December 14, 2019
Tips

Kembla Grange (Sat)

Randwick

Kembla Grange Racing Tips -Sat Nov 23

We will be at Kembla Grange this Saturday.

Track: Good 4. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 4 – LUCICELLO

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Race 1: 2YO Handicap 1000m

A tough race to start the inaugural Gong Race Day as a stand-alone Saturday meeting here at Kembla Grange, all but one of the 7 babies are coming to the races for the first time. DESTINATION (2) is a well-bred Godolphin runner on debut, MRS MAISEL (6) comes to the races for the first time for the in-form Mark Newnham stable and FOUND OUR THRILL (5) is a Gai/Bott first starter. GALACTIC FURY (3) has been ok at two career runs and has the benefit of that racetrack experience.

Race 2: Highway Class 3 Handicap 1600m

A full field of 16 for the Highway, it doesn’t get any easier here. BELFAST BELLA (2) was good resuming and may have just run out of condition late. HEMMERLE (3) gets the blinkers off after a poor effort fresh, he has a good record at his previous two second-up runs. PEYTON PLACE (1) looks the leader and will be carving across from the middle of the line early. SENRIMA TIDE (4) has the long trip down from Murwillumbah, the Dunn stable must be respected when coming south for one of these.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 2000m

CALIFORNIA LONGBOW (7) showed a nice turn-of-foot to win a similar race to this last time at Rosehill. He was a little unlucky at his two previous runs since resuming and deserved the win. He maps well in the big field and should be stalking the leaders early.

Dangers:

ZOUHEA (8) will get back, there was a lot to like about his last start Gosford win in easier grade, he had been outclassed at Group Three level the start prior. NORDIC (10) was good at his first Australian start since arriving from Australia, he ran on well at Hawkesbury from a mile back to narrowly miss and will take plenty from the run. MANGIONE (6) comes through the same race as the top pick last time and made good ground from further back, just a matter of how much start he will be giving away here?

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1200m

LUCICELLO (7) resumed off a 3-month break with a solid win from last to first. She was well tried in a similar grade and really hit the line hard. She has to carry the extra 3kg off that win but is a winner at her only second-up run. Look for her late.

Dangers:

KYLEASE (8) has had a 2-month break, she looked super winning a trial here at the track recently. She will be up on the speed for a long way. ASHARANI (3) is resuming and will be giving them a start, she is a winner at both her previous fresh runs. She may pop into the exotics at a price. MISTEED (6) is another that is resuming and has a good record first-up, she has been good at two recent trials, winning them both.

Race 5: BM88 Handicap 1600m

ASTERIUS (2) looks the best of the 3 Waller runners engaged here, he had no luck when resuming producing some good late sectionals, he then went to Rosehill and ran over the top in a race that has produced a subsequent winner.

Dangers:

GRESHAM (3) is the stablemate, he doesn’t win out of turn but is very consistent placing in 22 of his 31 career starts. He never got into the race when resuming, his record second-up is much better. TURNBERRY (4) changed it up and led last time when run down late by the top pick. With the same 2kg claiming hop riding and the middle draw, I expect they will adopt similar tactics here. TESTADHADOW (1) is a veteran that hasn’t won in a while but will appreciate this class, he draws to get a very soft run a couple of pairs back on the rail.

Race 6: The Gong Quality 1600m

The feature of the day is the $1M GONG at the mile, a new race at the back-end of RNSW’s mission to have a $1M race every week throughout this period of the Spring. Chris Waller knows how to set a horse for a race, hopefully that’s the case with STAR OF THE SEAS (2). He has had four runs back from a spell, was good in the Epsom before going south and looked a little flat in the Kennedy Mile on the first day of the carnival. Blinkers off today and is well drawn, Bossy on!

Dangers:

Looks a very open race. NOBLE BOY (9) will run on hard and would be a great story for jockey Brodie Loy. He has been honest in the Kosciuszko, ran on hard in the Goulburn Cup against the pattern and then placed at Group Three level on the last day of the Flemington carnival. MILITARY ZONE (7) was outclassed against the best in the land at his age in the Golden Eagle, this is easier. LUVALUVA (6) comes through easier races than those we have higher on the tips sheet, he gets the blinkers again and there was a lot to like about the way she closed late last time.

Race 7: BM78 Handicap 1000m

STAR FALL (3) went off the boil a little at the back-end of his last campaign but there was a lot to like about what he did at the top end. He hasn’t been seen at the official trials but won a jump out recently at Cranbourne in the best time of the day. He jumped and ran them off their feet, was really pushed out after a mid-race breather and looks ready to go.

Dangers:

SEASONS (4) is resuming after almost a year on the sidelines, she has obviously had her issues but has a great record overall and never finished further back than second in six career starts. MOSSMAN GORGE (9) has terrific record fresh winning three of four when resuming, he gets a soft run off the inside draw and Nash goes on. BROKEN ARROWS (6) will be giving them a start but has ran on well to win his last couple. He will need everything to go right.

Race 8: Colts Geldings and Entires BM78 Handicap 1200m

TRUMBULL (9) has placed at all four runs this campaign without winning, he should appreciate getting out to the 6 furlongs. He was well back in the run last time when solidly supported at Rosehill and found the line well.

Dangers:

CONQUEDEA (8) is resuming and has trialed well, he put in a couple of gap jobs winning by big margins last campaign. He may want further but looks good value at the likely double figure odds. POETIC CHARMER (6) only had the one run last prep, was off the scene for 6 months and been given three trials leading in. Drawn wide, Tommy Berry will be positive early and push forward. LJUNBERG (3) didn’t get into the race when resuming, hopefully they try and ride him closer with cover from the wide draw.

Race 9: BM78 Handicap 1400m

CHARRETERA (9) ran on well enough resuming to suggest he had come back nicely from the paddock. He is second-up today and is undefeated when second-up. He has the wide draw to overcome, with Parr getting the ride I expect him to push forward early, I think he can sit wide and win.

Dangers:

SUPER STAR BOB (8) will also go forward from out there, he gets the blinkers for the first time and drops back in grade from last start where he was brave in defeat sitting outside the speed. FINAL AWARD (6) will be giving them a start, he is yet to win this campaign in 5 attempts. He ran through the line hard last time in producing the best last furlong of the race. DESTINY’S OWN (7) was well backed late at double figures at Rosehill three weeks ago, he should be mid-field in the run and hasn’t missed a place from three second-up runs.

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