Kensington Racing Tips – Wed May 20th
We will be at Kensington this Wednesday.
Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 5 – ARCHANNA
Race 1: 2YO Maiden Handicap 1100m
Most of what I am interested here surrounds the first-starters. HEAD LEGISLATOR (5) is an interesting runner from the Matty Dunn yard that travels down from Murwillumbah (Brisbane not an option?) Both his trials this time in have been in town, they obviously have an opinion of him.
YULONG CODE (10) is on debut from the Waller yard and looks forward enough for a nice run at start one. His trial reads eight of ten but I loved the way he ran through the line. Expect him to be ridden quietly and hit the line hard. TOMMY GOLD (1) looks the best of the raced brigade, he was placed when resuming last prep and then was only beaten 4 lengths in the Skyline, that winner went on to race a belter in eth Slipper. MURUNGAL (6) looked good when placing at Kembla first-up, that race has proven a good form reference.
Race 2: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1100m
FROSTY ROCKS (3) was well backed late at Warwick Farm when resuming, the connections notified of a change of tactics to be ridden further forward. He led and never looked like getting run down, a similar scenario looks likely here.
NOT FEINT HEARTED (1) was a winner on debut but has only placed at one of five runs since. He had been off the scene for 38 weeks before resuming at Canterbury where he was brave in defeat after making a long run. HULK (6) is still a maiden after 12 starts but has placed at 8 of them, he must be incredibly frustrating for the connections. He has trialed well and will be making his own luck up on the speed. INVINCIBLE DIVA (9) is an interesting runner that is new to the Waller yard, the import was formerly trained in Ireland where he won his maiden, he has trialed well enough. Watch the betting with him.
Race 3: BM70 Handicap 1100m
UP TRUMPZ (3) is very consistent placing at his last five runs. His form down south was good last prep before going to the paddock, his run resuming jumps out off the paper after the weekend. He was only beaten just over two lengths by Dirty Work who has come out and brained them again on the weekend. JMAc stays on and the draw looks the only concern.
SPACEBOY (9) has to step out of maiden grade, he led all the way at Kembla when resuming and the margin was as big at the finish as at any time. Does he have to sit parked? PRIVATE THOUGHTS (10) is fresh, her trials only read fair and she may need some luck getting away from the inside. She will be in behind the speed and probably needs the leader to kick away before the turn. WANDABAA (2) has won 4 of 9 in her career, she did her racing at the back half of last prep in Queensland, culminating in a win at Doomben when wide with cover.
Race 4: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1550m
ULYSSES (1) won when resuming after sitting outside the leader, he then went to Warwick Farm last time and had some supporters but didn’t have a lot of luck. He was behind the speed and looking for runs, he got out at the furlong but didn’t dash and looked a little flat. He placed at his only other third-up run.
FLINDERS (3) has only a maiden win to his name but rarely runs a bad race. He should go forward and take a sit behind the speed, he kept coming last time at Canterbury but appeared to have every chance. MORENO (8) has shown improvement at two runs this prep, he settled closer to the speed last time and stuck on well when it was more beneficial to be back in the run. BLUEANT (6) has not missed a place in 4 career starts, he bolted in at a maiden at Nowra 2 starts ago, his first go out of that grade he was on the speed and stuck on well. He is no star but will be making his own luck.
Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1400m
ARCHANNA (7) should be the shortest priced favourite of the day, she looks to have plenty of upside. She had trialed well prior to her debut at Warwick Farm, she was a huge drifter in the betting and that was prior to getting vetted at the barrier! She sat back in the run, came wide and ran on strongly with the best sectionals of the race.
RIVA CAPRI (1) is an interesting runner, the former Kiwi has had one start in Oz for the lees stable, he was well beaten at Canterbury against the boys and after settling well back, ran on hard with the best last 600m of the race. MAGGIE MISS (3) has been runner-up at her last two since resuming, she was good when sitting off the track resuming but did appear to have every chance last time. ROMANTIC WHISPER (2) has had four weeks between runs but has trialed since, her win three weeks ago was dominant on the wet track and that looks her best chance.
Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1300m
BOMBASAY (8) has been a little costly placing at his last two when well in the market but has had excuses. Two back he only got clear when the race was all over, forget he went around that day. He then went to Newcastle, did all the work in the run after sitting parked and was brave in defeat.
If LANCASTER BOMBER (11) gets a start as the first emergency he comes right into calculations. REFORMIST (6) won an easier race at Kembla when resuming, he got a mile back and produced the best last 800m of the race. He didn’t have any luck last time and forget he went around that day at Canterbury. OAKFIELD TWILIGHT (1) has only been fair at four runs this campaign but he does get the blinkers on for the first time at start 30!
Race 7: BM74 Handicap 1550m
Tough race and it looks the hardest of the day, play very wide if you are getting involved in the Quaddie. SPIRIT RIDGE (6) creates interest as a new addition to the Mark Newnham yard. The former UK galloper has had 32 weeks between runs and travelled across the world. He has trialed well, particularly the latest at home at Warwick Farm. I expect the betting, especially in the last 5 minutes, will tell us more.
All of them? MY SWASHBUCKLER (5) is another that is having his first Australian start, although well beaten last start in France, they did think enough of him to enter him in a G2 race. He won a recent trial at Gosford. Like top selection, the betting will tell us more. MANGIONE (4) did nothing when racing fresh, the rider was concerned with the action and he has been sent to the trials. He improved alarmingly second-up last start with a godo win over the mile. WILD ABOUT HER (12) had been off the track a long time before a solid closing effort at the Kenso track, he was there again last time and ran on well to score with the best last 600m of the race, this looks no harder?