Caulfield Racing Tips – Sat May 11
We will be at Caulfield this Saturday.
Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 10m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 2 – WILLIAM THOMAS
Race 1: Handicap 2406m
EASTENDER (1) won the Summer, Hobart and Launceston Cups last campaign, he had 2 months off before resuming with 65 kgs over 1880m on the synthetic at Devenport. In what can only be described as an enormous effort, he dropped out before rattling home to get the bob on the line. He meets no stars here, it is time for him to open his mainland win account.
ROCK ON (3) is an interesting runner, an Ex-Kiwi now with Peter Gelagotis. He won over 2200m on the soft last start and looks well suited. Watch the betting with him. ALFARRIS (4) will find this easier than his Easter Cup run last start, he has been ok at two runs in Oz since coming over from the UK and should be at peak fitness now. Forget that FELAAR (5) even went around at his Australian debut last time, he was held-up then checked out of it and wasn’t ridden out.
Race 2: BM78 Handicap 1100m
WILLIAM THOMAS (5) was first-up for almost a year here last start a fortnight ago, was unwanted in the betting, got back to last and over-raced. He ran on hard late though and although the margin was 3.7L, he was closing fast late. HE has placed at his only other two second-up runs and should improve off that run. Just needs to settle and not get too far back.
AKKADIAN (8) went across to SA and didn’t do much last start at Listed level, he may settle a bit closer with the blinkers on today. He probably wants further but I expect big improvement with that gear change. DELVECCHIO (13) won his first two races, had every chance at Sandown last time in an easier race but that winner has come out and won again on Wednesday. SEVEN YEAR REWARD (7) has the talent when he puts it all together, he may try and lead all the way.
Race 3: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1600m
ZOUTORI (1) has put back-to-back wins together since resuming, he doesn’t have great acceleration but will keep coming in the straight. He most unlucky when last at Caulfield last prep, held-up by a rider-less horse late so don’t be put off by the two unplaced efforts here at the track.
BIG NIGHT OUT (3) was a noticeable black-booker behind that horse last time after getting held-up at a vital stage before hitting the line hard. Just a matter of how far back he gets from the wide draw. SACCHARO (5) appeared in the steward’s report here two back then was held-up last time, he is better than those two runs read on paper. ORCEIN (4) is another that will get back and run on, he may need a little luck getting off the inside when the runs come.
Race 4: Handicap 1600m
Surely this is the race that we can see KEMONO (1) try and lead all the way. He does have good enough speed to kick through from the inside gate, he comes through a good form race and this looks a little easier. Don’t be surprised to see him in front and leading all the way, this looks a good chance to break his Australian duck.
GUIZOT (5) carried all of the Bool it seemed with a soft win over the carnival, he maps perfectly again to get the soft run but that may have been his Grand Final. Happy to risk him if he starts at the top of betting.
LIAPARI (4) and MAHAMEDEIS (2) come through the same race although the latter has had an average race in between, there was nothing between them when they last met.
Race 5: Mares Handicap 1100m
Not overly excited to bet into the race…… Unless the track is favouring those on the speed early then I will be very keen to get on MY BIDDY (8). She has led and been run down at her last two, has the wide gate so she should be able to work forward and find the top again. If she gets it soft through the middle, load up again mid-race.
Plenty with a chance to skittle her, throw in JOSEPHINE SEA (9) if the inside is not off,
KYZAMBA (7) with a terrific second-up record and QUEEN ANNABEL (4). She is drawn wide but gets back anyway and will be the beneficiary if the top pick doesn’t get her own way in front.
Race 6: Redoutes Choice Stakes 2YO Set Weights and Penalties 1200m
MOLDOVA (9) is undefeated after two starts, she is very quick as she showed at Flemington up the straight last time. She was a little all over the shop when tiring late, looks better suited back around the bend here.
Tough race with a few unknowns. One of them I would like to know more about is the Godolphin debutant HILO (6). That stable has had a career season with juveniles and Willow gets the ride. MISHE MOKWA (10) ran on well behind the talented Prince OF Sussex last time and as always, respect any serious money for any first starters, particularly the Godolphin runner and MAGNETISM (7).
Race 7: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1100m
PROPELLE (1) couldn’t have been more impressive winning here at the track last time, she was worse than mid-field before charging home and racing away for a soft win. The draw is the only hurdle here but it will just mean she will be a bigger price? Wiliams stick s on her, he should be able to get cover around the one bend.
TROPEZINA (2) was only fair first-up on the speed, she won here at the track second-up last prep when leading all the way. She may be able to give a sight at huge odds. VOILA (5) kept working to the line ok last time after copping some interference mid-race. She should be fully fit now third-up. THE COMMONER (13) has to step up in class but was a dominant maiden winner on debut last time when showing too much pace for her rivals. She has plenty of speed.
Race 8: Handicap 1200m
With rain forecast over Thursday night and into Friday, let’s hope there is plenty of it for JUNGLE EDGE (1) followers. He ran a cracking race at the Bool in the Wangoom with the big weight. Should be up on the speed again for a long way and the wetter the better!
LEONARDO DA HINCHI (8) is an interesting runner resuming, he showed plenty of ability last prep and was only $10 behind the Autumn Sun in the Caulfield Guineas! Watch the betting late to indicate fitness levels, but he is very smart. ORDER OF COMMAND (7) was good up the straight last time, BLAZE FORTH (5) comes across Bass Strait with a couple of good wins on the Apple Isle at his last two.
Race 9: Mares BM84 Handicap 1800m
SILENT ROAR (11) gets the winkers for the first time, she was dominant with an all the way win at Sandown two back with good closing sectionals after getting it easy, then was forced to work and chase last time in a race where the tactics on a few were questionable. There is a bit of speed in the race but I think he can lead and I think he will take catching! A great each-way bet if the track is playing favourably to the on-pacers.
WINKELMANN (10) will go forward as well early but looks best suited to take a sit. He was only fair at Flemington last time but may have just been flat second-up. THINK BLEUE (1) was ok behind Widgee Turf last time in a race that didn’t really pan out for those back in the field. ARAAJA (2) was good at HQ last time when up on the speed and only fading late. The draw makes it tough and will need cover early.