November 15, 2019
Tips

Rosehill (Sat)

Newcastle

Rosehill Racing Tips – Sat June 29

We will be at Rosehill this Saturday.

Track: Heavy 9. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 6 – RIVER BIRD

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Race 1: Highway Class 2 Handicap 1400m

MULWALA CANAL (3) is from the Matt Dunn stable in Murwillumbah and it’s not often he comes to town for one of these without taking home a cheque. He was a good winner at maiden level two back up on the speed and then went to Doomben and did a few things wrong, got wide and back before attacking the line well. Untried on the heavy going, take him on trust.

Dangers:

REST OF THE WORLD (9) is the stablemate that gets the blinkers for the first time. He should have the tactical advantage and be in front of the other Dunn runner, watch the betting carefully. MR WONG (1) ran on well in these conditions in a similar highway race last time, the wide draw will see him giving them a big start. GEMMAHRA (16) is a last start maiden winner after being well backed, he looks to have returned from the paddock well.

Race 2: Kensei Handicap 2000m

SO YOU WIN (2) was dominant winning on the soft track here a fortnight ago. He tends to get back in the run but has really attacked the line well at his last couple, is 3/6 on rain affected tracks and loves it here at his home track. He will be short but should be winning.

Dangers:

MASTER OF ARTS (1) is an interesting runner now with the Freedman yard, he loves the wet tracks and although he was horrible last campaign, he has trialed well and the new stable could do the trick. ARTICUS (4) was well beaten by the top pick last time and will need to have improved a lot, he has won on a heavy track previously. WHITE BOOTS (6) also comes through that same form line, had every chance and once again gets the services of in-form apprentice Robbie Dolan.

Race 3: 3YO BM74 Handicap 1400m

PHAISTOS (1) has won two of three this time in, both of them on a soft track and although he has never been into the heavy range, he looks to be able to handle it. He will be giving them a start and not sure about Schofield going on as he likes to be a bit cute with the back markers, but if he gets the back of the right horse he will be finishing hard.

Dangers:

ENGLAND (2) is certainly on the up, he won his first two this prep before charging home late in the best sectionals of the race to narrowly miss last time. I would prefer Bery on an on-pacer, tactics will be crucial between these two back in the field. MY DEMETRA (11) certainly looks to have plenty of upside, she led all the way and bolted in against easier competition last time on a soft track. If she finds the top and gets some cheap sectionals early have something on her in the run. ISILMER (10) hasn’t done much wrong and got up to win on what may not have been the best part of the track last time.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1800m

ASHARANI (6) has been up for a while but is still racing well. She was held-up early on in the straight on the Kenso track last time and let the winner get away, but she was a real eye-catcher late getting into second. Blake Shinn goes on which looks an almighty jockey change, she oes well on the soft tracks and expect her to be finishing best.

Dangers:ORYJOY (8) changed up the tactics last time and was ridden in front when narrowly beaten in these conditions at Randwick. She may have to sit outside the leader here but clearly handles the wet. ITZ LILY (7) will have support but very happy to take her on. She was a good winner last time on the heavy track but she is just so deep into her first prep now. Loves the conditions but hopefully that last start win hasn’t taken it all out of her. CELTIC LOVE (13) ran on hard here last time with the best closing sectionals of the race, she should be able to settle closer form the good draw.

Race 5: Stayer’s Cup Handicap 3200m

Most of the chances here are coming through the Winter Cup here a fortnight ago. HIGH BRIDE (2) was at the top of the market in that race, was back near last before making good ground and the best sectionals of the race getting to the furlong.

Dangers:

DESTINY’S KISS (1) was the winner of that race, he had the big weight to carry here but goes well in the wet and will run on hard again. AZURO (5) comes through different form lines with ok form at Listed level at his last couple in VIc. SOCIAL ELEMENT (7) is an interesting runner coming back from a couple of runs over the hurdles. Pretty confident the top pick can win and is one of the best of the day.

Race 6: BM78 Handicap 1200m

RIVER BIRD (14) beat a couple of handy ones in a similar race here a fortnight ago. She had over-raced in the run before angling clear and running on hard. She looks to be going through the grades well this campaign, handles the wet tracks and maps well.

Dangers:

SATIN SLIPPER (11) is an interesting runner resuming, she won on debut then took on the best of her age group in what was a couple of interrupted preps. She obviously has had some issues but has the ability. HANDLE THE TRUTH (8) comes through the same race as the top pick, he hit the front before getting gunned down late. OXFORD TYCOON (5) is talented and will be near the top of the betting but looks a great lay. He has good speed and will be looking for the front but is drawn wide and untried in the conditions.

Race 7: Civic Stakes Quality 1350m

Could be the most open race of the day with better than each-way odds the field expected. See how the track is playing early in the day but if the leaders are having their own way, which they may do with the rail back in the true, then DEPLOY (1) looks a fantasic each-way bet. He has good speed, comes back after a disappointing effort in the Stradbroke where he was outclassed but will find this more suitable. He handles the wet and should give a sight on the bunny.

Dangers:

Plenty. FIRSTHAND (3) has been ok in two runs in Melbourne this prep and gets the blinker on for the first time. He usually gets back but may settle closer with the gear change. SEAWAY (5) did nothing in the Ajax on a heavy track two back, resuming today he would probably need some improvement in the track condition. SIR BACCHUS (7) wasn’t suited by the way the race was run behind the in-form Passage of Time last start and made ok ground when it was favourable to be on the speed.

Race 8: BM94 Handicap 1100m

BON AMIS (1) is very consistent, he resumed at Listed level last start in these conditions where he chased har debut was no match for a solid winner. He has the form on the heavy tracks, has good tactical speed and should be camped just on the leaders. His second-up record is super, gets the good claim and expect him to be well backed.

Dangers:

GONGS (13) is one of two Godolphin runners, her last start win was in these conditions at Randwick where she ran on hard from well back. WAGNER (11) is the stablemate, he is also a last start winner on a good track, that race has turned out to be a good form reference. BROOK MAGIC (6) stuck on well in the same race as the top pick last time, she loves the conditions but is drawn to have to do work again.

Race 9: BM78 Handicap 1500m

NICOCHET (11) has been runner-up at both starts this prep, he has run into Kapajack at both starts and although he has had his chances, he would be very short here. He will be giving them a start, with the bi field there is sure to be some speed on and he will finish hard. He loses nothing with Kathy going on, very consistent and this looks his race.

Dangers:

PUMPKIN PIE (7) ran on well before being gunned down late against the girls last time, she has been up for a while but if she gets the back of the top pick in the run home, she may be able to run on over the top. GAYATRI (3) has the wide draw, she has a good record fresh but not sure where she will get to in the run. She is yet to miss a place in her career, she officially run last in a recent trial but look nothing into that. MAPMAKER (2) has a couple of poor runs numerically next to his name but he hasn’t had much luck. He is better than that and has a decent record third-up.

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