August 21, 2019
Featured Tips

Sandown (Wed)

Caulfield

Sandown Racing Tips – Wed Aug 14

We will be at Sandown this Wednesday.

Track: Heavy 10. Rail: Out 8m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 3 – AL DORAMA

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Race 1: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1300m

A tough race to start with any of the seven a live winning chance. KAARCHI (5) bolted in at Mildura n debut and was very short in the market, interestingly with only three weeks between runs she has been given a hit-out at the trials since. SHEZAWITNESS (6) had a perfect run in transit to win her maiden on debut, she maps to get that spot behind the leader again. ACTING (2) led all the way to get her maiden done and dusted last start, she handled the wet conditions well. LADY LOIRE (1) won well on debut then wasn’t disgraced in a harder race last time. She will be last in the run but the small field suits. Tough race where a lot will depend on the tempo early.

Race 2: BM70 Handicap 2400m

WEALTHY WOLF (5) is still officially at his first prep at start eight, but his races have been well spaced and he is performing so well. He ran on hard at Flemington in the Mahogany Final two back then was good in the run home but never looked the winner in a harder race last time to place. He will be giving them a start but the big field should ensure a good tempo.

Dangers:

Plenty of them. DISCO REBEL (4) will find this harder than last start at Mt Gambier where she won as a short priced favourite. She handles the heavy tracks and will also be giving them a start. METEOR LIGHT (3) has placed at 6 of 6 when racing in these conditions, he likes to be on the speed and just needs cover behind the leaders to be in the finish. I doubt he can sit in the breeze or three-wide no cover and be in the finish. INFORHAY (2) failed at his only heavy track run but wasn’t beaten far and that has proved a very good form reference. He maps beautifully here, his last start win he was off the map with the satchel swingers late.

Race 3: Colts Geldings and Entires BM70 Handicap 1000m

The betting will tell us it is a race in two between Al Dorama and Rhames. AL DORAMA (10) goes on top with the fitness edge, he was super resuming here three weeks ago. He was just behind the leaders before running on well along the rails on a day where it was a disadvantage to be closer in. He just ran out of condition late but should have taken plenty from that run.

Dangers:

RHAMES (9) looks the obvious one resuming but happy to take him on at the price. He has won two from two, both when running on from the back and both on good tracks. He gets the heavy conditions for the first time and will be giving the top pick a start. DIAMOND OASIS (6) will be big odds, he will be up on the speed making his own luck and has won on the heavy track before. EL SICARIO (4) gets a stack of gear of changes, he is a winner here at the track and has won fresh. The top pick looks a good thing here in my opinion.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1000m

PARIS (12) has to step out of maiden grade for the first time but she gets the added advantage of only having to take on the girls. She has had two runs back this prep, resuming she was most unlucky when storming home before hitting a dead-end close to the line, then went to Cranbourne and bolted in. Both of those runs she has shown a great turn-of-foot, the latest in these heavy conditions. She will be winning again.

Dangers:

MOCKERY (9) will find this easier than at the Valley last time, she should carve over from the outside gate, the spot outside the leader looks hers. FREEZE OVER (1) also drops in class, the margin last time will say she was well beaten but there were factors outside her control that contributed to the that. She has won here previously and should give a sight on the bunny. FINAL CHOICE (2) also has speed and gets the blinkers for the first time but is untried on a rain affected track.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1300m

LICKO’PAINT (15) has been racing in NSW this prep, she has good tactical speed and should be able to use the inside gate to her advantage. She has had 5 weeks between runs for a nice little freshen up, her last run has proven a good form race going forward. See how the track is playing but it can often be favourable to those on the speed. She can lead all the way.

Dangers:

TOO GOOD TOO HARD (14) bolted in at Sale on debut and was sent straight to the paddock. She resumed here three weeks ago and was well back, held-up at a vital stage but did appear to have every chance late. She will be fitter for the run but will be giving the top pick a startMUTUAL RESPECT (6) loves the sting out of the ground winning 2/2 on the heavy and will roll forward and make his own luck. BRONSKI BEAT (3) is resuming as a gelding after having the chop, he has trialed well but maps to be giving them a big start.

Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1800m

CAPE RICHARDS (5) was good here last time and seemed to handle the conditions well. He was well ridden, hopefully today he gets the right horse to follow and gets to the outside to run over the top. it looks a real tough race on paper, mostly because of the unknown factor with the Lloyd Williams import SPANISH POINT (6). He comes over from Ireland where he had contested the Irish guineas last year and then bolted in to win his maiden the start after that. He hasn’t had a run in more than a year, watch the betting closely. BARITONE (4) is a gelding from the same stable that is also making his Australian debut, he won his maiden by 8 lengths on a soft track, he may want further? ROLAND GARROS (3) has won two in a row on rain affected going, this is harder but he will be making his own luck and trying to lead all the way.

Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1500m

FRANKLY HARVEY (14) has been so consistent this prep, placing at all four of his runs. He looks the leader form the good gate and has placed at all four runs on a heavy track, if the track is favouring those on speed, he looks a super each-way bet to nothing.

Dangers:

KENT STREET (11) has been up for a while also and is very consistent, he maps to get a good run only a couple of pairs back but just needs to settle better than he has at his last couple. HELMAZ (10) beat him home last time and had to work in the run, he only needs to get the same run in transit to contend. TAKSU (8) has not missed a place in his 7 career runs, he has versatility but just not sure where he will get to in the run. I don’t think he can sit parked and win.

Race 8: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1300m

ARCTIC SHOCK (12) is resuming and may find this a little too short, but she was racing the best of her age group last prep when not far away at Group Three level then was outclassed in the SA Oaks. She gets the blinkers off for this fresh assignment and with the big field, the pace should be on. She only needs the right three-wide cart into it to run over the top. It could be an exciting Spring for her.

Dangers:

GINA’S HOPE (9) will be giving them a start but has been good through the line at both runs this prep. She gets out in trip again and handles the wet conditions. PICKUP THE PIECES (5) tried to lead all the way over 6 furlongs in town against her own age group last time, if she lands on the bunny and gets it soft through the middle, she will be hard to run down. BLACK BLISS (4) was only fair fresh but has had a month between runs, been sharpened with a trial and has won second-up. Improvement is likely with her.