August 18, 2022
Featured Tips

Flemington (Sat)

Caulfield, Bendigo Cup, Cranbourne Cup 2021

Melbourne Racing Tips  – Saturday March 12, 2022

Saturday @ Flemington:

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m.

OUR BETS:

1:10pm R2 #4 FLYING MASCOT (Best)
3:40pm R6 #3 LOST AND RUNNING
4:20pm R7 #2 THINK IT OVER


QUADDIE:

Starts Race 6 at 3:40pm AEDT

1st leg: 1, 2, 3, 6
2nd leg: 2, 3, 12
3rd leg: 3, 9, 11
4th leg: 5, 6, 7, 9, 10

$18 gets you 10%, tough one!


PREVIEWS

Race 2: MATRON STAKES 1600M

FLYING MASCOT (4) was beaten a lip 1st up by PROBABEEL then led and won in easy fashion in a G3 1400 last run. Drawn to box seat here, weighted ok and out to a distance she excels at…Looks hard to beat.

Dangers:

TURAATH (1) ran 3rd to MARABI in a G2 1200 before a slight set back and then ran an ok 4th in a G1 1400 behind SIERRA SUE. Not proven at the distance as yet and the wide barrier means she’ll have to do extra work here. PROMISE OF SUCCESS (7) is a progressive import who ran 2nd to SNAPDANCER 1st up over 1200 then 3rd to FORBIDDEN LOVE 2nd up over 1400, although she was beaten 3 and a bit lengths each time. 1st go Flemington and unproven the distance as yet.

Betting Approach:

(4) FLYING MASCOT
0.5 units win @ $2.70

Race 6: NEWMARKET HANDICAP 1200m

LOST AND RUNNING (3) weighted ok here with 56kgs, considering he won first up with 61kgs over 1200 and won The Hunter 1300 last prep with 59kgs. First race Mlb way but he has jumped out down the straight and looked to handle it ok. Drawn to stalk the HOME AFFAIRS and with the in-form H Bowman coming down to ride looks a big chance.

Dangers:

HOME AFFAIRS (2) is 2 from 2 down the straight winning the G1 Coolmore 1200 for 3 Year olds then winning the G1 Lightning 1000 against the older horses first run this prep. Looks to peak here with the best big race trainers polish in Waller and with big race rider J Mac aboard he is the to beat. My concern is that he not well weighted here so his price looks a little skinny. ROCH ‘N’ HORSE (11) is an interesting runner here after finishing a close 2nd to LEVANTE (also in this race) in the G1 Telegraph 1200 in NZ last start. He jumped out with lost and running down the straight last Friday and nosed out that fellow. He is in the astute Mike Moroney camp and at $61 looks the best ruffy.

Betting Approach:

(3) LOST AND RUNNING: 0.5 units win @ $4.00

Race 7: AUSTRALIAN CUP 2000m

THINK IT OVER (2) presents here up after winning a G1 1400 and finishing a close 4th in a G1 1600, on unsuitable heavy ground. Drawn to box seat and gets out to a distance he has won 5 times at. First go Mlb way but gets his regular rider in Nash Rawiller aboard to offset that. He finished an unlucky 1.5L 4th in the G1 Queen Elizabeth 2000 behind ADDEYBB and VERRY ELLEEGANT last autumn and if he repeats that run he can win this.

Dangers:

DUAIS (12) finished an unlucky 1.63 L 6th behind VERRY ELLEEGANT over 1600 last start when blocked for a run. She won the G3 Coongy 2000 last prep as a 3yo beating older horses. She is also an oaks winner and place getter and looks a horse on the up. SPANISH MISSION (3) this UK import looks well placed here after a good first up run when finishing 3rd behind CALLSIGN MAV over 1600. He finished 3rd in last year’s MLB Cup 3200 behind VERRY ELLEGANT and though I suspect he might need 1 more run and 2400 to do his best, he looks a chance here with J Mac going aboard and with the inform Moody polish.

Betting Approach:

(2) THINK IT OVER: 0.5 units win @ $3.20

Copy link
Powered by Social Snap