August 18, 2022
Featured Tips

Rosehill (Sat)

Rosehill

Sydney Racing Tips – Saturday March 12, 2022

Saturday @ Rosehill:

Track: Heavy 9. Rail: True.

OUR BETS:

2:05pm R4 #3 JUST FOLK
3:20pm R6 #11 FANGIRL (Best)
4:40pm R8 #3 VANGELIC each way
4:40pm R8 #12 PROMISE OF SUCCESS


QUADDIE:

Starts Race 7 at 4:00pm AEDT

1st leg: 1, 3, 4, 5
2nd leg: 3, 4, 8, 12, 15
3rd leg: 6, 7, 9, 11, 14
4th leg: 5, 7, 12, 14

$20 gets you 5%, a very tough one!


PREVIEWS

Race 4: AJAX STAKES 1500m

JUST FOLK (3) ran a credible 3.5L 7th in the G1 CF Orr 1400 behind TOFANE last start and finished his last campaign with a one length 6th behind SUPERSTORM in the G1 Cantala 1600 after winning the G2 Crystal Mile 1600. First go Sydney way but gets inform and noted wet track rider in Jason Collett to steer and he looks to box seat. Third up now, he might just give him the fitness edge on his rivals.

Dangers:

ELLSBERG (1) led and won at his leisure first up in a G3 1300 affair. Back to his home track now but rises a bit in weight and will have to work to find the lead from a wide draw. He’s the one to beat but has been beaten at all 3 second runs. BRUTALITY (2) ran home ok for a 3 and a bit length 3rd to ELLSBERG over 1300 after ending last campaign with a win in the G2 Villiers 1600. That win gives him automatic entry into the G1 Doncaster over 1600 and I suspect that is where he will peak.

Betting Approach:

(3) JUST FOLK: 0.5 units win @ $8.0

Race 6: PHAR LAP STAKES 1500m

FAN GIRL (11) was given no hope when ridden too far back last start, but still ran an incredible 1.96L 5th in the G1 Surround 1400m on a Hvy 10. Chris Waller has trained 6 of the last 7 winners of this race and most notably all 6 were fillies, including superstar WINX. I suspect this girl will be his 7th.  

Danger:

EXTREME FLIGHT (1) looks the only possible challenger if FANGIRL has an off day or gets bad luck.

Betting Approach:

(11) FANGIRL: 1 unit win @ $2.20

Race 8: COOLMORE CLASSIC 1500m

PROMISE OF SUCCESS (12) has finished 2nd at both runs this time in behind SNAPDANCER over 1200 and FORBIDDEN LOVE over 1400 at G2 level on a Hvy10. Nice drop in weight, third up now, this mare should be hard fit and ready to peak. Inform trainer and a natural light weight jockey.

Dangers:

VANGELIC (3) finished 3RD to FORBIDDEN LOVE first up over 1400 and ended her last prep running 3rd to IM THUNDERSTRUCK in the Golden Eagle 1500 at this track. The wide draw isn’t ideal and she’s not that well off at the weights. However with an inform trainer and jockey combo this mare will roll to front and may be hard to run down. The $21 on offer is a tempting each way play. HINGED (8) won the G1 Surround for 3yo fillies over 1400 last start on a Hvy10. She placed 2nd in the G1 1600 flight stakes last prep. She’s 2 from 2 on heavy tracks and will like push forward and sit handy to the speed. W Pike takes over here as she drops nicely in weight for this race. In an open race that mares have won the last 12 runnings of, she looks an each way chance.  

Betting Approach:

(12) PROMISE OF SUCCESS: 0.6 units win @ $7.50
(3) VANGELIC: 0.2 units each way @ $21.50 win & $5.00 pl

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