Rosehill Racing Tips – Sat Sept 14
We will be at Rosehill this Saturday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 6m entire straight.
Best Bet: Race 6 – BIVOUAC
Race 1: Highway Class 3 Handicap 1400m
A full field of 13, readers of this column know how I feel about them as a punting opportunity. Great for racing and country trainers/connections, but not for me. NICCONITA (3) wasn’t suited by the way the track played last week and is on the quick back-up, SCHAPPOSE (5) ran on well enough last time in one of these, GEM DEALER (9) ran on well resuming a fortnight ago in an easier Highway but has a horror draw, and AUTUMN RIDGE (10) maps well and has won his last two. Tough race.
Race 2: BM78 Handicap 1800m
COSTELLO (3) has a nice little turn-of-foot but I do feel that he needs to be saved for one run. He hasn’t won in a while but has paced at two of his last three, two weeks ago here he ran to the front inside the furlong but was run down late. Back in trip looks to be ideal.
SHOCK ALERT (6) looks suited getting back on top of the ground today, he was up on the speed for a long way last time and should be able to control the tempo here getting out in trip. HUMBOLDT CURRENT (7) has been going well on the rain affected tracks since resuming, he hit the line well in the same race as the top pick last time but was suited the way the race was run.
HEART OF GRACE (9) is an import and dual acceptor here, she was heavily backed at her Australian debut but was eased up during the race. She has trialed well and gets a couple of gear changes and obviously has ability.
Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1500m
IRUKANDJI (5) ran on well resuming here and then copped the heavy track last time and was poor. He has a horror record n rain affected surfaces, 5 starts and never run a palce. His only win was third-up which he is today, draws to get a soft rails run and the fence may be the place to be.
JUVENTUS (6) was good resuming and ran on hard to win, he has over-raced at both runs this campaign and will need to settle better. ADANA (7) seemed to have his birthday here a fortnight ago when getting the favourable conditions and finishing with a soft win. 0/13 on good tracks, he looks a great lay if there is no rain around. ANGEL OF HEAVEN (4) has a few gear changes for her return to the track, she may need further but wasn’t far away in a Group One Qld Oaks when last in work. Look for her late.
Race 4: BM78 Handicap 2400m
DABIYR (3) looks well in here, he cruised to a 4 length win at the Valley last time when up outside the speed. An import, he has won twice since arriving in Australia, this is his first go the Sydney way since arriving but he should handle it and be up on the pace for a long way.
GAYATRI (5) was ridden closer last start at Randwick and after sharing the lead into the straight, weakened and was well beaten by the winner but there was a big gap to third. COSTELLO (6) had every chance in a similar race last tie and was unwanted in the betting. He needs to be saved for one run.
HEART OF GRACE (10) was eased down at her Australian debut, gets the blinkers and the tongue-tie on and was off the map last time. She obviously has the ability.
Race 5: Dulcify Stakes 3YO Set Weights and Penalties 1500m
SUPERIUM (4) is on the quick back-up from last week where the race was not run to suit. She had to face the stiff breeze outside the leader and that spot was a horrible spot to be all day. He was only beaten 2.9 lengths by the all-the-way winner, the start prior he lost in the steward’s room controversially to many, when he looked to be going as good if not better than the eventual winner late.
TRUE DETECTIVE (2) was the horse that won that race on protest, he had the perfect race in transit and loomed up to win before contacted. AS I stated earlier, in my opinion he wasn’t going as well through the line as the winner and certainly had his chance, look for him late again. CASTELVECCHIO (1) won the Champagne Stakes over a mile before resuming and oozes talent, not sure he will be fully wound up for this though fresh. HE won his only other fresh start which was on debut, that was at 50/1 over 1200m? Lay all day. JUST THINKIN’ (6) led all the way to win his maiden in much easier grade last time, he will probably need the track to be playing like Randwick was last week.
Race 6: Run To The Rose 3YO Set Weights and Penalties 1200m
BIVOUAC (3) resumed at Caulfield two back in the Vain Stakes and was brilliant wining by more than 4 lengths. He was all the rage amongst the 3YO following that win, came to Sydney a fortnight ago and was beaten on his merits by Exceedance on a heavy track. Returning to a good track today, Hughie off (no rider at time of writing) and with that SP profile, he has to be given another chance off that flat second-up run.
Obviously EXCEEDANCE (4). He showed a dazzling turn-of-foot when resuming on the heavy track, he went past them like they were standing still. He has a stack of ability, second-up and wit the GF not far away, not sure he will be at his best for this. YES YES YES (2) is resuming, he was entered to return a couple of weeks ago, so has he missed a run? He is already a G2 winner last prep and was well supported in the Slipper, but he will be giving them a s start and looks a huge lay here fresh. Happy to lay him and think he will drift alarmingly. DAWN PASSAGE (5) is resuming off a 5-week break and has won a trial, he won at Listed level when resuming this prep but will also get back.
Race 7: Theo Marks Stakes Quality 1300m
The second leg of the Quaddie and think we can play skinny again here. ARCADIA QUEEN (6) is a superstar former WA trained mare now with the Waller yard. She bolted in by 3 lengths to win the WA Guineas, then backed it up to win by more than 4 in the Kingston Town at WFA! Now with Waller, she faces a very ordinary field compare to that, the second favourite could be a last start BM78 winner?
None. She is the lock of the day. BALLER (12) was impressive winning last week but was perfectly ridden and was given all the favours the way the track was playing, TROPE (11) ran on hard at Group Three level resuming and will again hit the line hard and ZOUSAIN (2) is resuming, certainly has the talent but has become a real non-winner.
Race 8: Sheraco Stakes Fillies and Mares Set Weights and Penalties 1200m
With Arcadia Queen going to the earlier race, it really opens things up. CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES (4) is a brilliant horse fresh, she was only beaten a little over two lengths in a Doomben 10k before going to the paddock, a length behind Pierata the start before that! Surely that is good enough for this and she has trialed well.
INVINCIBELLA (1) has dodged her stablemate and come here instead of the previous race, she was good winning her last two before going to the paddock over the Brisbane Winter. Drawn well, she should be mid-field in the run and finishing hard. MIZZY (9) was well supported and tipped by every man and his dog last start, she had the perfect ride and bolted in. Not sure she gets the gun run from the draw here though and may be a little flat second-up? DYSLEXIC (11) made up a lot of ground last time in that race behind Mizzy and had the best closing sectionals of the race. If she can settle closer here, she looks a good place chance.
Race 9: BM88 Handicap 1100m
Thankfully we will have played one out in the Quaddie in a couple of legs as this looks a lot harder. ALL TOO ROYAL (1) is a real winner having finished first in 7 of his 13 career starts, 6 of his last 9. He resumed on the Kenso track a month ago, was near last before the turn and got to the outside and powered home for a comfortable win. Look for him late.
If GOD OF THUNDER (14) gets a start as the first emergency he will be a major player, he copped a major check in the run here last time but was still good enough to bolt in against inferior opposition, with daylight third. STAR BOY (10) resumes after being beaten narrowly in the Ramornie last time, he doesn’t have a great fresh record but has trialed well enough. LEGEND OF CONDOR (8) comes through the same race as the top pick last time but never really got a crack after being held-up early in the straight at a vital stage.