February 28, 2020
Featured Tips

Sandown (Wed)

Moonee Valley

Sandown Racing Tips -Wed Jan 22

We will be at Sandown this Wed

Track: Good 3. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 7 – PINYIN

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Race 1: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1600m

BACCHUS (2) will start the shortest priced favourite of the day after placing at three of the last four since resuming. He has had no luck at his last two starts being held-up at a vital stage in both of them, was well backed into favourite last time in a harder race and looks beautifully placed back in this maiden. Only bad luck beats him.

Dangers:

MIDNIGHT MARAUDER (5) led for a long way last time at big odds, he may get an uncontested lead and be battling it out late for the minors when the fave goes straight by. SWEET GOLD (6) is an interesting runner, she placed at 5 of 6 when racing in Germany and is having her first Australian start after a 33-week break for Waller. ZOUSONIC (9) has placed at all three runs this time in, beaten a long way on the heavy track last time when at the top of the market. May improve with the blinkers going on for the first time.

Race 2: 3YO Maiden Plate Set Weights 1300m

REBEL RACER (9) has been gelded in the two weeks since his debut run, seems odd? Maybe just a clerical error and he was a gelding on debut. Either way, there was a lot to like about that first start, he showed speed and toughness when challenged to only go down late. He has the wide draw but Willow should know what to do.

Dangers:

Tough race! EQUITIES (4) is an interesting runner for the Gai/Bott yard, has been up on the pace in two runs north of the border this prep and been poor. The blinkers come off, expect him to go forward again. BELLOWS (1) has placed at both runs this time in, he was well backed and had every chance when second at Echuca last time. Doesn’t map as well here but should finish hard with the right horse to follow into it. HOLSTER (6) was only fair on debut but has been ok at the jump-outs and no doubt would have come on during his time off.

Race 3: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1300m

SCORE (9) was consistent at her first prep without placing, she was off the scene for 5 months before resuming at Mornington. She was perfectly ridden and although she didn’t explode to the lead after a soft run, she worked through the line nicely and there was a big gap to third. Should get a perfect run behind the leader.

Dangers:

All of them? SWING AND BOOM (5) resumed off a long break with a nice win fresh, she was well back and ran on hard to score narrowly and get that first win out of the way. LADY LOIRE (1) has not missed a place in 5 runs to date, she was beaten as an odds-on favourite in the Morphetville Guineas last start. She may need further but obviously has some class. NAMIMO (3) sat up outside the leader and was impressive winning her maiden here last start, that followed a good run at the Valley resuming. This is harder but she looks to have come back well.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 2100m

VINACEOUS (7) made a telling mid-race move from back in the field to circle them and lead and was never run down at the Valley two starts back. Last time at Flemington in a similar race she chased hard throughout and was still coming when not getting much room late.

Dangers:

HARD ‘N’ TOUGH (4) won two in a row prior to placing here last time. He led that day, before settling second. She was left a little flat-footed before sticking on well to run third. PRISM (5) was brave in defeat at Caulfield on Boxing Day. She had to work early before getting outside the leader, hit the front and was only run down late. MUSIC OF THE NIGHT (11) stuck on well to place at Caulfield last start after a torrid run three-wide on the speed without cover. She doesn’t win out of turn but maps to get a much softer run here.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 2400m

SEMINOLES (3) was beaten out of sight into second two runs back but made amends last time when leading all the way to win easily when down in grade. Crawn beautifully in three, there doesn’t look a lot of speed in the race, he should be able to lead them or get the cold sit.

Dangers:

TATALINA (4) ran on well last start in a race where it was favourable to be on the speed and maps to be a lot closer today. She was convincing winning two in a row in SA earlier this prep. COUNT ZERO (1) doesn’t win out of turn but has been very consistent this time in, this is easier than last start when he had the run of the race and loomed to win but just found a few better. DUNS ‘N’ ROSES (11) ran on well but had her chance up in grade against the girls when beaten as favourite last time. She can certainly win where is she going to get to from that draw!

Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1600m

DARLAMAX (5) is very consistent, the only time he has missed a place in his seven-start career was on debut. He has had two runs this time in, the latest was here in this grade and he was a real eye-catcher from a mile back. Should be fully fit now third-up.

Dangers:

THINK WE’RE DUE (3) was good closing late last start but got a lot further back than what we are used to with him. Drawn well I expect he will be on the speed today. ANYTHING BUT (10) had no luck and arguably should have won two back when storming home from the back, he will need the speed on and gets the blinkers for the first time. TOUCH OF MINK (11) was very good in a similar race last time, was held-up for a lot of the straight and made ground late when out in a race where it was more beneficial to be on the speed.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1300m

PINYIN (6) has placed at all three runs this prep, you know what you will get with her, she will be giving them a start but has terrific closing speed. Last time at Flemington, she was running on when held-up early in the straight, out at the clock tower and stormed into second. The big field should ensure a genuine tempo.

Dangers:

ALEXANDRA DREAMING (10) has won back-to-back races at Mornington, she will be up on the speed as she was at both of those wins. SHE’S A THIEF (1) has been consistent without winning this prep, she was beaten under 2 lengths last start when up on the speed and this is a huge drop in class.  SHEZAWITNESS (14) will go forward but will take every bit of Olly’s brilliance to get cover or find the front. She is racing well but doubt she can sit parked and win.

Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1200m

BAM’S ON FIRE (2) never runs a bad race, she was in this grade last start at Caulfield, hampered at the start, worse than mid-field in the run before chasing hard into second with a clear margin to third. She gets a couple of gear changes and maps well, should be camped right behind those setting the speed.

Dangers:

It looks a great form race going forward for a Wednesday BM70. JUMBO OZAKI (9) is resuming for the new yard, he has oodles of talent but just struggled to put it together and win at the last few starts before going to the paddock. It will be a wait and see, if the money comes, join in, if it doesn’t, hit the pink lay button. RAINBOW THIEF (13) loves the sting out of the ground so any rain around wouldn’t hurt, he should have finished a lot closer when resuming after being held-up late. LIKE TO THINK SO (1) has good tactical speed and goes well enough when resuming, he gets the good claim and a jockey that will be positive off the inside gate.

Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1400m

THE CLOSER (16) ran on well when resuming, she was then a little flat although ok late when up the straight at Flemington second-up. She should settle mid-filed and be fully fit, this is easier than that run at HQ last time. A very open race all the same.

Dangers:

AMMOUDI BAY (9) has the horrible draw to deal with but was a good winner last time. He was held-up when the runs came, got out late and charged through the line to win down in grade. GOLDIFOX (15) has to take on the boys here after beating her own sex at Flemington last time, she has good closing speed, look for her late. HONORABLE MENTION (12) hasn’t won in a while but draws well and will have the tactical advantage over many of the fancied picks that are drawn out and will get back. He will be positive early and on the speed.

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