March 31, 2020
Tips

Sandown (Wed)

Bendigo

Sandown Racing Tips – Wed Mar 18th

We will be at Sandown this Wednesday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 9m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 5 – SCIPIO

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Race 1: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1400m

BAYVISTA (1) was solid in the market on debut at the Valley, he sat up outside the speed and took over early in the straight before getting run down late.  He gets the claim and the good draw, and may be better suited on the bigger track. We know that on-pacers can be advantaged here.

Dangers:

WHITTINGTON STONE (5) has placed at three of four career runs, he looks the other horse that will be contending the lead and may be an in-play bet if he is able to cross to the fence first. COMMODUS (2) will find this more suitable after contesting the Guineas last start behind Alligator Blood, he wasn’t sighted in that as you can understand but they must have an opinion of him to throw him in that. SILESIAN (3) placed on debut then was very flat at the Boo, don’t be surprised to see the Maher/Eustace team improve him.

Race 2: 2YO Maiden Plate Set Weights 1300m

Tough race. FLYING AWARD (4) from the Danny O’Brien yard, CROWN MINT (3) did a good job on debut in SA and was heavily favoured, CHART BUSTER (2) was big odds up the straight on debut but hit the line hard. Watch for any money for the Freedman trained first-starter, AIN’TNODEELDUN (1). 

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 2400m

KENTUCKY TORNADO (6) will probably start the shortest priced favourite of the day, and deservedly so. He looks the best of good things. HE won by more than 5 lengths at Newcastle earlier in te prep before heading south, placed here two starts ago before a crushing win last time when leading all the way. THe small field should see no pressure, how do they beat him?

Dangers:

None. He looks the best of good things. NO COMMITMENT (1) will find this easier than last start, there was some money for him at the big odds and he did make steady ground out wide in the straight. He just lacks that brilliance of the top pick. MOUNTAIN BREATH (5) placed at consecutive runs earlier in the campaign but has been only fair since and YOUNG HOSTESS (4) did a good enough job in the Stony Creek Cup last time, this is no harder.

Race 4: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1000m

Only a small field but it looks a very competitive affair. DEFIANT DANCER (3) is resuming off a 19-week break, he has placed at both fresh runs and it is hard to forget the maiden win last campaign when he bolted in by almost 6 lengths. He has trialed well, the small field suits and he should have the cold sit on them.

Dangers:

All of them? OCEANIC DRIFT (2) is a last start winner on the soft track at Cranbourne, he led all the way that day but not sure the front is there for him today? Teo Nugent takes the ride with the claim, he may be worth a bet in the run if he finds the top early. LANKAN STAR (1) is resuming and is certainly the class runner of the race, he gets a couple of gear changes for this fresh run but won’t know himself back in this grade after contesting black type racing at the back-end of last campaign. MAKTABBA (5) was a real eye-catcher up the straight last time, she had to chase hard before hitting the front and tiring late. She can certainly win but against the boy sin this grade I wouldn’t be taking the shorts.

Race 5: 4YO+ BM64 Handicap 1000m

SCIPIO (7) won two in a row to start this prep, his maiden win was good then he was heavily backed at his first go out of that grade and got the job done. Last start up the straight he was easy in the betting but stuck on well after racing on the speed. This looks no harder.

Dangers:

ANOLASS (10) has been only fair in recent starts when up on the pace, she should be able to use the good gate to her advantage here. She led all the way in a similar race at Geelong earlier in the campaign, a couple of gear changes may do the trick for her today. PARIANO (4) worked too hard early to get outside the speed in a harder race at the Valley last time, go on her good effort to start the campaign when she led all the way. BIG REEL (1) drops a stack in class from recent runs at the Valley, he has only been fair in the run home at the last couple but should appreciate the big track and the inside draw.

Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1600m

HEY MIGHTY (7) is an interesting runner for the Gai/Bott yard, he has had two runs back this prep since winning his maiden,. He was poor on the heavy track at Warwick Farm fresh after leading then stuck on well in a harder race at Flemington last time. I expect him to lead and be very hard to run down.

Dangers:

TAKUNI (1) gets the 2kg claim for star apprentice Teo Nugent, he was beaten a long way at his Australian debut but forget he went around after he was held-up for most of the straight. He placed at both his previous second-up runs when in the UK, watch the betting for any confidence with him. PLAYOFFS (9) was a good maiden winner last start after being forced to sit wide without cover on the speed last time. He was well backed and strong through the line once he took control and it has proven a good form reference since. FUDGED (4) won on a heavy track at Pakenham three starts ago, her two runs back have been fair but she will need everything to go right as she will be giving them a start.

Race 7: BM64 Handicap 1300m

GRACEFUL STORM (3) doesn’t win out of turn but she faces a big class drop from recent runs into this. Two starts back she was not in it behind Sylvia’s Mother at G3 level then last time she was poorly away but chased well up the straight at Flemington in a much harder girls race. I just feel she is ready to do something and this looked the right class of race to that.

Dangers:

BEAUTY BOLT (6) is an interesting runner resuming, she may need the run first-up but has trialed well She was last seen in the Oaks at Flemington over 2500m, she wasn’t beaten far the start prior to that at G2 level. HIDDEN LEGEND (8) won on debut and has placed at two runs since, he was held-up at a vital stage when resuming at the Valley and hit the line well. He probably should have won that race. AREE AL (9) is an interesting runner that comes to the races for the new yard for the first time, his jump-outs have only been fair and would like to see some money for him.

Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1400m

KILLAVALLY (4) has had one run back this campaign in an easier race than this, he was held-up early in the straight that day here and ran on well without getting much room in the run home. He was good in his first prep, he should settle closer here and wasn’t suited by the tempo fresh.

Dangers:

BEEHUNTER (13) has the wide draw to overcome the wide draw but will get back anyway, he looks better suited here than at the Valley when resuming., he got a mile back and hit the line well, the bigger track suits. ORIENTAL LILY (12) was heavily backed to beat the girls last start, she was held-up before exploding late back along the inside to score. This looks harder. MINYINGA (2) is also drawn wide, she gets the blinkers off for the first time. If she can reproduce her run here on the inner track three starts ali where she led all the way she will be hard to run down.

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