December 4, 2020
Tips

Rosehill (Fri)

Canterbury
Sydney Racing Tips – Friday November 20, 2020
Friday @ Rosehill:

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 6m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – KIKU
Race 1: REGULATION (5) from 3, 7 and 6.
Race 2: KIKU (2) from 7, 4, and 9.
Race 3: SAFFIANO (2) from 5, 1 and 3.
Race 4: SACRED SUITE (6) from 4, 1 and 9.
Race 5: TRAMINER (9) from 2, 4 and 3.
Race 6: EASIFAR (14) from 2, 7 and 5.
Race 7: ABOVE AND BEYOND (2) from 5, 6 and 10.

Race 1: 3YO and Up Maiden Plate 1800m

REGULATION (5) hasn’t been far away at both of his career starts, he sat up on the speed at Newcastle on debut then was at Kembla last time and was narrowly beaten in a three-way go after a gun ride. JMac takes over here from the good gate, he isn’t far away from his first win.

Dangers: DHAKURI (3) is also trained by James Cummings, he showed a stack of improvement at Wyong last time when charging into second from a mile back. He looks suited getting on the bigger track. LA SAGRA (7) rounds out the trifecta of Godolphin runners, obviously we must respect where the money comes with this stable having the top three picks. BELLA VIOLET (6) has had her chances, they look like they are still trying to find out the best way to ride her. Throw her in the minor placings in exotics.

Race 2: 3YO Maiden Handicap 1400m

KIKU (2) looks the best of the day. She placed at her first two starts before going to the paddock, she had trialed well prior to resuming at Randwick on the heavy track. She was an easing favourite but after sitting outside the leader, stuck on well to be beaten under a length with daylight third. She should roll forward from the wide gate and give JMac an early double.

Dangers:

FINALLY REALISE (7) has been very consistent this time in, he will also roll forward with King going on, she will probably take a sit on him though. He looked to have every hance last start, love the map again. SOLAR APEX (4) is a stable mate to the top pick resuming, I prefer the Waller horses with a run under their belt, but the booking of Nash must be respected. UNDERSTATEMENT (9) didn’t show much at his first prep but looks to have come back a different horse, he had every chance at Wyong but expect him to settle closer and look for the top today.

Race 3: 3YO Grad Handicap 1200m

SAFFIANO (2) has officially changed yards, the former Waller runner won his maiden last prep before being thrown in the deep end involving a trip to Brisbane to tackle a G1. He has been gelded, gets a stack of gear changes and has trialed well. If there is money for him, the confidence grows.

Dangers:

TOSCANINI (5) is a last start maiden winner, he was resuming that day and sat parked. He took over early in the straight and ran away, clocking the best last furlong of the race in the process. ELBUENA (1) has won back-to-back races on the Kenso and at Wyong, this is harder again, but he has proved that he can do it at both ends. CULTURAL AMNESIA (3) has been gelded and resumes today, he has trialed well and was thrown in against the best babies in the land last prep.

Race 4: BM72 Handicap 1800m

This looks the toughest race on paper, play wide to start the Quadrella. SACRED SUITE (6) is flying and never seems to run a bad race, he comes down from Queensland where he has been flying all prep. He won two in a row at Ipswich, he ran on well last time into second without ever looking the winner in a race that it was favourable to be closer to the speed.

Dangers:

All of them. NYAMI (4) won two on end to start this prep, he usually gets ridden behind the speed and is saved for one run. Not sure about the map as he may get a further pair back, certainly has to be included though. EXPRESS COURIER (1) was flying back home at Canberra winning twice earlier in the prep before coming here last time and never really got warm on the heavy track. He will get back so everything needs to go right. KARMAZONE (9) gets the winkers for the first time, he will also get back but keep grinding home.

Race 5: 5YO and Up Entires and Geldings BM72 Handicap 1500m

TRAMINER (9) gets the winkers for the first time, he is an interesting runner that is well travelled. He started his career in Vic, was sent to Hong Kong after a good maiden win and only had one start in Asia. He obviously had some issues as he was off the scene for 74 weeks, he has produced some good sectionals at his two runs since returning.

Dangers:

GREEK HERO (2) is a dual acceptor, he is resuming with Tom Sherry and must be included if he starts in this. His trials have only been fair but was a winner last prep when coming back from the paddock. COME ALONG (4) has only been battling at his last couple after good runs in transit, he maps well again but and get a favourable jockey change. CISCO BAY (3) is not officially first-up but has had 6-weeks between runs. He settled further back than expected last start, really not sure where he settles from the wider draw.

Race 6: Fillies and Mares BM72 Handicap 1500m

EASIFAR (14) has to step out of maiden grade for the first time, she had placed at her first two starts before breaking the duck last time on the heavy track at Randwick. She was an easing favourite but led and never looked like getting run down, losing a plate along the way. I think she can sit parked from the wide gate, she looks to have plenty of upside.

Dangers:

JOLIETTE (2) is a stablemate to the top pick, she looks a big improver coming off a poor fresh run. She has placed at her two other second-up starts, JMac on and a better map today. INSTANT ATTRACTION (7) should get a soft run from the inside gate, she has been sharpened up with a trial since her last run three weeks ago. RUBY TUESDAY (5) has the horror draw, she will get back and needs the right tempo to run over the top.

Race 7: BM72 Handicap 1300m

Where to look here! ABOVE AND BEYOND (2) was in this class last start at Randwick when resuming, he got a mile back and ran on well to miss by the narrowest possible margin at big odds. He produced the best last 800m of the day in what was a real eye-catcher, he was settling closer last prep. The draw worries me.

Dangers:

SNOWFIRE (5) won back-to-back races before going to the break, he was right out to the mile at the back-end of that prep so may need further. PAPAL WARRIOR (6) is another resuming, he gets Avdulla taking over the ride but like many unknowns here, gets back fresh. DREAM CIRCLE (10) doesn’t win out of turn, he has been very consistent and ran some nice sectionals getting into a place last time.

Sydney Racing Tips –  Friday November 13, 2020
Friday @ Canterbury:

Track: Soft 5. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 2 – RUDDOCK
Race 1: SELBUROSE (2) from 1, 4 and 6.
Race 2: RUDDOCK (7) from 6, 11 and 12.
Race 3: GONE BYE (2) from 7, 9 and 4.
Race 4: DEFERENCE (6) from 4, 5 and 10.
Race 5: NAJMAH (12) from 3, 1 and 5.
Race 6: JULIAN ROCK (1) from 8, 12 and 13.
Race 7: CATAPULT (8) from 1, 10 and 14.
Race 8: STOLEN JADE (11) from 10, 3 and 8.

Race 1: 3YO Maiden Handicap 1200m

Tough start to the night with so many unknowns. SELBUROSE (2) has placed at both runs this time in, she had the perfect run at Warwick Farm resuming, loomed up to win but just may have run out of condition. Last time on the Kenso track she hit the line well but just found one better, there was a big gap to third.

Dangers:

BELIEBER (1) resumes as a gelding, he showed good natural speed in two starts back late last year and wasn’t beaten far on debut against some smart babies. Look for any money for him here fresh. KIKU (4) should improve second-up as a lot of Waller horses do, she had her chance resuming up on the speed on the heavy track, look for her to be parked behind the speed. Watch for any money for the three debutants, most notably the Portelli trained UNRELENTING (6)

Race 2: 3&4YO Maiden 1550m

RUDDOCK (7) gets no favours with the draw, he has placed at both runs this time in after starting his career in Qld. He ran on hard from a mile back at Newcastle fresh then went to Kembla and copped a bog track, was forced to chase the leader hard and missed by a whisker. Love the jockey change, he looks to have a stack of talent.

Dangers:

MR GEE (6) has been close at both his career starts, a little concerning he has given away big starts early at both of them. Look for him late. ALWAYS ON SHOW (11) has placed at his two runs since resuming his career back in NSW, she was brave in defeat at her latest after sitting three-wide no cover throughout. KAKARIKI (12) had plenty of excuses at her latest, she did have the best 800-200m sectional of the race after being held-up at a vital stage.

Race 3: BM72 Handicap 1900m

GONE BYE (2) hasn’t been far away at his last couple and from the good draw you know that he will be out of trouble making his own luck up on the speed. He was very well backed last start and had to sit parked, he was beaten as favourite but lost no admirers.

Dangers:

DEADLY IMPACT (7) was only narrowly beaten at Kembla last start after working very hard three-wide early to get outside the speed. Looks a great jockey change and he will only need cover to feature in the placings. KUTAYHA (9) won his maiden two starts back at Newcastle, his first go out of that grade he narrowly missed on the Kenso track after getting the gun run. He doesn’t map as well here. UNAMERICAN (4) won a much easier race two back then won the Cessnock Cup at Newcastle last start, he really ran them along in front and may just give the gun run to the top pick?

Race 4: BM72 Handicap 1200m

DEFERENCE (6) resumed here at canterbury two starts back and after making a mess of the start, produced some of the best late sectionals of the day. He then was on the Kenso and didn’t have a lot of room late when only beaten a length, hard to beat with even luck.

Dangers:

HE’S A HOTSHOT (4) was resuming at Warwick Farm a month ago, after getting the gun run in transit he chased har debut just found one better. There was a good gap to third and he will improve off that run. AMBLEVE (5) is an interesting runner, she was off the scene for almost a year before resuming on the heavy track at Rosehill in a harder race. I expect there to be money for her. EL MAGNIFICENCE (10) will be trying to lead, he will need it soft in front up in this class.

Race 5: BM72 Handicap 1100m

NAJMAH (12) could not have been more impressive at her debut on the heavy track at Kembla two weeks ago. She shared the front and was forced to sit parked, she took over at the top of the straight and was very green but way too good, running away to win by almost 4 lengths at a very short quote.

Dangers:

LORD OLYMPUS (3) looks the only danger, if there is one and happy to take those two only in the first leg of the Quad. He has only tasted defeat once in his career, should be up on the speed and without the top pick in this, would be very short in the betting. Those that want to play the exotics, throw in LANCASTER BOMBER (1) and LESAGE (5) for the minors.

Race 6: BM72 Handicap 1550m

Lucky we went two out in the first leg because there looks any number of chances here. JULIAN ROCK (1) was ok here resuming then was beaten out of sight at Goulburn in the Cup, I like the jockey change with the claiming apprentice going on in an open race. He has raced better opposition than this. OLYMPIC LEGEND (8) is a last start winner on the Kenso track, they rode him closer and was too good sitting outside the speed. Barrier 16 obviously an issue, is that his role again? HAPPY CANDY (12) has good speed and will be looking for the top, she was only run down in the last few strides at her latest. KUKERACHA (13) comes into play if he gets a start here, he is a dual-acceptor.

Race 7: 5YO and Up BM72 Handicap 1250m

CATAPULT (8) has been very consistent without winning this time in, he placed at back-to-back race sat Warwick Farm and Newcastle before going to the inner track at Randwick last time. He over r-aced through the middle stages and was forced to ease off heels mid-race, he chased hard into a place but again found a couple better. He maps well, if he drops his head on his chest early he will hit the line hard.

Dangers:

Many. Another open race. IRUKANDJI (1) is resuming, he is yet to win at 6 first-up runs which is a little alarming but has been trialing well in preparation for this. PHOENIX GLOBAL (10) is not officially first-up but has had six weeks between runs, he was last seen at Moonee Valley and led everywhere but the post. He was a recent trial winner for the new stable, watch the betting. If they really come for him, don’t have him going around a loser in your leger. HE’S A HOTSHOT (14) has also accepted for an earlier race, he plays a part off the good draw if he comes here.

Race 8: Fillies and Mares BM72 Handicap 1200m

STOLEN JADE (11) resumed with a win at Gosford in what was just her second go out of maiden grade. She was three-wide without cover throughout and kept coming to find the lead over the last 100 and was raced away. It was a very solid effort, you can sit wide there over 1200m but it was very impressive to the eye.

Dangers:

DEEP CRYSTAL (10) was in this grade last start and there was a stack of money for her late, she over-raced up on the speed and faded late. She maps well again, just needs to settle better. BRING THE RANSOM (3) resumed at Rosehill on the heavy track, she got a mile back in the run before producing the best 800-200m sectional of the race to just miss the placings. ALISON OF TUFFY (8) won at the Kenso two back before going up in grade and he didn’t have much luck late, she probably should have finished closer.

Warwick Farm Racing Tips – Wednesday June 17
Wednesday @ Warwick Farm:

Track: Heavy 9. Rail: +5m 1000m – WP, +3m Remainder.

Best Bet: Race 7 – FARETTI
Race 1: RADIANCE (5) from 2, 7 and 1.
Race 2: BEYLIKS (1) from 2, 3 and 5.
Race 3: DIVINE ELEVEN (6) from 5, 1 and 2.
Race 4: REFORMIST (6) from 7, 8 and 3.
Race 5: HE RUNS AWAY (2) from 1, 8 and 5.
Race 6: QUANTICO (10) from 6, 3 and 9.
Race 7: FARETTI (2) from 1, 5 and 8.

===

Race 1: 2YO Fillies Maiden Plate 1100m

Four of the seven are going to the races for the first time and to be honest, they look the main players. RADIANCE (5) is a filly for the James Cummings stable, she has shown more intent at her latest trial and gets the booking of JMac. ESCAPE ARTIST (2) has won both trials here at her home track and sure to be ready to go fresh. ZERO TO HUNDRED (7) has been given two quiet trials leading into this, this stable can really get a 2YO to go first-up. BOURBON ROSE (1) is resuming for the Godolphin yard, she looks the best performed of those we have seen before. The betting will obviously tell us more.

Race 2: 2YO Colts and Geldings Maiden Plate 1100m

BEYLIKS (1) is an interesting runner, this is his fourth start but the first time that he has had a second-up run. He resumed in the Champagne Classic north of the border at G2 level, he was only fair in the run home to the eye but probably wasn’t suited not being right up on the speed. This is certainly easier.

Dangers:

DANCE (2) has placed at three of four career runs, his last two on the soft track since resumig have been good when running on from back in the field. McEvoy replaces Rachel King, doubt that he will ride him more positive. EDMOND (3) was given plenty of time before debuting at Canterbury three weeks ago, he sat up on the speed and stuck on well, will he have to face the breeze again? JIMMY’S DREAM (5) is a debutant from the Gai/Bott yard and sure to have plenty of tactical speed.

Race 3: 3&4YO BM70 Handicap 2140m

DIVINE ELEVEN (6) won his maiden at Kembla three starts ago, he got back and ran on at his first go out of that grade before failing in a harder race in town last time. He will appreciate the improving track and maps to get a soft run, this stable must be respected when bringing one down for the midweeks.

Dangers:

DIAMONDS AND RUST (5) is a Gai/Bott runner with Tim Clark going back aboard, she was beaten as favourite last time when sitting outside the speed, that may be her spot again. TOLEMAC (1) is flying at the moment winning three of his last five, he has good speed and handles the wet tracks and will be making his own luck. Nash rides, lose nothing with him going on a horse that will be up on the speed. ALL THINGS (2) Has won two of the last three, he has to step up in class off an ordinary Class1/Maiden field at Wyong last start, JMac takes over in the saddle.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1600m

REFORMIST (6) was beaten just under 2 lengths last start in a race we can line-up the form, he was slowly away, over-raced badly and was never on the track. Widest from the 600m, he produced some of the best sectionals of the race, he can improve with a better run and a couple of gear changes.

Dangers:

LE LUDE (7) has been good all four runs this campaign, she comes through a race a few of these did last time and was brave in defeat. She was wide without cover and had to work to get a position with cover, she kept chasing but that early work told late. She maps better today. AZARMIN (8) was a real eye-catcher when resuming on the Kenso track in a similar race to this, she got well back and ran on hard producing the best last 800m of the race, just missing the placings. LEWIS (3) is resuming from a spell and has been gelded in his time off. His two runs last prep were poor but the chop and the booking of Nash again may see some improvement.

Race 5: 4YO and Up BM70 Handicap 2400m

HE RUNS AWAY (2) has had a month between runs, he was at Rosehill in a harder race and after getting back worse than mid-field in the run, chased hard to get within a length of the winner at the finish, just missing third. He is still looking for his first win in Australia which is a little concerning.

Dangers:

TERWILLIKER (1) is a last start winner in BM78 grade when carrying no weight, he looks the leader again and although he gets some relief with the claim, he still has to lump 55. Kg’s than that last start win. SHE’S A TREASURE (8) has been racing consistently, a little concerning that she has still not won out of maiden grade though. She will be just off the speed and will need cover. SHE’S SO SAVVY (5) has won twice this campaign and yet to miss a place in 5 starts this time in. She ran on hard from last and a mile back on the heavy track at Warwick Farm producing the best last 400m of the race. She handles all conditions, a wet track won’t worry her!

Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1200m

QUANTICO (10) won his maiden when resuming last prep, his first go out of that grade was poor when beaten as a very short-priced favourite, he did appear in the steward’s report as being slow to recover so happy to overlook that run and focus on the short SP. He has only been fair at the trials, JMAc sticks with the ride.

Dangers:

ACCELERATO (6) looked a little flat when resuming on the Kenso track, he does have a much better record when second-up (4:0-1-3) and expect him to be a big improver. HE’S A HOTSHOT (3) hasn’t won in more than year but didn’t run a bad race last prep placing at 5 of 6. He has good tactical speed, Nash should have all the options from the inside gate. I expect that he will try and lead and make them try and run him down. L’COSMO (9) gets the winkers back on, she will find this easier than her last couple of starts including a 3-length defeat in Listed grade two starts back. She is a must include in all exotic bet types in this grade.

Race 7: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1300m

FARETTI (2) has placed at both starts this campaign. He was pressured form the outside throughout when sticking on well to place fresh then over-raced in front at Newcastle and weakened late to hang on for third. He gets the blinkers on for the first time, expect that to sharpen him right up and be very hard to catch. He looks a great each-way bet.

Dangers:

DARLEB (1) has been up for a while having his sixth start this campaign, he was a winner at Wyong three starts back and has run on well at his last two to place. Hughie will get back from the inside and ride for luck, he will be fishing as good as any as he saves ground around the turn. FASHCHANEL (5) looks to have plenty of ability, she resumed at Kembla in an easier race and produced some of the best sectionals of the meeting winning an easier race. TRAVEST (8) was a winner on debut and sent straight to the paddock, he has improved at each trial getting ready for this. He got back at his only start so expect that again from the wide gate.

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