Rosehill Racing Tips – Sat Aug 10
We will be at Rosehill this Saturday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: True.
Best Bet: Race 8 – HAUT BRION HER
Race 1: 3&4YO BM70 Handicap 1400m
SAVOURY (8) goes in as the top pick. He has to come out of maiden grade after a nice debut win at Canterbury, he was up on the speed that day and can expect the same off the inside draw. If he doesn’t lead, he may just need a little luck but I can see him landing on the bunny.
ADANA (5) had done most of his racing in VIC last campaign, he has placed at 2/3 when fresh but may just need further. SEDGEMOOR (6) will also be looking for the front, he was fair in a recent trial and has placed at both fresh runs previously. DANAWI (1) is only racing fairly but has had a 3-week freshen-up and will appreciate dropping back to this grade. Tough race to start.
Race 2: Fillies and Mares BM88 Handicap 1200m
Like the first race, we have another dual acceptor that will sit at the top of the market if she races in this. HAUT BRION HER (5) is also engaged in Race 8 where she looks a good thing, she has won three of four including two this prep when racing up on the speed. She has shown she can do it at both ends, she will roll forward and hopefully settle outside the leader and ridden like the best horse in the race.
CONNEMARA (7) is very consistent but has just found one better at her last three, TANIKO (2) has shown improvement at her last couple, she ran on well at both of her last two starts, winning one and placing at her latest. CHARLAYNE (4) went to Melbourne last start and was good in defeat, she ran on well along the inside when it was more favourable to be wider on the track.
Race 3: Highway Class 3 Set Weights 1800m
Toughest race all day for me, as is usually the case wit he Highway’s. ONEMORE SAPPHIRE (3) was good here last time over a shorter trip, he ran on hard at the back-end and produced some nice sectionals. The step out in trip looks ideal. BLACK WAND (4) comes through that same race, he ran on well also but was big odds on that occasion. I expect him to be a big drifter in the betting so wait until late if you back him. APACHE JUNCTION (5) was a good last start winner up on the speed, this is harder but he will be making his own luck up on the speed. SAINTLY SUNRISE (8) travels down from Coffs, he was good there over the carnival recently making good ground from the back.
Race 4: Missile Stakes 1200m WFA
A small field to start in the first Group race of the new season, it looks at the mercy of the classy ALIZEE (4) resuming. She has a terrific record fresh winning 3 of 4, she won her first three starts last campaign before placing in the All Star Mile before going to the paddock. She will be too classy and too quick for these.
LE ROMAIN (1) is resuming and also has a good record fresh, he was beaten home all three times he faced the top pick last campaign, blinkers off but looks a lock for a placing. VEGADAZE (2) has to step up to WFA racing but showed plenty in his 3YO campaign. He has the talent but prefer to see him in this grade first. INVINCIBLE GEM (5) next best, but would be shocked if it won.
Race 5: The Rosebud 3YO Quality 1100m
ATHIRI (3) can make it a feature race double for the Godolphin team, she won on debut then placed at her only other fresh run. She draws inside her main rival and meets her better at the weights then when they last met back in the early Autumn, she looks to have come back well with a nice trial at Randwick recently.
ANAHEED (1) beat her home in that race but as mentioned is worse off at the weights for it. She was ridden out to comfortably win a trial recently and is also a winner fresh previously. The spot outside the leader looks to be hers but that should mean our top pick is camped on her throughout. DAWN PASSAGE (2) bolted in on debut then didn’t have much luck when placing in the rich Inglis 2YO race, he is resuming with the blinkers on for the first time and looks the only other winning chance. LUCICELLO (5) will be hard in the market off an impressive win a fortnight ago, but happy to take her on in this race if they decide to race here second-up in a harder race.
Race 6: BM88 Handicap 1400m
SWEET DEAL (7) looks the leader from the good gate, see how the track is playing early in the day to see if that will be an advantage or not. She was good at her first two runs this prep in Qld but did have every chance at Randwick 3 weeks ago when trying to go wire to wire. She needs a soft lead.
DRACHENFELS (8) is stepping up in grade after being heavily backed at Randwick last week. He was last in the run before getting to the outside and storming home to narrowly miss. Look for him late, especially if they go hard in the middle stages. NOTIO (5) travels up the Hume after an ordinary effort last time, he will also be giving them a start but will need a little luck off the inside draw when the runs come. FORTENSKY (4) is a model of consistency, he will go forward and be on the speed and the spot outside the leader look his. He has placed at all three runs this prep, he will also need some moderate early sectionals to finish it off.
Race 7: BM78 Handicap 2000m
Tough race with Chris Waller having a strong representation. LOVEISILI (2) was too bad to be true last time, the tongue tie has been applied suggesting there may have been an issue there. He had won three in a row prior to that and was going through the grades nicely. Set to be double figure odds here, he looks a good each0way bet.
COSTELLO (6) co0mes through that same race last time, he ran on hard from well back and looks suited getting back on top of the ground. MATOWI (9) looks the best of the Waller runners, he is on the seven-day back-up after a good win at Randwick. He was all out on the line that day so he probably needs to be just held-up late for one run. ULUSABU (11) in that race last week and was run down, he will go forward again no doubt and there aren’t many better riders than Tim Clark when up on the speed.
Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1200m
With Haut Brion Her scratching here and racing earlier in the day, it gives BLACK MAGNUM (1) who has won both starts this prep convincingly, his chance to win three in a row. He should be able to land on the bunny and now the map reads more favourable, he can control the race wither in front or outside the leader and not have that promising horse on his back.
For the minors, STELLA SEA SUN (7) who has never missed a place in her 9 starts, OXFORD TYCOON (8) who has versatility and SO TAKEN (2) who is resuming and is a winner fresh previously. If there is money for the top one post scratching’s, I would be very happy to have him as one of the best of the day. Also, if there is some favour to those on the speed early in the day, load up.
Race 9: BM78 Handicap 1500m
CINQUEDEA (5) has been very consistent this prep, he bolted in at back-to-back wins at Goulburn and Newcastle before failing on the heavy track last time. He did show a clean pair of heels in that defeat but the track may have got the better of him late, he maps well and will be too quick for them.
ONENESS (8) will be the obvious danger, it’s been a long time between drinks for him but he will lead for a long way. If he gets it cheap in front, he may be able to cause an upset. THE PROMISE (9) will find this harder but ran on well enough resuming and has won second-up previously. THE AVENGER (2) has had two runs back from a 2-month break, he ran on well at both of them but will be giving them a start with the big weight.