well in a race where that pattern didn’t really suit. He is still yet to win out of maiden grade, but he will certainly run the trip. In an open race he looks a great each-way bet at the likely double figure odds. FRANKLY AWESOME (18) chased hard when clear behind the superstar filly in the Vinery last week, on the quick back-up and taking on the boys, she will be giving them a start but will run on hard. ARROGANT (4) went within 0.2 lengths of causing a huge upset in the Rosehill Guineas, he will be up on the speed but the speed should be genuine and he will be tested throughout, the toughness is certainly there.

Race 8: T J Smith Stakes WFA 1200m

OSBORNE BULLS (7) is the best 6 furlong horse in the country In my opinion, and this race sets up beautifully for him. Speed everywhere, he will let them settle early before Hughie gets him to the outside and swoops late. He handles the conditions well enough, last time he was here Tommy Berry decided to try tactics that nobody on the day had done and get to the extreme outside fence when narrowly beaten in an Everest, to this day I am still convinced if the hero option wasn’t taken, he would have won. He has had a month in between runs,

Dangers:

PIERATA (4) is the only other horse I want to be backing. Yes, it is a star-studded field but these two look the most suited with the abundance of speed, provided the track is playing fair to both on-pace and swoopers. He was super when narrowly missing last week behind the speedy Nature Strip, he really hit the line well and has won third-up. SANTA ANA LANE (3) can become a saver as he also will settle off them, he was good up the straight last time and was as good as anything (barring Osborne Bulls) through the line. REDZEL (1) next best. TRAPEZE ARTIST (2) is my lay of the day. Take him on! He has to start a lot longer than the $4 currently on offer.

Race 9: Doncaster Mile Handicap 1600m

BRUTAL (20) is a 3YO taking on the older horses, he gets in with 49kg here under the handicap conditions and looks extremely well weighted. Bossy takes the ride, he is due for a heroic effort, getting down to that weight and winning a Doncaster is something that he will see as a stepping stone to get him back in the limelight! He ran a bolter last time, 2nd to Winx at WFA where he only carried 1kg less than the best horse ever, he meets Hartnell the top weight 6kg better than what he would at WFA. HE is on the up, has had a nice lead into this, the barrier is obviously a concern but Bossy will find a way!

Dangers:

FUNDAMENTALIST (18) is another 3YO that has been going enormous, drawn well she will be making her own luck up on the speed. FIFTY STARS (15) also looks well weighted, he has come along well since leaving the Weir yard. UNFORGOTTEN (10) looks better suited here back to a handicap and off the heavy track.

Race 10: P.J. Bell Stakes 3YO Fillies Set Weights and Penalties 1200m

Tough race to finish. Luckily, we are keen on a couple in the other Quaddie legs, so play wide here. MIZZY (9) was ok in the Coolmore, MADAM ROUGE (10) was ok in the Surround after over-racing, she needs to settle better. SPANISH WHISPER (1) won the Kewney down south last start at Group Two level after sitting wide throughout, just has to carry the big weight and FIESTA (2) is better than what she showed in the Coolmore where she dropped out badly. She just didn’t seem to handle the track. Lottery!

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