Caulfield (Sat)

Caulfield Racing Tips

Track: Good 4. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 5 – I AM IMMORTAL

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Race 1: Handicap 1800m

LAURE ME IN (11) has really turned into a smart horse, he has been up for a long time but is racing so well. Last time he was here at Caulfield he was a tragedy beaten, went to Flemington and charged home to narrowly miss then won there three weeks ago when beautifully ridden. He looks well in at the weights, will get back and charge home again.

Dangers:

SILENTZ (5) will be the main danger in the betting, he has won three in a row, the last couple when handy to the speed. He looks a good risk from the draw as he may be pratted wide for a good portion of the race combined with the Weir effect. Take him on. YOGI (1) is an interesting runner resuming, a last start Sandown Cup winner over two miles, you know what you will get with him. He will look under pressure a long way out but will keep finding the line. COOL CHAP (7) maps to get a good run but looks a place chance only. Happy to say Laure Me In is one of the best on the card, I have to as it looks a race in two and I want to lay Silentz?

Race 2: Kevin Hayes Stakes 3YO Fillies 1200m

ZUOBO (9) is undefeated after two career starts, both times she has been near to last in the run and charged over the top of them. She has trialed well recently and showed a bit more tactical speed, hopefully from the good middle gate she can settle closer and run on too well.

Dangers:

It looks a very open race on paper. PRINCESS JENNI (10) is resuming, she will find this harder than her last start maiden win but the ease of which she scored their shows she is well above average. She was well ridden in behind the speed before cruising up and bolting in by 6. CRACK THE CODE (3) was a last start winner here and has won three from four in her career, she was well in the rede in the betting last tie and it was a professional win, albeit by a small margin. Happy to take her on under each-way odds in this field. TROPEZINA (1) looks the leader and has won three in a row so you can’t knock that form, she may just have to work a little from the outside gate.

Race 3: Geoffrey Bellamaine Stakes Mares 1200m

TELEPLAY (4) is resuming, she is a perfect 2/2 when racing fresh and gets the soft draw off the inside gate. There looks to be a bit of speed in his and she should be smoking her pipe back near last on the inside, Mickey Dee should ride for luck and if she gets it, she will finish too hard.

Dangers:

PRINCESS OF QUEENS (5) will find this easier than her nice last start effort at Group two level, she also looks suited by the small field and will be the one circling them from near last when the runs come. I AM A STAR (1) is expected to be one of the leader’s, she is resuming and has a terrific overall record. She has been to the track ten times so knows her way around here, she just needs to get that soft lead. PRUSSIAN VIXEN (3) is the horse that will also challenge for the lead, she is well drawn to get that spot but the bar plates do go on though.

Race 4: Rubiton Stakes 1100m

Not sure what to make of this? On face value, NATURE STRIP (2) would bolt in against this lot with his pure speed, but the week’s events have made it no so simple. He has gone from Weir to Waller, obviously a class trainer but just what has he missed in the lead-up. I will suggest that his natural ability will be too much for these, he will be too quick. Back him, even at the short quote.

Dangers:

VOODOO LAD (1) is a classy gelding that is returning off a successful WA raid where he won the Winterbottom, the only problem here is 1200m around Caulfield he will be giving the star sprinter a big start, look for him late. The veteran JUNGLE EDGE (3) comes into calculations in any race if the rain comes, he will have to sit outside the speed so he looks tested if the track is not wet. CAMDUS (6) flies fresh and is a must for all exotic bets.

Race 5: Blue Diamond Prelude 2YO Colts and Geldings 1100m

I AM IMMORTAL (2) was a winner at Caulfield on debut in the preview for the boys, he showed a stack of speed to lead comfortably on that day, railed nicely and kicked away for a professional win. A little worrying off the inside draw here as he will have to jump well, if he does it is hard to see him getting run down.

Dangers:

HAWKER HURRICANE (1) debuted in the reverse-direction sales restricted race at Ballarat and was a dominant winner from the back. If he can transfer that run to Caulfield in the anti-clockwise way of going, he will finish hard. AUSSIE (3) had his chance to win on debut, hit the front briefly before being mowed down by a super smart one. AUXIN (4) had excuses when well beaten by the top selection here last time but is beautifully drawn, hard to see him turning the tables however if the top pick jumps well enough to lead.

Race 6: Blue Diamond Prelude 2YO Fillies 1200m

CATCH ME (1) was most impressive in Sydney when winning her debut, she was then sent to the paddock and returned here on Australia Day where they were willing to take her on but she once again showed she is top class. Settling mid-field, she got to the outside and overpowered them for a soft win, draws well again and Zahra will only need even luck to make it 3/3.

Dangers:

LANKAN STAR (4) looks a progressive type that improved from start one to two. She was wide throughout at the Valley when running on hard for a good win, she maps perfectly to get the cold sit on the leader’s here. ATHIRI (5) won on debut 10 weeks ago in Sydney, she was held-up at a vital stage but the jock was patient and she came away for a most impressive win. Schofield off and JMac on doesn’t hurt either. BROOKLYN HUSTLE (6) was very impressive winning on debut coming from last, but she may have been a little flattered the way the race was run and off a great ride, she looks a great lay here.

Race 7: Autumn Sakes 3YO Set Weights and Penalties 1400m

RINGERDINGDING (1) showed at the back-end of the Spring that he is a serious racehorse. He has the ability to sit back off any tempo and reel off some unbelievable sectionals. He was poor at his only start here last prep and that was the only bad run of the campaign, but it was second-up and he may have been a little flat. If the Weir dramas haven’t affected him, look for him late, very late, he will be finishing very hard.

Dangers:

STAROUZ (10) has to be included for the exotic and Quaddie players, he is only lightly raced but was a real eye-catcher at his first go out of maiden grade last time. He was held-up at a vital stage before charging home to run second behind Social Spin. SOCIAL SPIN (4) is coming into this as his fifth run this prep, he hasn’t finished further back than 2nd in that time. His last start win here was impressive after sitting wide on the speed without cover, also a Weir cast-off which is worrying. DEALMAKER (5) was a little one paced but kept finding the line resuming, he will need to be in front of the top selection in the run home and won’t want him on his back.

Race 8: C.F. Orr Stakes WFA 1400m

KEMENTARI (4) gets the jockey change that many had been hoping for, with Schofield getting off for James McDonald. He is a truly talented gelding that was 5/1 to beat Winx last year, so many of the big players obviously have a high opinion of him. It is hard to believe that he didn’t win a race last campaign, so many tough runs combined with some poor decision making, he has the class and the blinkers come off. He has placed at all three runs this campaign and expect that he is ready to go.

Dangers:

Looks a cracking race, WHISPERING BROOK (16) has obviously had to come through the Weir saga but she is a winner. She was first past the post last time at WFA conditions at the Valley, just needs some cover in the run to finish hard. FELL SWOOP (3) has the fitness edge and has returned to some handy form of late, he will roll forward from the wide gate and look to set the speed. BRAVE SMASH (1) races well here at the track, he battled on ok fresh although well beaten. He would have taken plenty from that run and should be running on hard from the back.

Race 9: TS Carlyon Cup Set Weights and Penalties 1600m

NIGHT’S WATCH (6) is another that has obviously had his prep disrupted by the Weir saga, but he flies fresh and goes to the Maher stable and loses nothing in that transition. He is first-up at a mile and will obviously get out past the 2000m later in the prep, he has won 3/5 here at the track including one at Group level, look for him late. He could be one of the ex-Weir runners to be well backed.

Dangers:

AVILIUS (4) is resuming, his last two races were the Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup, he has shown tremendous acceleration at previous runs and although he may need further, he has not had the disruptions that a few of these have had. He could be in for a big Autumn. SIKANDARABAD (8) has the benefit of the one run back and has placed at all three previous second-up runs, he chased solidly when resuming and should settle closer with so many of these wanting further. CALL ME HANDSOME (7) will be big odds but may get a soft run behind the leader, a must for all exotic players.

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