February 28, 2020

Morphettville (Sat)


Morphettville Racing Tips – Sat Feb 1st

We will be at Morphettville this Sat.

BEST Race 7 no 3 KYASHA


Race 1 no 1 PICARGO 

Small field with just the five runners engaged however four genuine chances. Despite that just can’t see how this bloke isn’t favourite with his formlines reading clearly superior to any of his rivals here. Arguably should have beaten the highly promising Just Zerene last week given even luck whilst have no doubts that galloper would be $1.50 if backing up in this. Not to mention previous run/win gave the very in-form Little Rich Boy a start and a beating! Love the fact Stable have elected to back him up quickly whilst Tourneur jumping back aboard is also certainly another big positive. Maps to settle a lot closer-rates $3.0 in our books! Concede the favourite Lunar Light ($2.80) is still on the up however would certainly need to produce a career best to be winning here.

ODDS $3.80 @ BetEasy, PointsBet.

Race 4 no 7 SONIC DEED

On-pace type that admittedly comes into this with a worryingly poor 9% win strike rate however simply won’t meet a weaker bunch of Metro-types than this. Was backed for plenty, and had every chance against a better line-up than this just last week. Drop to 1050m suggest is a big plus as I’m convinced she is most vulnerable over any longer whilst maps to do no work settling on leaders backs from rails draw. Again like the fact Tourneur is jumping back aboard, a mare he has finished in top two in three of his previous four rides whilst quick back-up returning to home track gets another tick. Certainly deserves to crack it for another win and as suggested won’t get many better opportunities than this. Rates $3.50 in our book hence more than happy with opening $4.50.

ODDS $4.50 @ Pointsbet.

Race 7 no 3 KYSHAKA

Lightly raced and very much progressive trained Country mare that has returned in terrific order winning three of her four races since resuming. Ratings also produced back up the fact this mare gets in outstanding in this ‘one metro win race’, appearing to be thrown in at the weight getting in with just 52kg after claim dropping 4.5 and 6kg respectively on past two wins. Simply wins if just reproduces latest efforts hence more than happy to take the opening $3, especially given she maps to settle closer, doing no work off expected moderate tempo….best bet!!

ODDS $3.0 @ Sportsbet, Bet365.

Race 8 no 6 WHITE KAPS 

Certainly don’t think I’d be going over the top in suggesting that this bloke is flying and really has done an outstanding job to get as close as he has in recent efforts despite having had nothing go his way. Maps to get a much softer run sitting much closer, just off pace from the good draw whilst gets in with just 51kg after claim. Latest ratings actually have him winning this despite, as mentioned, no luck. Simply can’t see how he won’t improve hence must admit to salivating at the opening $6.50! Actually blackbooked the $51 outsider, Proud Wolf last week and will certainly be having something on him this week although would have preferred to see him still at 1200m….still more than worthy of a ticket at the big odds!

ODDS $6.50 @ Bet365.

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