November 19, 2019
Tips

Kyneton (Wed)

Sandown

Kyneton Racing Tips -Wed Nov 6

We will be at Kyneton this Wednesday.

Track: Heavy 8. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 3 – ZORRO’S DREAM

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Race 1: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1450m

NOVEMBER DREAMING (6) will start the shortest priced favourite anywhere today, and deservedly so. She has been runner-up at both runs, she resumed in a harder maiden at Seymour and ran on hard from a mile back after being well backed. She gets out in trip, which looks ideal, as long as he is ridden like the best horse, he will win by as far as you can kick your hat.

Dangers:

None. For exotics throw in KIN NEKO (4) resuming after being gelded, ALPHAVILLE (3) on debut and ALL FAIRY PRINCE (2) also coming to the races for the first time.

Race 2: Maiden Plate Set Weights 1100m

THE GAUCH (4) is a first-starter for the Maher/Eustace stable, he has trialed well at Cranbourne. He was handy and wide, given a push along in the straight and won comfortably. He has the blinkers on for his debut and would only have to be above average to be winning this.

Dangers:

LITTLE STEVIE (7) looks the only danger, she has placed at both runs. She had a soft run resuming behind the speed, held-up briefly before running on well. She got very close and there was a big margin to third. BANDINELLI (3) is resuming after being on the sidelines for almost a year, he was well beaten at that debut but it was at Listed grade. FLYING DUTCHMAN (1) next best.

Race 3: 3YO Maiden Set Weights 1200m

ZORRO’S DREAM (12) was a runner-up on debut, he was a well backed favourite and was brave in defeat. He sat up on the speed and was wide, he stuck on well to run second with daylight third.

Dangers:

STRETTO (11) has placed at both career runs, he was heavily backed into an even money favourite last time but appeared to have every chance when well beaten into second. MOUNTAIN IBIS (8) is a recent trial winner at Moe in preparation for this debut, BRAZEN BRANDO (2) has been gelded for his return and trialed ok recently, look for any money for him.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m

IT looks an open race on paper and any one of the eight returning to the winner’s stall wouldn’t surprise. PRETTY BELLA (7) has been good at three runs this prep, she sat up outside the lead and was way to good at eth Bool last time at BM64 grade. Up to a 70 here but back against the girls, she will be up on the pace and handles the conditions.

Dangers:

SUPER HUSSEY (3) resumed in a harder race at Geelong, she had every chance after sitting on the back of the leader and was beaten 3 lengths. She does need to improve on her poor second-up record though. UPTOWN LILLY (4) should carve across and be the leader, her chances rely on her getting to the rail first. MILLIE THE MISSILE (5) is resuming and has a good record on rain affected surfaces, she will give them a start.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1850m

SUKOOT (4) has been very consistent in three runs this prep and handles the wet tracks, he was most unlucky last time at Bendigo when held-up at a vital stage and only got out the last hundred to be beaten 0.2 lengths into third. He should have won.

Dangers:

YULONG TAVIAN (1) resumed in a 58 and was a dominant winner on the good track, he sat behind the speed and showed a good turn-of-foot. He may get further back here and probably wants it turned into a sit-sprint.  POUR VOUS (2) gets the blinkers for the first time but is a little query on the heavy going. He ran on hard when we last saw him in work, would be a great training effort to salute first-up at the trip. SAY GOOD NIGHT (7) comes back from the St Arnaud Cup but would need an upgrade in the track condition.

Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1100m

CINCINNATI RED (10) is resuming and has a good record when racing fresh, she gets in well with the claim, but doesn’t win out of turn with 9 runner-up finishes from 18 starts.

Dangers:

PRINCE OF CAVIAR (9) is the brilliantly bred son of the chap Black Caviar, he was very costly at this first three starts before getting the maiden out of the way prior to going to the paddock. I expect him to have support. FI STYLE (12) was only fair last time but should appreciate the sting out of the ground. SOUTHER TURF (6) is first-up and has placed at two of three on the heavy tracks, look for him late.

Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1200m

YULONG JANUARY (5) is resuming off a long break, he has a win and a placing from two previous fresh runs. This looks easier than what he had been racing prior to going to the paddock and he romped in at his only heavy track run.

Dangers:

ASGARD MASSIF (4) is resuming and was a scratching recently so there may have been issues, he has a great record on rain affected tracks and has a win fresh. He is a speedy to type that should be looking for the top early. PERSUADER (7) looks the other chance on paper, also resuming, she has won a trial recently and also has speed. She may be best suited to take a sit here fresh. MY DIVAS (8) is a synthetic winner earlier this prep and has won 4 from 7 in the wet. If she has to work early though she has no hope.

Race 8: Kyneton Cup Handicap 2000m

DOUBLE YOU TEE (3) is racing in career best form winning 5 of 6 this prep. HE was dominant at the Valley last start after sitting back and rounding them up, it was soft through the line. This is harder again and he will need the right tempo, but he has been showing a wonderful turn-of-foot.

Dangers:

JAGUARY (10) is also racing well, he won three in a row before two runner-up finishes, including last time to the top pick at the Valley when up on the speed. PACODALI (1) has been good at both starts this prep, he had no luck when held-up at a vital stage resuming then ran on hard at his latest. MIDTERM (2) Comes through the same race as the top two selections at the Valley, he was well beaten but did have to work hard early.

Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1450m

GASWORX (5) could be a good each-way bet in the last, he is drawn the inside and has enough speed to lead or take a sit. He has a good record in the wet, and with some questions around the horses at the top of the market, happy to be on him each-way.

Dangers:

SILENT COMMAND (4) is consistent but doesn’t win out of turn, he has good tactical speed and should be up on the pace from the good gate. He has placed at his last two, looks suited back in class from the Gawler Cup last time. OCEAN’S FOURTEEN (2) is an interesting runner that is resuming after more than a year on the sidelines, he looks like he handles the wet well enough but would need to see some money for him after such a long break, especially in the last ten minutes. JOCHBERG (8) was poor last time after leading, go on his effort prior to that when fresh where he was beaten a half length. Happy to take him on though if he is under $8. I expect him to drift alarmingly.

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