March 31, 2020
Tips

Randwick (Sat)

Kensington

Randwick Racing Tips – Sat Feb 29th

We will be at Randwick this Saturday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 2 – SUPREME IDEA

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Race 1: Highway Class 2 Handicap 1000m

Thankfully the powers that be have resorted to putting the Highway first on the card. Hopefully the kid’s netball game runs late and you get to the pub for race two! If you must have a bet, include DIXIE (11) travels south for Matty Dunn, she ran on well in Brisbane last start in a race that suited those on the speed. This stable must be respected when coming to one of these. GLAMOUR CAT (1) has the wide draw to overcome, she has good tactical speed, JMac replaces Tim Clark, let’s hope he is positive early. If not, lay in the run. CONSPIRATOR (2) was well supported last start 5 weeks ago in a similar race to this, he had a perfect run in transit and would have traded short in the run after hitting the front. LUFF (7) Is resuming and was impressive wining a recent trial, having his first go her eat Randwick.

Race 2: Sweet Embrace Stakes 2YO Fillies Set Weights 1200m

SUPREME IDEA (4) was super last start having her first run in Sydney. The connections notified that they would ride her closer, she led, kicked on the turn and never looked like getting run down. Can she control from the front again? Go again in the run if she lands on the bunny.

Dangers:

HARMONIUM (8) draws inside her and led all the way at Gosford for a comfortable win. She will find this harder but it looks a great jockey change with Tim Clark going on, it’s rare that he doesn’t ride one positive that has tactical speed. STELLAR PAULINE (2) is still a maiden, runner-up at all three starts including the MM last time out where she was wide without cover throughout. TILIA ROSE (5) won the feature 2YO race on Newcastle’s big day back in November, she sat outside the leader and was too good but looked like she still had plenty to learn.

Race 3: Skyline Stakes 2YO Colts and Geldings Set Weights 1200m

PRAGUE (1) is undefeated after two starts, he won at Canterbury on debut then sat outside the leader here a month ago and was way too good after doing all the work. Tommy Berry takes the ride and should be positive early.

Dangers:

AIM (2) was undefeated before going north to the Magic Millions, he got a mile back on the rails, didn’t have much luck and only battled late as a beaten favourite. The smaller field looks to suit. Look for any money for the two first-starters in the race, ARGENTUS (8) from the Snowden yard and MAMARAGAN (9) who has won two trials here, both on a sot track.

Race 4: Liverpool City Cup 1300m

CASCADIAN (2) is a former import that has shown plenty since arriving. He was targeted at the Epsom last year, backed up to win the Spring Mile here the start after and then place at G1 level in the big mile race on the first day of the Flemington carnival. He has shown that he has come back well, hit the line hard here for second a fortnight ago.

Dangers:

ROCK (5) is a dual acceptor between here and Melbourne, he has a good record first-up. He is another that will be giving them a start but should sprint well fresh if he starts here. QUACKERJACK (4) has a good overall record, last start winner f the Villiers here over the Summer and has trialed well. He should have the tactical advantage early over the top two selections. IMAGING (3) is an interesting runner for the Waller stable having his first Australian run, He was a 1400m G3 winner and a Listed winner at the mile back in Ireland, watch the betting with him.

Race 5: Guy Walter Stakes Mares Set Weights and Penalties 1400m

SWEET DEAL (4) was double figure odds when resuming, he was three-wide no cover before working to the front before the straight, kicked hard and never looked like getting run down. She has a good enough record second-up and looks the leader again from the low draw.

Dangers:

POHUTUKAWA (6) ran on hard resuming behind the top pick and looks suited getting out to the 7 furlongs. He doesn’t win out of turn and you have to go all the way back to this time last year for his last win. Look for him late. REELEM IN RUBY (1) had no luck in the same race that most of these came through, she got a mile back and was never really clear. I expect her to settle closer, around midfield. DAWN DAWN (9) didn’t have a lot of luck in the lead-up and should be getting to the outside and clear running here, probably needs to be in front of Pohutakawa though when they dash.

Race 6: Surround Stakes 3YO Fillies Set Weights 1400m

FLIT (1) has always been one of mine, the Thousand Guineas winner for the Spring returned to racing with a brilliant win in the Light Fingers here two weeks ago. Hughie rode him a treat that day, a winner second-up previously, he should be running on hard again. Tougher field this though!

Dangers:

LYRE (2) ran on well in that same race to make it a Godolphin Quinella last time, she also has a good second-up record with a win and a placing from two runs. She gets a soft run and hopefully is ridden for luck back nearer the inside. PROBABEEL (5) was runner-up in two feature 3YO races here in the Spring, has looked good winning two races back in NZ since resuming. She has versatility so not sure where she will be in the run. FUNSTAR (4) is the best horse in the race in my opinion but where does he get to from the wide draw first-up? He won the Tea Rose and the Flight stakes before going to the paddock, maybe an in-run bet if they are going mad up front or wait until second-up.

Race 7: Chipping Norton Stakes WFA 1600m

FIERCE IMPACT (5) was flying at the back-end of last prep winning the Toorak and the Cantala Mile to finish the Spring. HE looks to have come back well on his super run in the Orr, he was held-up on the turn and made god ground late into second on a track that different favour him. He maps well and has won twice previously when second-up.

Dangers:

AVILIUS (1) was also enormous in the Orr running on from a near impossible position, he has a terrific record second-up and here at the track. Loses nothing with Hughie taking the ride, he is winning on everything. TE AKAU SHARK (3) is a Kiwi star that resumed with a brilliant win across the ditch, his run into third in the Cox Plate was super before going to the paddock. Drawn wide, how far back will he get? DREAMFORCE (4) was backed as if there was no settling when resuming, he gets the blinkers back on so the intent is shown there, he should lead for a long way.

Race 8: BM88 Handicap 2000m

Where to look here, and why is this a Quaddie leg! MOUNT TABORA (4) is flying this prep, led all the way over a mile at Flemington last start. This looks no harder, this is his first attempt at the Sydney way since arriving in Australia. NIGHT OF POWER (7) placed here last start a fortnight ago, he did have every chance and doesn’t map as well. Expect T Clark to be positive early. ILWENDO (3) won twice last prep and showed he has come back well with a wet track win at Canterbury three weeks ago. He should sit up on the speed. ATTENTION RUN (1) won at her Australian debut on a heavy track, she should settle closer than what she did when resuming and any rain around wouldn’t hurt. Tough race!

Race 9: BM88 Handicap 1200m

ROHERYN (1) won here resuming, he got a mile back with cover before getting very wide and coming hard with a run and got the good bob in on the line. HE was then a mile back again here second-up ran on well into second but did have every chance. He gets McEvoy back on and I expect him to be a lot closer in the run.

Dangers:

Looks an open race on paper. YAMAZAKI (6) has had 7 weeks between runs, this looks no harder than that run on Magic Millions day against the girls. She will be giving them a start, look for her late. ROYAL CELEBRATION (5) stuck on well up on the speed in the same race as the top pick last time, he should be handy early again from the good gate. TRUMBULL (7) is resuming and has a good record when resuming (4:2-0-2). He has only missed a place once in ten career starts, a good effort considering her pattern of getting back.

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