February 28, 2020
Tips

Randwick (Sat)

Canterbury

Randwick Racing Tips – Sat Feb 8th

We will be at Randwick this Saturday.

Track: Heavy 8 Rail: Out 6m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 8 – DREAMFORCE

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Race 1: Highway Class 3 Handicap 1800m

Thankfully we get the Highway out of the way nice and early on a good card of racing. HARBOURING (1) was poor on paper resuming but did appear in the steward’s report with an abnormal respiratory noise. He has good tactical speed, gets the tongue tie on which should assist with that issue and will be making his own luck up on the speed.

Dangers:

QUICK SPIN (8) ran on hard resuming in a 1500m Highway and looks suited getting out in trip, he doesn’t have a good second-up record though. UP THE STAIRS (6) never got into the race the last time he contested a Highway, he has been so consistent though racing at home on the Mid North Coast. Look for him late as he will get back from the wide draw. CAP’S BOY (9) looks to have some upside taking on the older horses but deserves a crack at this level after winning last start and making it 2/4 overall. The jockey change worries me though with Jay Ford going on.

Race 2: BM78 Handicap 2400m

SHE’S IDEEL (4) is flying this prep, she beat up on the girls two starts back then sat back last and on the outside last tie in this grade, got very wide but was way too good in the run home again. She looks a little risk from the inside as she will get back, but given even luck she will be too good again.

Dangers:

DARK PEARL (1) chased her all the way last start and will also be giving them a start, he may be better suited to get going earlier and trying to get a jump on her whilst she is back on the inside. BIRTH OF VENUS (2) comes through the same race, didn’t have a lot of luck closer to the speed and maps well again. OUR FUN (3) looks the only other winning chance, I like the jockey change with Clark going on, she should be prominint throughout.

Race 3: BM88 Handicap 1000m

SPRITUAL PURSUIT (11) is a real wet tracker, she has only been fair this prep but has had her excuses. Two starts back the saddle shifted at the start and was caught wide, last time she was caught off the track again without cover and stuck on well. Drawn out and sitting wide shouldn’t be an issue today on the bog track.

Dangers:

GOD OF THUNDER (1) looks the obvious danger. He has a lot of class, a placegetter at G2 level before going to the paddock but the inside draw, first-up on a wet track with a claiming jock has me worried. He has trialed well. SEI STELLA (8) beat up on the girls when resuming at the Valley, the margin wasn’t large but she was forced to sit three-wide without cover throughout. CORUSCATE (2) has been away from the races for more than a year, he did trial back in the Spring but never got to the races so there must have been some issue. He handles the going well but would need to see some money late from the yard watchers to be confident.

Race 4: Lonhro 2YO Plate Set Weights and Penalties 1000m

MISSION RIVER (2) debuted here three weeks ago, he was awkwardly away before settling mid-field and over-racing. He was wide around the turn and although he never looked the winner, he hit the line well for second behind the smart Rulership who came out and ran a ripping race behind the Blue Diamond favourite on Saturday.

Dangers:

TICKET TO RIDE (10) comes through that same race, was a similar SP and the beaten margin was also similar. They notified to ride her closer last time but after being poorly away, she settled well back. Expect her to go forward here. DAME GISELLE (7) will start favourite off her brilliant Golden Gift win, first-up on a heavy track which she hasn’t seen before, are we willing to take red figures? I am not! SUPREME IDEA (11) was brilliant winning on debut, then looked plain second-up in a Blue Diamond Preview when well in the market. Happy to forgive that run.

Race 5: Southern Cross Stakes 1200m

ASHLOR (4) has not won a race since March last year, but I really like the two runs he has had since resuming. He was not suited at WFA last start behind stars Scales OF justice and Hey Doc, stuck on well after sitting up on the speed. HE has a fantastic third-up record, handles the wet and draws wide which should be no disadvantage. Dropping back to 53kg should be hard to beat and the double figures available look juicy.

Dangers:

JUNGLE EDGE (1) wound back the clock last time at Caulfield, we know he loves the wet but feel he will be a big drifter as the track dries out through the week with that jockey engagement. CASCADIAN (2) may need the run and further but has the most upside of any horse in this race, SPECIAL REWARD (6) has had 5 weeks between runs but is 1/1 on rain affected going. This is only his third start for the Kris Lees yard since coming over from the west.

Race 6: BM88 Handicap 1600m

TO YOUR HEALTH (11) goes on top off a narrow win last start after a gem of ride. She was only taking on the girls but I liked the way she stuck her neck out late to score. The second horse over the line has run ok as favourite since and the third horse won here last Wednesday, the form out of the race looks good.

Dangers:

MONSIEUR SISU (14) gets in with the very light weight second-up, he will find this harder than what he faced resuming but he loves it wet. He never got a crack at them last time and has placed at 2/3 when second-up. Worth an each-way ticket at the big odds. NIGHT OF POWER (8) has only missed a place once in four previous wet track runs, he stuck on well last start after having to sit three-wide without cover throughout and was only beaten just over a length. ATTORNEY (7) won back-to-back races at his only two starts last prep, this looks a lot harder but has trialed well. Jay Ford on? Looks a great lay at the early price.

Race 7: Light Fingers Stakes 3YO Fillies Set Weights 1200m

LIBERTINI (4) is a superstar and wasn’t beaten far behind Exceedance and Bivouac when last in work, we know how good they are! She has laced at all three rain-affected track starts, draws wide so Tommy Berry will have all the options. She loves racing here at Randwick also.

Dangers:

The three Godolphin fillies look the hardest to beat. FLIT (3) is a star but just a bit worried about the wet track and the inside gate, I think she will be a big drifter in the market especially after missing a run. She won the Thousand Guineas last Spring before getting out to the 2000m, if she handles the track she is the one I am worried about. KIAMICHI (1) has missed a couple of runs but grows another leg in the wet and is very quick. LYRE (2) placed in the Slipper at her only heavy track run, she was good without winning through the Spring.

Race 8: Apollo Stakes WFA 1400m

DREAMFORCE (2) loves it fresh, his wet record is ok without winning at 7 starts but has placed 5 times. You know what you will get with him, he will jump and run and be very hard to catch. He was backed as if there was no settling when first-up last start and bolted in.

Dangers:

ANGEL OF TRUTH (6) Is going to be cricket score odds but doesn’t look the worst bet in a race where there are so many unknowns. He loves the wet and has won 2/4 fresh, went awful last campaign but this time last year was flying, including a Derby win here at Randwick. ALIZEE (8) has the inside gate, who knows what the track will be doing by this stage but she is clearly a classy type. She produced the best last 800m of the race when resuming and has the fitness edge on her rivals. DANZDANZDANCE (10) is a dual G1 winner in NZ, may need more time but should handle the conditions well. Happy to be right against VERRY ELLEEGANT first-up, he does love the wet but that looks the only positive for me.

Race 9: Triscay Stakes Mares 1200m

POHUTAKAWA (5) has had a long time between wins but was racing really well without much luck through the last prep. She was enormous at Newcastle fresh against the pattern of the race, flew home at Flemington second-up to narrowly miss then was held-up at a vital stage in a G2 at Caulfield third-up. She loves the wet.

Dangers:

CONNEMARA (8) has placed at 2/3 in heavy conditions, chased hard but had every chance when resuming in these conditions and is a winner second-up previously. NOTATION (9) is 2/2 fresh and 2/2 on heavy tracks, she gets the blinkers off resuming today and I expect her to start single figures, currently double figures available. REELEM IN RUBY (1) has not missed a place in 10 starts, a big effort considering she is not really an on-speed horse. Wide draw but she is likely to get back anyway, look for her late.

Race 10: BM88 Handicap 1300m

VEGADAZE (2) is the best horse in this field I have no doubt, he has a win and a placing from two wet track starts but the barrier is obviously a concern. He drops a stack in class from his first-up run where he was ok up on the speed, I think he can sit parked and beat this lot. He won his only other second-up run.

Dangers:

ROHERYN (5) is a winner at his only other heavy track run, he was good winning when resuming last time after witting wide throughout. He was a winner at his first second-up run, draws out but that should be ok, we will know more by this time of the day the way the track is playing. POETIC CHARMER (12) probably needs a drying track through the week, he gets the blinkers off again and has the inside, I suggest if you are going to back him wait until very late as he will only drift in the betting. ROYAL CELEBRATION (7) has a horror draw, he was first-up for a year last start and never really got a crack at them in a totally forgiving run.

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