August 14, 2020
Featured Tips

Caulfield (Sat)

Caulfield
Melbourne Racing Tips –  Saturday August 15
Saturday @ Caulfield: 

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 9m Entire Circuit.

Best Bet: Race 5 – HYDRO STAR
Race 1: SOVEREIGN AWARD (1) from 2, 6 and 5.
Race 2: PROPELLE (8) from 4, 1 and 6.
Race 3: CHASSIS (7) from 4, 3 and 1.
Race 4: PLEIN CIEL (2)  from 8, 9 and 4.
Race 5: HYDRO STAR (6) from 3, 5 and 8.
Race 6: PARLOPHONE (3) from 12, 7 and 2.
Race 7: BUMPER BLAST (8) from 2, 6 and 1.
Race 8: SAVATIANO (10) from 3, 1 and 8.
Race 9: SHOWMANSHIP (4) from 3, 14 and 8.

===

Race 1: Fillies and Mares BM84 Handicap 1700m

SOVEREIGN AWARD (1) is around flip-of-the-coin odds at the time of writing, she has been good winning both starts since resuming. She was well ridden when weaving between runners fresh then kicked through to eventually lead and not get headed at her latest. Olly sticks with the ride, she should be on the pace for a long way.

Dangers:

MOSCOW RED (2) was beaten by 2 lengths behind the top pick last start, she hit the line well and expect her to settle closer here. MRS O’MALLEY (6) comes through similar form lines, she has been up for a long time but is still racing well. She will need everything to go right as she will get back. RUBY SKYE (5) loomed up to win last start but just looked to peak late, this is no harder but I am aware of the SP profile, she has been going around at huge odds.

Race 2: BM78 Handicap 1000m

PROPELLE (8) hasn’t won in more than a year but I like the way she showed improvement at her last couple. She produced some of the best sectionals of the meeting two back here at Caulfield, last time she was well beaten into second but found the line well. Back on the bigger track looks to suit and she usually races well here.

Dangers:

A GOOD YARN (4) showed a stack of speed to lead all the way at Geelong, last time at the Valley she landed on the bunny again and was no match for the winner, he wasn’t beaten far behind the top pick. MISTER MOGUL (1) was good up the straight two starts back, he has been up for an eternity but spacing his runs with a month or so between them.  He should get an economical run off the inside draw. THE CLOSER (6) is resuming, she will find them a little too slick early but should be working home nicely late. Watch what she does through the line for further into the prep.

Race 3: Mares Handicap 1100m

CHASSIS (7) looks to have come back well and is at home in the wet conditions. She charged home to just miss fresh then again got back and was the run of the race to get over the top of them late last time. She races well here, there looks enough speed on paper, look for her late again.

Dangers:

SHE’S A THIEF (4) is racing well winning two of her last three, including an all the way win here at the track last time. She is drawn to find the front again, if she gets a cheap sectional through the middle, they won’t be running her down. ACTING (3) was only racing fairly before going to the paddock, this is a drop in class. The booking of Olly should be noted, expect that she will get back and run on hard. EMBRACE ME (1) has been a long time between wins, she does drop a stack in class off her runs at the back end of last campaign. She draws to get a soft run, ridden for luck, she can run into a place.

Race 4: Handicap 1600m

PLEIN CIEL (2) rarely runs a bad race in what looks an open affair. He won at the Valley before a fair effort in what is always a strong Winter Champs Final. Huge jockey change with Olly taking over, he returns to his favourite track winning 4 of 6 here. He maps well, should have the cold sit on the leaders.

Dangers:

THINK WE’RE DUE (8) will have to improve on his poor record here at the track, he was ok over an unsuitably shorter trip resuming. He was racing well last prep when up on the speed, expect Melham to ride him more positive here. FIRSTCLASS DREAMER (9) has won back-to-back races, he may need a little luck off the inside when the runs come as he will get back. He gets in well with the claim and can handle the class rise. EXASPERATE (4) won three of his last four before going to the paddock. He has the ability to make long runs and be strong through the line, just a matter of whether he is ready to go fresh.

Race 5: Vain Stakes Colts Geldings and Entires Set Weights and Penalties. 1100m

HYDRO STAR (6) looks a star in the making, he e debuted against the babies at Sandown three weeks ago. He was solid in the market starting favourite off some good jump-outs, after settling last he was bumped off balance when making a run, loved the way he let down in the straight for a dominant win. He can take the next step and should settle closer with a better getaway.

Dangers:

RULERSHIP (3) has trialed well for his return, he wasn’t beaten far in a Blue Diamond Prelude behind the star juvenile of the time. He didn’t show much on the heavy track in Sydney, he may want an improving surface. RANTING (5) is still a maiden, he ran on well on debut then went to SA for the Breeder’s and showed more tactical speed. Tongue Tie goes on, he needs to settle better and doubt he can face the breeze and win. THE CRUISER (8) ran on well with the best last furlong of the meeting on debut, this is a big step up in class though.

Race 6: Quezette Stakes 3YO Fillies Set Weights and Penalties 1100m

PARLOPHONE (3) won impressively to break her maiden status at Sandown, she then went across the border into SA and was backed as if unbeatable to start favourite at Listed level. She was awkwardly away before settling mid-field. She angled clear and charged late, she could be a star.

Dangers:

AGREEABLE (12) bolted in on debut at Geelong, charging home from the back and was sent straight to the paddock. She looks above average, can she bring that to this level? FRESH (7) also resumes, she gets the earmuffs on and will be up on the speed. She is a must include in all bet types, especially if the track is favouring those on speed early.  RIVER NIGHT (2) next best, she gets a gun run from the draw and will also go forward.

Race 7: Regal Roller Stakes 1200m

BUMPER BLAST (8) has to step up in class, I love the way he came back at Flemington up the straight. He was slowly away, settled back in the field before balancing up and storming home out wide to win. Willow sticks, he won his only other second-up start and with the right horse to follow ono the turn, should finish as good as any.

Dangers:

VIRIDINE (2) won the Bletchingly last start here at the track, not a big fan of the Olly to Zahra jockey change. He maps well again, a little concerned that he may get boxed in when the runs come. He certainly can win, I want to be against him though at the $3, AGE OF CHIVALRY (6) is resuming, he may need the run but draws to get a soft run behind the leader. He has won fresh before, he also looks another that will drift in the betting, so if you want to be on, wait until late. JUNGLE EDGE (1) is an old marvel, we know what we will get with him. He will go forward but unless the rain comes, he looks up against it. All 19 career wins have come on rain-affected going.

Race 8: PB Lawrence Stakes WFA 1400m

SAVATIANO (10) flies fresh with 4 wins from 7 previous resuming runs. She was a G2 winner in Sydney last prep when resuming over 1300m, she didn’t win again that campaign but ran some nice races. She was last seen in Adelaide, 15 weeks between runs and has trialed well on the heavy track in Sydney.

Dangers:

STREETS OF AVALON (3) was well backed when resuming here three weeks ago, he settled up on the speed and kept coming in the straight to be beaten under a length. He maps well again and will improve off that run. REGAL POWER (1) is the last start All-Star Mile winner, he may still want further and doesn’t have a great record fresh. He will be hitting the line hard, he has the class to run into a place. MYSTIC JOURNEY (8) will have admirers, happy to be right against her resuming here. Her last win was one year ago I this race in what was hardly a classic PB Lawrence, she has trialed well enough in Tasmania but I expect her to be a huge drifter in the betting.

Race 9: BM84 Handicap 1400m

SHOWMANSHIP (4) could start the shortest priced favourite of the day, those that are playing the Quad may want to take him one-out? He has won four in a row this campaign in the west, he doesn’t do it from the front so there may be some that want to take him on. Pikey gets the ride on his journey east, this will be his first winner.

Dangers:

ADELAIDE ACE (3) is first-up, he will be trying to lead form the wide gate. He was a G2 winner here at the track last campaign, he looks tremendous value for the place. WILMOT PASS (14) was a winner up the straight two starts back, forget he went around at the Valley last time as he was held-up for much of the straight.  EL QUESTRO (8) beat the girls on the bigger track at Flemington last time, she will go forward and Dunn may be best suited taking the sit form the good draw.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Wednesday August 12
Wednesday @ Sandown: 

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 2m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 5 – RICH HIPS
Race 1: ROYAL EXIT (2) from 1, 6 and 4.
Race 2: SHAM I AM (2) from 6, 4 and 5.
Race 3: CRACKSMAN (5) from 4, 2 and 3.
Race 4: MAGNOLIA MAN (8) from 10, 16 and 3.
Race 5: RICH HIPS (5) from 3, 7 and 4.
Race 6: IMPERIAL DAWN (12) from 11, 1 and 2.
Race 7: OCEAN MISS (3) from 8, 5 and 4.
Race 8: EXQUISITE BEAUTY (3) from 4, 7 and 12.

===

Race 1: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1000m

ROYAL EXIT (2) is a son of Vancouver for the Beetroot Williams camp, he debuted at home at the Bool a couple of weeks ago and was a well backed favourite. He showed good speed to lead, kicked into the straight and never looked like getting run down. The key will be if he can find the front again, he does look above average.

Dangers:

DIESEL ‘N’ DUST (1) got the maiden win out of the way in style at Wodonga, his first go out of that grade was good at the Valley the last time after a gun ride. Olly sticks, he may have to sit parked though. PEGGY SELENE (6) gets the ear muffs off, her and WIDE AWAKE (4) come through the same race last time. Peggy Selene will try and lead all the way, Wide Awake will be the beneficiary if they do go hard early.

Race 2: Colts Geldings and Entires BM70 Handicap 1000m

SHAM I AM (2) won twice last campaign, he resumed at Geelong and after settling outside the speed, was strong through the line to score. He then again was outside the speed but was a little flat second-up, with six weeks between runs I expect him to be a lot sharper. Hopefully he can be the first across to the fence.

Dangers:

SAORSA (6) has been a little inconsistent of late, he won two back on the synthetic then had no luck last time He was beaten almost ten lengths, but that margin is unfair. He will need everything to go right, look for him late. HE CAN STAR (4) has won three of his last four, the one he wasn’t first past the post he was brave in defeat after sitting wide without cover. He gets a good claim but will need cover early. GIBBON (5) is now an 8YO, forget he went around at Cranbourne last start after being held-up for most of the straight.

Race 3: BM70 Handicap 2400m

CRACKSMAN (5) does not know how to run a bad race this time in, he won across the border earlier in the prep and has placed at his last three. Last time at Geelong he was very well supported and started an even money favourite, got a mile back before running on well to get within a length at the finish. He just needs everything to go right, if so, should be winding up at the business end.

Dangers:

PROTECTION MONEY (4) has won two of his last four, he had his chance last time when close-up and should be mid-field in the run. He probably needs to be making his run prior to the top pick circling them. LIGHT PILLAR (2) settled up outside the speed and stuck on well at his latest, he gets the good claim and should again be hard to catch. METEOR LIGHT (3) looks the leader, his chances will rely on being first to the rail, doubt he can run past anything in the straight.

Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1300m

MAGNOLIA MAN (8) is one of the more interesting runners of the day, he won his first two races in NZ and has since been transferred to the Busuttin/Young stable. They can really find one from their homeland and get it to perform here fresh, he has had three jump-outs recently, winning the latest. A replay of tat jump out can be found here.

Dangers:

SWING AND BOOM (10) is resuming, she stormed home from the back to win her maiden when resuming last campaign. She won again at her next start before a couple of decent efforts in this grade, she maps well and should be camped close to the speed. INCREDULOUS DREAM (16) was a Bendigo winner on debut, she was thrown in the seep-end at start two at G3 level up the straight. She was well beaten but wasn’t horrible and has shown enough at the jump-outs to be competitive back in this grade resuming. SCORPIUS (3) is drawn horribly out under the arches, he has had a month between runs, they are likely to light him up early and try to cross to the rail. How much work will he have to do and will he get across? Lay him in the run if he doesn’t.

Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1400m

RICH HIPS (5) was a brilliant winner at Sandown when resuming, she was poorly away and copped some interference before charging home to win easily in a race that has produced two subsequent winners. She then went to Caulfield in a harder race and was a real eye-catcher late, if the track is playing fair, I can’t see how she doesn’t win this with a leg in the air!

Dangers:

There only looks a few, if any. THOUSAND WISHES (3) maps to get a great run in transit, she has placed at two of three previously when resuming and was flying at the back-end of last prep. She just may need a little luck when they quicken, she is a must for all exotic tickets. SHANDY (7) looks the only other realistic winning chance, she was well backed to win an easier race at Bendigo last time, the problem with her is that she will be back with the top pick, it will take a gun ride from Jamie Kah to be in front of her in the run home. ZIZZIS (4) next best, but for the minor spots only.

Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1500m

IMPERIAL DAWN (12) looks to have come back well, she was flying last prep before going to the paddock. She resumed at Bendigo against the girls in this grade, settled mid-field before running on hard to get within a length at the finish. Up in trip looks ideal and is a perfect 2/2 when second-up.

Dangers:

BLONDEAU (11) was backed into red figures at Geelong 12 days ago, after settling mid-field he was well ridden to save ground and ran on well to score. This is harder stepping out of maiden grade but he does look to have more upside than his older opposition. MUSWELLBROOK (1) has been up for a while but is always thereabouts. He has placed at his last couple following a Sale win, likely to be giving them a big start though from the draw.  BLINDER (2) is another that will be in the back-half early, he is getting out to the right trip here and should be fully fit third-up.

Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1800m

OCEAN MISS (3) has won two of three this time in, her only failure was in a strong race at Flemington on Finals Day. She sat up outside the leader at her latest and although the margin wasn’t huge, it was a dominant win after doing the work. She maps well again and although she carries the extra weight, can win again.

Dangers:

CASH FOR DIAMONDS (8) wants it wet, she won by more than 6 lengths at Bendigo on the bog track at Bendigo two back then peaked late last time running second with a huge gap to the third horse. If the track is downgraded at all, she goes in as the top pick. JENKINS (5) gets the blinkers back on, he was off the map with the satchel swinger’s last start at Swan Hill in an easier race and didn’t disappoint those that backed him, charging clear late. Harder again but the stable has shown intent off that win with the blinkers back on. APPROACH DISCREET (4) comes through the same race as the top pick last time, he got home well and does meet her better in the weights. Olly goes on as well, a reverse in the result from last time wouldn’t shock

Race 8: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1000m

EXQUISITE BEAUTY (3) gets a stack of gear changes resuming today, she has a good record fresh and won’t know herself back in this grade. Last time we saw her she was only beaten 4 lengths at the Valley in the Typhoon Tracy at G3 level, look for her to be winding up late.

Dangers:

MRS BECKHAM (4) is also fresh off a 20-week break but doesn’t have a good record first-up. She wasn’t great last prep in harder races but if she can find the form of earlier in the year, she will be hard to run down. HIGH RISK (7) was a debut winner and hasn’t been far away at two runs out of that grade, she has good speed and will try to lead. Not a big fan of the jock, will need to get it easy in front. LING LING (12) is another that will need to lead to win, she went har din front last start and was only run down late.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Saturday August 8
Saturday @ Flemington: 

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 10m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 7 – SKYMAN
Race 1: LORD BELVEDERE (2) from 5, 4 and 6.
Race 2: YES BABY YES (6) from 2, 1 and 4.
Race 3: ROYAL FILLY (4) from 1, 3 and 2.
Race 4: TAVIDANCE (10) from 7, 8 and 9.
Race 5: ICONOCLASM (1) from 9, 6 and 4.
Race 6: WIDGEE TURF (4) from 2, 1 and 5.
Race 7: SKYMAN (5) from 4, 10 and 8.
Race 8: SWORD OF MERCY (11) from 6, 7 and 2.
Race 9: LORD MARKEL (9) from 12, 10 and 14.

===

Race 1: Handicap 2350m

LORD BELVEDERE (2) has won back-to-back races since resuming off an unofficial break, both here at headquarters where he is undefeated. He got back and ran on too well then sat closer last time and got the bob on the line. He looks better when sitting b ack and coming with one run and should be hard to beat again.

Dangers:

EXEMPLAR (5) won at big odds here at the track three weeks ago, this looks no harder. He should be midfield but may have the job of giving the top pick the cart into it? SOUTH PACIFIC (4) rounds out the top three for the Maher/Eustace stable, he gets a couple of gear changes after grinding home behind Exemplar last time. He should be a little sharper with the gear tinkling the stable has done.  BERTWHISTLE (6) is flying winning three of her last four across the border in SA, this is harder, but she will be making her own luck up on the speed.

Race 2: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1410m

YES BABY YES (6) was brilliant resuming at Seymour getting her maiden in style. She showed good tactical speed to lead, kicked clear early in the straight and was strong through the line to win by 3.5 lengths. Hopefully she can find the front again, she will be hard to run down.

Dangers:

GALCTIC FURY (2) is still a maiden after 9 starts but has placed 6 times. He maps to get a soft run off the inside draw, he had no luck in the Vobis race last time and should have probably almost won. DIESEL ‘N’ DUST (1) has been very consistent this time in, he won his maiden by a space two starts back then wasn’t beaten far into second at the Valley last time after a perfect run in transit. BIG DAY OUT (4) next best but I would be very surprised if one of the top three didn’t win.

Race 3: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1800m

ROYAL FILLY (4) debuted on the synthetic track two and a half weeks ago, she was very well backed and after a gun ride, angled into the clear in the straight and was strong through the line to win. She steps up from the 1400m to the 1800m at start two, a tough ask but the way she finished off at her first start, it looks to suit.

Dangers:

FLINDERS RIVER (1) got his first win out of maiden grade last time, he got a good sit behind the leader, was slightly held-up before getting the run and was strong through the line. He also has the slight query stepping up in trip. REUBER (3) is still a maiden, he settled closer last time and stuck on well after facing the breeze. A big rise in distance, will he try to lead from the inside draw? FRANKIE TWO ANGELS (2) got the first win at Sandown, he was ok on debut at Listed grade and looks another that is suited getting out in trip. Not a lot of confidence overall in the race with the step up in distance for the first time for most.

Race 4: BM84 Handicap 1720m

TAVIDANCE (10) won a BM78 two starts back, he then went to Caulfield last time and got further back in the run. He did plenty wrong in the run home, down to the 56kg in this grade and the inside gate, he won’t be doing any work.

Dangers:

WINNING PARTNER (7) has been going well, a win across the border three starts back has been followed by two placings, the latest as a beaten favourite at the Valley. They stick with the kid to ride but he does not map as well. FIVE KINGDOM (8) comes through the same race as Winning Partner last time, he has been getting too far back at his two runs this campaign but looks suited on the quick back-up. RESERVE STREET (9) has been very inconsistent, he gets the blinkers off and should be added in to all bet types.

Race 5: Handicap 1410m

ICONOCLASM (1) is a four-time winner here at the track, including two starts back when storming home late. I love the booking of Damien Lane, he gets a soft run from the draw and has won fresh previously. He will be giving them a start, I think he may show something fresh.

Dangers:

COMING AROUND (9) won three in a row before coming over from WA, he made his East Coast debut in the Mildura Cup and was closing all the time. He will have taken plenty from that and has placed at three of his four previous second-up runs. LABURNUM (6) has had 6-weeks between runs, last time at Caulfield against the girls she probably should have won after being held-up then driving late. RIVET DELIGHT (4) is a most interesting runner, he started his career in the UK before going to Hong Kong and ending up here. He has had one run here for the Lindsay Smith yard, I liked the way he hit the line. As always with this stable, money talks.

Race 6: Aurie’s Star Handicap 1200m

WIDGEE TURF (4) has not won in more than a year, he races well here and can bounce back in what looks a very tricky race. He is first-up and has been good at the jump-outs, the straight six may be a little short but I can see some good speed and he may just pop up fresh.

Dangers:

HOME OF THE BRAVE (2) has placed at both runs at the track, he should be up on the speed and love the booking of Oliver. The only concern with the wide draw is that he may have to lead up the outside division?  SO SI BON (1) was flying last campaign, he gets the blinkers off but needs to improve on his poor record at the track and probably wants further. GREAT AGAIN (5) probably looks the best suited by the trip against the more seasoned campaigners that may want further, he is just not one of mine. He is does go well here and can certainly win, I expect that he will be well backed.

Race 7: BM78 Handicap 2000m

SKYMAN (5) made a big impression at his Australian debut, he had shown plenty in the UK before coming to join the Waller yard. Two weeks ago at Caulfield in this grade, he got well back in the run before running on to win easily. The fifth horse across the line that day has since come out and won and Tavidance was also down the track, he goes around earlier to line up the form.

Dangers:

EUREKA STREET (4) ran on well at Sandown on the Hillside track last time, that was a big improvement on what he had shown earlier in the prep. He will get back but gets the big straight to try and run them down. DENERO (10) was a heavy track winner two starts ago, forget he went around at Caulfield as he went to the line untested behind them without getting a crack. KENTUCKY TORNADO (8) was flying at the back-end of last prep winning three of four, loved the way she ran through the line fresh over the mile and looks suited getting out to this trip.

Race 8: BM90 Handicap 1000m

SWORD OF MERCY (11) was sent to the paddock following her maiden win at Ballarat, she resumed with back-to-back wins at her first two goes against the winners. She was off the track for 5-weeks before going to Caulfield, hit the line well in what was the best last furlong of the day. She looks a great each-way bet.

Dangers:

OCTANE (6) looks the obvious danger, he has won five of his last six starts including his last two across the border. Hard to line-up the form going into a race like this, hence why I want to be against if he starts at the top of the betting. If he gets cover mid-field he will finish hard at his first look up the straight. ELITE LEGACY (7) has won two in a row, he is yet to win here up the straight but maps to get a soft run. CHICAGO CUB (2) won three of four before going to the paddock, he has a great record here and at the track. Doubt he will lead over the 1000m, if it was 6 furlongs he would be the top pick.

Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1410m

LORD MARKEL (9) resumed as a winner at Sandown, he was poorly away and settled back in the field before getting to the middle of the track and being too strong late. He is a better horse fresh, a winner second-up he looks to have come back well.

Dangers:

PINYIN (12) never runs a bad race, she has placed at two of three since coming back from the paddock. She loomed up to win here last time when second but looked to just peak late. Olly sticks with the ride, she will need to be held-up for one run. ZERO DOUBT (10) gets the blinkers off at his first look at the track, he was plain last time but expect the gear change can bring out an improvement. THAT GIRL (14) gets a minor gear change, she will also get back and is fully fit.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Wednesday August 5
Wednesday @ Cranbourne: 

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – AWKWARD
Race 1: BOSS’N THE MOSS (1) from 3, 11 and 4.
Race 2: AWKWARD (11) from 9, 3 and 12.
Race 3: MOVING DAY (11) from 1, 7 and 12.
Race 4: LAKE’S FOLLY (6) from 2, 1 and 4.
Race 5: LUNAR FLARE (2) from 8, 4 and 1.
Race 6: NO FRONTIERS (9) from 8, 10 and 11.
Race 7: IMPERIAL LAD (6) from 9, 11 and 2.
Race 8: EIGHT TIMES A LADY (5) from 12, 13 and 10.

===

Race 1: Maiden Plate 1500m

BOSS’N THE MOSS (1) has placed at two of three in his short career, the latest was on a heavy track at Moe when he was forced to sit outside the leader. He took over in the straight and was only run down over the last few strides, huge jockey change with Olly replacing Maskiell should see him go one better.

Dangers:

FRAG (3) showed improvement at his latest after getting off a heavy track for the first time this campaign. He was held-up at a vital stage early in the straight before finding the line into third. HIGH FASHION (11) is unplaced at all five career starts, she looks suited getting out a furlong in trip after hitting the line well last start over 1300m. Watch for any money for the Mick Kent debutant LUNA ONE (4).

Race 2: 3YO Maiden Plate 1200m

AWKWARD (11) has the “awkward” gate to deal with, the Godolphin filly has had three starts and placed at all of them. She has been mid-field in the run at all three runs, I liked the way she hit the line last time in a race where it was beneficial to be closer to the speed. There have been two winners come through that race also, proving a good form reference.

Dangers:

THE BIG EASY (9) is resuming, he was tackling some of the best juveniles in Sydney at his first prep. He has been gelded and gets a couple of gear changes, I expect him to be a big improver. DIAMONDS’N’STONES (3) placed on debut, I was a little disappointed though as he had the gun run in transit and was favoured by the tempo. He doesn’t map as well today. LINAS MAGIC (12) placed on debut then ran through the line against the tempo second-up. Look for her late.

Race 3: Maiden Plate 1300m

MOVING DAY (11) is an interesting runner for the Ellerton/Zahra camp, she debuted back in October last year, has been off the scene for a long 42-weeks. She showed speed in that only start, obviously has had some issues but I like the way she went at the jump-outs. It looks a very thin race and she can return a winner.

Dangers:

ALTERNO (1) resumed at Sale and had a gun run behind the leader, he was then held-up until the 100m mark when he got out and flashed at them to miss by a length. Draws well again and the extra 100m suits. EMERALD CROWN (7) resumes, she placed at her last two runs before going to the paddock. She has shown enough at the jump-outs. FOOL’S OVERTURE (12) is on debut for the Busuttin/Young stable, drawn wide, watch for any money for him.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1400m

LAKE’S FOLLY (6) will start a short-priced favourite but deserves that spot in the market off his consistent efforts this campaign. He won resuming and has placed at three subsequent starts, he has very good closing speed and just needs the right set-up with the speed genuine and they won’t be holding him out at the back-end. Inside draw a ????

Dangers:

MR TIPLA (2) sat up on the speed and won on a heavy track two starts back, he got further back in a harder race in town last time and was only fair. Expect him to be settling closer from the good draw. YELDARB (1) ran on well to win at Sandown two back, he again made good ground last time to only be beaten 2 lengths. He has had 6 weeks between runs and will be giving them a start again. THE GREAT HANS (4) is going for three in a row, a good maiden win after being held-up was followed by a victory here from the back at his first go out of that grade. Not sure how far back he will get? Happy to be against him at the quote, would need $8+ to back him.

Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 2060m

LUNAR FLARE (2) is coming off back-to-back wins, two back at Sandown she was mid-field before saving ground on the turn and running on hard despite laying in. She then came here and again ran over the top of them late from back in the pack, she was dominant through the line and this distance range really looks to suit.

Dangers:

It looks a race of very limited chances. AUSTRIA (8) has been well travelled of late, she came back down from a Qld campaign and was placed here three weeks ago, she didn’t have a lot of luck when the runs came. MAGAZINE (4) is a dual acceptor, she is also entered for Tuesday at Pakenham on the synthetic and looks to be wanting this trip. CLEAN ACHEEVA (1) can go in for the minor exotic bets but hard to see her taking home the major prize.

Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1000m

NO FRONTIERS (9) was a brilliant winner on debut back in May at Bairnsdale, she was very easy in the betting but as they say, the horses don’t know that! She showed good speed to lead, railed hard and kicked away in the straight to win by more than 2 lengths with daylight third. It has proven a good form reference and off the jump-outs, looks ready to go.

Dangers:

BLUEST SKY (8) looks the main danger, she was also a winner on debut. She sat up outside the speed in what was a harder maiden than the top pick came through, she was strong through the oine to win comfortably. Will she have to sit wide though? SNAP CRACKLE BOOM (10) resumed here and was brave in defeat, she was forced to sit wide without cover and her condition may have just got the better of her late. LING LING (11) resumed in the same race as her here at the track three weeks ago, she also stuck on well after sitting wide. She doesn’t map much better though from the horror draw.

Race 7: BM64 Handicap 1200m

IMPERIAL LAD (6) is a consistent type, he was runner-up resuming after sitting off the track and did well to stick on after a tough run. He then went to Sandown on the Hillside and after only being fairly away, worked to get outside the leader and was only beaten a length and a half. He draws poorly but gets the blinkers on for the first time, hopefully they ride him aggressively and try to cross at the start.

Dangers:

ZENDE (9) won his maiden by a space then was narrowly beaten up the straight at his first start out of that grade. Sent straight to the paddock, he resumes here and should roll forward early with the top pick. LA LUCCIOLA (11) placed at her first ever heavy track run when resuming, she has not placed at two previous second-up runs but looks to have come back well. PRIVATE LOUNGE (2) is resuming, she has been in the black-book a long time off her last run when she had no luck at a vital stage. She may need the run but can win soon.

Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1600m

Tough race to finish, play very wide in the Quaddie, its almost a field job! EIGHT TIMES A LADY (5) will be double figure odds, she doesn’t have great numerical form but has been racing well enough. She will be giving them a start, last time at Sandown she got to the best part of the track and made good ground. In the big field she can settle closer and run over the top.

Dangers:

Most of them! SO YOU BEAUTY (12) should also get out to double figure odds from the terrible draw. She has good tactical speed and it may just be a case of handlebars down and trying to cross from the outside, she will be gasping for air late no doubt. SUNSET EAGLE (13) has won twice in her career, both here at her home track. She was very plain on the good track last time, she may be better suited if there is a bit of sting out of the ground. BROKEN TREATY (10) races well here, she is coming off a three week break, that last start was here when she circled them from a mile back and kept chasing nicely through the line.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Saturday August 1
Saturday @ Moonee Valley:

Track: Soft5. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 2 – THERESABEARINTHERE
Race 1: VICTORIA STAR (6) from 2, 1 and 4.
Race 2: THERESABEARINTHERE (4) from 8, 3 and 1.
Race 3: CLEAN MACHINE (5) from 8, 4 and 2.
Race 4: A GOOD YARN (1) from 2, 4 and 7.
Race 5: SOVERIGN AWARD (3) from 11, 6 and 7.
Race 6: WILMOT PASS (10) from 9, 5 and 7.
Race 7: MAHAMEDEIS (1) from 7, 8 and 5.
Race 8: WINNING PARTNER (2) from 12, 5 and 15.
Race 9: HYPERSONIC (19) from 2, 12 and 14.

===

Race 1: Handicap 1600m

VICTORIA STAR (6) is a real winner, he won three in a row before placing at his last couple. Not a fan of the jockey change to be honest and I won’t be taking odds-on, but if he can ride him positively, he looks hardest to beat. That Winter Championship final that he placed in last start is usually a good form race going forward.

Dangers:

AL GALAYEL (2) has not won in almost 2 years, there was a lot to like about the way he hit the line leas start. There doesn’t look a lot of speed so he may need to make a mid-race move. VASSILATOR (1) was a winner at Flemington earlier this prep, he will get back mid-field or worse and run on hard. EXASPERATE (4) is resuming, it may be a tough ask fresh at the mile, he is coming off three of four wins before going to the paddock. If he is ready to go, he must be included and the small field suits.

Race 2: 3Y0 Colts and Geldings Handicap 1000m

THERESABEARINTHERE (4) has had three runs at this his first campaign, but they have been well spaced. He returned off an 8-week break at Morphetville leading all the way after being heavily backed. Comes to Melbourne for the first time with the kid riding, expect him to be very hard to run down.

Dangers:

DIESEL ‘N’ DUST (8) had been improving at each run this time in, he finally go the maiden win out of the way at Wodonga last time with a dominant victory by more almost 4 lengths. He sat mid-field and showed a nice turn-of-foot, he draws well and Olly goes on. JABALI RIDGE (3) put in two nice efforts to start this campaign, he then went to hard at Flemington up the straight six in front last time. I expect he will be ridden more quietly here today. HARD LANDING (1) won the Maribyrnong Plate up the straight on debut, he then showed speed but weakened in a Blue Diamond Prelude. He resumes here with a couple of gear changes and obviously has ability.

Race 3: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1000m

CLEAN MACHINE (5) was huge odds on debut in a Blue Diamond Prelude, she made some ground out wide from a mile back before being sent straight to the paddock. She resumed at Caulfield 5 weeks ago, showed a lot more speed to lead but was run down over the last few strides. This looks no harder, a little worried that she was favoured the way the race was run last time, but if she can get up on the speed back in trip, she will be hard to run past.

Dangers:

PEGGY SELENE (8) has not missed a place in her 5 career starts, she has shown versatility in her short career. She led all the way and bolted in to win by panels at maiden level then ran 0no when narrowly beaten as favourite on the heavy track last time. MISS BOSETTI (4) won an easier race at Mornington earlier in eth prep, she didn’t have much luck at Sandown on the Hillside last time after being held-up until the furlong. GEIST (2) is resuming, still a maiden, she has only raced in black-type races as a juvenile she has been good enough at the jump-outs.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 1000m

A GOOD YARN (1) has come back well this campaign. He placed at his first two runs, last start at Geelong he began well and ran them along in front and never looked like getting headed. The official margin was 3.25 lengths, see how the track is playing and if there is any bias favouring those on the speed, double your bet.

Dangers:

FIGHT (2) won a BM70 at Cranbourne two starts back, he then went up the straight and was running on well when hampered late. I don’t know if he would have won, but he would have gone very close. He is unplaced at two runs at the track but should be hitting the line hard if the top pick doesn’t get a soft lead. BROOKLYN HUSTLE (4) is resuming off a long break and has been good at the jump-outs. She has own fresh but that was on debut 86 weeks ago, fresh from the paddock, happy to take her on if she starts at the top of the betting. PROPELLE (7) will get back and may need some luck when the runs come off the inside draw, she will get an economical run so if the splits come, look for her late.

Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1600m

SOVERIGN AWARD (3) resumed against the girls down in grade at Sale three weeks ago, she was an easing favourite and after settling mid-field, ran on well enough to score back along the rail. She got all the favours but looks to have come back well, I expect that today she may be looking for the front?

Dangers:

SOARING EAGLE (11) has been consistent this time in without winning, she settled up on the speed closer last time and although she hit a flat spot when they quickened, she stuck on well enough, suggesting that the extra trip should suit. MAXIMAK (6) has been up a while and never runs a bad race, a won against the boys two back then ran on hard against the tempo at Flemington. She would be on top if this was on a bigger track, look for her late if the speed is on. WEST WIND (7) changed it up last start and tried to lead all the way at Sale, they may try similar tactics with the kid riding here.

Race 6: BM84 Handicap 1200m

WILMOT PASS (10) won narrowly but convincingly up the straight last time, he settled just off the speed and ran through the line well. He can get further back in his races, hopefully he is ridden for luck, if the breaks come at his first look at the track, he will finish too well.

Dangers:

BLOOD OATH (9) is resuming off a break, this stable knows how to get one going first-up. He won his maiden when fresh last campaign before a great prep that netted three wins in total. He gets a claim and a couple of minor gear changes. CONDO’S EXPRESS (5) is another that is first-up, he stuck on well when we last saw him at Listed level after working to find the front. Walker sticks with the ride, expect him to be getting a cozy run behind the lead. TITAN BLINDERS (7) rounds out a trio of chances that are coming back from the paddock, he has won two from four first-up including last campaign.

Race 7: Handicap 2040m

MAHAMEDEIS (1) had a month between runs, then went to Caulfield in a VOBIS race at Caulfield and was well backed as a solid favourite. He had the gun run behind the speed, angled three-wide on the turn then was dominant over the last furlong for a strong win. He maps well again, this is harder but if he shows that same acceleration again, he will be hard to hold off late.

Dangers:

POLLY GREY (7) looks very hard to beat, happy to risk her though if she is at the top of the betting having her first look at the Valley. She has talent and comes through a strong Winter Champs Final but giving them a start around this circuit first time, lay her unless you can get better than $5. TAVIRUN (8) was an easing favourite but defied the betting drift at Sandown to win, he was well ridden and too strong to the line, albeit hanging in down the straight. BEDFORD (5) handles all conditions, he was a wet track winner last time at Caulfield and should be hitting the line hard after settling in the second half.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1500m

WINNING PARTNER (2) is an interesting runner from the McEvoy yard that has been racing across the border in SA. He won a Murray Bridge BM82 a couple of starts back, last time he was finishing best but unable to reel in the smart winner, a gap back to third. They wouldn’t be bringing him here if they didn’t think he had the class.

Dangers:

SUKOOT (12) bolted in to win by 4 lengths when resuming on the heavy track. Since he has placed at Sandown and then made a long run from the back to take the lead at the furlong, only to be run down late. Hopefully they just save him for one run. TATUNKA (5) is flying, he won a 58,64 and 70 all in succession, last start at Caulfield in this grade he was well backed at double figure odds and wasn’t beaten far after having every chance. STREET TOUGH (15) must be thrown in all bet types if he gets a start. He is a dual acceptor, drawn out here and is racing well for the Payne yard.

Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1200m

Is this the toughest race of the day? For a couple of reasons, the huge field looks very evenly matched, and the fact that HYPERSONIC (19) is the fifth emergency, if he gets a start, he will be the favourite and incredibly hard to beat. For the sake of the preview we will assume he gets in,

Dangers:

If he is not in it looks a dead-set lottery. SEBRAKATE (2) is resuming and has a good record fresh, he is likely to get back in the run so probably needs everything to go right when the runs come, getting off the inside will be an issue. LADY LOFT (12) has the poor draw to overcome, she looked a little flat resuming, if she can get cover and the right horse to follow, I expect her to finish it off betterRAKTOFF (14) is not officially fresh but has been given 7-weeks off, she will be up on the speed and making her own luck.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Wednesday July 29
Wednesday @ Bendigo:

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – ZEPPA
Race 1: BRAZEN FORCE (1) from 8, 6 and 2.
Race 2: ZEPPA (12) from 9, 14 and 2.
Race 3: CONVERGING (2) from 5, 4 and 1.
Race 4: STARDEN LASS (8) from 4, 5 and 9.
Race 5: DESERT DREAMER (3) from 10, 14 and 8.
Race 6: REFRESHED (12) from 2, 1 and 3.
Race 7: CONFUSION (5) from 4, 12 and 13.
Race 8: ACUMEN (10) from 3, 6 and 9.

===

Race 1: Maiden Plate 1400m

Tough race to start the day as the first-starters look to play an important role. BRAZEN FORCE (1) debuted way back more than a year ago, he didn’t show much in two starts in the bush and was sent to the paddock. He resumed at Seymour and although he was beaten a long way, there was a lot to like about the run after being off the track. Expect him to be a big improver.

Dangers:

Look for any money for the three on debut, in particular the Busuttin/Young trained GOLDIDIVA (8) and the Maher/Eustace colt having start one, LET’S KARAKA DEEL (6). THE DUKE OF HAZARD (2) looks the best of the rest with the blinkers coming off at start three, he improved last start and won’t be far away if he can bring that synthetic track form to the turf.

Race 2: 2YO Maiden Plate 1300m

ZEPPA (12) is an interesting runner resuming for the McEvoy yard, he was sent to the paddock after a good effort up the straight in a harder race back in the early summer. He was gelded and resumes today, drawn well with John Allen taking the ride. I have no doubt there will be money for him off the jump-outs.

Dangers:

ROYAL GUN SALUTE (9) has placed at each of his two career starts, he showed that he handles the heavy track well at start two after not being beaten far on debut. He should settle closer than last time. PERFECT WORLD (14) was resuming at Sandown three weeks ago on the heavy track, she was very green throughout and over-raced badly, she looks to have talent but has plenty to learn. CLINCHED (2) debuted at Wodonga ten days ago, he was awkwardly away before settling back in the field. He was easy in the betting but ran on well from a mile back, the extra trip looks to suit.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 2400m

CONVERGING (2) was a winner three starts back on the Lakeside track, she has had two runs since on the heavy, placing at one of them, The latest she settled just off the see and appeared to have her chance, this looks no harder and she maps well again.

Dangers:

NASHVILLE SOUND (5) was poor last start but simply got too far back, I prefer him to be ridden up on the speed. Expect him to be a big improver if they ride him that way. BLANDFORD LAD (4) is going for three wins in a row, he has some with well-timed runs at his last two to get over the top late. This is harder again, is he up to this class? If the pace is genuine, he will be finishing as good as any. LIGHT PILLAR (1) is an import that hasn’t exactly lit it up since being in Australia for two runs. He was tried at Listed level back in the UK, should be getting out to a more suitable trip here.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1300m

STARDEN LASS (8) has not won this time in, and to be fair, she has only been fair at one of her three runs. She was at Swan Hill two starts back and was a real eye-catcher running into second, she never got into the race last time when going across the border. She was disappointing on paper but it has been a good form reference. She can win at her best.

Dangers:

BOBBY ROCKS (4) will appreciate getting back on a good surface, she looked a little flat when resuming on the heavy track. She has won second-up previously and looks an improver in an even race. IMPERIAL DAWN (5) gets the tongue-tie for the first time, she is resuming off a long break. She was last seen over further and racing up on the speed, expect her to race mid-field here and attack the line. WISH I MIGHT (9) is another that has not won away from a good track so should appreciate getting off the heavy. She was very consistent through her last prep. Tough race!

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1300m

DESERT DREAMER (3) resumed at Murtoa on a soft track in an easier BM58, he was mid-field in the run and held-up early in the straight behind the leader. He got clear over the last 100m and drove hard to get up narrowly, I loved the way he responded very late. He has good natural speed and I expect that he will try and lead here.

Dangers:

Looks a very tough race on paper, Quaddie players should be lowering the percentage in this, the first leg. INSPIRED SUN (10) was outclassed at Caulfield at his latest. He has placed at two of four this time in, a back-marker that will be giving them a start, especially from the draw. SPIRIT MEDIUM (14) showed plenty of talent at her first campaign, she has obviously had some issues being in the paddock for just on a year. She won her maiden here in convincing fashion up on the speed, she may just be better than these? NEBARAZ (8) was a winner on debut, he resumed at Sale and was good through the line, he should appreciate the extra trip and gets the blinkers off for the first time.

Race 6: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1400m

REFRESHED (12) was a brilliant winner on debut at Wodonga and was sent straight to the paddock. She was solid in her first two starts since resuming, then went to Sandown at her first go on a real heavy track and failed badly. She got back in the which is not her go and never got into the race, she clearly looks better suited on the good track.

Dangers:

CUPID’S BOW (2) has not run a bad race this time in, placing at her last four. She flashed late from well back to just finish in a blanket finish at Cranbourne, this looks no harder. STARDAYZ (1) has been up for a long time, she was a little disappointing in town last time. You know what you will get with her, she will try to roll along in front and give them something to catch. NORMA STARS (3) has done most of her racing on the synthetic track of late, including a win last start where she was beautifully ridden up on the speed.

Race 7: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1600m

CONFUSION (5) is yet to win out of maiden grade, I like the way he has been improving at his last couple and looks ready to take that next step. Two back at Donald he ran on well behind a smart winner then again chased hard from mid-field at Geelong last time into second. Assuming the track is playing fair, he should be fully fit and back in trip, looks beautifully placed.

Dangers:

OCEAN’S THIRTEEN (4) was coming off a 6-week break when winning at Pakenham two back, she failed on the heavy last time but looks to benefit here coming back on top of the ground. NO CHANGE (12) has been racing ok without having much luck, he was forced to race three-wide no cover at Caulfield last start and the effort told late. He is drawn out again, hopefully they just let him drop out and get cover, expect him to finish it off better. TOFF CHOICE (13) next best in what is a very tough race.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1100m

ACUMEN (10) is a Godolphin gelding that won back-to-back races last prep, there was a lot to like about his return to racing at Caulfield last start in a race no harder than this. He settled just behind the speed but missed the boat when the runs came, was forced to go very wide and was ok through the line. It has proven a good form race with 2 winners coming through it since, he was a winner second-up last time in.

Dangers:

GINGER JONES (3) was well ridden at Caulfield to win before going to the paddock, he looked to have every chance when placing first-up but may have just run out of condition close to the line. The extra 100m suits, they should go forward with him early. EXPRESS PASS (6) is resuming, he has not missed a place at three previous fresh runs and although he will be giving them a start, will be the one to benefit if the speed is hot. Look for him late. DEEP EUPHORIA (9) is another that will get back in the run, she hasn’t won in more than a year bit has been hitting the line well at her last couple.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Wednesday July 29
Wednesday @ Bendigo:

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – ZEPPA
Race 1: BRAZEN FORCE (1) from 8, 6 and 2.
Race 2: ZEPPA (12) from 9, 14 and 2.
Race 3: CONVERGING (2) from 5, 4 and 1.
Race 4: STARDEN LASS (8) from 4, 5 and 9.
Race 5: DESERT DREAMER (3) from 10, 14 and 8.
Race 6: REFRESHED (12) from 2, 1 and 3.
Race 7: CONFUSION (5) from 4, 12 and 13.
Race 8: ACUMEN (10) from 3, 6 and 9.

===

Race 1: Maiden Plate 1400m

Tough race to start the day as the first-starters look to play an important role. BRAZEN FORCE (1) debuted way back more than a year ago, he didn’t show much in two starts in the bush and was sent to the paddock. He resumed at Seymour and although he was beaten a long way, there was a lot to like about the run after being off the track. Expect him to be a big improver.

Dangers:

Look for any money for the three on debut, in particular the Busuttin/Young trained GOLDIDIVA (8) and the Maher/Eustace colt having start one, LET’S KARAKA DEEL (6). THE DUKE OF HAZARD (2) looks the best of the rest with the blinkers coming off at start three, he improved last start and won’t be far away if he can bring that synthetic track form to the turf.

Race 2: 2YO Maiden Plate 1300m

ZEPPA (12) is an interesting runner resuming for the McEvoy yard, he was sent to the paddock after a good effort up the straight in a harder race back in the early summer. He was gelded and resumes today, drawn well with John Allen taking the ride. I have no doubt there will be money for him off the jump-outs.

Dangers:

ROYAL GUN SALUTE (9) has placed at each of his two career starts, he showed that he handles the heavy track well at start two after not being beaten far on debut. He should settle closer than last time. PERFECT WORLD (14) was resuming at Sandown three weeks ago on the heavy track, she was very green throughout and over-raced badly, she looks to have talent but has plenty to learn. CLINCHED (2) debuted at Wodonga ten days ago, he was awkwardly away before settling back in the field. He was easy in the betting but ran on well from a mile back, the extra trip looks to suit.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 2400m

CONVERGING (2) was a winner three starts back on the Lakeside track, she has had two runs since on the heavy, placing at one of them, The latest she settled just off the see and appeared to have her chance, this looks no harder and she maps well again.

Dangers:

NASHVILLE SOUND (5) was poor last start but simply got too far back, I prefer him to be ridden up on the speed. Expect him to be a big improver if they ride him that way. BLANDFORD LAD (4) is going for three wins in a row, he has some with well-timed runs at his last two to get over the top late. This is harder again, is he up to this class? If the pace is genuine, he will be finishing as good as any. LIGHT PILLAR (1) is an import that hasn’t exactly lit it up since being in Australia for two runs. He was tried at Listed level back in the UK, should be getting out to a more suitable trip here.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1300m

STARDEN LASS (8) has not won this time in, and to be fair, she has only been fair at one of her three runs. She was at Swan Hill two starts back and was a real eye-catcher running into second, she never got into the race last time when going across the border. She was disappointing on paper but it has been a good form reference. She can win at her best.

Dangers:

BOBBY ROCKS (4) will appreciate getting back on a good surface, she looked a little flat when resuming on the heavy track. She has won second-up previously and looks an improver in an even race. IMPERIAL DAWN (5) gets the tongue-tie for the first time, she is resuming off a long break. She was last seen over further and racing up on the speed, expect her to race mid-field here and attack the line. WISH I MIGHT (9) is another that has not won away from a good track so should appreciate getting off the heavy. She was very consistent through her last prep. Tough race!

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1300m

DESERT DREAMER (3) resumed at Murtoa on a soft track in an easier BM58, he was mid-field in the run and held-up early in the straight behind the leader. He got clear over the last 100m and drove hard to get up narrowly, I loved the way he responded very late. He has good natural speed and I expect that he will try and lead here.

Dangers:

Looks a very tough race on paper, Quaddie players should be lowering the percentage in this, the first leg. INSPIRED SUN (10) was outclassed at Caulfield at his latest. He has placed at two of four this time in, a back-marker that will be giving them a start, especially from the draw. SPIRIT MEDIUM (14) showed plenty of talent at her first campaign, she has obviously had some issues being in the paddock for just on a year. She won her maiden here in convincing fashion up on the speed, she may just be better than these? NEBARAZ (8) was a winner on debut, he resumed at Sale and was good through the line, he should appreciate the extra trip and gets the blinkers off for the first time.

Race 6: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1400m

REFRESHED (12) was a brilliant winner on debut at Wodonga and was sent straight to the paddock. She was solid in her first two starts since resuming, then went to Sandown at her first go on a real heavy track and failed badly. She got back in the which is not her go and never got into the race, she clearly looks better suited on the good track.

Dangers:

CUPID’S BOW (2) has not run a bad race this time in, placing at her last four. She flashed late from well back to just finish in a blanket finish at Cranbourne, this looks no harder. STARDAYZ (1) has been up for a long time, she was a little disappointing in town last time. You know what you will get with her, she will try to roll along in front and give them something to catch. NORMA STARS (3) has done most of her racing on the synthetic track of late, including a win last start where she was beautifully ridden up on the speed.

Race 7: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1600m

CONFUSION (5) is yet to win out of maiden grade, I like the way he has been improving at his last couple and looks ready to take that next step. Two back at Donald he ran on well behind a smart winner then again chased hard from mid-field at Geelong last time into second. Assuming the track is playing fair, he should be fully fit and back in trip, looks beautifully placed.

Dangers:

OCEAN’S THIRTEEN (4) was coming off a 6-week break when winning at Pakenham two back, she failed on the heavy last time but looks to benefit here coming back on top of the ground. NO CHANGE (12) has been racing ok without having much luck, he was forced to race three-wide no cover at Caulfield last start and the effort told late. He is drawn out again, hopefully they just let him drop out and get cover, expect him to finish it off better. TOFF CHOICE (13) next best in what is a very tough race.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1100m

ACUMEN (10) is a Godolphin gelding that won back-to-back races last prep, there was a lot to like about his return to racing at Caulfield last start in a race no harder than this. He settled just behind the speed but missed the boat when the runs came, was forced to go very wide and was ok through the line. It has proven a good form race with 2 winners coming through it since, he was a winner second-up last time in.

Dangers:

GINGER JONES (3) was well ridden at Caulfield to win before going to the paddock, he looked to have every chance when placing first-up but may have just run out of condition close to the line. The extra 100m suits, they should go forward with him early. EXPRESS PASS (6) is resuming, he has not missed a place at three previous fresh runs and although he will be giving them a start, will be the one to benefit if the speed is hot. Look for him late. DEEP EUPHORIA (9) is another that will get back in the run, she hasn’t won in more than a year bit has been hitting the line well at her last couple.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Saturday July 25
Saturday @ Caulfield:

Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 8 – DOUBLE YOU TEE
Race 1: TAVIDANCE (4) from 9, 1 and 3.
Race 2: SENSATIONALISM (9) from 4, 8 and 1.
Race 3: PROPELLE (6) from 1, 3 and 2.
Race 4: PERSAN (1) from 3, 2 and 6.
Race 5: MODEAR (5) from 1, 4 and 3.
Race 6: COMING AROUND (10) from 3, 5 and 7.
Race 7: JUNGLE EDGE (1) from 4, 3 and 8.
Race 8: DOUBLE YOU TEE (1) from 2, 6 and 3.
Race 9: WICKLOW TOWN (3) from 1, 4 and 9.

===

Race 1: BM78 Handicap 1600m

TAVIDANCE (4) resumed off a long break at Sandown, was an easing favourite and after being slowly away, ran on hard to miss by a length. He then came here and was perfectly ridden behind the speed, pulled out in the straight and took over, showing strength through the line. Stepping up to the mile should suit.

Dangers:

DENERO (9) will find this harder than last start heavy track win at Sandown, he really jumped up out of the ground that day. Look for him late if the speed is on up front. HEAVENLY EMPEROR (1) is a last start winner here at the track and trip in the same grade, it was a tough win after working early to get up outside the speed. He goes up in weight but gets the relief with the kid going on. NO SAY IN IT (3) had no luck on a couple of occasions behind Heavenly Emperor last time, he hasn’t won in almost a year since coming east.

Race 2: VOBIS Gold Ingot 2YO Set Weights and Penalties 1400m

SENSATIONALISM (9) debuted at Sandown two and a half weeks ago, she got back in the run and really hit the line well to get into third only beaten a length. As with many of these, getting out to the 7 furlongs for the first time, the way she got home at start one, it looks suitable.

Dangers:

BURLEIGH BOY (4) was beaten almost 6 lengths in the much harder Taj Rossi final last start, it was to be expected off the tough run he had three-wide no cover without cover. ZESTY BELLE (8) isn’t far away from breaking the duck, she has placed at her last three, all racing up on the speed. Nolen sticks with the ride, hopefully she doesn’t have to face the breeze again. GALACTIC FURY (1) has placed at five of eight and gets a couple of gear changes with the blinkers going back on, he maps well to get the cold sit.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM90 Handicap 1100m

PROPELLE (6) like many of these, comes through a similar BM90 for the girls last time here at the ttrack. She gave them a huge start and was working into the race nicely when she was badly held-up from the furlong. She was beaten almost two lengths but probably should have nearly won. With even luck and a Willow gem, she looks hard to beat.

Dangers:

OUR CAMPANA (1) is a real winner, she showed that again when resuming after a perfect ride. This is no harder, she gets up in the weight but does get the services of boom young hoop with the claim. SHE’S A THIEF (3) has been consistent with a win and two placings from her last three, she has good tactical speed and will be looking for the top early. MISS IANO (2) showed improvement last time in a race many of these came through, she will be giving them a start. Hopefully she is ridden for luck, I don’t think she can cover ground and win.

Race 4: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2394m

PERSAN (1) looks at rock-bottom odds early but I still want to be on him when he gets out to a more realistic price. He has won four of his last five, all on rain affected tracks and all with some dominance. He is likely to get a better surface here and does have to carry the grandstand, he just maps so well and should be too quick when asked again.

Dangers:

GRINZINGER ALLEE (3) also has a good turn-of-foot, he dashed hard to win at Cranbourne last time but this is a lot harder. He probably needs to get the back of the top pick in the run to run past him. LORD BOUZERON (2) is an interesting runner, he was having his first Australian start here two weeks ago and led all the way, bolting in by almost 5 lengths. This is no harder? SIGN SEAL DELIVER (6) has had five runs out of maiden grade but rarely runs a bad race, he will go forward. His chances probably rely on getting to the front, doubt he can sit in the breeze.

Race 5: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1200m

MODEAR (5) is resuming, she was a winner last prep when fresh and looks to get a good set-up for this. She will be giving them a start and getting back early, the map looks favourable though as the big field should ensure a strong tempo. She looks better suited as the tracks dry out also.

Dangers:

Tough race. RICH HIPS (1) has shown early in her career that she races best when fresh, her win was breathtaking resuming and she did win second-up last prep. Love the jockey change with Olly taking over, look for her late. BEATRIX (4) has only ever raced on soft ground or worse, she got a further back last start and made good ground late, with the winkers on for the first time, she should be up closer here. CHASSIS (3) comes through the same race as a few of these, she will get back and needs to be saved for one run.

Race 6: Handicap 1400m

COMING AROUND (10) won three in a row before going to the paddock, he has since come east and left the Williams stable and now calls Brent Stanley stables home. He was a get-back and run on type when racing in Perth, has jumped-out well and should be able to transfer that form from WA to VIC. Any serious money late will increase the confidence.

Dangers:

TRAVIMYFRIEND (3) was beautifully ridden just off the pace before easing to the best part of the track and was dominant winning here at the track. It was a big form turnaround and need to see more consistency, but he certainly has the ability. MORRISSY (5) was a BM84 winner here at the track two back then got a mile back last time but did make good ground in a race a few of these came through. Willow sticks with the ride. BALLET MASTER (7) went to Sydney and won before returning here and running on well. They stick with the claiming jock, he may be pratted wide though for most of the race.

Race 7: Bletchingly Stakes WFA 1200m

I am sticking with JUNGLE EDGE (1), he is about to turn 10 years old but is racing as good as ever. Much has been made of his need for a wet track, it is currently slow at the time of writing and may be improving. This field is not strong for a WFA sprint, you know he will be making his own luck up on the speed. He won here a fortnight ago and good to see they stick with the jock. Come on the rain!

Dangers:

VIRIDINE (4) won in Sydney before coming here and being beaten by the top pick last time. He hit the line well but really there were no excuses, the only change here is a drier track? WIDGEE TURF (3) will get back and try and round them up, it’s been a while between wins for him, but he does usually go well fresh. SANSOM (8) rarely runs a bad race and has been placed at both runs at this track. He will find this harder but maps beautifully just off the speed.

Race 8: VOBIS Gold Stayers Set Weights and Penalties 2394m

DOUBLE YOU TEE (1) doesn’t have great numerical form but gets back to a Vobis race that looks a lot easier than what he has been racing. Three starts back he was second behind Harbour Views, he was ok at Flemington on the bigger track last time from the back. He was an impressive winner here at Caulfield back in the Spring, he looks one of the best of the day.

Dangers:

MAHAMEDEIS (2) has been given two trials to keep fresh for this with a month between runs. A little worrying that the bar plates go on, he will need this a genuinely run race but probably drifts in the betting. REZELIANT (6) has been poorly away at his last couple, the barrier blanket gets applied which may assist. He went north to an easier race at Newcastle and bolted in, he looks up to this. SASKO (3) has been up for a while, he won two in a row earlier this prep and should lead for a long way.

Race 9: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1400m

WICKLOW TOWN (3) won three in a row before coming here last start and being beaten almost three lengths in a race we can line-up the form. He over-raced and layed in up the straight, he was one of the best from the back in a race that favoured those up on the speed.

Dangers:

MYSTERY SHOT (1) can certainly win but I am happy to be against him at the price. He is undefeated after four starts, including last start winning by 2.5 lengths over the top pick, and others. He will be making his own luck up on the speed but was favoured the way the race was run last time. Can he sit parked again and win, happy to lay him at the price to find out. RECKONING (4) needs to be more consistent, gets a big jockey change with Willow jumping on and should settle mid-field. LAKE’S FOLLY (9) draws out and will get back, if the favourite cops (or applies the) pressure up front, he should be getting home hard.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Wednesday July 22
Wednesday @ Sandown :

Track: Soft 7. Rail: Out 12m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 1 – MELBA STORM
Race 1: MELBA STORM (7) from 1, 2 and 4.
Race 2: PISCATORIAL (5) from 1, 2 and 3.
Race 3: SHEVROLET (6) from 3, 2 and 1.
Race 4: FRONDEUR (6) from 1, 7 and 9.
Race 5: BLANDFORD LAD (9) from 11, 2 and 1.
Race 6: TRIPLE STRIP (11) from 4, 8 and 3.
Race 7: MRS O’MALLEY (7) from 6, 2 and 10.
Race 8: ELITE LEGACY (8) from 5, 4 and 1.

===

Race 1: 2YO Handicap 1300m

MELBA STORM (7) was on debut on the heavy track at Echuca and was very heavily backed into favourite. She settled close to the speed and loomed up to win before getting run down late. The form looks good out of that race with the third horse across the line coming out and winning since.

Dangers:

MCCAIN (1) was the winner of that race, he ran past the top pick at a bigger SP and does have to carry the extra weight here. It was a nice win but who has the more improvement in them? BIG DAY OUT (2) missed a place for the first time in his 7-start career last start, he showed speed in previous races north of the border. REUBER (4) was big odds in an easier maiden at Moe on debut, he got back on the heavy track but was put straight in the blackbook following a nice run home after being held-up early in the straight.

Race 2: 2YO Handicap 1000m

PISCATORIAL (5) won on debut at Bendigo, she got back in the run and stormed home for a dominant win at big odds. The margin was less than half a length with a couple of lengths back to third. She sticks at the 1000m, look for her late.

Dangers:

AQUAGIRL (1) won up the straight two starts back before a fair effort there at Listed level. She resumes off a 20-week break, she will be on the speed for a long way. DIAMONDESQUE (2) is also first-up, she performed fairly in black-type juvenile races before going to the paddock. Snowden horses can show plenty of improvement off their first prep. Watch for any money for debutant HYDRO STAR (3) for the John McArdle stable.

Race 3: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1000m

SHEVROLET (6) was sent straight to the paddock off a Moonee Valley win back in February through the night racing season. He was very well backed into an SP of $2.80, he showed tactical speed and the form out of the race has held-up well. Watch for any significant moves for him fresh.

Dangers:

BRAZEN BRANDO (3) bolted in on the synthetic track when resuming last campaign, he was fair in a harder race at Caulfield following that. He has only had short preps, another where the betting will tell us more. BASTYAN (2) has good speed, he led throughout at the Valley last start and will be hard to catch again if he can land on the bunny with the claim. HARD PRESS (1) won two in a row before well beaten behind the talented How Womantic prior to going to the paddock. He resumes for a new yard and after the big operation, gelded.

Race 4: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1300m

FRONDEUR (6) won back-to-back races to start her career, she was ok in a G3 race before going to the paddock. Like Hard Press in the previous race, she has form behind the smart How Womantic. She will get back and will need the track to be playing fairly to get over the top late.

Dangers:

REGARDSMAREE (1) has been up for a while but is yet to win this time in. He gets a couple of gear changes and hopefully settles a little better. The wide draw is a concern, he will need cover. JUST FOLK (7) was a winner on debut at Echuca on the heavy track, he ran on hard and will appreciate the extra trip. This is obviously harder but deserves his chance off that good closing win. WAIRERE FALLS (9) resumed with a maiden win at career start number three, another that will get back, he will probably need to get in front of the top pick in the run home.

Race 5: BM70 Handicap 2400m

BLANDFORD LAD (9) may have turned the corner off a last start win at Bendigo. He had only been racing fairly prior to turning it all around last time, he will be giving them a start and finishing hard. He showed the good turn-of-foot he has when saved for one run, look for him late.

Dangers:

Tough race. WRISTBAND (11) ran on well to win an easier race last time at Sale, he gets the blinkers off for the first time and maps well. A little wary of him coming out of maiden grade after it took him 19 starts to break the duck, the win was impressive though. METEOR LIGHT (2) has been on the heavy track at all five runs this campaign, he has good tactical speed and looks the leader, he does jump up in weight off that last start win but gets a claim. SHEPARD (1) was a winner at his first run back in the Moody stable, his two runs since have only been fair in harder grade, he will appreciate being back at this level.

Race 6: BM84 Handicap 1800m

TRIPLE STRIP (11) has had two starts since being with the P Payne stable, she had no luck when first-up at Flemington on the soft track. She then went to to Caufield and was wide without cover and never really got into the race off a tough run. I expect her to be a huge improver third-up for the stable and only needs even luck in the run, she looks a great each-way bet.

Dangers:

HEAVENLY EMPEROR (4) has improved at each-run this time in, he worked early to get up on the speed and was still too string late at Caulfield. The wide draw is a concern as the spot outside the leader looks his again, can he step up to this grade and win from there? THE BLACK LEOPARD (8) is drawn well and should lead for a long way, he wasn’t officially first-up but was off a 7-week break so will have taken plenty off that run. TAVIRUN (3) will be another looking for the top, his chances will rely on if he has to face the breeze or not.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1600m

MRS O’MALLEY (7) has been up for a while and yet to win this time in but her foot is firmly on the till. Last start here on the Lakeside track against the girls, she was very heavily backed late and almost started favourite. After only being fairly away, she was a mile back and ran on hard with the winner, she had her chance late but there was a big gap to third.

Dangers:

SO YOU SWING (6) has the inside gate, she will need luck as she will get back in the run. She will get a cheap run, if she can return to the form she showed last prep after getting deeper in her prep, she will be hard to hold out. MOSCOW RED (2) is very consistent, a good effort considering her style of racing. She was mid-field and held-up early in the straight last time before working home well. AWAY CRUISING (10) will find this harder than her last start heavy track win at Moe. She gets in well with the claim.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1000m

ELITE LEGACY (8) has the wide draw but will be looking to carve over and take up the running. He resumed at Sandown and was very well backed but narrowly beaten, he then went to Sale and again led on the rails and was taken on, stuck on well after getting the front again and won after being well backed.

Dangers:

IKNEWSHEWASMINE (5) won three in a row late in her last prep, she resumes today at a track she is undefeated at. She will go forward and look for the top. NOT ENOUGH EFFORT (4) is freshened up off a 6-week break, he had a torrid run in transit last time four-wide and facing the breeze. KALASHANI LAD (1) was well backed and got the chocolates here on the Lakeside last time. He was strong through the line over 6 furlongs but does come back in trip here.

Melbourne Racing Tips –  Flemington July 18
Wednesday @ Flemington:

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 4m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – PROPER ROGUE
Race 1: ASHLOR (1) from 3, 2 and 6.
Race 2: PROPER ROGUE (4) from 7, 1 and 10.
Race 3: ALCYONE (1) from 10, 4 and 5.
Race 4: ZABELARINA (4) from 1, 9 and 6.
Race 5: SWEET THOMAS (3) from 4, 7 and 9.
Race 6: SMOKIN’ ROMANS (6) from 9, 1 and 3.
Race 7: SIRCCONI (1) from 6, 10 and 3.
Race 8: DOUBLE YOU TEE (5) from 9, 3 and 2.
Race 9: OUR WIND SPIRIT (8) from 11, 17 and 12.

===

Race 1: BM90 Handicap 1000m

ASHLOR (1) was a winner at the Valley two starts back, he has good speed but can tend to over-race up on the pace. He had a month off following that break, went to Caulfield and was beaten a couple of lengths by noted wet-tracker Jungle Edge. He gets the huge weight but a good claim and is well drawn.

Dangers:

GEE GEE SECONDROWER (3) is an interesting runner resuming, he has a phenomenal record over on the apple Isle but faced a tough task here. He is likely to be giving them a start but deserves his crack on the mainland. SNITZCRAFT (2) drops back from an ordinary effort in a harder race on Finals Day here, he has been up for a while and doesn’t have a great record here, but his best is good enough. MISTER MOGUL (6) led all the way at huge odds here at his first go up the straight last time, this is harder.

Race 2: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1200m

PROPER ROGUE (4) was a winner at his only start up the straight here, that was in a BM64 grade race before going to the paddock. He resumed at Caulfield three weeks ago and although beaten, his run was full of merit. He was held-up for most of the straight before getting out late and running on well into second. It was a great effort to get so close, considering he was also back on the inside, the worst part of the track.

Dangers:

CALYPSO REIGN (7) is a last start age group winner across the border in SA in an easier race than this, he has good closing speed and will be finishing hard. He is having his first go up the straight. SANSOM (1) Is very consistent and has only missed a place once over his last two campaigns. He has been runner-up at both runs this time in, a minor gear change and a claim can see him go one better. SEA DRAGON (10) is resuming after being gelded, he will find this a tough ask as he is yet to win out of maiden grade. The inside draw should ensure he gets a soft run in transit.

Race 3: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1800m

ALCYONE (1) has placed at two of his three starts, always hard to be confident with the babies running this trip at their first attempt though. Last start here on Finals Day over the mile, he just looked to peak after making a long run to take the lead, only to be nabbed over the last 100m. I like the way he stuck on over the last 50m, saved for one run again, he looks hard to beat.

Dangers:

STAR OF LEON (10) showed improvement at start three, he ran on hard over the 1400m to place despite laying in. He looks one of the 2YO’s that looks suited getting up to the 1800m. Willow takes the ride. MR WOLF (4) won on debut then looked to have every chance over 7 furlongs in a much easier race across the border. Olly gets the ride though, that’s a huge tick. CONFRONTATIONAL (5) has placed at all three runs, he is on the quick back-up from Caulfield last week where he did a bit wrong in the run home. He maps to get a soft run stepping up in trip.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM90 Handicap 1400m

ZABELARINA (4) is a first-up specialist that is having her third run from a spell, she won again fresh before running on well at Caulfield. She was against the pattern that day and did well to make ground, drawn beautifully I expect her to be on the speed and hard to run down.

Dangers:

LABURNUM (1) was only fair when resuming in Sydney on the heavy track, he didn’t have much luck at Caulfield three weeks ago before hitting the line well over the last furlong. MAXIMAK (9) is a last start winner on the Lakeside at Sandown, he is a back-marker with the claiming apprentice, not sure that’s a great recipe around the tricky 1400m circuit. SHE’S ON TIME (6) is resuming, she has won two of four when fresh previously. She will be mid-field in the run and is undefeated in both runs over the 7 furlongs.

Race 5: Handicap 2800m

SWEET THOMAS (3) could not have been more impressive winning at Rosehill over the two miles three weeks ago, after settling mid-field, he angled into the clear and ran on hard to find the front inside the furlong and run away for a dominant win. He certainly looked better ridden quietly.

Dangers:

ALFARRIS (4) placed here last start on Finals Day, beaten the smallest possible margin after sitting up on the speed. He took over early in the straight and kicked hard until getting run down late. SIN TO WIN (7) will run his usual honest race, he will get back and run on. CRIMSON ACE (9) handles the wet tracks well, he charged home at Sandown over the mile and a half, he will need to be saved for one run. If he gets the back of the right horse in the run home, he looks a great place chance and is a must for all exotics.

Race 6: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1600m

I found this the toughest race of the day. SMOKIN’ ROMANS (6) is undefeated after two starts, both of them on the synthetic track. He settled mid-field before winning by almost four on debut then was at Ballarat last time and ran on over the top again from a mile back. This is harder and he needs to convert that form from the synthetic to the grass, it will take a John Allen gem.

Dangers:

STRETTO (9) is yet to win out of maiden grade, he wasn’t beaten far here two weeks ago in what has proven a good form reference. Not sure about the jockey change though…RIGHT YOU ARE (1) won three in a row including the first two since resuming this time in, he stormed home to be beaten narrowly here at the track a month ago. Look for him late. ALPHAVILLE (3) was beaten 4 lengths last start but never got a crack at them, the second horse out of that race has come out and won by as far as you can kick your hat on Wednesday.

Race 7: Handicap 1600m

SIRCCONI (1) was a winner here in the Winter Champs final last start, not just any win either. He was just behind the speed before angling around them and taking the lead before taking the lead, he kicked at the clock tower and was strong through the line by 4. The draw doesn’t do any favours and will take a godo ride, if he does get cover he will be hard to hold out again.

Dangers:

AL GALAYEL (6) hasn’t won in 80 weeks, his two runs back have been very plain but gets tow big changes. The blinkers go back on and Willow replaces Harry Grace. Expect him to be a big improver. FRANCE’S BOY (10) has good tactical speed and looks the leader, he won two in a row before struggling on the heavy track. Back on a better surface he can return to form. ORDEROFTHEGARTER (3) is an interesting runner, the former import had one in Australia for the Lloyd Williams team, now trained by Melbourne Cup winner Danny O’Brien. He hasn’t raced in more than 2 years, it would be an enormous training performance.

Race 8: Handicap 2000m

DOUBLE YOU TEE (5) goes on top in what looks a very open race. He wasn’t beaten far behind the smart Harbour Views two starts back, last time at Caulfield he hit a flat spot before finding the line well against the tempo on what may have been the worst part of the track.

Dangers:

Those playing the Quadrella should go very wide. BARTHOLOMEU DIAS (9) is an import that has been in Australia for 2 runs, his win at Sandown on the speed last time was impressive. He will benefit if the track stays wet. SALSAMOR (3) has been up for a while, he won four in a row earlier in the campaign and has versatility. He was back up on the speed and not beaten far behind Sirrcconi last time, see how the form holds up as he goes around the race prior. PLEIN CIEL (2) doesn’t have a great record here at Flemington, Olly takes the ride in what is a very positive jockey change.

Race 9: BM78 Handicap 1200m

OUR WIND SPIRIT (8) comes into this off four consecutive wins, he is up in grade but deserves his crack at this. HIs last two wins have been brilliant, one on the synthetic and one on the turf, both sitting three-wide without cover throughout. As always with the Lindsey Smith yard, if they back em, double your bet! It may be best to wait until late as the opposite is also (usually) true, if they are out the gate in the betting, they rarely win.

Dangers:

ORLEANS ROCK (11) will have to improve on his poor first-up record but I like that he is drawn out under the arches, it may be the best part of the straight by this time of the day. He will be charging home late. PINYIN (17) has placed at two runs here at HQ, drawn in the middle of the line, she will be giving them a start. SAKURA (12) won back-to-back races to end her last campaign but has failed to fire this time in. Drawn wide, she may benefit from Allen riding as he is likely to ride her very “conservatively”.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Cranbourne July 15
Wednesday @ Cranbourne:

Track: Soft 7. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 4 – BOOMSTOCK
Race 1: BOMBAY ROCKET (8) from 2, 1 and 11.
Race 2: GLASSEY MISS (7) from 1, 8 and 5.
Race 3: LUNAR FLARE (3) from 4, 1 and 8.
Race 4: BOOMSTOCK (4) from 1, 6 and 5.
Race 5: DIODE (3) from 11, 14 and 2.
Race 6: HARLEM BLUES (12) from 7, 9 and 1.
Race 7: DEEP EUPHORIA (3) from 13, 10 and 4.
Race 8: GRINZINGER ALLEE (2) from 5, 12 and 13

===

Race 1: 2YO Maiden Plate 1000m

Tough race to start the day. BOMBAY ROCKET (8) placed at two of her first four starts, she had shown good natural speed at her first three starts before going to the paddock. Expect improvement from this yard coming back for her second campaign.

Dangers:

FREDERICK THE DANE (2) debuted back early in yteh year, he placed at one of two and both of those starts were in black-type races. He has been gelded in the time off and will no doubt have supporters. DIESEL ‘N’ DUST (1) has placed at two of five, both of them on rain affected tracks. Last time at Echuca on the heavy he led for a long way before getting run down late. He gets the blinkers back off. Watch for any money for those on debut, in particular the Maher/Eustace trained KIANI (11).

Race 2: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1400m

GLASSEY MISS (7) was a scratching from Murtoa on Monday where she looked a good thing, she has also nominated for Geelong on Friday and in town on Saturday, if she doesn’t go around here, look for her later in the week. She was a good winner of an easier race at Donald two back then raced flat on the heavy track last time. Back on a better surface should see her improve.

Dangers:

CUPID’S BOW (1) is very consistent, she has placed her last three across the border in SA. She gets the blinkers off for the first time and usually gives them a start, she will need everything to go right. GIVE ME TEN (8) was an impressive winner on debut then was sent straight to the paddock. Her three efforts this time in have only been fair, a return to what showed at start one would see her competitive. ECHO BOOMER (5) never runs a bad race, she has not won out of maiden grade but has never missed a place in her 10-start career. Another that will get back, she needs the right tempo.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 2025m

LUNAR FLARE (3) raced on the synthetic at her first two runs resuming, she then went to Sandown in this grade last time and after getting back in the run, ran through the line strong. Olly sticks with the ride, not sure she should be as short as she is currently, she does look hard to beat.

Dangers:

UNSETTLING (4) won an easier BM64 two starts back, she was wide without cover throughout and was brave to still be in the finish. Last start she featured in eth steward’s report with a respiratory issue, happy to forgive that run. TYSONIC (1) didn’t have much at luck at Donald resuming then placed in a similar race last time after being held-up at a vital stage. She is a must for all exotics bets, with even luck she should be running a place. JOHANDOUGH (8) drops back to a more suitable race after being outclassed in town at the last couple. She was ok in an on-pace dominated race last time, any improvement in track condition wouldn’t hurt.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1600m

BOOMSTOCK (4) looks the best of the day, he had been racing well before a much deserved win here at the track last start, he has a great record here. In an easier BM64, he was solid at the top of betting, got well back in the run before charging over the top for a soft win. Sticks at the mile, soft run from the inside gate, with even luck he will be winning again at his favourite track.

Dangers:

PARLIAMENT (1) won back-to-back races at Wagga, he had five weeks between runs before a poor run at Caulfield in harder grade than this. He maps to get a softer run from the good draw. BRIMM (6) should be up on the speed, she kicked well after sitting parked last time and just found one better. She will have the tactical advantage over the top pick but would need to get to the rails first. REFORMIST (5) is an interesting runner having his first start for the Archie Alexander stable, his form for Waller in NSW was patchy. Watch the betting with him.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1400m

DIODE (3) resumed off a 19-week break at Geelong last start, he showed good speed in a race no harder than this and was only run down late. He was very consistent through the back-end of last prep and expect him to only improve off that fresh run. Stepping up in trip and drawn well, he will be hard to run down.

Dangers:

WAIRERE FALLS (11) will find this harder than his last start maiden win, although the winning margin was small, there was a lot to like about the run and it was a gap job to third. He will get back and charge late. SUNSET EAGLE (14) can be excused for her last start failure, she was beaten out of sight but was stuck off the track without cover throughout. Expect her to improve. DEADLY SINS (2) has the wide draw to deal with, she got too far back when resuming and I expect them to try and ride him on the speed here.

Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1200m

HARLEM BLUES (12) is a last start maiden winner, he sat up on the speed and charged clear when asked the question. The margins were almost three lengths with another two and a half back to third, he just needs to take that synthetic form to the turf taking on the older horses here.

Dangers:

OXLEY JACK (7) is very consistent, he will also be up on the speed and the key to him winning may be keeping the top pick on his outside and in front of him in the run? THE GREAT HANS (9) is resuming off a long break, he was sent to the paddock off an impressive albeit narrow maiden win. He was held-up at a vital stage before charging over the top late. UNSHACKLED (1) has been up for a while, he won last start at Wangaratta in an easier race. He stormed home from a mile back on the wet track, look for him late.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1000m

DEEP EUPHORIA (3) is an enigma, she has put in some brilliant runs (without winning) this campaign and also put in a couple of howlers. Two starts back at Mornington, she was held-up for half the straight before getting out late and charging, then last start at Sandown was a socker in a harder race. She can win this at her best.

Dangers:

LING LING (13) own her maiden against the girls then led but was probably in the wrong part of the track at her first go out of that grade. Look for any money for her resuming. SALTY KISSES (10) has placed at all three runs this campaign, she should be just off the speed in the run. BOMBSHELL BELLE (4) didn’t seem to handle the heavy track last time, she will be on the sped and likely to improve.

Race 8: BM64 Handicap 2025m

GRINZINGER ALLEE (2) gets a huge drop in grade into this, he was at Flemington on Finals Day last start and was well backed to SP at $5. He was held-up early in the straight, got close at the clocktower but just found one better. He will get back and flash home in this easier assignment.

Dangers:

MAGAZINE (5) looks the logical and only danger. He is also a back-marker, his last start win at Wangaratta was impressive on the wet track but unlike the top pick, she goes the other way and is up in grade. UBIN THUNDERSTRUCK (12) is a little one-paced but gets a very positive jockey change with Olly taking over. GENERAL BORDEAUX (13) is also drawn out wide and will find it tough from there. Hard to see one of the top two picks not getting the cash.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Caulfield July 11
Saturday @ Caulfield:

Track: Soft 7. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 1 – THE FELON
Race 1: THE FELON (1) from 3, 5 and 2.
Race 2: SWORD OF MERCY (9) from 1, 3 and 6.
Race 3: STRATEGIC PHIL (2) from 1, 11 and 18.
Race 4: MORRISSY (5) from 6, 3 and 8.
Race 5: ALBURQ (1) from 6, 2 and 4.
Race 6: THOUGHT OF THAT (1) from 2, 3 and 7.
Race 7: JUNGLE EDGE (1) from 2, 3 and 6.
Race 8: SIZZLEFLY (1) from 2, 15 and 4
Race 9: DOGMATIC (11) from 14, 6 and 3

===

Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1400m

THE FELON (1) was on debut on the synthetic track at Pakenham three weeks ago, he was solid in the betting and started favourite and didn’t let his backers down. After settling behind the speed, he angled three-wide and ran on hard for a soft win. Hard to know if that synthetic form will stand up in this grade but it was hard not to be impressed.

Dangers:

EFFLORESCENCE (3) is another last start synthetic winner, he hadn’t shown much at his first two starts but showed more speed last time, leading all the way. CONFRONTATIONAL (5) has placed at both career starts, the best of those was probably on debut as he appeared to have very chance last time and was ridden up a long way from home. WUNAMBAL (2) comes through the same race as him on debut, then found a liking for the heavy track at Moe last time where he led all the way. This is obviously harder and will probably take a sit from the inside draw.

Race 2: Mares BM90 Handicap 1100m

SWORD OF MERCY (9) has won three in a row including two this time in. She was beautifully ridden at Bendigo just off the speed when scoring easily then went to Sandown on the Hillside and got further back near last in the run before storming home to score. She has versatility, will find this harder but deserves her chance in Saturday grade.

Dangers:

ALL OVER BOSSANOVA (1) gets the blinkers for the first time at career start 27, she was off the track and well beaten in much harder grade last start. Drawn well, good claim and classy kid riding, expect her to improve. OUR CAMPANA (3) is having her first run for the Peter Moody stable. She won two in a row last campaign including one here at the track, she will need to improve on her first-up record though. PROPELLE (6) was ok at big odds against the boys last start running on well enough in what may have been the inferior ground. Blinkers off and back against her own sex can see her improve.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1400m

This could be the toughest race of the day, a lot will depend on what/if any horses come out as the emergencies will play a role. STRATEGIC PHIL (2) handles the wet tracks well, he was a winner on the heavy two back before doing work at the Valley and sticking on well for second last time. He draws well and should be close to the speed again. SONAREE (1) sat parked in the breeze to score at Mornington then led for a long way here in tougher grade. He gets the big weight but a 2kg claim for Teo Nugent. WILDE GEM (11) was enormous winning an easier race at Sandown, he was forced to sit wide on the speed without cover and was still doing best through the line off the torrid run. Harder here though and may have to sit parked again. If TAVIDANCE (18) gets a run as the second reserve he comes right into calculations.

Race 4: Handicap 1400m

MORRISSY (5) was off a 6-week break when narrowly beaten at the Valley, he then came here last time and was strong after sitting outside the speed to go clear late and score. He is a two-time winner here at the track, Willow sticks with the ride and will be hard to beat again if he can control the race from outside the leader again.

Dangers:

KINGS BROOK (6) ran on well against the girls to place last start in what has proven a good form reference. She hasn’t had a good time at the track previously, with the good claim and middle draw she can sit handy and improve. REFLECTIVITY (3) has not won fresh but has placed at 4 of seven when resuming. He had been racing consistently before having a torrid run at Flemington prior to going for the break. BALLET MASTER (8) was successful in a hit-and-run mission to Sydney last time, he handles the heavy tracks well and this looks no harder.

Race 5: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1400m

ALBURQ (1) is still yet to win out of maiden grade but has been very consistent. Last time at Flemington up the straight at Listed level he ran on hard from well back but may have just peaked late. This looks easier and may be better suited back around a bend.

Dangers:

SCORPIUS (6) gets a good claim, he has placed at two of three this campaign including last start after working early to get outside the speed. He took over in the straight but was run down late at what was his best run here at Caulfield. MYSTERY SHOT (2) is undefeated after three starts, he stepped up in class last time here at the track and was impressive after making a long run. This is obviously harder and not sure where he gets to from the draw. WICKLOW TOWN (4) looks to have come back a new horse this campaign. After failing to place at his first four starts, he has won three in a row since resuming and looks to be going through the grades nicely.

Race 6: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2000m

THOUGHT OF THAT (1) last saluted here at Caulfield in the Spring, his two runs last campaign were poor but showed he may have come back better this time in. He resumed over a mile here two weeks ago, led for a long way before getting run down late after peaking first-up. Look for him carving over early and looking for the top.

Dangers:

RIGHT YOU ARE (2) is poorly drawn but will get back in the run anyway, he is yet to miss a place in 6 career runs and looks a future star. He has very good closing speed but just a little worried that Olly may get caught up in a game of cat and mouse back in the field. GRAND DE FLORA (3) is flying and will also get back, Willow sticks with the ride off back-to-back wins. Harder here up in grade and back against the boys. CARNAMAH (7) is only lightly raced, he was a maiden winner on the synthetic track last two weeks ago at a very short price. Harder here but he draws to get a soft run.

Race 7: Sir John Monash Stakes WFA 1100m

JUNGLE EDGE (1) is an old marvel and we know what we will get with him. He wants it wet, all of his 18 career wins have been on rain-affected tracks. He has good speed, will go forward and try to lead all the way. He looks better suited here back in WFA grade, not many would begrudge him another win (he isnt getting any younger).

Dangers:

VIRIDINE (2) is well travelled, he returned to the winners list last start in Sydney after a gun ride, Olly takes over today and he maps beautifully from the good gate.  I imagine Olly will have him camped right behind the leaders. ASHLOR (3) has good tactical speed, he will be looking for a spot on the speed but can tend to over-race. He won’t want to get pulling early. I AM SOMEONE (6) beat home Prezado up the straight two starts back (not many can say that), he has placed at both runs here at Caulfield.

Race 8: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1100m

SIZZLEFLY (1) won two in a row when resuming from a spell, she then ran on well at Listed grade and last time never got into the race from a mile back in Adelaide at G2 level. This looks easier and although she has the big weight, gets a claim and should be finishing hard.

Dangers:

FLOSTAR (2) also won back-to-back races earlier in the campaign, she was brave in defeat across the border last time when three-wide without cover for a most of the race and only getting run down late. LITTLE STEVIE (15) had no luck when resuming here a fortnight ago, drawn well and Willow sticks with the ride. BLESS HER (4) has won three in a row this campaign, she showed her versatility last start when getting further back in the run and charging over the top late. Tough race.

Race 9: BM84 Handicap 1700m

Tough race! Play wide if getting involved in the Quaddie. DOGMATIC (11) ran on hard resuming here at the track in a similar race a fortnight ago, he is a winner second-up previously and will get a guide as to the form out of that fresh run as the first couple across the line (Morrissy and Sonaree) go around in earlier races.

Dangers:

All of them. TRIPLE STRIP (14) is a former Tasmanian now with the Payne stable, she was very unlucky having her first run on the mainland at Flemington. She was held-up on two occasion in the run home and was never fully tested. HEAVENLEY EMPEROR (6) won an easier race here at the track last start, he likes to race on the speed so it will take a gem from the wide gate. CURRAGH (3) hasn’t won in almost a year to the day, he will be giving them a start and showed improvement when second-up. He should be fully fit for this.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Sandown July 8
Wednesday @ Sandown:

Track: Heavy 9. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – TOYETIC
Race 1: ZESTY BELLE (6) from 5, 1 and 2.
Race 2: TOYETIC (10) from 2, 12 and 13.
Race 3: REFRESHED (13) from 2, 4 and 6.
Race 4: KAMIEN (10) from 7, 6 and 2.
Race 5: FANCIFUL TOFF (2) from 9, 5 and 6.
Race 6: RUBAN BLEU (2) from 1, 3 and 7.
Race 7: ZUOBO (3) from 5, 1 and 2.
Race 8: TRIGGER POINT (5) from 7, 14 and 6.

===

Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1200m

ZESTY BELLE (6) resumed at Flemington up the straight and was beaten into third after leading, she then came here on the bigger track and was again narrowly beaten. Tough race to start the say but she looks to have plenty of upside and tactical speed.

Dangers:

ZACOUVER (5) was runner-up at Geelong after showing speed to lead, she was well ridden last time at the same track and was just beaten out of a place in a blanket finish. Drawn well on the inside and Willow taking over, she will be hard to beat. Watch for any money for those on debut, in particular LOVER LOVER (1) from the Busuttin/Young stable and the Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig trained filly with Olly riding, MON GYPSY (2).

Race 2: 2YO Maiden Plate 1200m

TOYETIC (10) was very heavily supported on debut at Geelong, he was black figures into red and started at $1.85 on the VOP. He was worse than mid-field in the run then held-up at the turn until the furlong pole, charged to the front when clear before being nabbed in the last stride. It was a huge gap back to third, he will take plenty from that first start.

Dangers:

CELESTIAL SOL (2) debuted at Caulfield and after opening favourite, was very easy in the betting and after having a perfect run, was only fair in the run home for third. Sent to the paddock and with a minor gear change, he can feature. YULONG ISLAND (12) showed speed on debut but was ridden mid-field when resuming, he should have all the options off the inside and don’t be surprised to see him in front here second-up. Obviously respect any of the debutants if the money comes for them, in particular, ANNAVISTO (13) for the Mick Price yard.

Race 3: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1300m

REFRESHED (13) won on debut at Wodonga, she was sent straight to the paddock and resumed at Swan Hill. She had every chance placing after a gun run, she then went to Bendigo against the girls and just seemed to peak second-up after looking the winner. She gets a huge jockey change with Olly taking over, that could be the difference.

Dangers:

DIODE (2) won two of his last four before going to the paddock, he resumed at Geelong and led for a long way before getting run down in the last stride. He gets a good claim and the inside gate, he could prove very hard to run down. HEYINGTON STATION (4) has been up for a while, he is very consistent and maps well to get the sit behind the leaders. CLIFTON HILL (6) was a winner on debut at Swan Hill a couple of weeks ago, this is harder but deserves his chance after a dominant display at start one.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1300m

KAMIEN (10) was a winner second-up last campaign, he looks to have come back well with a solid placing at Moe on the heavy track. He was mid-field when they settled before swinging very wide and coming with the winner but just not good enough. Stepping up in trip with the claim and the good draw, he can go one better.

Dangers:

SAVVY LAD (7) didn’t show much at his first two starts since transferring from NZ, he was beaten a long way but in much harder company than this. He has looked good at the jump-outs and can improve dramatically back in this grade. MEAN MISTER (6) placed at his first couple this campaign, he has good speed and can lead for a long way. If the track is favouring those on speed he looks a great each-way bet. SANTELMO FUEGO (2) handles all conditions well, he got further back when resuming and hit the line well, I expect him to be settling closer today.

Race 5: BM78 Handicap 2400m

FANCIFUL TOFF (2) will be making his own luck up on the speed. Two starts back here on the Lakeside track he led and kicked clear, looked the winner but was run down late. Last time here on the bigger track he sat parked outside the lead and got the better of the inside horse but peaked on his run late. If he lands on the bunny, they will struggle to get past him.

Dangers:

METEOR LIGHT (9) rarely runs a bad race, he showed more speed to lead last start but should be looking for cover today. YULONG CAPTAIN (5) is going for three wins in a row, he ran on hard to beat a similar field her eon the bogger track last time but was big odds and carries the extra weight now. CONVERGING (6) comes through the same races as many of these, she wasn’t beaten far but did have every possible chance.

Race 6: BM84 Handicap 1200m

RUBAN BLEU (2) was BM78 Caulfield winner two starts back, he got back as is the norm for him before charging home for a soft win. He was again at Caulfield in a harder race than this last time, storming home with the best last sectionals of the race. Obviously, he needs everything to go right and the track to be playing fair, if so, look for him late.

Dangers:

MORE THAN EXCEED (1) will find this easier than his last couple of starts, he was a winner here at the track on heavy going three starts back and will probably get back in the run with the top pick. CHOISBORDER (3) has placed at back-to-back races, he settled closer las time and expect him to do so again here from the good draw with the claim. GLOBAL GIFT (7) is an interesting runner that has had one run since coming to Australia, he was only fair over 1000m and may still need further than this 6 furlongs he races at today.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m

ZUOBO (3) has not placed in 5 runs this campaign, but she has not been far away. She had three weeks between runs before a Caulfield BM84 against the girls last time, she came wide and chased solidly and was only beaten a length and a half. This is a huge drop in class and the jockey change is a huge positive.

Dangers:

CHEVALIER D’EON (5) ran on well last time although well beaten, she is unknown on the wet tracks having her first go on a heavy surface. Watch the betting with her. LADY LOFT (1) was only fair last start before going to the paddock, she has won two of six when resuming and will appreciate getting back on the wet track. SHE SHAO FLY (2) is coming to the races for the first time with a new trainer, she gets a couple of gear changes and will run on hard.

Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1600m

TRIGGER POINT (5) was a winner here on the Lakeside track two starts back under these conditions, he was good enough in a harder race at Flemington last start and gets a good claim. He will need to get cover early form the wide draw, if he does he will finish as good as any. He looks a great bet at the each-way odds

Dangers:

MOSCOW RED (7) is racing well, a win against the girls two back then was slowly away and in early trouble last start here ion the bigger track before making good ground late. Expect her to settle closer here. DENERO (14) has placed at both runs this campaign, he handled the wet track well at Moe last time when running on hard from the back. Look for him late. HAPAIRA (6) had been very consistent, although she missed a place last start for the first time this campaign, her run was good enough up on the speed. She will be making her own luck looking for the top early.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Flemington July 4
Saturday @ Flemington:

Track: Soft 5. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 5 – MILWAUKEE
Race 1: ILOVETHEGAME (2) from 6, 4 and 1.
Race 2: LORD BELVEDERE (4) from 3, 6 and 7.
Race 3: CHERRY TORTONI (1) from 11, 4 and 2.
Race 4: PERSAN (1) from 4, 2 and 11.
Race 5: MILWAUKEE (5) from 7, 9 and 3.
Race 6: LA TIGERESA (5) from 3, 8 and 4.
Race 7: OVER THE SKY (14) from 8, 5 and 2.
Race 8: NEVER AGAIN (15) from 5, 2 and 8.
Race 9: CORDILLA (7) from 1, 2 and 9.

===

Race 1: 2YO Sprint Series Final 1200m

ILOVETHEGAME (2) won his debut at Sandown after leading all the way. Obviously, a different beast having his first go here up the straight, but he was well backed, and it was a professional win.

Dangers:

SENSE OF HONOUR (6) destroyed her rivals on debut before going to the break, she was a real eye-catcher resuming at the Valley after getting a mile back and storming home late. THE FELON (4) is undefeated after a debut win on the synthetic track, he was beautifully ridden and just needs to transfer that form to the turf. JABALI RIDGE (1) gets the blinkers for the first time, he will be giving them a start and has the advantage of a win here up the straight previously.

Race 2: Banjo Paterson Final 2600m

LORD BELVEDERE (4) is undefeated at two starts here at the track, eh wasn’t officially first-up last start but had been 7-weeks between runs. He settled well back and ran on hard and although the winning margin was less than a length, he was strong through the line. Look for him late.

Dangers:

CHAPADA (3) is another that races well here at the track, he was runner-up to the top pick here last time. He made an early move and may have just hit the front too early before getting run down. The margin to third was noticeable. SASKO (6) looks the leader, he had to work hard last time to get the front and was headed early in the straight. He should give a better fight if able to get a soft lead. SIN TO WIN (7) always run an honest race, he grinded home well in eth lead-up but appeared to have every chance.

Race 3: Taj Rossi Final 2YO 1600m

CHERRY TORTONI (1) is looking to stay undefeated after winning two in a row to start his career. He won at sale on debut then was a dominant winner after casting a plate here at the track last time. Stepping out to the mile looks ideal, he was strong through the line over 7 furlongs last time.

Dangers:

TOYZ ON FIRE (11) won a Wangaratta maiden on debut, she was a real eye-catcher last time at Sandown running on hard on a day when it was favourable to be closer to the speed. CONFRONTATIONAL (4) has placed at both career runs, he was well backed when getting out to the mile last start but appeared to have his chance. NARVAEZ (2) gets the blinkers for the first time, he has raced closer at his last couple and will be trying to find the front early.

Race 4: Mahogany Challenge Final 3YO 2500m

PERSAN (1) has won back-to-back races here at the track, both starts he has been beautifully ridden just behind the speed and found the front early in eth straight. He maps well again and just needs to be saved for that one run.

Dangers:

SIGN SEAL DELIVER (4) is still yet to win out of maiden grade, he has enough speed to lead and handles the conditions well. He stuck on well after being headed last time, Olly probably doesn’t want to turn it into a sit-sprint. TRANSLATOR (2) gets the blinkers on again, he was poor here last start after getting too far back, hopefully the gear change keeps him a little sharper at the back-end. THINK HE MEI (11) is still a maiden after 5 starts, he is having his fourth start with the new yard and has been going well in easier races.

Race 5: VIC Sprint Series Final 1200m

MILWAUKEE (5) loves it here up the straight, although he has not won at his last four runs here all this prep, he has had excuses. Last start here he was mid-field and looked to have plenty to offer before being steadied and wasn’t tested over the concluding stages. Inside barrier a ???

Dangers:

TAVISAN (7) looks the leader and may be better suited around a bend but if he gets a soft lead and is able to roll from the 600m mark, he will be hard to run down. LORD VON COSTA (9) will be giving them a start, he was black-booked last start here when flashing from the back. Willow sticks with the ride and looks great value at double-figure odds. RICH CHARM (3) probably wants a firmer track, he was good on the heavy here two starts back and may be finding his best again.

Race 6: Leilani Series Final 1400m

LA TIGERESA (5) has two eights’ next to her name since resuming from the paddock, forget that, she has been good and should have finished much closer at both of them. Resuming here at the track, she was running on hard but was held-up for a furlong, then went to the Valley and again hit a road block from before the straight until the 100m mark.

Dangers:

KINGS BROOK (3) was good here last time but I would be wary of the form out of the race she was in two back. She is drawn well and should get every chance. RIVER JEWEL (8) hasn’t won in a while but rarely runs a bad race, she will be looking for the top early. Always an advantage to be on the rail here from the 1400m start. SNOGGING (4) was huge in defeat at her latest, she was poorly away and stuck off the track throughout without cover and was only beaten just under a length.

Race 7: Silver Bowl Series Final 1600m

This looks the toughest race of the day. OVER THE SKY (14) was very short in the betting when getting his maiden win last start at his second trip to the races, hopefully with the blinkers on he is sent forward early. ZOUNIQUE (8) is yet to run a bad race in his career, he will be giving them a start but looks suited here on the big track at his first look. ALPHAVILLE (5) was a synthetic track winner two starts back then had no luck at the Valley last time, held-up for a furlong before running on hard along the rails. SMOKE BOMB (2) has won three of four this time in, he has good speed and will try to led but it’s a lot harder to go wire to wire here at Flemington.

Race 8: Winter Championship Final 1600m

NEVER AGAIN (15) has placed at two of three here at the track, he is yet to win this time in but races well here. Last time he was slowly away and was worse than mid-field in the run, after getting to the crown of the track he ran on hard to just miss a place. Olly sticks with the ride and hopefully can settle closer from the good draw.

Dangers:

PLEIN CIEL (5) doesn’t have a great record here at the track, he hit the line well to share the major prizemoney last time at the Valley. If he can bring that form to the bigger track he is a chance. HEPTAGON (2) is flying, A win at Caulfield, a Swan Hill Cup and here last time in a race against many of these. SHOT OF IRISH (8) dead-heated with Plein Ciel last time, he has not finished further back than second at his last four starts.. If he leads he will be hard to run down, happy to risk him assuming that he will have to work and may not get to the rail.

Race 9: Rivette Series Final 3YO Fillies 1400m

CORDILLA (7) is having her fifth career start, she has a win and two placings to her name and has versatility. She led on debut and at three runs since has settled a lot further back, that looks the best option from the wide gate. The big field should ensure a good tempo, if she can get cover from the draw, she will finish as good as any.

Dangers:

SPLENDORONTHEGRASS (1) is another that can go forward or back, she did a stack of working wining at Sandown recently when off the track without cover. BEAUTY BOLT (2) charged home along the rails in a similar race to this against the girls last time, she was back in trip off a SA Oaks run prior to that. Look for her late. QUANTUM MECHANIC (9) has been very consistent this prep, with the blinkers on for the first time expect her to push forward and be on the speed early.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Saturday June 27
Saturday @ Caulfield:

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 12m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 7 – SANSOM
Race 1: TOLKOWSKY (2) from 12, 1 and 4.
Race 2: KAPLUMPICH (2) from 7, 6 and 5.
Race 3: MYSTERY SHOT (7) from 12, 2 and 4.
Race 4: RIVER JEWEL (7) from 8, 9 and 1.
Race 5: MERITED (3) from 4, 5 and 8.
Race 6: PROPER ROGUE (9) from 5, 1 and 3.
Race 7: SANSOM (3) from 7, 9 and 12.
Race 8: HARBOUR VIEWS (4) from 9, 3 and 10.
Race 9: SONAREE (10) from 2, 13 and 4.

===

Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1100m

TOLKOWSKY (2) is a Godolphin filly that went to Sale as a $6.50 chance on debut, after racing keen mid-race and being hampered inside the final furlong, he drove hard late to score narrowly. This is harder but there was a lot to like about the win, just needs cover form the wide gate.

Dangers:

CLEAN MACHINE (12) has only been to the races once, she was huge odds in a Blue Diamond prelude making ground late to finish mid-field. This is a lot easier and has been good at the jump-outs. EUPHORIC SUMMER (1) was sent north for the Magic Millions but was never in the race, she looked to have every chance at Mornington resuming after racing up on the speed. She will be better for the run. YULONG ISLAND (4) had his debut at the Valley back in the night racing season, showed plenty of speed and could be the leader here first-up.

Race 2: BM78 Handicap 1600m

KAPLUMPICH (2) is yet to win in five starts this campaign but he has been racing consistently. He placed in back-to-back races at Caulfield then went to the Valley and although well beaten, he was brave in defeat after sitting off the track without cover throughout. He looks better suited back here and should hit the line hard.

Dangers:

I COULD DO BETTER (7) is a Waller import that has only had one start here in Australia. He was away from the track for 37 weeks before resuming at Flemington, he over-raced, was parked wide without cover and stuck on well. Olly sticks with the ride and how often do we see these Waller runners improve second-up. NO SAY IN IT (6) is another former northern hemisphere galloper that is yet to win in Oz, he has placed at two of three and will find this easier than last start. HEAVENLY EMPEROR (5) is drawn off the track but will go forward, if he can get cover just off the speed, he should make his presence felt here third-up.

Race 3: 3YO Handicap 1440m

MYSTERY SHOT (7) is undefeated after two starts, he debuted back on New Years Eve at the Bool bolting in by 3 lengths. He then went to Ballarat and was beautifully ridden for a soft win at his first go out of that grade. This is harder again but he deserves his crack.

Dangers:

VIA CAPPO (12) has not really fired at four starts this prep, I like the way he stuck on last start after sitting up outside the speed. SELICA (2) was officially beaten 7 lengths last start at the Valley but forget she went around there. She was held-up for a furlong then was making ground in the run home before again hitting a roadblock. ARCTIC WOLF (4) gets the blinkers on for the first time, he was backed as if there was no settling last time to win his maiden and he didn’t disappoint those that invested. This is a big step up in class.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM84 Handicap 1200m

RIVER JEWEL (7) looks to have come back well, she resumed at the Valley at big odds against the girls in a similar grade of race, she led for a long way before getting run down late. She has placed at 4 of 5 when second-up and could lead them for a long way.

Dangers:

ZABELARINA (8) resumed with a synthetic track win up on the speed, she is a winner second-up previously but may have to sit parked here. If she is first across to the rails she will be hard to beat. SAKURA (9) was fair through the line when well beaten at the Valley last time, she wasn’t suited the way the race was run to be back in the field. LABURNUM (1) comes down from Sydney where she hasn’t really fired at three runs this time in. She didn’t have much room behind the in-form Adelong last time, she can improve getting off the heavy track.

Race 5: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1200m

MERITED (3) won her first two starts then was put out to the paddock, she is yet to fire at four runs this time in but I like the way she stuck on up the straight last time. She has good speed, Melham will be charging over from out wide to try and lead and with the gear changes, she will be hard to run down if first across to the rails.

Dangers:

FELICIA (4) gets an enormous jockey change with Willow replacing Zahra, she has been good placing at her last couple but the map looks a little sticky. If the top pick has to sit off the rails and Felicia can get the cover, she should be strong late. Don’t want to be on her if she is the one face the breeze. NIGHT EXPRESS (5) is 6 weeks between runs, she gets the blinkers back on and will be gunning for the front also. All three will be looking for the lead, that may bring BRAZEN SONG (8) right into play. I think she will be camped off them better than mid-field, ridden quieter with all that speed and ready to swoop.

Race 6: 3YO Handicap 1000m

PROPER ROGUE (9) has not finished further back than second at four career starts, he won both times last prep and again will be up on the speed. His two placings were on the soft track so that should be no concern, he maps beautifully from the close-in draw.

Dangers:

WILMOT PASS (5) gets the concussion plates off which is always a good thing. He is first-up with Newitt taking the ride, likely to be giving them a huge start he will need the tempo along with everything else to go right. MS CATHERINE (1) tasted defeat for the first time at the Valley when resuming, she is very quick and led for a long way, she just may have run out of condition late. Georgina Cartwright rides her well and will stick to the catch me if you can tactics? FLOSTAR (3) is going for three in a row, another speedy type that will be hunting through early from the inside draw. She may be best suited with a sit? Or will she be forced into it with all the speed coming across?

Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1100m

SANSOM (3) is already a six-time winner, he has tactical speed but doesn’t have to lead to win. He won across the border in SA before going to the paddock, resuming at the Valley he was only narrowly beaten after a perfect ride but did have every chance. The draw looks sticky but the 1100m start is not the worst, horses can sit wide and win.

Dangers:

RUBAN BLEU (7) races well here, he was here a month ago when he charged home form the back in a BM78. Up in this class should be no issue. ALFA ORO (9) is a real winner, he won back-to-back races at Pakenham before a solid win on the speed up the straight. He handles all conditions and will be looking for the top early. SAM’S IMAGE (12) gets the blinkers for the first time, not sure where he gets to from the wide draw though with the kid on. Going forward may be too tough if he has to face the breeze?

Race 8: Handicap 2000m

Sticking with HARBOUR VIEWS (4), he is still yet to miss a place in 9 career starts. He had plenty of doubters when drifting in the betting last start at the Valley, sat mid-field before easing three-wide and winning with ease. He is 1/1 here at the track and will be running on hard.

Dangers:

CREEDENCE (9) won at Flemington last start after having no luck in the run resuming, he looks to have come back well and rarely runs a bad race. He will probably be giving them a fair old start though? DOUBLE YOU TEE (3) comes through the same race as Harbour Views last time, he was beaten a couple of lengths and did have every chance. Is the weight turnaround (1.5 kg’s) enough to reverse the result? SIR PIPPIN (10) last win was here on Boxing Day, he will get back and be strong through the line if all the pieces fall into place.

Race 9: BM84 Handicap 1440m

SONAREE (10) has good speed and will go forward, the wide draw looks bad on paper but I think it gives him the perfect opportunity to get across outside the leader, a spot he is used to racing in. Last start at Mornington he was outside the speed before taking over early in the straight and kicking clear to win easily. Teo Nugent sticks and looks a good booking with the claim.

Dangers:

INN KEEPER (2) is a bit of a non-winner of late, he has not won a race in more than 2 full years. He has been consistent of late though and must be thrown in all exotics, placing at his last four. He will hit the line hard. VICTORIA STAR (13) comes right into the mix if he gets a start as the first emergency. SALON DU CHEVAL (4) is first-up, he has a brilliant record when resuming winning three of four. Drawn out, he probably has no option to go back but that fresh record can’t be ignored. As always with this stable, respect any serious money for him late.

Melbourne Racing Tips – Wednesday June 24
Wednesday @ Sandown:

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 8m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 3 – WALKING FLYING
Race 1: MISS BOSETTI (3) from 4, 7 and 11.
Race 2: THE NATURAL (3) from 6, 10 and 4.
Race 3: WALKING FLYING (2) from 1, 8 and 3.
Race 4: KEY TO THE MAK (9) from 4, 1 and 7.
Race 5: BARTHOLOMEU DIAS (3) from 4, 2 and 7.
Race 6: STELLAR IMPACT (13) from 3, 17 and 18.
Race 7: PINYIN (7) from 1, 10 and 5.
Race 8: CATARACTA (10) from 12, 3 and 1.

===

Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1000m

The bottom four (and another two emergencies) are coming to the races for the first time. Respect any money for them. It looks a very tough race on paper, MISS BOSETTI (3) is one of four last start winners, she was ok when in the market resuming up the straight then went to Mornington and was beautifully ridden to score. Willow takes the ride today,  that can only be a positive?

Dangers:

Most of them! PARLOPHONE (4) gets the blinkers off resuming, she didn’t take part on debut then was sent to the paddock off a close up second at Flemington. Another big jockey change with Olly going on. PEGGY SELENE (7) is drawn out on the car racing track, she bolted in to win leading all the way at Ballarat last time on a soft track. Will she be able to cross from out there? DIAMONDS INTHESKY (11) is a first starter for the Moody yard, looks to have some potential.

Race 2: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1000m

THE NATURAL (3) won her maiden across the border in SA at her third career start, she then went to the Valley and led for a long way against the girls at her first go out of that grade. She resumes off a 30-week break, her natural speed should see her in this for a long way.

Dangers:

FINESSE TESS (6) is also resuming, she also has good speed and will go forward, she may be better suited taking the sit around here. It is rare that the fence is off here. FLIRTING (10) finally won her maiden at career start ten last time out, she was wide and back with cover before attacking the line late to get up in the last strides. BEATRIX (4) looked to have every chance when resuming, it has proven a good form reference with a subsequent winner coming through it and she did win her maiden second-up last campaign.

Race 3: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1600m

WALKING FLYING (2) looks one of the best of the day. The Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig trained filly was brilliant winning at Sale last time, she sat back and stormed over the top in the straight to win by a widening 3.5 lengths. Hopefully she is just ridden cold again and saved for one run, she also gets a few gear changes.

Dangers:

TOORADIN (1) surely must be coming to the end of his prep, he has had six runs at his first campaign and did look a little tired at his latest. His last three have been on the heavy, he must be included in all bet types. SCANTOON (8) was poor at his first go out of maiden grade, he bounced back last time but did appear to have every chance. This is harder. MASERARTIE BAY (3) ran on well on the synthetic track resuming and looks suited getting back on the grass and out to the mile.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1500m

KEY TO THE MAK (9) has won two of four this time in, this is harder than her last start win at Wangaratta. That was in a BM64, she sat back in the field and after fanning very wide, ran on hard despite laying in for a soft win by more than 2 lengths. If the speed is genuine, look for her late.

Dangers:

TAKSU (4) was a little plain on the heavy track last start and should appreciate the improving surface today. He gets the blinkers on for the first time, don’t be surprised if he crosses and leads for a long way. That speed may just set it up for the top pick though? MOSCOW RED (1) has been up for a while but is racing very consistently, she was forced to work early to get outside the leader but stuck on well to win an easier race at Ballarat last time. STOCKTAKA (7) looked to have every chance at Ballarat three weeks ago, he also probably wants an improving track surface.

Race 5: BM84 Handicap 1800m

BARTHOLOMEU DIAS (3) is an interesting runner, the former UK trained gelding has had one start for the Maher/Eustace stable since coming to Australia. At Caulfield three weeks ago he settled mid-field before running on well to be beaten just under a length. The extra trip suits and so does Willow replacing Zahra!

Dangers:

NOBU (4) has been a little inconsistent in similar races to this, he gets the blinkers off for the first time after having a habit of over-racing previously. He did have excuses last start after being checked mid-race and pulling up lame. SAVAHEAT (2) hit the line well in a race that has been a good form reference and may have been on the inferior part of the track. RESERVE STREET (7) was beaten as favourite when going across the border into SA last start, he gets the blinkers on again and will be up on the speed for a long way.

Race 6: BM78 Handicap 2400m

STELLAR IMPACT (13) has not finished back further than second in five starts since coming over from Japan. The Gai/Bott team have really found the key to her, she bolte din against the girls on the heavy track at Cranbourne two back. She then went to Mornington and led and travelled well but was disappointing late and got run down at a very short quote. If the track is favouring leaders at all, load up.

Dangers:

SHEPARD (3) was a heavy track winner at Ballarat two starts back then sat up on the speed but faded badly at Flemington last time when beaten as favourite. He had been very consistent prior to that poor run and happy to overlook it. A lot will depend on what scratchings there are, if any. CERNAN (17) and YULONG CAPTAIN (18) both come into calculations if they get a start, they are the third and fourth emergencies respectively.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1000m

PINYIN (7) has not won in more than year, she resumed at Flemington up the straight a month ago and after settling worse than mid-field, was held-up before the clock tower and then ran on hard to place. She produced the best last 200m of the day in a driving finish, her record second-up is very good and has placed at both runs here. If the speed is genuine, she will be winning.

Dangers:

FLOSTAR (1) had excuses when eased down resuming, she has won back-to-back races since and couldn’t have been more impressive at Sale last time. She led and never looked like getting run down, she will be hard to beat if left alone in front. BLESS HER (10) is also going for three in a row, she should go forward and look for cover. Dunn replaces McNeil after he won two in a row? BOMBSHELL BELLE (5) has good speed, she won at Swan Hill after holding the rails on the speed and kicked clear at the furlong. Hopefully she will take a sit here, that looks her best chance.

Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1300m

This could be the toughest race of the day, those playing in the Quaddie should play wide, I really can’t find a number to leave out? CATARACTA (10) has been racing very consistently, she won at Horsham then ran on well from on the speed to place against the girls last time. She maps well again and gets the good claim. BACCHUS (12) will want an improving track, he is unplaced on all four runs on rain-affected going. He will be giving them a start but with the right conditions, will hit the line hard. FALLS (3) is resuming, he won back-to-back races before going to the paddock. He has placed at all three previous fresh runs, Olly should have him leaders back and getting the soft run. YELDARB (1) was a solid winner here on the Lakeside last time in a similar race, he gets the claim again but now has to carry 62kg!

Melbourne Racing Tips – Saturday June 20
Saturday @ Flemington:

Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 11m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 2 – CHERRY TORTINI
Race 1: MAN OF PEACE (2) from 6, 2 and 8.
Race 2: CHERRY TORTINI (3) from 12, 5 and 1.
Race 3: SNOGGING (4) from 5, 2 and 12.
Race 4: COOLTH (3) from 1, 5 and 11.
Race 5: KOONUNGA (13) from 16, 17 and 6.
Race 6: ARTY LUCAS (8) from 4, 1 and 3.
Race 7: KING OF HASTINGS (1) from 5, 10 and 2.
Race 8: HAUNTED (3) from 6, 1 and 5.
Race 9: PREZADO (2)from 1, 4 and 5.

===

Race 1: BM90 Handicap Special conditions 1620m

MAN OF PEACE (3) is an interesting runner that comes down from Sydney. He won a harder race at Randwick two back leading all the way then was there again at the same track and up to the mile but didn’t run it out after finding the front. Respect this stable when they bring one south.

Dangers:

BRILLIANT CONCEPT (6) resumed nicely at the Bool over the carnival and has won back-to-back races since, he has good speed and will be looking to find the front also. The play may be to lay him if he has to face the breeze? DANON ROMAN (2) will have to improve on his poor record second-up but did show enough resuming that he can feature down in this class of race. AMMOUDI BOY (8) has been up for an eternity but still has some spring in his step winning at Ballarat last start. He should settle closer form the inside gate, the runs normally come up this long straight.

Race 2: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1420m

CHERRY TORTINI (3) looks to have a stack of ability, he was well backed late to start $4.80 on debut and ran on hard for an impressive win. The race looks a good form reference with two horses out of it going on to win easier maidens since and the horse that ran second has placed again in town. If he is mid-filed and gets cover in the run, he wins.

Dangers:

SOUTH PARADE (12) is likely to get out to double figure odds, he has been mid-field at both of his starts, he doesn’t seem to have been suited by the shorter trips at his first two and will appreciate getting out to the seven furlongs. I expect him to be a big improver. ALCYONE (5) was a real eye-catcher on debut at Ballarat, the Godolphin colt got a mile back and charged home late to just miss, stepping up in trip looks a bonus. CHEQUERBOARD (1) is undefeated after two starts, she led all the way on the synthetic against the girls to win her maiden then sat up on the speed for a mid-week win last time on a heavy track. Harder here.

Race 3: Mares BM90 Handicap 1420m

SNOGGING (4) won the Gold Bracelet at Bendigo when resuming, she was sent to SA for a crack at a couple of black type races since and wasn’t disgraced. Olly gets the ride, she looks better suited getting back to this type of race against her own sex. With versatility to sit on the speed or take a sit, Olly should have all the options early.

Dangers:

KINGS BROOK (5) has the inside draw which could be a huge advantage form the 1400m start with the rail so far out, even more so than normal. She had every chance last time in a slightly easier race, the big field will ensure the tempo is good and she gets the soft run. GREAT DUCHESS (2) is very consistent, she looked good winning a similar race when resuming at Caulfield and has placed at 2 of 3 when second-up. SO YOU SWING (12) was very consistent through the back end of last campaign, she ran on hard when resuming from a mile back showing she has come back well. She has placed at two previous second-up runs and looks a chance in an open race.

Race 4: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2000m

I was very keen on COOLTH (3) at his last start when racing here in Melbourne for the first time, and the run didn’t disappoint (although we didn’t collect). He had won his first two impressively in SA, got a mile back here at the track making his VIC debut and charged home to be beaten 2 lengths. He meets that winner 2 kg’s better at the weights and can reverse the result.

Dangers:

RIGHT YOU ARE (1) is yet to miss a place at fiver career runs, he has won both starts since resuming off a maiden win and looks to be well above average. Last time at Caulfield, he was perfectly ridden and just fell in, Olly sticks but will need another gem of a ride from the tricky draw. PERSAN (5) was the winner of the race that the top pick came through last start and as previously mentioned, does get a negative weight swing here. He should be up on the speed with cover again and any rain around won’t hurt. KNOCK KNOCK (11) is still yet to win out of maiden grade which he did on debut, his run was encouraging when beaten as favourite last start in an easier race at Donald and looks suited getting out to the 2000m for the first time.

Race 5: BM78 Handicap 1000m

Hard to assess this race from a betting perspective three days out as a lot will depend on if the emergencies get a start. KOONUNGA (13) goes on top if the field is 1-14 as listed, Willow takes thr ide for her first run here up the Flemington straight. She resumed in Brisbane and was vetted pre-race (we all know how that ends), she had a good run in transit and after hitting the lead in the straight, just ran out of condition and was run down. Drawn out is certainly no issue.

Dangers:

PINYIN (16) with Olly booked and BLESS HER (17) as the third emergency will both play a role if they get a start. There are two dual acceptors in the pecking order above them and may get a run. GLOBAL GIFT (6) is an interesting runner form the Maher/Eustace stable making his Australian debut, all his wins have been over a mile so he may find them a little slick first-up over 1000m but keep an eye on him attacking the line for the future.

Race 6: Handicap 2540m

ARTY LUCAS (8) gets out in trip off a brilliant last start win at Ballarat, he was well into the red in the betting, getting the job done like the odds suggested he would. He led, was cruising throughout and bolted in by more than 3 lengths, with 4 lengths to third. He will take up the running again, if he gets it soft through the mid-stages they won’t be running him down.

Dangers:

CHAPADA (4) notched up his first win at the track at start 6 here last time, he hit a flat spot when they quickened but picked up quickly and really appreciated the trip. When they flattened for home he hit the front and was strong to the line. MAHAMEDEIS (1) will keep coming in the straight and although he hasn’t had a lot of success here at the track, looks suited getting out in trip. ALFARRIS (3) won over this track and trip back in the early Spring, interestingly that was his last win and the second horse was going around (winning) over the jumps on Tuesday at Ballarat.

Race 7: A.R. Creswick Stakes 3YO Set Weights and Penalties 1200m

KING OF HASTINGS (1) goes on top in the race that I am most looking forward to watching (and betting into) today. He was beaten narrowly when resuming by the straight track specialist Prezado and then bolted in at Swan Hill over the carnival after a peach of a ride. Willow on. The 2/1 looks a good price.

Dangers:

BROADWAYANDFOURTH (5) was a brilliant winner at Caulfield two back, forget she went around at the Valley after being held-up badly at a vital stage. She is still looking to open her account up the straight which is a little concerning but should be attacking the line hard late. FRONT PAGE (10) is an interesting runner, he bolted in by almost 10 lengths at Albury two starts back and has won again since, he has to step up in grade sure but average horses don’t win by those sorts of margins.  HAWKER HURRICANE (2) has speed, I don’t think anyone expected him to be back in the pack last start and expect him to be up on the pace here.

Race 8: Handicap 1420m

HAUNTED (3) comes through the same race as a few of these last start, and may have just been caught out late being second-up. He was three-wide no cove throughout before improving to get outside the speed approaching the straight, took over at the clock tower before being nabbed late. It was a super run, we know how hard it is to sit off the track in the breeze over the 1400m here.

Dangers:

VASSILATOR (6) is a three-time winner here at the track including last start when running on hard from worse than mid-field. That’s what he will do again, Willow will ease him out of the early battle and look for him hitting the line as good as any. HEPTAGON (1) won the Swan Hill Cup in emphatic fashion by a big margin and was strong through the line, no doubt he can win this but am happy to take him on for a few reasons. He has the inside draw and will need everything to go right, coming back in trip and carrying the big weight, the $3 on offer early looks poison odds. ROMANCER (5) chased hard behind Vassilator here last time in a race we can line up the form, he doesn’t map as well here though and it will take a gem of a ride from the extreme gate.

Race 9: Handicap 1100m

How can we not be with PREZADO (2), again. He loves it here up the straight, as I have eluded to before he once ran Nature Strip to a half-length here. He has won three in a row at the track, getting out to the 1100m certainly is a little query but if saved for one run, can really hit the line hard over that last furlong.

Dangers:

ORDER OF COMMAND (1) is the obvious danger and the class runner of the field, the Wangoom winner of two starts back was well in the market but a little disappointing in the G1 Goodwood last start, happy to forgive that run as he did feature in the steward’s report post-race. He loves racing here. RICH CHARM (4) races well here and who wouldn’t love to see the trainer with another win here at HQ, who can forget his win here in Cup week in 2017! MILWAUKEE (5) is another that relished going up the famous straight, he didn’t handle the heavy track here last time and will appreciate the better surface.

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