Caulfield (Sat)

Caulfield Racing Tips

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 5 - CATCH ME

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Race 1: 3YO Fillies Plate 1100m

CRACK THE CODE (1) has won two of her three career starts, she resumed with a soft win at the Valley after being held-up at a vital stage then dashing to the front when clear. She will need a little luck getting cover early but looks very hard to beat.

Dangers:

BOLD ARIAL (2) has won two in a row, her Echuca win was huge after being wide throughout and then was solid through the line up the straight at Flemington. EMBRACE ME (3) looks to have turned the corner, she has won two in a row at the Valley, the latest has proved a decent form reference as well. NOTATION (5) is still in her first prep and going into start number six, normally that would be a big red flag but she has had a 5-week let-up so she should be fresh enough. She looks the leader.

Race 2: Fillies and Mares Handicap 1100m

TIARA STAR (6) comes from the strong SA stable of Will Clarken, anytime he brings one to Melbourne it must be respected. She had won two in a row before having a three-week break, the latest she sat on the speed and bolted in by almost five lengths. She has since been to the trials and won, watch for any money for her.

Dangers:

MISS NORWAY (3) is also entered in Friday night’s Moonee Valley program, if she runs here, she looks the obvious danger. She won her first two this prep before going to Caulfield and over-racing when up on the speed. QUEEN ANNABEL (4) had no luck at Flemington three back but has been a little disappointing at her last couple. This is easier. BELLARIA (1) will find this easier than what she faced before going to the paddock. She draws well and must be respected, especially if the money comes late for her.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1400m

GROUNDBREAK (8) was poor when resuming north of the border after being poorly away and was banished to the trials, he also bundled the start at the trial and just followed them around. He was well backed at Caulfield when resuming after the six-week break and was dominant after getting the gun run. Hard to beat here.

Dangers:

INDIAN THUNDER (9) bolted in at Stawell last time, he has been consistent at his last three runs but hasn’t placed at three runs at the track previously which is a little concerning. PORTMAN (6) hasn’t won I a while but will find this easier than what he has been racing. He had to make a long wide run at Flemington last time but kept coming in the straight. CRITICAL THINKING (2) is better than what he showed last time when tiring badly after being on the speed, he will go forward from the inside gate.

Race 4: Blue Diamond Preview 2YO Colts and Geldings 1000m

Eight of the thirteen runners are facing the starter for the first time so the betting will be crucial. AUXIN (3) placed on debut and did appear to have every chance, but this stable can really get one to improve off their debut runs. He draws well and goes around the bend for the first time.

Dangers:

MICROPHONE (1) won that race and was also on debut, he showed speed and will again no doubt go forward. They look the best of the raced brigade, of those that haven’t seen the starter before, expect there to be support for the Weir runner HULK (9) and the recent trial winner I AM IMMORTAL (10).

Race 5: Blue Diamond Preview 2YO Fillies 1000m

Twelve of the eighteen runners in the female division are having their first start, so respect any money for them. CATCH ME (1) debuted in the Gimcrack in Sydney in the Spring, she was back in the pack and over-racing before getting wide and running on hard for an impressive victory. She was sent to the paddock and has trialed well since, if she had a better draw she would have been a lot shorter in the betting.

Dangers:

JEDASTAR (3) was good winning up the straight at her debut, she is also drawn poorly and a little concerning that she was double figure odds that day. ANAHEED (4) bolted in on debut in NSW on a heavy track, she may be a lot shorter if she had shown it on top of the ground as well. She may be something special. PRETTY BRAZEN (5) was good on debut against the boys, see how he formline stacks up when Microphone goes around in the previous race.

Race 6: 3YO BM78 Handicap 1400m

SOCIAL SPIN (1) has been very consistent and it looks as if he will start the shortest priced favourite of the day. He bolted in a similar race at Flemington but does spike in the weight that he needs to carry here. Expect him to be easy in the betting late but looks very hard to beat.

Dangers:

GOLDIFOX (5) was a dominant winning her maiden at Geelong and it has proven a good form reference with three winners coming from that race since. She was heavily backed that day and looks to have a future. CHEVALIER D’EON (4) was good resuming winning an easier race at Geelong, she took a while to get going in the straight but looks suited getting out in trip. Look for her late. PIEMONTE (6) was good at his first two starts and then had no luck at Flemington last time.

Race 7: Handicap 2000m

LAMBORGHINI (8) was a good winner here three weeks ago in a BM78, this is a little harder but he is so consistent. Look to see how the track is playing as he will need everything to go right, he will get back and run on hard.

Dangers:

SECOND BULLET (5) won narrowly at Flemington last time before charging home late, there was a 3.5 length margin back to third though which is encouraging. He ran on hard in the Werribee Cup prior to that and maps to settle a little closer here. AL GALAYEL (4) has shown versatility in his last two wins, expect that Williams will have him a lot closer here. KIWIA (1) has had a month between runs, He won the Ballarat Cup at the back end of the Spring, his latest effort when travelling to Queensland was super running on hard in a race where that was not the favoured pattern.

Race 8: Handicap 1700m

SILENTZ (5) is going for three wins on the trot, he should be able to settle closer as he did last time at Flemington where he was beautifully ridden. He draws well again and this looks no harder, jumps up in weight but still only has the 56.5 kgs to carry.

Dangers:

GUIZOT (6) had every chance behind him last time but does meet him better in the weights. He will need to be in front of the top selection turning for home. COOL CHAP (3) was officially beaten 3.85 lengths in the Chester manifold last time, but he was held-up at a vital stage and should have finished closer. This is a good drop in class and draws to get a soft run. TORGERSEN (1) will go forward early, he had every chance when on the speed against the top pick last time, he will struggle if he has to race in teh breeze.

Race 9: John Dillon Stakes 1400m

Tough race to finish the day and it is recommended that you play very wide if you are Quaddie players. MANOLO BLAHNIQ (8) is a last start winner at Flemington when he settled wide, that was a super effort as the first 800m there are around a bend basically and he had to sit off the track. He maps better here and should be running on hard.

Dangers:

ROCK ‘N’ GOLD (7) was super in that same race, he was well back and then was held-up for a furlong before working home well late. He was a winner here at the track at his previous start and should settle closer, just needs cover from the wide draw. TAKEDOWN (4), like a few of these comes through that same race but did appear to have his chance, ARBEITSAM (3) went to the Magic Millions carnival and was good, he looks the leader and will be hard to run down if given any peace in front.

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