Caulfield Racing Tips – Wed Oct 16
We will be at Caulfield this Wednesday.
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 10m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 3 – OCEANEX
Race 1: BM84 Handicap 2407m
Barring the bottom couple, you wouldn’t be surprised to see any of these salute. EXEMPLAR (1) had no luck in the Ansett Classic at Mornington, he was held-up at a vital stage before running on hard late. He wasn’t beaten far behind some handy handicappers prior to that.
SHARED AMBITION (2) is an import that won at his Australian debut here at the track last time. He ran on hard from well back in a race that may not have favoured that pattern. It was a nice effort and certainly loses nothing with Nash going on. EGYPTIAN GIRL (5) has won three of her last four, all by huge margins, especially on the synthetic two back where she won by 5 with almost 3 lengths back to third. SPANISH POINT (6) has been good at all three runs since arriving in Oz, culminating in a win at Geelong last time when up on the speed. Nice race.
Race 2: BM78 Handicap 2000m
TAVISTOCK DANCER (12) should be at peak fitness today fourth-up from a spell and out to the 2000m again. He has been a little inconsistent this time in but there was a lot to like about the way he ran through the line last time and may have turned the corner.
Another open race. TYSONIC (11) was really good against the girls here last time, she was held-up at a vital stage and made good ground in a race where it wasn’t favoured to be getting back and running on. BLANDFORD LAD (13) has won two in a row on soft tracks, this is harder but he has really been hitting the line well.
BASS (5) looks a world-beater at his first Australian run but has had his chances, may be just a non-winner? He does have a big motor when he produces it though.
Race 3: Coongy Cup 2000m
OCEANEX (13) sat up on the speed before losing her position on the turn last time, got going again late after seemingly missing the boat and flashed late to just miss. If she backs up from Friday night she looks the one, the trainer was quite keen on her.
NELSON (2) is an interesting runner for Lloyd Williams, he hasn’t been to the races for a year but was beaten 4 lengths by Enable in the Arc last start! He may need teh run but if he can repeat that performance it should be well good enough. WOLFE (6) gets the blinkers on again, he stuck on well in the Bart Cummings last time after leading them up. If he gets a cheap lead, he will be hard to run down. KIWIA (3) has the talent but hasn’t done a lot since going to the new yard, a rteturn to his best would see him winning this.
Race 4: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1600m
HILO (2) won two in a row before chasing solidly but being outclassed in a Caulfield Guineas Prelude last start. He settled further back in that race, I expect that he will roll forward today back in grade and be very hard to run down.
DRESDEN GREEN (4) gets a few gear changes, he has had six weeks between runs, that was resuming in Sydney. He took on the best of his age group as a 2YO, and has placed at his only second-up run.
SERENGETI (7) was held-up at a vital stage in a harder race last time, he wasn’t fully tested late and also wasn’t suited by the way the race was run. Improvement here wouldn’t surprise. OSCAR BOY (5) won on debut before copping a check mid-race last time but still found the line ok.
Race 5: BM84 Handicap 1400m
COLUMBIA (5) has been very consistent this prep, he looks better suited here at the bigger track than at the Valley last time. He was knocked about and off balance mid-race before hitting the line well. He will get back again, look for him late.
USAIN BOWLER (4) comes through that same race, he will also get back and the rides may be the difference with these two. He will have to improve on his poor record at the track though. AMADEUS (2) comes through that same race, he was huge odds and was ok, should be fitter here third-up. I expect him to be a drifter in the market though. BRAVO TANGO (1) won the Weary Dunlop at Benalla last start, he was slightly held-up before powering home late. Tactics will be the key here.
Race 6: Caulfield Village Stakes Handicap 1200m
ZOUSTYLE (4) was unbeaten before resuming in Sydney in a much harder race where he was outclassed but was ridden upside-down. He came south last start and tried to lead all the way, re ran them along and was only run down in the last strides.
HAUNTED (6) may have been a better run that day, he was up on the speed and forced three-wide but kept coming through the line. He maps beautifully and looks the main danger.
MALIBU STYLE (1) will work across from out wide, he has been up for an eternity it seems but is racing very consistently. ORDER OF COMMAND (2) was only fair fresh but has a terrific record second-up, he will be the one finishing best if they fly up front.
Race 7: Blue Sapphire Stakes 3YO Set Weights 1200m
EXHILIRATES (10) resumed with two wins before narrowly going down to Loving Gaby last start. She looks well in again at the set weights, her win here fresh was brilliant from the back, expect a similar pattern here.
(11) ANAHEED has good tactical speed, she was outclassed by a couple of Australasia’s best 3YO’s last time but may be able to lead for a long way here. BROOKLYN HUSTLE (14) has the talent but is still yet to win out of maiden grade. She resumed up the straight last time and was a mile back, held-up before angling clear and powering through the line. She went into everyone’s black book that day. CONDO’S EXPRESS (4) is not officially first-up but has been off the scene 7-weeks, he has been gelded since we last saw him. He has yet to finish further back than second at five career starts, hopefully he settles better now.
Race 8: Ladies Day Vase Mares Set Weights and Penalties 1600m
RONDINELLA (4) is a Kiwi that has been back on our shores for one run this campaign, she was at the Valley at Listed level, was held-up at a vital stage before going back to the inside and smashing the line. She is a Group One placegetter both here and across the Tasman, she may just be too good for these.
FIDELIA (6) looks the only danger. She always needs everything to go right but has a brilliant finish on her, she ran on hard again from an impossible position against the tempo last time. ONE MORE TRY (8) has the horrible gate to contend with but comes through that same race and made good ground. If she gets cover, she should finish on hard. NORDIC SYMPHONY (15) will find this harder but there was a lot to like about the way she attacked the line winning fresh at Geelong.