Moonee Valley Racing Tips – Fri Nov 22
We will be at Moonee Valley this Friday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 8 – #12 ARCTIC SHOCK
Race 1: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1600m
SAYL (4) is a 10-start maiden from the Waller yard, he has been close up at his last couple running on well. The addition of the blinkers tonight for the first time may see him settle closer.
HIGH HOPES (2) is another that has had enough chances, he has placed at 6 of his 9 runs to date and should be closer to the speed. The inside gate should see him either try to lead or lob the leaders back. KUSARI (7) is a 3YO taking on the older horses, he was beaten as a short-priced favourite on the heavy track last time, he may be last in the run but looks to have plenty of upside. AMAMI (8) also looks an improver with the blinkers again and back on top of the ground.
Race 2: BM64 Handicap 1000m
HEKA EXPRESS (6) had been fair at her first two runs back from a spell, she then went to Ballarat and was well backed at even money to get the chocolates against the girls at 58 grade. She led, kicked around the bend and cruised in by 5 lengths, there have been 2 of the beaten-brigade come out and win since. This is harder but if she brings that, they won’t be catching her.
COVERT MISS (2) is another that bolted in at her latest start, she was at the Bool on the soft track, sat off the speed before accelerating and giving them wind-burn to win by 6. Yendall off Williams on, just not sure how big a start she will be giving. ALL IN BRAWL (5) sat wide and was brave in defeat here last time, this is easier and he gets a good claim and maps a lot better. NICCONI PONI (7) is well travelled but hard to line up her form.
Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1600m
SOVEREIGN AWARD (4) was good resuming then had no luck at Flemington on Oaks day in a harder race than this. She was a maiden winner by 7 lengths last prep and bolted in on the synthetic at 64 grade, Willow goes on for the first time.
BRIMM (2) looks the logical danger, she has placed at her last couple after leading most of the way, that looks her role again tonight. She gets the good 3kg claim, she will jump and run and be hard to catch.
SHAHZADE (8) looks the only other winning chance, she ran on hard when resuming to narrowly miss and should appreciate getting out to the mile second-up. MISS ENTICE (7) next best, she may improve with the blinkers back on and off the heavy track, but she needs to.
Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1600m
You know what you will get with FRANKLY HARVEY (2), he likes to lead in his races and although there is some speed to his outside, I think he will be kicking through to hold the front. He was good resuming on the heavy track at Cranbourne when nailed right on the line.
GASWORX (1) is the other likely leader but after burning early last start and the claim tonight, I think they may opt to try and control the race from outside the lead. That may turn it into a real walk and dash and make these two very hard to catch. LIVING THE DREAM (5) gets the blinkers for the first time, he has placed at both runs since winning his maiden but the draw looks tricky, especially not knowing how he will react to the gear change. BUFFALO BILL (6) gets a soft run, he was ok on the heavy track resuming and gets Zahra on.
Race 5: BM84 Handicap 955m
Tough race to start the Quaddie, all but the bottom one look to have a live chance. WRITTEN CHOICE (5) resumes with the blinkers on again, he was running around behind the likes of Parsifal and William Thomas in the Autumn. He has an ok record fresh also.
Most of them. PROPELLE (6) is first-up, she was beaten favourite behind the promising Bam’s On Fire at her latest start, looks suited on top of the ground and is a winner at her only start at the track. BOLD STAR (4) is an interesting runner resuming, he travels over from SA with Williams booked to ride, he was up for a long time last campaign but was racing well. He needs to improve on his fresh record though, he hasn’t placed in 4 previous first-up runs. MAKAHU BOY (3) ked until into the straight here last time and gets the blinkers off for the first time.
Race 6: Class 1 Handicap 1200m
ROLLS (9) has to come out of maiden grade into a Class 1, I loved the way he got that first win last time. He worked early to lead then eased back, got a split along the inside and was able to quicken again, kicking away to win by 4 lengths. The horse that ran second that day has since come out and won by 3.5 at Hamilton!
GRAND SCHOLAR (4) is also coming off a maiden win by a big margin, but she looks my lay of the night if she starts favourite. It was on a heavy track first-up where she led all the way, has the tricky draw and if she doesn’t lead, she may just be a little flat here second-up. THE EXECUTIONER (3) drops a stack in class from a Listed race at Caulfield, he over-raced and never got into it from the back when it was dominated by those on the speed.
VIA CAPO (8) was ok here at the track at his latest, it has been a good form reference since and he was side for a long way.
Race 7: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1200m
THE NATURAL (11) was brilliant leading all the way to win her maiden when resuming, she over-raced and went for home early but was way too speedy for them. She looks to have come back well, if she can lead from the inside and settle, she will be hard to catch.
DANE CLIPPER (7) had a torrid run here at the track resuming then had no luck when held-up behind the leader all the way down the straight last time. She looks to be going well enough but just needs everything to go right. CLIFFS OF BELAURA (3) was an easing favourite on debut on the heavy track at Geelong but bolted in, she showed she can sit wide on the speed and win.
BRONSKI GIRL (1) had won two in a row before being outclassed at Listed level here three weeks ago. Teo Nugent with the good claim will help.
Race 8: BM78 Handicap 2040m
ARCTIC SHOCK (12) will find this easier than what she contested on Oaks Day, she gets the visors on for the first time and will settle closer. She was a dominant winner at Mornington earlier in the prep at a short quote in a race that has produced three subsequent winners.
Dangers: MAHIS ANGEL (7) will be up on the speed for a long way and will find this easier than last start, he has a good record at two starts at the track with a win and a second. JAGUARY (3) is very consistent, he hasn’t finished further back than second in his last six runs. A little concerning that he has been up for such a long time though. If ANNUNCIATE (13) gets a start he comes right into calculations.