Pakenham (Sat)

Pakenham Racing Tips

Track: Soft 5. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 7 – DAL HARRAILD

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Race 1: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1000m

ALL IN BRAWL (3) has only been to the races in two occasions, he led all the way to win on debut then went to the Valley and did plenty wrong before running on hard and only going down late. He should be up on the speed again here fresh, watch for any money resuming to increase the confidence levels.

Dangers:

STAR FALL (5) is also resuming, he showed a stack of speed as a 2YO and has trialed well. Expect him to lead for a long way. SYMPHONETTE (6) has won both starts this prep, she has had every chance but doesn’t map as well here and looks a good risk from the wide draw. MISS SCORCHER (8) was good resuming north of the border, hard to line up her form but she wouldn’t be coming down here for nothing.

Race 2: BM70 Handicap 1600m

LAURE ME IN (8) is very consistent, he has been runner-up at both starts this prep in SA, the latest was a super effort, although he was beaten as favourite his run was full of merit. In a race that favoured those on the pace, he was last early before storming home late taking good ground off the winner through the line. Also engaged Wednesday.

Dangers:

GHEEDAA (10) is a last start 64 winner across the border, she had the perfect run in behind the leaders before peeling around them and running on too hard. She doesn’t map as well here but should be able to use her tactical speed to advantage. CASINO FOURTEEN (4) would have been at the top of selections had it not been for the horrible draw, his last start win at 70 grade was super up on the speed. If he can get up outside the lead and control the tempo, he will be hard to run past. HUNAMOSA (1) is next best with the good claim, but looks a minor place chance only.

Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1400m

EGYPTIAN BULLET (1) appreciated getting back to this grade last time, she had been in much stronger races through the spring and was outclassed. She was worse than midfield at Ballarat before storming home out wide in a race that didn’t really favour the back markers.

Dangers:

ANGELIC SPIRIT (3) was a good winner two starts back when leading all of the way, she was only fair last time at Group Three level but will certainly give them something to chase here. MISS WAHOO (4) comes through the same race at Ballarat as the top selection, she was also closing late on that occasion. TEODORA (10) gets the blinkers off for the first time resuming here, she will probably want further but was tackling the best of her age when last in work. Look for any money for her resuming.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 2000m

CALIBRATION (3) is a last start winner in this grade at the Valley, he was suited the way the race was run but he was very impressive through the line. He has versatility and expect him to settle a lot closer here from the good draw.

Dangers:

ROYAL ORDER (6) is drawn wide, he was runner-up behind the top selection last time after running on hard. He is likely to be giving them a start but look for him late. MR QUICKIE (9) is drawn horribly, he has won four of his 6 career starts but this is clearly his toughest test, not only the class but the draw as well. MR CHURCHILL (8) comes through the same race at the Valley as the top two selections, he ran on well enough but was entitled to the way the race was run.

Race 5: BM78 Handicap 1000m

PRAIRIE FIRE (15) is resuming having his first start since aa juvenile campaign that saw him win at Listed level. he was last seen in the Golden Slipper where he didn’t have a lot of luck. He has trialed only fairly but watch for any money for him here fresh.

Dangers:

EURACK (9) won her first four starts before being sent to the paddock, she resumed at Flemington on the last day of the carnival and was well beaten but did have excuses. She would have been the top selection had it not been for the horror draw. Forgive her that last run. SAM’S IMAGE (8) is resuming and has won fresh, he has tactical speed and is having his first start for the New yard. PREZADO (6) has the talent and loomed at the Valley last week, it must be noted that he has not won out of maiden grade but did get close to Nature Strip last prep.

Race 6: Handicap 1600m

TORGERSEN (1) was runner-up in the Kilmore Cup last start when running on well. He was a winner in Sydney previous to that and was fair in Group Three class over the Flemington carnival. He maps to be mid-field and charge home.

Dangers:

AGE OF FIRE (4) also comes through the Kilmore Cup formline where he was running on hard at huge odds. He and Torgensen go to battle again and they look the two, there hasn’t been much between them at their last couple. OUR BOTTINO (6) led them for the majority of the Donald Cup before being run down late, he will give a sight again out in front and prove hard to catch. FASTNET LATTINA (8) also comes through the Donald Cup where he chased hard throughout.

Race 7: Pakenham Cup 2500m

DAL HARRAILD (1) looks the leader, he was super at Sandown in the Zipping Classic, that was following a super effort in the Bendigo where he worked. He tried to lead throughout at sandown, expect that he will go forward again and be very hard to run down. He has a habit of looking gone but will keep fighting.

Dangers:

KIWIA (3) looks the only danger. He has always shown ability and finally lived up to that with a big scalp winning the Ballarat Cup last time out. Admittedly the race was run to suit but the way he ran through the line was encouraging. LORD FANDANGO (4) and RUNWAY (5) are both place chances but it looks a race in two.

Race 8: VOBIS Gold Bullion 1400m

CHOISBORDER (4) has a terrific overall record, he has versatility in that he can go forward or back, is drawn well and is stepping up in trip. He ticks plenty of boxes, he should be just off the pace here in a race that looks very open.

Dangers:

SO SI BON (7) is racing well and will find this a lot easier than what he has been going around against of late, only beaten a little over three lengths by Osborne Bulls two back looks a good form line for this. CHIPPENHAM (8) always runs a race, you know what you will get from him and his chances lie on his ability to get to the rails first and try to lead all the way. AMADEUS (5) will get back from the wide draw, he found the line well at the Valley last time in a harder race than this.

Race 9: Handicap 1200m

THEANSWERMYFRIEND (1) is obviously the class of the race, he is resuming though and has not saluted at six previous fresh runs. If he has come back well and can carry the 61kg, he is clearly the one to beat.

Dangers:

If he is a big drifter in the market, don’t be afraid to play very wide. SYLPHEED (7) is also first-up after a couple of months, she has had a change of stable since last in work and will get back and charge home. She has a good record when racing fresh. SUSPENSE (10) is resuming and has won 2/5 when fresh, he gets a good draw and should be camped on the leaders early. PRINCESS OF QUEENS (8) didn’t seem to handle the heavy track on Melbourne Cup Day, go on her good win previously at Geelong, she will get back as well.

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