Caulfield (Sat)

Caulfield Racing Tips

Track: Good 4. Rail: True

Best Bet: Race 2 – CINCINATTI RED

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Race 1: 3YO Fillies BM70 Handicap 1000m

COSMIC RUBY (3) has won two on the bounce since resuming, the first of which she sat three deep without cover to win her maiden then stepped out of that grade for the first time when leading throughout at Werribee. She should roll forward again and give a sight.

Dangers:

DU WELL (4) has also won two on the trot, she was dominant winning her maiden at Mornington then ran on hard to win at Sandown las time. NOMOTHAJ (1) is resuming off a 6-week break, she was ok in a sales restricted race last time and has shown that she has the ability. YULONG MONOCEROS (2) is next best after a dominant win across the border last time.

Race 2: BM64 Handicap 1400m

CINCINATTI RED (11) has had two runs since winning her maiden, close-up when runner-up at Sandown after working in the run then went to Flemington Flemington and ran on hard. She may have been suited by the way that race was run but she was an eye-catcher nonetheless.

Dangers:

CAMILA LUCINDA (8) was solid off a tough on-pace run resuming then was ok in a harder race last time. She should be rock hard fit and looks a big improver, up on the speed with a couple of gear changes. SUNQUEST (7) has had plenty of goes, he is lining up for start 21 but is very consistent. He is likely to be giving them a start but should be running on hard. KRONOS (3) comes through the same formline as the top selection, he was up on the speed that day and stuck on ok when looked like getting well beaten.

Race 3: 3&4YO BM70 Handicap 1200m

MAGNESIUM ROSE (2) resumed at the Valley last time, she was wide with cover throughout, loomed up and took the lead before being headed late. She will be fitter for that run, maps well here and has placed at both previous second-up runs.

Dangers:

REDCORE (4) has not saluted at three runs back this prep, but all three runs have been full of merit. If he gets cover and the right cart into it, he will be running on hard. KAPLUMPICH (7) has only missed a place at 2 of his 8 career starts, he ran on hard at HQ last time but maps to be closer in the run here. NORTON (8) may have an eight next to his name in the formguide but his effort at Caulfield was good. He worked home strong from well back in the best sectionals of the race.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1600m

EXTREME BLISS (4) won an easier race at the Valley last time, she has been very consistent during her 14-start career. She usually needs everything to go right in her races but should settle a lot closer in the run from the good draw.

Dangers:

SUPRE (5) will find this easier than last time at Flemington, she was held-up at a vital stage in that run and hit the line hard when out. SHOKORA (1) won a harder race two back at the Valley, she was wide throughout at Flemington last time over the mile and didn’t shirk the task, that is a tough ask at HQ over that trip. CRIMSON TEARS (9) is a little less experienced than her rivals here, she won two on the trot before going to the Valley and seemingly having every chance. This is harder again but she may have more upside than most of these.

Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM84 Handicap 1100m

FILL THE FLUTE (3) is a winner, she won four in a row this prep before being narrowly beaten up the straight last time after leading. She will be making her own luck up on the speed and trying to lead all the way.

Dangers:

QUEEN ANNABEL (4) will be giving them a start from the wide draw, she doesn’t have great numerical form from her last few runs but they have been better than what they read on paper. MISS NORWAY (5) will be well in the market and have plenty of admirers, she has won two in a row but has had everything to suit in those two races. CHATUCHAK (6) is drawn out, she was ok behind the top selection last time. She should be fully fit now third-up.

Race 6: BM84 Handicap 1600m

SILENTZ (1) ran on hard to win a 78 grade race last time, that was his first look at the track and was most impressive. He will need everything to go right but should be hitting the line hard again.

Dangers:

AMADEUS (2) has the good draw, he will go forward and try to lead all the way. He was ok here on Boxing Day after leading but did have every chance. NOTIO (4) ran on hard in the same race as the top selection, he had every chance but just looked to peak late. The mile sees him out but if he gets everything go his way, he will be hard to beat. WENNER (5) is drawn wide, he comes through a solid form race at HQ last time and will run on hard.

Race 7: BM78 Handicap 2000m

CREDENCE (10) had no luck at Flemington last time, he was held-up at a vital stage before running on hard out wide. He may need a little luck when the runs come again off the inside draw, if the breaks come, he will be finishing best.

Dangers:

KILMACURRAGH (8) comes through a different form line north of the border the last couple, he was good in Victoria before heading to NSW. He should be nearing peak fitness now. CALIBRATION (7) had every chance last time at Pakenham, he has versatility but will need a little luck from the draw. CRITICAL THINKING (5) comes through the same formline as the top pick in the previous race, so look to see how that form-line holds up. He will be up on the speed for a long way.

Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1400m

MASTERING (11) will start the shortest priced favourite of the day, he won by the length of the straight when resuming then went to Flemington and was good in a harder race than this. He is drawn well and should be up on the speed for a long way.

Dangers:

RED CHOUX’S (8) took a while to hit top form last prep, his effort when resuming was good after getting well back. The race was run to suit and he should be fitter for the run. KACHING (4) has the horrible draw, he has placed at three of four when resuming and will just need a little luck from the carpark draw. WEATHER WITH YOU (2) is yet to win out of maiden grade, he will improve off whatever he does here and was last seen in Sydney in the Derby at Group One level.

Race 9: BM84 Handicap 1100m

I AM SOMEONE (16) is a last start winner in easier grade, he bolted in by 5 after being beautifully ridden. He may need a little luck from the extreme draw, he will go forward and sometimes the wide draw is a blessing for on pacers.

Dangers:

EXCELTARA (11) is drawn out, he was suited by the way the race was run last time and will run on hard again. If he gets cover and the pace is on, look for him late. DEMOLITION (7) will be near the top of the market, he hasn’t missed a place in his last two preps, Williams will only need a little luck but he can sometimes ride ones like this too cute. STREETS OF AVALON (9) is resuming off a 15-week break, he doesn’t have the greatest record when fresh off a break but has a good record at the track.

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