March 31, 2020
Tips

Moonee Valley (Fri)

Bendigo

Moonee Valley Racing Tips – Fri Feb 28th

We will be at Moonee Valley this Friday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 1 – OREGON POINT

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Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1200m

OREGON POINT (4) debuted at Bendigo three weeks ago and was very heavily backed late in the piece to start at 5/4 ($2.25). She got a mile back in the run in the 10-horse field, ran on hard out wide to narrowly miss the placings, only beaten under 2 lengths. Stepping up in trip looks to be in her favour.

Dangers:

MISS KINGSTON (2) is the other raced filly that I am interested in. She also debuted at Bendigo but was easy after opening favourite, over-raced back in the field but hit the line ok. She looks like she has a bit to learn. Watch for any serious money for those on debut, in particular HELLION OF CLUSTER (1) and MONTIA (3).

Race 2: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1200m

NORTH TREK (3) had two runs at his first prep, just missing the placings at both of them. He resumed here at the Valley three weeks ago in a harder maiden than this, sat up outside the speed and after taking over at the top of the straight, was run down late. This is a lot easier, gets that run under his belt and the look at the track, should lead for a long way.

Dangers:

TOM THE STAR (7) has placed at both starts, he resumed at the Bool just over two weeks ago and after sitting up on the speed, was a little one=paced in the run to the line. They look the only chances of the horses we have seen. The two first-starters must be respected, SOVEREIGN ISLAND (5) from the John Sadler yard and BAYVISTA (1) representing Team Hawkes. I would be surprised if any of the others featured.

Race 3: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1200m

This looks the toughest race on the card. IGNITING (2) is a last start winner at the Bool at maiden level, it was impressive the way he did it though at incredibly short odds ($1.24). He was mid-field in the run, held-up down the side before peeling wider, ran on strongly to get the upper hand late. Its proven a good form reference with a big margin to third, the second horse won the next start as well. OVERKILL (5) led all the way for a soft maiden win at Kyneton before going to the break, watch for any support for him resuming. SEA DRAGON (6) hasn’t missed a place in 4 career runs, he was well into the red in the betting when beaten into third resuming, he had every chance as well. If LIBRATE (11) gets a run as the first emergency, she must be included in everything.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 1600m

EXASPERATE (3) had a 6-week break before last start at Flemington, he had a soft run but hit the line nicely into second in what was a much harder race than this. He gets in well with the 2 kg claim, there was money for him as well in that grade.

Dangers:

STAR MISSILE (1) gets in this carrying 61.5 kg’s after the claim, it really looks quite light considering? He was very heavily backed when resuming at Flemington, was fair in the run home and the form has been franked with Streets Of Avalon (second in that race) coming out and winning a G1 on the weekend. BIG BREW (10) is a last start winner on the Lakeside track after a cracking ride, this is his first look at the track. SHE’S ON TIME (8) has won three on the bounce including last start here, this is harder but draws to get the right run again.

Race 5: BM78 Handicap 955m

EXCESS FUNDS (8) won up the straight at Flemington after being very heavily backed last start. He was first-up, sat just off the pace and took over before the clock tower and was all out on the line but held on. He was racing at Listed and Group level before going to the paddock, he is likely to mid-field but will be the one flashing late!

Dangers:

THE COMMONER (9) did all the work here at her first look at the Valley last time, she sat three-wide no cover before taking over at the top of the straight. She should be on the speed for a long way. OUR GLADIATOR (1) won a BM70 over this flying trip last start after leading all the way on the rails, draws low again and can lead and win. MOUNT HOREB (3) won 4 of his last 5 before going to the paddock, he has been off the scene for almost a year but a placing wouldn’t surprise.

Race 6: Summer Sprint Final BM78 Handicap 1200m

FIGHT (7) was fair when resuming here last start, he was on the rails and didn’t really like being caught up underneath horses and was under pressure a long way out. He stuck on well enough, the race has been a good form line with a subsequent winner coming through it. Olly goes on, should be better getting to the outside and winding up.

Dangers:

RAINBOW GIRL (6) has placed at 2 of 3 at the track, he improved second-up and was very heavily backed. She should have the cold sit on the leaders. VIRAL (4) has never been here to the Valley, he had been racing well early in the prep prior to last start at Caulfield, obviously there was an issue. This is no harder. RHAMES (8) is resuming, he has a win and a placing at two previous fresh runs. The only time he missed a place was last start when wide without cover and featured in the steward’s report. Has trialed well.

Race 7: Summer Stayers Final BM78 Handicap 2500m

DARK PEARL (2) sat up on the speed at Randwick last start in a harder race than this, went to the front early in the straight and stuck on well only to be nosed out late. The margin back to third was almost 6 lengths, the winner of that race is flying. He will only need to repeat that to be winning this.

Dangers:

TATALINA (7) was having her first look at the Valley last start, she was well back in the run before taking off a long way from home. She kept coming when balanced up in the straight, she is clearly the main (and possibly only) danger. GAZZARA (4) has been racing well, culminating in a win at Sandown last time out. He sat behind the speed, quickened nicely to take the front early in the straight and never looked like getting run down.  LUCENTE (9) is racing very well this prep, he hasn’t missed a place in 6 starts, winning three of them. This is a harder but he will be making his own luck the ol’ boy.

Race 8: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 2040m

IGNORED (3) had only been racing fairly early on this campaign, I like the improvement she showed last start here at the track. She was a long way back in the run, came very wide approaching the turn and closed hard int second. There have been two hordes come out of that race and win since, including one beaten more than 8 lengths!

Dangers:

GHODELEINE (5) comes through the same race, she was up outside the speed, took over on the turn and was swamped late. She has the inside here so should map well, only needs even luck. SHE’S A KARAKA (10) has won two of three this time in, her maiden win fresh was on a heavy track and then bolted in at 58 grade last time after a gem of a ride. Harder here but is going well. QUEEN LEONORA (8) comes through the same race as the top two picks, she found the line well but looks to be severely disadvantaged by the draw.

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