May 25, 2020
Tips

Flemington (Sat)

Geelong

Flemington Racing Tips – May 23rd

We will be at Flemington this Saturday.

Track: Soft 7. Rail: Out 5m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 6 – MISS IANO

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Race 1: BM84 Handicap 2500m

SIN TO WIN (1) has to lump 61.5 kg’s before the claim but looks well in against this lot. He was closing well here in a harder race two weeks back then again was the one taking the most ground late at Warrnambool in the Cup at his latest. He races well at the track and should appreciate the longer trip.

Dangers:

YONKERS (4) has won three of five this campaign including a last start soft track win north of the border. He will be very handy in the run and loses nothing with Willow taking the ride. STARCASTER (6) is a former import that won when resuming at Geelong, he was very flat at Sandown last time on the heavy track and looks a big improver here. SHEPARD (7) is the most inexperienced runner in the field, he will be looking for the top early and probably wants some sting out of the track.

Race 2: Super VOBIS 2YO Plate Set Weights and Penalties 1400m

A race with limited chances as the 2YO’s get out to the 14000m. KHOEKHOE (1) was only fair on debut, he had 6 weeks off and returned to a dominant Echuca maiden win. He then went to Caulfield and after settling mid-field, ran on hard to score again. He gets out to the 7 furlongs for the first time, he should be fresh after 5 weeks between runs.

Dangers:

INDICTMENT (4) is still a maiden after 3 starts, he was placed at Listed level at career start number two. The blinkers go on for the first time. ROCK THE RING (2) placed on debut, he then went to Sale and charged home form a mile back to win his maiden. IMMORTAL LOVE (5) looks the only other winning chance coming off a debut win at Echuca, this is obviously harder.

Race 3: 3YO Fillies BM78 Handicap 1400m

LA CHEVALEE (8) has shown she can handle all conditions with a heavy track win last start after being held-up at a vital stage to go with her fresh win on top of the ground to win her maiden. She stays at the 7 furlongs, will roll forward and should get the perfect sit in the box seat.

Dangers:

WILD VIXEN (4) is a last start Listed winner across the border, she was a winner last prep at her only other third-up run. DEBT’N’DEFICIT (5) was well supported when winning here at the track last start. After opening double figure odds, she was backed in to an SP of $8 and was very string through the line. BARBIE’S FOX (1) is another last start winner, she was at Caulfield two weeks ago and charged home over the 1200m. Getting out to the 1400m should suit.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 1100m

ALFA ORO (12) looks to have plenty of upside. He has not missed a place at 5 career starts, he led all the way at Pakenham two back then was just as impressive on the synthetic their last time when never look like getting headed. He has to go up the straight here which is a different kettle of fish, but what here can run him down?

Dangers:

I’M TELLING YA (5) has been up for a while, he has been getting back and running on well enough in harder races. The stable is going well enough with a couple of wins in the last week. RUBAN BLEU (8) was ok fresh, he has a good record second-up with a win and a second from 2 attempts. MONTENEGRO MAN (11) is resuming and has a good record fresh (4:1-2-1), he will find this easier than what he was racing last prep.

Race 5: Super VOBIS Gold 3Yo Handicap 2000m

GAME KEEPER (1) has won three on the bounce since resuming, all three have been across the border in SA. The latest was at Listed level where he sat near last in the run, he got to the middle of the track and showed great acceleration to hit the front early in the straight and ran away to win by 3 lengths. It was visually very impressive, and this looks no harder.

Dangers:

MIYAKE (6) won an easier race north of the border last time, he appreciated getting off the heavy track and will want an improving surface. NOVEMBER DREAMING (11) rarely runs a bad race, she was well beaten two starts back but had excuses. Again, she was held-up here last start against the girls, if everything goes right, she should be coming hard late with the top pick. TOORADIN (5) is having his sixth start at his first prep which is normally a red light for me, he still seems to be racing well after having no luck at Sandown last start, he probably should have won the race.

Race 6: The Straight Six Handicap 1200m

MISS IANO (10) has the wide draw, it is always a tough ask predicting where they will come up the straight three days out, but out wide is rarely a disadvantage. She was good here two starts back and was hitting the line well before having no room late, her un in the feature sprint at the Bool over the carnival was outstanding back closer to the fence when it was advantageous to be off the rail.

Dangers:

MILWAUKEE (7) races well up the straight, he should be drawn out in the best part of the track and will try and lead for a long way. He has improved at all three runs this time in and is getting close to another win, it has been almost a year since the last. MALIBU STYLE (2) races well here at the track, he kept coming here last week to narrowly miss the placings but did appear to have every chance. HOME OF THE BRAVE (1) hasn’t won in 88 weeks but meets the easiest field he has seen in some time. He placed behind Gytrash fresh and is better than what he showed last start second-up.

Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1800m

A lot will depend if the first emergency DUKE OF PLUMPTON (15) gets a start as first emergency, no scratching’s at the time of writing but I will back on there being one. The former Kiwi has had two starts in Oz, he resumed at Echuca and bolted in at BM70 grade as favourite, he then went to Sandown and made good ground against the tempo into second. He draws to get a very soft run.

Dangers:

Even if he does run here, it looks a very open race on paper. ARCTIC SHOCK (9) has placed at all three runs this campaign, she was entitled to drop off last start at Caulfield after a torrid run but stuck on well to only be beaten a couple of lengths. AUSSIE NUGGET (10) will be giving them a start, he is having his first run at the big track here but the way he has been hitting the line, he should love it here. EUGENE’S FOREST (13) has won three in a row, this is another step up in grade but he will be making his own luck up on the speed and handles all conditions.

Race 8: Handicap 1600m

SO SI BON (2) is flying at the moment winning back-to-back races at Caulfield. Still needs to show it here at Flemington where he has only the one win from 20 starts, but hard to knock the way he has won his last two and the authority with which he has done so.  He was mid-field last time before showing good acceleration, he hit the lead early but didn’t let-up and ran away from them. Stockdale sticks with the ride and the claim.

Dangers:

SHOT OF IRISH (13) looks the obvious danger and will most likely start at the top of the market. He has won back-to-back races on rain affected tracks and clearly swims through it, he will give them something to chase and if left alone in front, may be worth a bet in play early on. DJANGO FREEMAN (5) is an interesting runner, he was a runner-up in the German Derby last start at G1 level, he has had 45 weeks between runs and may need the hit-out, obviously he has bigger races in mind than this. PACODALI (1) was a G3 winner last campaign before heading west for a crack at G1 glory, he hit the line well hen resuming and goes better second-up.

Race 9: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1100m

HILO (1) is drawn out wide, see how the other straight races play earlier in the day. He won resuming in NSW before placing at his last thee, he was brave in defeat last start after hitting the front too early in the straight. Huge jockey change with Rachel King being replaced by Olly.

Dangers:

Tough race. THE ASTROLOGIST (11) was almost a year between runs prior to resuming at Caulfield two weeks ago., He was a mile back in the run and still last at the furlong before storming home to miss by a length. He was a winner at his only other second-up run. CAN’T BE DONE (7) is very consistent, he has placed at both starts down the straight and was a winner fresh on debut. He should be up on eth speed and may be giving the right cover to the top selection. CATCH ME (3) is also drawn out with the top pick, she had no luck when resuming and was good trough the line in a race that has proven a good form reference.

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