July 23, 2019
Featured Tips

Sandown (Wed)

Flemington

Sandown Racing Tips – Wed July 10

We will be at Sandown this Wednesday.

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 12m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – DESERT DREAMER

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Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1000m

 Tough race to start the day but I have a leaning to the only first-starter in the field, FUNDRAISER (4), not because of how he has trialed/jumped out although it was ok, but because I don’t like any of those that I have seen previously.  This stable can really get a baby to fly on debut. EXCESS FUNDS (3) may improve off the break following an ok debut up the straight, WAHINE (8) led and bolted in at maiden level at Donald but this is harder and IGNORE GINA (9) is also resuming and showed speed on debut.    There are better betting opportunities later in the day.

Race 2: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1400m

Unlike the first of the babies races, I am very keen on one here. DESERT DREAMER (1) was good on debut in a race that has stood up as a solid form reference, he then went to Echuca in an easier maiden and couldn’t have been more impressive. He led, kicked clear on the bend before basically being eased down late to win by 2.5 lengths. Loses nothing with Jye McNeil on, should be outside the speed or on the bunny throughout.

Dangers:

YULONG STRIDE (2) was a good winner on the speed at maiden level last time but without the same authority. PRESENTLY (6) did enough fresh on the heavy track to suggest she will improve here second-up back on the better surface. PARMIE (7) comes through that same race but did have the fitness edge, hard to see her reversing the result here.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1600m

LUCKY WICK (1) is flying at the moment, she has won three in a row so if the track is any worse than the soft rating at time of writing on Monday, she has to be a great each-way chance again. She will get back and run on hard and apparently loves it wet, all three of those wins in the heavy range.

Dangers:

GLOBAL SANCTION (2) placed in harder company last time although was well beaten, she will also get back and run on hard. She handles the condition swell and will appreciate the class drop. PAINT THE TOWN TWO (8) attacked the line hard last time behind the top pick after getting very wide in the straight. She maps better here and just needs the luck when the runs come. Oliver off, Williams on. DESPACITO (5) will be near the top of the betting dropping back from racing top 3YO’s, hard to have her off the last start at Caulfield though where she didn’t really improve in the straight. Happy to take her on.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 2400m

MIRIMAR (6) has been very consistent this prep and seems to handle the wet tracks well, he has the good tactical speed to take up a spot early and I he may even try and lead all the way here with Poy sticking on.

Dangers:

CHELKAR (2) is on the improve, the import worked home solidly last time at his second Australian start, no doubt the extra distance will suit. ANOTHER ECLIPSE (4) looks to be headed for the jumps but maps well and should get a soft run. He is a place chance. ECKART (7) is also consistent but will find this harder, he will be giving them a start which can be a big negative here unless the tempo is really hot. Hard to see that happening in this size field.

Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1800m

INTO RIO (6) was well in the market at 84-grade last time, he struggled to get into it when it was more favourable to be up on the speed. There have been two subsequent winners come through that race, his previous start at Seymopur was so impressive when he charged home from well back. The big field should ensure the solid tempo that he needs.

Dangers:

CAPE RICHARDS (7) is a lightly raced 4YO that gets the blinkers for the first time, he was an easing favourite last time at Swan Hill and didn’t put in, hopefully the blinkers get his mind on the job today. CREEDENCE (5) gets Willow on and will need all of his brilliance from the horrible gate, he is a winner second-up and I wouldn’t be shocked if he rode him positively early. HOSTAR (8) was off the map to win an easier race here last time, that was a very heavy track so any downgrade in the track won’t hurt him. He will get back also.

Race 6: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1000m

Another huge field for the 3YO’s, WHENEVER WHEREVER (3) has the wide draw but it may just mean a better price. He has shown in his three runs that he can do it at both ends, a win on speed at his debut then came from mid-field to run over the top of them at start two. He had his chance and hit the lead last time before being nabbed late, the heavy track may have aided to his defeat. Good horses can sit wide at the 1000m here and win.

Dangers:

ZAIDIN (6) has had the 7 weeks between runs and has been gelded since we last saw him. His trial was ok recently on a heavy track, improvement is likely. MONTENEGRO MAN (8) was beaten behind an impressive one last time but did make ground late. He was first-up and the tempo didn’t really suit so he can go one better here. SPRYZEN (4) comes through that same race, the jock was quoted as saying that he didn’t handle the heavy track so improvement is likely back on the better surface.

Race 7: BM78 Handicap 1000m

TAVISAN (4) took on the best of the best at his age group last prep, he has been to gelded since that prep and trialed brilliantly at Ballarat recently. He has good natural speed and wouldn’t be surprised to see him on the speed even over this trip, he was only 25/1 against the Autumn Sun last prep, what odds would he be here!

Dangers:

QUEEN ANNABEL (5) is dropping sharply in grade and maps well, she will get a soft run and although she doesn’t have a placing this prep, she hasn’t been far away. STREET TOUGH (8) is a Tasmanian visitor, he was ok at Flemington last time but did have his chance. l HIs record on the Apple Isle is great, he will be winning on the mainland shortly. ALUF (1) has the wide draw and may get further back than he is used to, but he is just so consistent. He has been up forever but handles all conditions and you know what you will get with him.

Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1300m

MR TOPLA (4) is deeper into his prep than he has been in his career, he handled the heavy track well two back and then made ground at Bendigo last time in a race that has proven a good form reference.

Dangers:

It looks an open race on paper so play wide in the last leg of the Quad. GINGER JONES (7) was having his first go on a heavy track last time and was a little one-paced, an improving track condition will help him here. STYLISH ASSASSIN (6) bolted in at an easier race at Donald last time, he maps to get a soft run on the inside. Look for him late if the splits come. PLAY MASTER (1) has only been going fairly at best but will appreciate coming back in grade, drawn horribly but hopefully they press the button early from out wide.