Morphettville Racing Tips – Sat May 4
We will be at Morphettville this Saturday.
Best Race 5 no 1 Spanish Reef
Race 5 No 1 SPANISH REEF
Quality mare that simply won’t know herself dropping back to this company having just mixed it with some of the Countries best gallopers last start. What’s more actually had nothing go her way after uncharacteristically missing the kick, before working home late (worse going) when still just beaten 1.2L behind Kenedna. Maps ideally, either leading or at the very worse handy on what just appears a modest tempo up front. Given that scenario expect her to be simply too classy for these and have her rated a conservative $2.20 chance! Obviously admitting to have already had an early nibble at the current $3.10 whilst ready to go real hard come race-day….best bet!! Truly Discreet ($19), another on-pace type is the best roughie in the race.
ODDS $3.10 @ UniBet
Race 6 No 3 PRINCESS JENNI
Promising young High Chaparral filly that comes into this off the back of two narrow, however somewhat huge wins. Steps up to this longer trip for the first time, something we suggest will in fact be a big positive. Given she further progresses and produces a career high rating as anticipated expect her to be horribly hard to hold out….given even luck! Having said that still admit would prefer longer than the current $3.80 and will personally step in once hits at least $4.50 (very possible!). Still plenty of good value bets in this years Oaks. Two we have identified are Dreamed ($26), simply wins given clear running last start. Still has plenty of scope and wouldn’t shock to see her topple her more fancied rivals whilst Quafila ($31) shapes as the big improver returning back to firmer going and also has genuine claims on best ratings.
ODDS $3.80 @ Ladbrokes, BetEasy, PalmerBet, TopBetta, BetStar
Race 7 No 2 COOL PASSION
Despite this mare now being a rising 8yo suggest she is simply flying having finished close-up behind some of Aust best sprinters up in Sydney last start. Has since been freshened whilst also noting trialled like a ‘bomb’ last week when defeated Sunlight! Maps to do little/no work enjoying gun on-pace trail whilst most of her main rivals will be conceding her a healthy start. Must admit to salivating when seeing the opening price….recommend opening up the purse strings again here as we have her rated closer to a $3.50 chance! Obviously must respect Spright ($4.80), that is capable of producing some strong final sectionals however will also need everything to go right. Best roughie is I’ll Have A Bit ($19). Loves this track/distance and her last start run was much better than what it initially reads on paper.
ODDS $6.0 @ Ladbrokes, UniBet, Bet365, BetStar
Race 8 No 8 CAUSEWAY GIRL
Victorian filly that has come back tremendous this campaign. Produced a big effort to score first-up at Flemington before so game in two subsequent Sydney races. Gave a big sight before being swamped closing stages two starts back (Group Three) before enduring tough run throughout last start against Group Two company when still far from disgraced. Those efforts we suggest more than proves she is up to this class, will race handy and given just even luck from awkward draw expect she can give a big sight at the incredibly generous $19 being offered. Simply too good to ignore at that price and just must be supported on an each way basis. Having said that certainly respecting both Behemoth ($5.50) and Terbium ($3.80)….suggest two very promising sprinters!
ODDS $19.0 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, PalmerBet, UniBet, TopBetta, BetStar, Bet365