May 30, 2020
Tips

Rosehill (Sat)

Canterbury

Rosehill Racing Tips -Sat Jan 18

We will be at Rosehill this Saturday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: True

Best Bet: Race 1 – CELLSABEEL

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Race 1: 2YO Handicap 1100m

CELLSABEEL (7) debuted here in the $1M Golden Gift and hit the line well from well back after being wide throughout, she has won two recent trials and the blinkers go on. She looks a big improver off that debut effort.

Dangers:

BEYLIKS (2) debuted in the Breeders Plate back in October and wasn’t beaten far into third as favourite, he hit the line well to win a recent trial and looks ready to go. RETURN WITH HONOUR (1) debuted at Randwick three weeks ago as favourite, led them up and stuck on well to score. The margin was under a length but there were more than 5 lengths back to the third horse. If he gets to the fence easily from the wide gate, will be hard to run down. I expect him to be a big drifter though early in the betting. IN FLANDERS (8) was only fair in the Gimcrack on debut but has trialed ok for this fresh run.

Race 2: Highway Class 3 Handicap 1500m

ABSOLUTE TRUST (6) has won two of three starts but this is clearly his toughest test. He was second-up at Muswellbrook last start in a Class 2 and started favourite, led early before taking a sit but was way too good over the final furlong. He won by more than a length with a gap to third, tackles his first Highway but looks up to it.

Dangers:

ACQUITTAL (7) got further back than anticipated last start in one of these, getting out in trip looks to suit after coming back to the 7 furlongs last start. A little worrying that he is still yet to win out of maiden grade and this is career start 20. DUBAI TYCOON (3) didn’t have much luck at a BM70 in town last start, maps to be mid-field here and should get to the outside and run on hard.  SHOW ME THE HONEY (1) was beaten a long way last start in a Highway but forget he went around. He never saw daylight late in the straight, expected to be an improver on the 7-day back-up.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1100m

LASHES (1) resumed on the Kenso track against the girls in a similar class to this, had a soft run in transit and then when asked, showed a dazzling turn-of-foot to put them away in a few strides and win comfortably. This looks no harder, up in weight but ideally drawn.

Dangers:

ECHO GEM (5) obviously had an issue last start, she is better than what she showed when heading north to contest a Listed race. She has trialed well in between runs, take her on trust. KAWIKINI (3) is a dual acceptor for Friday night also, gets the blinkers on again and was a real eye-catcher when weaving between runner sin the straight last time. The connections of SWITCHED (6) last time advised they would ride the filly outside the lead and that’s what they did. She found the front up the rise and was only nabbed in the last stride. Expect that to be her role again here.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 1350m

JULIAN ROCK (7) showed what he can do at his best last start at Randwick. After settling well back in the run, he eased four-wide on the turn and dashed to the front a long way from home. He kept going over the last furlong extending the margin, just may need a little luck getting away from the fence when the runs come.

Dangers:

JEN RULES (3) is going for three wins in succession, she was perfectly ridden behind the speed last time and was solid through the line, this looks a little harder but she is flying at the moment. POETIC CHARMER (5) did plenty wrong at Randwick last time but was encouraging the way he ran through the line. He has placed at 5 from 8 at the track but still yet to win here. STELLA SEA SUN (6) is a perfect 2/2 when second-p, just a little concerned about her run fresh, she wasn’t beaten far but was entitled to win. Sam Clenton off and JMac on doesn’t hurt.

Race 5: 3&4YO BM72 Handicap 1300m

BIG PARADE (3) led all the way to win when resuming, he then went to Randwick last start in a harder race and was near the top of the betting. He sat outside the leader and stuck on well, wasn’t going to win but was crowded up near the finish and only beaten under a length. Hard to beat if he lands on the bunny.

Dangers:

AIM FOR PERFECTION (8) resumed in an easier race against the girls last time and was beaten as favourite, she had excuses though. She was slowly away and was last on the rails settling in the small field, was looking for runs and then only found the line fairly in a race where it was more beneficial to be up on the speed. NAPSTER (12) is a dual acceptor, there was a lot to like about his maiden win last start and as always, respect any money from this yard. CELER (2) has the wide draw and will probably get well back, she has hit the line well at the last couple to place when settling mid-field.

Race 6: Colts Geldings and Entires BM78 Handicap 1200m

Looks one of the toughest races on the card and Quaddie players should play very wide.  COTERIE (6) appeared in the stewards report with a slow recovery two back then had a 5-week break, came back on the Kenso track last time and ran on well from a mile back. Have the feeling they may be a stack of speed in this. Look for him late.  INANUP (2) was brilliant winning last time after sitting wide without cover throughout. Has the tricky inside gate and is up in class but gets a good claim. Will only need luck when the runs come from behind the leader most likely. TONY’S REWARD (4) ran through the line hard last tie but had every chance when third in a similar race, HE’S A HOTSHOT (7) is very consistent and you know he will be up on the speed. A little costly of late being beaten as favourite at his last two, see how the track is playing for those on pace in the earlier races.

Race 7: BM88 Handicap 1100m

BROKEN ARROWS (10) ran on hard producing some good sectionals in the process last start to narrowly miss the placings, he won back-to-back races earlier in the prep and has a really nice turn-of-foot. Needs everything to go right but if it does, he will be the one finishing best.

Dangers:

INVICTUS SALUTE (4) has been very consistent at the back-end of this campaign, was vetted at the start last time before leading and being run down late. She has had six weeks between runs and has been given a quiet trial. EMBRACER (6) looks the leader, no doubt Tommy Berry will be looking for that spot. This is harder than last time when he led all the way, I liked the way he fought down the straight when challenged in that win. CONNEMARA (1) is resuming and hasn’t missed a place at three previous fresh runs, she has trialed well enough and races well here. Not hopeless.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 2000m

MR DEPENDABLE (5) is on the quick back-up after going down as a very short-priced favourite last week. He led and was run down late, stepping up to the 200m doesn’t seem ideal after not running the trip out last time but he did over-race. If he settles better and gets no pressure, he will be winning this.

Dangers:

MAGIC OVER THE BAY (13) stormed home to win an easier race last time, he came very wide and I liked the way he kept going to widen the margin once he hit the front in the straight. Harder here though. WORD FOR WORD (4) has been costly for her followers beaten as favourite at her last five runs, she clearly has the ability but does she have the will to win. Nash off and JMac on. BOBBY DEE (1) had every chance on the Gold Coast last time, he was well beaten at the start prior in this grade but I liked the way he stuck on after a torrid trip wide on the speed.

Race 9: BM78 Handicap 1500m

BANDERSNATCH (8) certainly had his chance when beaten as favourite at Randwick three weeks ago, he looks the leader again and is probably suited here at Rosehill more than the bigger track across town. Crawn well, if he gets an easy sectional or two early, go again in the run!

Dangers:

WELSH LEGEND (9) gets the barrier blanket for the first time, will be a good training effort to get her right for this fresh, last seen in the Qld Oaks, she was beaten out of a place but was braver in defeat off a wide run. She has talent, but may need further. LAURE ME IN (2) was having his first start for the Pfeiffer yard since coming north at Randwick three weeks ago, he made good ground from the back behind the top pick and was a real eye-catcher. Is a winner second-up previously as well. MUGATOO (7) is a dual acceptor having his first Australian start, a two-time winner in the UK I would like to see some money for him fiorst-up in Oz off a 6-month break.

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