Flemington Racing Tips – Wed Sept 25
We will be at Flemington this Wednesday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 14m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 5 – RICH ITCH
Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Plate Set Weights 900m
Eight babies having their first start. Who knows? Watch the betting if you must have a bet, follow it? Tough to win that way but absolutely no confidence. Monitor SUNDUS (7), ZESTY BELLE (8), DIFFICULT (4) and CUT IT OUT (3). Wait till later in the card.
Race 2: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1420m
Happy to say that there are only three chances here, the market will find them also. SOUL PATCH (1) goes on top, won on debut before going to the paddock, he resumed at Sandown and charged home as a real eye-catcher at big odds. Drawn well here, the extra trip looks ideal.
DEFIANT DANCER (2) was very impressive on the eye leading all the way at Morphetville to win his maiden by almost 6 lengths. Will he have to work to get across is the key here at the 1400m at Flemington, if he does, he may be worth a bet in the run. LAKE’S FOLLY (4) looks the other chance, he also won on debut before having any luck last time in the same run as the top pick. The blinkers go on. Play around those three. GRINZINGER ALLEE (3) next best, he will win again soon but may need something easier.
Race 3: BM64 Handicap 1420m
Where to look here! This looks clearly the hardest race of the day, no confidence at all. TATUNKA (8) is a last start winner who absolutely charged home to score comfortably in the end. He is drawn out but will go back anyway, he should lover it here at Flemington.
Most of them. YELDARB (1) has won three of his last four and was runner-up at the other run, he maps well and should be just off the speed and is very consistent. CUBAN TOONITE (2) has only missed a place in one of his 8 career runs, gets the good claim and will be running on hard. ABYSSINIAN (5) was poor on the heavy but bounced back on the synthetic at Pakenham when winning by more than a couple of lengths.
Race 4: 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap 1000m
ZOUPINO (7) won on debut at Geelong on the heavy track, she had good support from double figures in and when she was headed, she showed toughness in kicking back. This is harder but she looks to have plenty of upside. I expect her to be friendless in the betting so wait until late when the percentage comes down.
DANE CLIPPER (4) is another last start maiden winner on debut, she led all the way on the synthetic and bolted in by almost 5 lengths. Different story here up the straight and on the turf, but she looks to be drawn out in the best part of the track. SISSTAR (3) didn’t show much at her first prep against tougher company, she resumed over the border at a very short quote and bolted in. She may have turned the corner following that easy kill. It looks a great form race going forward, I AM GIFTED (9) next best with the blinkers on for the first time.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1100m
RICH ITCH (3) has won two of his last four runs, one of those failures was last start at Group Two level. Two weeks ago in the Bobbie Lewis, he was mid-field and then held-up at a vital stage, he got out at the furlong pole and hit the line well. He drops a stack in class here, look for him late.
ROOSEVELT (4) comes down from Sydney, he raced well fresh when he led then got further back at his last couple. Melham on and up the straight, don’t be surprised to see him up on the speed again. GOT THE MOVES (5) has placed here up the straight previously, he has won fresh and would like to see some money for him. RUBAN BLEU (2) won here up the straight on the heavy track, he beat a couple of smart ones after coming from well back with a huge finish.
Race 6: Oaks Trial 3YO Fillies Set Weights and Penalties 1800m
CELESTIAL FALLS (1) looks a very progressive type, she went from a poor run on debut at 1200m to winning her maiden at start three running on hard. She clearly looks like she can run further, she resumed and hit the line well over 1300m which looked unsuitable, the change to Clark up top doesn’t hurt either.
FRAZIL (3) is another that looks to benefit getting out in trip. She doesn’t have a lot of brilliance but will keep grinding away. She has run on well at her last two, particularly two back where she was disadvantaged the way the race was run. GAMAY (4) bolted in on the synthetic track as a hot favourite last time, if she can bring that form to the turf, she can take the next step. OCEAN MISS (6) next best, she is a maiden winner on debut last start and should be up on the speed for a long way.
Race 7: Derby Trial 3YO Colts and Geldings Set Weights and Penalties 1800m
SERIOUS LIAISON (1) was solid in the market at start two at Bendigo, he sat back and ran over the top of them and like a few of these, looks suited getting out in trip. So many of these youngter’s can improve out of sight getting out in trip, and it can also work the other way.
BRILLIANT VENTURE (2) had placed at two in a row before getting the maiden win last start, he may have been favoured the way the race was run being up in the speed but all you can do is win. OLYMPIC OATH (5) won on the synthetic before making steady ground last time at the Valley. He doesn’t have a lot of brilliance but will keep grinding away. HEZAFOX (7) ran on hard last time following a syntho win, open race.
Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1630m
BIANCO NUOVO (10) probably wants further but was a really strong winner fresh after sitting up on the speed. He gets in well with the claim, up in grade in what looks an even race, he looks a good each-way bet.
Plenty of them. Play very wide in the last leg of the Quaddie. DIVANATION (13) is another that will probably want further, she placed in a harder race in town and then in a Warrnambool Cup before going to the paddock. She was really good in a recent trial and races well fresh. She could be in for a big prep. RIDGEWOOD DRIVE (12) went to a Derby last prep, he will be giving them a start and I am not sure where the pace will come from? WETAKEMANHATTAN (3) may be the leader and hard to run down if left alone in front.