Sandown Racing Tips – Wed Apr 10
We will be at Sandown this Wednesday.
Track: Good 3. Rail: True
Best Bet: Race 3 – MUSIC BAY
Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1000m
Too hard with 8/12 coming to the races for the first time. Watch the betting for any significant moves, particularly from RAABEEHA (10) and FLIRTING (5). JUDGEMENT (6) had excuses two back and then was in a much harder race at her last start,
HACKERESS (12) was beaten as favourite on debut, draws to get a soft run and has trialed fairly.
Race 2: Super Vobis 2YO Handicap 1400m
CHENIER (1) was well backed at his debut here at the inner track three weeks ago, admittedly that wasn’t a strong race but the way that he destroyed them showed that he is a serious juvenile. He was mid-field before improving four-wide, dashed to the front before the furlong and put three or four lengths on them in what seemed a few strides. Like most of the Godolphin youngsters he looks to have a huge future, this guy looks like he will get the mile no problem. He will be very short, but he will be winning.
SURREAL STEP (8) looks a great play for the exotics, he ran on hard before peaking late on debut then had no luck when the runs came last time in a harder race than this. WALKING FLYING (10) comes through the same race as the top pick and didn’t have much luck when held-up at a vital stage. SONG BROCADE (11) made good ground resuming against the tempo of the race last time and maps well.
Race 3: BM64 Handicap 1300m
MUSIC BAY (7) has placed at both of her runs this time in, she has been consistent without able to win since her debut victory. She took on a tougher grade against the girls at both runs this prep, she ran on hard at the latest when narrowly missing with a big margin to third.
LECTURE (10) has good speed and will go forward early. He led and got run down in a similar race last time and should be at peak fitness now. SEARCH SQUAD (8) is a veteran still racing well, he won in this grade last start after having to do all the work up on the speed and wide. GAELIC DREAM (12) dashed to the front here on the inner track last time in the straight but faded late, she can feature if saved for one run.
Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1300m
It looks a very open race but am very confident about the chances of JENTICO (12). She won her first two races, she was well beaten at Listed level before going to the break. She resumed at Mornington a couple of weeks ago, she was in trouble early and pulled up lame, she is better than that. She draws well here and was a winner at her only other second-up start.
Most of them. MRS O’MALLEY (13) is very consistent, she will be giving them a start and probably needs to be ridden for luck off the inside draw. DANCING TYCOON (6) is consistent, will be up on the speed and gets a good claim. OUR SEA GODDESS (3) is another that is likely to go forward from the wide draw, she was beaten as favourite last start against the boys and has a good SP profile.
Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1600m
Where to look here! As usual with these girl’s middle distance, middle tiered class events they are very open! HOKKAIDO MISS (2) is an interesting runner that is a recent addition from Europe for the Waterhouse/Bott yard, she was ok at her Australian debut when running on ok in a race where the tempo didn’t really suit that pattern. INDIANA LILLY (8) is a last start winner at Pakenham where she had to do a lot of chasing, she is likely to get further back here and come with one run. KEVIKKI (10) was outclassed last time but was super at her first three career runs, a little concerning that she is at her fifth run at her first prep, but she clearly has the talent. LIMESHOW (11) charged home on the inner track here resuming last time, this is harder but the big field should ensure that the tempo is strong enough for her to feature late.
Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1600m
Happy to narrow it down to three here for Quaddie players, and down to one for those that have faith! HEIR TO THE THRONE (1) resumed here on the inner track three weeks ago, he got a mile back before running on hard into second behind a winner that led all the way. He should settle a lot closer here.
BLINDER (2) was good resuming in the Bendigo Guineas, he saved ground and ran on hard along the inside. He wasn’t far away at his only other second-up run and maps well. GRETZKY (10) has not won out of maiden grade but is very consistent, although he must be thrown in the wider exotics, he is clearly the third pick. He will be making his own luck up on the speed. MOUNT TABORA (5) is an interesting runner for the Snowden yard, he was poor in the same race that the top pick came through, but he was first-up for 6 months and was debuting in Oz. He will be an improver.
Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1000m
Another tough race on paper with all but two of the eight with realistic chances. THE CENTAURIAN (1) flies fresh, he showed that again last start when he won resuming after sitting wide on the pace. His record is still ok when second-up, he has the speed to lead these and if he finds the rail in front, he will be hard to run down.
WRITTEN CHOICE (3) is resuming and has been gelded in his time away from the track. He was racing in Listed class before going to the paddock, he has good speed also and will be looking for the top spot. If either of these two find the top easily, maybe bet up in the run? JOSEPHINE SEA (7) won resuming, she will probably be giving them a start and will need everything to go right. KYZAMBA (6) is also resuming, she goes ok fresh but second-up is usually her go. Watch the betting but maybe wait until next time.
Race 8: BM84 Handicap 1800m
LYNCH MOB (10) has been killing it in SA, he had won three in a row before narrowly missing last time at 75 grade. He will find this tougher but he is really flying, with his pattern of getting back and running on, it is really hard to be so consistent. Look for him late at big odds.
SILENT ROAR (11) will probably start at the top of the betting, she has good speed but this is much harder than what she beat up on against her own sex last time. She can definitely win but I wouldn’t be taking under each-way odds about her. ADMIRAL’S JOKER (13) will also find this tougher but is racing well, he maps perfectly and just needs to be saved for one run. BASS (9) is an interesting runner having its first tun in almost two years for Lloyd Williams, he was last seen at Newmarket in July 17. He has won a trial recently so watch the betting with him.