December 13, 2019
Featured Tips

Sandown (Wed)

Moonee Valley

Sandown Racing Tips – Wed Nov 27

We will be at Sandown this Wed.

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 3 – HARD PRESS

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Race 1: 3YO Maiden Plate Set Weights 1300m

Hard to bet with any confidence here, a lot will depend on if the big teams come for the Richard Laming debutant AGAINST TIME (1). I am willing to take him on trust off a good recent trial, it looks a winnable race.

Dangers:

MATADOR (2) didn’t show much at his first four runs, he has had the ultimate gear change and been gelded. The Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig team are going well and Willow rides. Expect him to be a big improver. BEAU BELLE (5) was only fair at a recent trial after placing on debut, she is drawn out and would need to see some money for her. TO THE BARRICADES (11) was good on debut, she made up good ground into second but was well beaten. It was a very heavy track that day, need to see her do it on top of the ground.

Race 2: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1400m

A small field and it looks a very competitive affair. REGAL RIFFLE (9) placed at her first two runs in maidens that have proven good form references. She was sent to the paddock and has trialed well recently at Cranbourne, she draws well and if she can show the tactical speed she did at her last start, will be hard to run down.

Dangers:

Keep an eye out for the two first starters and any real money for them. DESSERT TIME (5) with Willow riding and GRAND PROMENADE (1) from the Maher/Eustace stable. PARLAY PRINCESS (8) is also resuming, she was beaten as a short priced fave last start before going to the paddock off a good run at Listed level. She was only fair at a recent jump-out, happy to take her on if she starts favourite.

Race 3: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1000m

HARD PRESS (1) was sent to the paddock following his brilliant win in SA to get the maiden out of the way, he led and bolted in by almost 3 lengths with more than 4 lengths back to third. He looks to have come back well, a recent jump out at Cranbourne saw him jump well, stick hard against the cones on te outside of the track and wasn’t pushed out and still was right in the finish.

Dangers:

SUKOSHI (5) is also resuming and has speed but looks a little worrying off the inside draw if she doesn’t jump away cleanly. She won a recent jump-out at Flemington. ARIGATO (6) will be giving them a start and will benefit if those two get into an early speed battle, she ran on hard on the heavy track last time to get her maiden win. SALOME (7) also takes the leap out of maiden grade after a gap job at Benalla, that was a big improvement and need to see some consistency before tipping her.

Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1000m

KOOTARA (11) is resuming, she won a similar race to this early in her prep last time in work before a couple of ordinary efforts. She has won a recent jump-out at her home track at Mornington, barrier blanket on, she should be on the speed for a long way.

Dangers:

WRITE ENUFF (12) has placed at both runs since resuming. They were in harder races than this, the latest effort was especially good when sitting wide on the speed without cover. Don’t have her going around a loser for you. BEAVERBROOK (6) didn’t have much luck at a vital stage when resuming, he hit the line well and will take plenty from the run after a long break. PINYIN (8) has placed at both runs when fresh previously, she will be giving them a start but can produce good finishing speed when the tempo suits.

Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1800m

GREEN IVY (11) is a last start Class 1 winner at Seymour, he dashed up and looked like he was going to score easily but just held-on after peaking late. Stepping up in trip, they will need to hold him up for one late run.

Dangers:

SHANDY (12) was a good winner against the girls two back at Ballarat when leading all the way, she then went to Flemington on Oaks Day and was stuck wide without cover and felt it late. She gets a good claim and will be on the speed for a long way. AUSSIE NUGGET (7) backed up his crushing maiden win with a Class One victory last time when running on well from the back. Look for him late. LORD OF DARKNESS (8) maps well again, he was beautifully ridden last time to score in a similar race. He was big odds so I wouldn’t be too keen to jump in at the $5 being offered at the moment.

Race 6: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1400m

This looks the toughest race on the card, as these races for the girls usually are. Play very wide in the Quaddie. TATIARA (1) has been very consistent this prep, she won two starts back at 64 grade after sitting wide on the speed without cover. She was then in a harder race last time at Ballarat just four days, the quick back-up may suit.

Dangers:

IN HEART’S WAKE (3) was brilliant when sitting up on the speed to win three back but has been poor at her last couple. If she can improve with the blinkers off and get back to the form that won her that Bendigo race, she will be hard to beat. METRONOME (4) will also go forward, she was well ridden to win two back before being outclassed at HQ on Oaks Day. SUPER HUSSEY (5) was forced to do a lot of chasing last time and kept coming through the line. She maps well.

Race 7: BM64 Handicap 1500m

IRISH BUTTERFLY (7) looks a stand-out, after playing wide in the previous leg, thrill seekers can take him one-out here to increase the percentage in the Quaddie. He resumed in a harder race at Bendigo a month ago, settled worse than mid-field before switching wide and running on hard to miss by under a length. The winner form that race has since come out and placed here last week and the runner-up won at The Valley a couple of weeks ago.

Dangers:

MICKEY BLUE EYES (1) has been enigmatic this time in but at his best can win, he gets a good claim and will be closer in the run than the favourite. KAMIEN (5) has been up a while, after winning two in a row earlier in the prep she has continued to race consistently but will be giving them a start. I doubt she will finish as well as the top pick, maybe he needs to get the trail home off him? INKSLINGER (10) got a deserved victory last start after racing consistently this prep, he was up on the speed and dominant though he may have been suited the way the race was run.

Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1300m

FORTUNE ROSE (12) looks a nice each-way bet to end the day, she beat eth girls in an easier race three back, placed at the Bool and then had no luck at Donald last time when held-up for most of the straight. She really attacked the line well when out.

Dangers:

WHAM (3) is resuming and was a winner when fresh last campaign, he looks to be right on track with a placing in a recent Flemington jump-out. COPPER FOX (2) is an ex-Kiwi now with the Henry Dwyer yard, he made some ground at his Australian debut but is clearly looking for further. HERMAN’S BELLS (9) is horribly drawn but will get back anyway, there was a lot to like about the way he hit the line when resuming last start. He will need everything to go right though from the extreme gate.

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